Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12184 tópicos neste fórum
-
Today, the EUR/USD pair is attempting to rise for the fourth day in a row, trying to gain support above the round level of 1.1600. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which reflects the value of the US currency against a basket of major currencies, has been falling for three consecutive days against a backdrop of pessimistic expectations regarding the Federal Reserve. In fact, market participants are currently pricing in roughly an 85% chance of a rate cut by the central bank in December, and recent statements from several Fed officials have only reinforced these expectations. In addition, mixed economic data released this week are not helping to ease sentiment. This, together wit…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Crypto analyst NeverWishing has predicted that the XRP price will rally to as high as $1,115. He highlighted three paths for XRP to reach this target, in what the analyst described as the final bull run for the altcoin. Analyst Maps Out Final XRP Bull Run Rally To $1,115 In a TradingView post, the crypto analyst mapped out three paths for XRP to rally to the $1,115 target. They tagged the first path as the immediate delivery, the second as a normal delivery, and the third as one that will trigger only if the XRP price stays suppressed. For the third path, NeverWishing stated that a final backup execution could happen between January 1 and 6 next year. For path A, Neve…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Guardian Metal Resources (LSE-A: GMET) is betting two tungsten projects in Nevada can help to revive United States mined supply of the critical metal as China tightens exports and Washington scrambles for alternative sources. Helped by a $6.2 million award from the US Department of Defense under the Defense Production Act Title III program, Guardian is carrying out a pre-feasibility study at its Pilot Mountain project that’s slated for completion in the first half next year. Pilot Mountain, located about 270 km southeast of state capital Carson City, hosts a historical resource. The past-producing Tempiute mine comes with a standing mill building, 3,000-kilowatt s…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Dogecoin started a steady increase above $0.1550 against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might decline sharply if it trades below $0.1490. DOGE price started a fresh increase above $0.1480 and $0.150. The price is trading below the $0.1520 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $0.1495 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could aim for a fresh increase if it remains stable above $0.1490. Dogecoin Price Consolidates Gains Dogecoin price started a fresh increase after it settled above $0.1450, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE climbed above the $0.150 resist…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, stock indices closed with gains. The S&P 500 rose by 0.25%, while the Nasdaq 100 increased by 0.59%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average strengthened by 0.39%. On Wednesday, Asian indices traded within narrow ranges, reflecting Wall Street's dynamics as investors remained cautious ahead of the release of several key economic data points from the United States. The MSCI All Country World Index offset early gains of 0.3%, as Chinese stocks traded on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange showed their worst performance in recent times. European futures indicated a slightly positive market opening, while futures on the S&P 500 rose by 0.2%. Activity in the cryptocur…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Wednesday during the North American session, the GBP/USD pair rose sharply, breaking above the 1.3300 level. This growth was driven by market expectations of a more "dovish" Federal Reserve policy amid intensifying rumors that Kevin Hassett, a White House economic adviser, could be appointed as the new Fed Chair in place of Jerome Powell. The British pound strengthened significantly as the U.S. dollar weakened, pressured by speculation surrounding the potential new Fed leadership and weak U.S. labor market data. The dollar also continues to decline following the release of today's disappointing U.S. economic data. Specifically, the U.S. ISM Services PMI for November an…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Inflation is slowing, interest rates are decreasing, and corporate profits are rising. What could be better for the S&P 500? The US stock market has entered a sort of Goldilocks mode and is poised to restore its upward trend. However, its distinctive feature at the start of winter is the absence of leaders. Diversification of investment portfolios and a move away from tech stocks have become the hallmark of recent weeks. The market sees only what it wants to see. The increase in business activity in the services sector to a 9-month high was perceived by investors as a sign of optimism due to the end of the shutdown, which could, by the way, begin again at the end of …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Thursday, from the level of 1.1670 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving downward toward the target of 1.1640 — the 38.2% retracement level (yellow dashed line). When testing this level, the price may pull back upward toward the target of 1.1655 — the 50% retracement level (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downFibonacci levels – downVolumes – downCandlestick analysis – downTrend analysis – downBollinger Bands – downWeekly chart – downOverall Conclusion: A downward trend. Alternative Scenario:On Thursday, from the level of 1.1670 (yesterday's daily candle close), the m…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The oil market has once again taken center stage: prices are rising, but this growth does not resemble the onset of a new commodities rally. Brent