Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12184 tópicos neste fórum
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European Central BankAnalysis of Macroeconomic Reports: Several macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Tuesday, but they are not generating much interest at the moment. The market continues to show minimal volatility and no clear direction. The U.S. dollar continues to weaken very little, without sufficient grounds for it. However, the market is still not in a hurry to sell the U.S. currency. Today in Germany, the third estimate of GDP for the third quarter will be released, and in the U.S., the weekly ADP employment report, the Producer Price Index, and retail sales data will be released. These are interesting reports, but the market is expecting others. Traders ar…
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The recent downturn in the crypto market, which saw total valuations plummet from an all-time high of nearly $4.3 trillion to below the $3 trillion mark, has severely impacted many investors. Among those affected is the Trump family, whose wealth reportedly decreased by $1 billion over the past month, according to Bloomberg. Their current net worth now stands at approximately $6.7 billion, down from $7.7 billion in September. Trump Family’s Crypto Portfolio Takes Major Hits The family’s crypto portfolio has suffered significant losses as a result of recent market conditions, including President Trump’s official memecoin, TRUMP, Eric Trump’s Bitcoin (BTC) mining firm, A…
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Only the British pound did I try to trade today using the Mean Reversion strategy, but even there I did not wait for a strong downward reversal. Using the Momentum strategy, I traded the Japanese yen, which rose sharply against the U.S. dollar. According to the report, Germany's GDP in the third quarter of this year remained unchanged compared to the second quarter. Although zero growth has increased the chances of a technical recession, the sense of industrial stagnation is causing more serious concern. Economists warn that without significant changes in policy and external factors, Germany may face a prolonged period of economic decline. The impact of this downturn may …
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Analysis of Trades and Recommendations for Trading the European Currency The test of the 1.1527 price level occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The second test of 1.1527 led to the implementation of scenario No. 2 for selling the euro; however, losses were recorded on the trade since the pair did not show any downward reversal. Germany's economy posted zero GDP growth in the third quarter of this year. These expected data supported the euro's exchange rate and did not attract new sellers into the market. However, a warning sign is the slo…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese Yen The test of the 156.67 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly downward from the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar and missed a good downward move. In the second half of the day, close attention will be directed toward the release of U.S. economic data for September, including industrial price dynamics, changes in retail trade, and the business activity index calculated by the Richmond Fed. Retail sales data will provide insight into the level of consumer demand. A decline in retail sales may signal a slowdown in economic exp…
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Silver (XAG/USD) has stalled its gigantic rally higher as a more hawkish Fed pricing and lower economic projections have effectively brought a top to the precious industrial metal. After forming a clear double top at its all-time highs of $54.50, Silver retraced lower to just graze below the psychological $50 mark. Still, the metal's resilience to correct lower suggests that the underlying dovish catalysts haven't entirely disappeared. NY Fed President John Williams recently revived hopes for a 25 basis point cut, pushing the odds for the December meeting back up to around 70%. This pricing was further consolidated by a raft of weak data released this morning: PPI …
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Today, on Tuesday, the euro strengthened against the US dollar as weaker-than-expected US economic data weighed on investor sentiment, causing the dollar to weaken. This contributed to a sharp rebound of the euro to a five-day high. US data, released with a delay, showed that the PPI — the overall Producer Price Index — rose by 0.3% month-over-month in September, in line with expectations after a 0.1% decline in August, while the annual reading remained at 2.7%. However, the core components were weaker. New comments from Federal Reserve officials also boosted expectations of another rate cut in December, putting additional pressure on the US dollar and creating a supporti…
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How do you make the market happy? Take away its favorite toy and then give it back. For the S&P 500, this toy has been the expectation of a Fed rate cut in December. Following the release of the minutes from the October FOMC meeting, these expectations fell to 28%, prompting the broad stock index to undergo a correction. Rumors about Kevin Hassett's imminent appointment as the head of the central bank have spiked the chances of monetary expansion by the end of the year to 85%. It is no surprise that the stock market is up for the third day in a row. Dynamics of Market Expectations Regarding Federal Reserve Monetary Expansion The director of the National Economic Co…