is consolidating around $63 per barrel, and WTI is near $59, with prices holding in a relatively narrow range. Meanwhile, the backdrop remains tense: on one hand, geopolitical risks are escalating, and concerns about supply disruptions are mounting; on the other hand, the fundamental picture indicates comfortable stock levels, high supply, and weak demand. As a result, the market is living in a state of constant balance: short-term news adds a "risk premium" to the price, while structural factors immediately counteract it. Anal…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The dollar declined once again against risk assets following statements by Kevin Hassett, director of the National Economic Council. Trump's economic advisor stated yesterday that the Federal Reserve should lower interest rates at its upcoming meeting next week and predicted a 25-basis-point reduction. "I think we should do this, and I think we are likely to do so," Hassett said, pointing to recent comments from Fed governors and heads of regional banks. "They now seem to be increasingly leaning toward a rate cut." Hassett also noted that he would like to see much lower rates in the long term. "If there is a consensus on 25 basis points, which apparently there is, then w…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade review and advice for trading the pound The price test at 1.3611 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving upward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by more than 30 points. The European session only reinforced the intentions of major players, pushing the pound to new local highs. Optimism about the outlook for the British economy, supported by expectations that the Bank of England will maintain a cautious stance on interest rates, continues to fuel demand for the pound. Technical analysis also points to a favorable picture for the currency. Beyond the regulator's decision, the pound ma…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Tips on Trading the Euro The first price test at 1.1757 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The euro has risen sharply, and this is no surprise given that the Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates, while the European Central Bank has made it clear it won't do so again this year. This realization has likely acted as a catalyst for a reassessment of risks and opportunities in the currency markets. While the ECB maintains a relatively stable monetary policy, the Fed continues to respond to slowing economic growth by cuttin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
It’s not a pleasant scene right now. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP are all deep in the red. In fact, ETH USD has fallen so sharply that the allure of Ethereum treasury FOMO is now under serious scrutiny. Yet, even as BTC USD sways, dips, and edges closer to the critical support level at $110,000, could this be the perfect moment to stack hard and wait for the digital gold to snap higher? Hard numbers don’t lie: Even if Bitcoin closes below the psychological round number of $110,000, it would still be up over +75% from a year ago. What’s more, the uptrend established over the last three months would remain intact. Traders are watching closely from the sidelines, eager to see…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Dogecoin started a fresh decline below the $0.250 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might dip further if it stays below $0.2550. DOGE price started a fresh decline below the $0.250 level. The price is trading below the $0.250 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.2450 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could extend losses if there is a move below $0.230. Dogecoin Price Turns Red Dogecoin price started a fresh decline after it closed below $0.2550, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.250 and $0.2450 support levels. T…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Monday consolidated above the 76.4% retracement level at 1.3425, where it continues to trade as of Tuesday morning. A rebound from the 1.3425 level would favor continued growth toward the levels of 1.3482 and 1.3528. A consolidation below the 1.3425 level would suggest a reversal in favor of the US dollar and a resumption of the decline toward the support zone of 1.3332–1.3357. The wave pattern remains "bearish." The last completed downward wave broke the previous low, while the new upward wave has yet to surpass the previous high. The news background for the pound has been negative over the past two weeks, but I believe this ha…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The EUR/USD currency pair once again traded calmly on the second trading day of the week. While there was a minor intraday upward bias on Monday, it remained weak, accompanied by low volatility. Now that it's October 1 — and there's a 95% chance the U.S. government will shut down along with all federal agencies — the dollar's reaction to negative news is surprisingly modest. In fact, we would say it isn't reacting at all. Is this justified? Of course not. Even without the shutdown threat, there are already plenty of solid reasons for the dollar to be falling. While the pair has undergone a correction over the last two weeks, the fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop has …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Tuesday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD On Tuesday, the EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement, though the pace throughout the day remained very slow, despite a relatively large number of macroeconomic reports. In Germany alone, reports on retail sales, unemployment, jobless claims, and inflation were released. The data was mixed, but we believe that the inflation figure is currently the most important. In Germany, inflation rose more than forecast, giving grounds to expect a rise in eurozone-wide inflation. Higher inflation across the eurozone makes any new ECB rate cut nearly impossible and even opens up the possibility of future rate hikes. Naturally,…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