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Dogecoin is trading inside a well-defined falling wedge on the 12-hour chart, with one technical analyst arguing that an upside breakout could trigger an 80–90% rally into the upper $0.20 range. In a fresh DOGE/USDT update shared on November 25, 2025, trader Clifton Fx (@clifton_ideas) posted a Binance 12-hour chart that spans back to late July. Dogecoin Could Rally Nearly 90% The chart is dominated by two descending trendlines that enclose price action. The upper boundary connects successive lower highs from early autumn through late November, forming a downward-sloping resistance line now running just above the latest candle around the mid-$0.15 area. The lower boundar…
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Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the Japanese Yen A price test of 156.33 occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar. During the US trading session, attention will be focused on several important releases. The dynamics of initial jobless claims is a key indicator of labor market health. An increase in such claims may signal slowing economic activity and rising layoffs. Conversely, a decline in claims indicates a stable or expanding labor market, which is a positive sign for the economy. The volume of durable goods orders reflects…
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Canada has launched a national security review of the proposed merger between Anglo American (LON: AAL) and Teck Resources (TSX: TECK.A, TECK.B)(NYSE: TECK), Industry Minister Melanie Joly said on Wednesday. Joly confirmed that Ottawa will assess the deal under the Investment Canada Act and issue a final decision in the coming months, saying from South Korea that the security review is a standard step in evaluating foreign transactions but that the government expects stronger long-term commitments to Canada. The national security review, under the Investment Canada Act, will examine how the transaction could affect critical minerals and related supply chains. Copp…
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair first bounced from the 61.8% corrective level at 1.1594, and then consolidated above this level. Thus, the upward movement may continue today toward the resistance level of 1.1645–1.1656. A consolidation of the pair below 1.1594 will work in favor of the US currency and a slight decline toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1517. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave did not break the previous peak, and the last completed downward wave did not break the previous low. Thus, the trend remains "bearish" for now. The bullish traders have moved into attack mode, but their efforts are st…
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Despite the XRP price struggling to stay afloat in the current market, it has not deterred the bulls from continuing to push for higher prices. This is amid the XRP ETF launches that have taken place over the last week, X triggering a significant amount of inflow into the cryptocurrency. The calls for new all-time high prices to surpass its 2018 $3.84 peak have only grown louder, with timelines getting shorter. This time around, one analyst has predicted a new all-time high, with what they call a “true Elliot Wave view.” Why XRP Price Could Still Gun Above $4 In an analysis shared on X with over 35,000 followers, crypto analyst XForce Global has put forward the idea that…
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Panama could publish initial findings from the sweeping audit of First Quantum Minerals’ (TSX: FM) Cobre Panama copper mine as soon as next week, with the final report due by the end of February and expected to guide the government’s next steps for the stalled operation. The independent review, led by SGS Panama Control Services, examines environmental compliance, legal and labour issues, tax matters, operational processes and potential environmental liabilities. Authorities say the results could shape any future negotiations over the mine’s future. Alfredo Burgos, National Director of Mineral Resources at the Ministry of Commerce and Industries, told local media …
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According to reports, the government of Bhutan moved 320 Ethereum (ETH) into staking on November 27, 2025. The transaction was routed through Figment.io, an institutional staking provider. At the time of the move, the Ether was valued at about $970,000. The transfer is being watched in both crypto and policy circles because it links a sovereign treasury to active participation in a public blockchain. Details Of The Staking Move Onchain Lens say the 320 ETH created 10 new validators, matching the network rule that each validator requires 32 ETH. The payment and validator setup were recorded onchain and were visible to blockchain trackers shortly after the move. This is…
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A crypto market analyst has compared XRP to NVIDIA, an American technology company with one of the biggest tech success stories in history. The analyst implied that buying XRP today could mirror the opportunity investors had when purchasing NVIDIA shares in 2000 at just $0.35. The comparison emphasizes the long-term potential of the XRP price and highlights the importance of HODLing. XRP Today Shows Growth Potential Like NVIDIA In 2000 A leading market expert, Egrag Crypto, has drawn a striking parallel between the current XRP price and the early days of NVIDIA. He suggested that buying XRP now could be akin to purchasing NVIDIA shares at just $0.35, as recorded in 2000…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe test of the price level at 154.69 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator was beginning to move downward from the zero mark, confirming a valid entry point for selling dollars. However, a significant decline in the pair did not materialize, resulting in a realized loss. The dollar regained some ground against the Japanese yen, but this was seen as merely a technical correction. Yesterday's statements from Donald Trump's economic advisor, Kevin Hassett, put pressure on the US dollar in the USD/JPY pair. Investors reacted by selling following his comments regarding a potential adjustment in US monetary po…
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair continued its upward movement after consolidating above the 61.8% retracement level at 1.1594 and closed above the 1.1645–1.1656 resistance level. Thus, the upward movement may continue today toward the next 38.2% retracement level at 1.1718. A consolidation below 1.1645–1.1656 would favor the U.S. dollar and lead to a decline toward the 1.1594 corrective level. The wave pattern on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last upward wave broke the high of the previous wave, while the last completed downward wave did not break the previous low. Therefore, the trend is now turning bullish. Recent labor market data, the Fed's shifting…
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Today highlights Bitcoin and crypto price dips following Trump news on trade policies. Our prediction warned of Bitcoin price volatility last week, and it hit the mark as markets reacted to US and China tensions. Crypto bros are now watching, monitoring, and hoping for Trump 3pm speech for clues on easing pressures. Read the original piece here. The post Crypto News Today, October 16: Last Week’s Bitcoin Price Prediction Came True, Another Pain Came | Trump Announcement to Revive Crypto? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
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XRP is facing renewed pressure this week after the Oct. 10 flash crash triggered record liquidations across the crypto market. The token plunged nearly 40% intraday before rebounding, now hovering between $2.20 and $2.60 as traders assess what’s next. Despite heavy whale selling and lingering volatility, market analysts insist that “this week could change everything” for XRP, with key ETF decisions and regulatory milestones approaching that could redefine its long-term outlook. Flash-Crash Fallout: Liquidations, Whale Flows, and Key Support XRP was swept up in the Oct. 10 crypto “flash crash,” sliding intraday by 40% before rebounding to a monthly loss near 20%. The…
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The EUR/USD currency pair continued a moderate upward movement on Wednesday, as expected. Let us recall that the recent decline in the pair over the past few weeks seemed illogical, as the fundamental and macroeconomic background for the U.S. dollar has only worsened during this period. Of course, we're not suggesting everything is going perfectly in Europe or the U.K., but in 2025, the United States has been setting records for the number of negative developments. As such, even the dollar's recent strengthening defied the underlying fundamentals. On the daily timeframe, two clear things stand out: first, the upward trend is intact; second, the market has been in a sidewa…
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Solana is taking a breather after a strong rally, now testing the crucial $195 support zone. Traders are watching closely to see if the bulls can defend this level and set the stage for a potential comeback. Solana Begins A Healthy Pullback After Recent Rally In a recent update, BitGuru highlighted that Solana (SOL) appears to be entering a healthy pullback phase following a sharp rally and partial recovery. This retracement is part of a natural market rhythm, allowing the asset to cool off after its recent burst of bullish momentum. Such pauses often serve as a foundation for more sustainable future growth, rather than signaling weakness. While SOL’s price is hovering…
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GBP/USD On Thursday, the British pound gained over 30 pips on a rebound from the MACD line support. This morning, the pound remains in a positive mood; however, the Marlin oscillator is now approaching the zero line. If no profit-taking occurs today, the pound has every chance to continue its advance toward the 1.3525 target. If the day ends with a bearish (black) candle, the technical picture may become muddled within the psychological cycle of market anticipation ahead of the Fed meeting on October 29. It is also worth noting that the support level of 1.3369 and the MACD line at 1.3393 currently form a support range of 24 pips. Breaking below this zone will be difficul…
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Trade Analysis and Guidance for the European Currency The price test at 1.1703 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The second test of 1.1703 coincided with the MACD being in the oversold area, which allowed Scenario #2 (buy) to play out — but the pair failed to achieve a strong upward move. In the second half of the day, only a speech by FOMC member Alberto Musalem is expected. The market is holding its breath, awaiting Musalem's comments regarding the future trajectory of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Investors are eager to hear his vie…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)This week, from the level of 1.1650 (the closing price of the last weekly candle), the market may begin a downward movement with the target at 1.1488 — the historical support level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may retrace upward toward 1.1538 — the 38.2% retracement level (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (Weekly Chart) Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis — downwardFibonacci levels — downwardVolume — downwardCandlestick analysis — downwardTrend analysis — downwardBollinger Bands — downwardMonthly chart — downwardConclusion from comprehensive analysis: Downward movement. Overall summary for the EUR/USD weekly candle calcula…
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