According to Santiment, XRP is seeing its highest level of retail fear, uncertainty and doubt in six months. That surge in negativity is being read by some analysts as a contrarian signal — fear on the street could come just before a turnaround. While traders grumble, on-chain data shows crowd mood tipping toward worry, and Santiment points out that when retail panic grows, markets have a habit of moving in the opposite direction. Retail Fear Hits Six-Month High Based on reports from the blockchain analytics firm, the bullish-to-bearish ratio reached 3.21 on Sept. 17 during a wave of euphoria, then fell to 0.74 on Oct. 4 as frustration rose. The ratio moved slightly t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Wednesday, the euro-dollar pair attempted to break into the 1.15 range, testing the support level at 1.1610. At this price point, the lower boundary of the Kumo cloud coincides with both the upper edge and the Bollinger Bands line on the D1 time frame. This price movement is due to the simultaneous strengthening of the U.S. dollar and weakening of the euro. The news flow from both sides of the Atlantic is indeed exerting pressure on the EUR/USD pair. The European currency is under pressure due to developments in France. Much to the disappointment of EUR/USD buyers, the political crisis in France continues to deteriorate — the latest resignation of another prime min…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The EUR/USD currency pair traded lower throughout Tuesday and Wednesday, declining steadily without major pauses, even overnight. This drop has been swift and persistent. So, let's ask an important question: do traders really understand that such a move requires major fundamental justification? And do they realize that it's not enough to isolate a single event—they need to consider the entire spectrum of macroeconomic and fundamental signals? Reading various expert commentaries brings to mind the classic line from the film "Casablanca": "Round up the usual suspects." At the moment, the euro does not have any serious reasons to be falling, yet many analysts are pointing fi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum price failed to extend gains above $4,600 and declined. ETH is now moving lower and might extend losses below $4,400 in the short term. Ethereum started a downside correction below $4,600 and $4,550. The price is trading below $4,550 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term rising channel forming with support at $4,460 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it trades below $4,400. Ethereum Price Dips Again Ethereum price extended gains above $4,620 and $4,650, like Bitcoin. ETH price tested the $4,750 resistance zone before there was a fresh decline. A low was formed at $4,414 and t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
[Crude Oil] – [Tuesday, October 14, 2025] Although the RSI indicator is in the Neutral-Bullish zone, but with the position of the Death Cross between the two EMAs suggests that #CL remains under bearish pressure. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 60.73 2. Resistance. 1 : 60.13 3. Pivot : 59.57 4. Support. 1 : 58.97 5. Support. 2 : 58.41 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of #CL breaks down and closes below 58.97, there's potential for continued downside toward 58.41. Momentum Extension Bias: If 58.41 is broken and closes below, Crude Oil may extend its decline to 57.81. Invalidation Level Invalidation / Bias Revision: The downside bias is …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Nigel Farage is stepping into the UK crypto conversation with a bold pitch that looks a lot like something out of Donald Trump’s playbook. He wants the country to hold a £5 billion bitcoin reserve, using coins already seized by the government. He’s also pushing for a 10 percent flat tax on crypto profits, an end to the Bank of England’s digital pound project, and even the option for citizens to pay their taxes in crypto. In a speech that felt more like a campaign rally than a policy talk, he positioned himself as the UK’s crypto advocate, borrowing Trump’s tone and timing with just weeks before a general election. A Bold Plan That Looks Better on Paper There’s no denyin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum appears to be entering a pivotal phase as the market stabilizes around a key support level near $3,800. After a period of correction, technical indicators, structural signals, and price action now suggest the potential for a renewed bullish move. Ethereum Slips Below Key $4,060 Support Ted, in a recent update shared on X, pointed out that Ethereum has slipped below its crucial $4,060 support level, a move that may hint at a short-term bearish phase for the asset. This breakdown has drawn traders’ attention to lower support regions, as Ethereum’s next moves will likely determine whether the market stabilizes or faces further pressure. According to Ted, the nex…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Review of Tuesday's Trades:1-Hour EUR/USD Chart On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair managed to trade in both directions. In the morning, the euro came under pressure due to weaker-than-expected ZEW economic sentiment indices from both Germany and the Eurozone. In the second half of the day, the U.S. dollar faced pressure due to public remarks by Jerome Powell and Donald Trump. Chair Powell once again stated that the Federal Reserve will make decisions based solely on macroeconomic data and also signaled the end of the quantitative tightening program. Both statements could be interpreted in multiple ways. The market still lacks confidence in whether we will see one or two rat…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
