Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11729 tópicos neste fórum
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On-chain data shows that the Bitcoin investors with a holding time greater than six months have seen an upward reversal in their supply for the first time in months. Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Supply Has Just Turned Around As pointed out by Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards in a new post on X, the 6-month inactive supply has recently witnessed its first uptick since April. This part of the supply, covering tokens that have been dormant (that is, not involved in any transaction on the blockchain) since at least six months ago, belongs to investors popularly known as long-term holders (LTHs). Statistically, the longer investors keep their coins dormant, the less…
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A key long-term indicator comparing Bitcoin to gold has just triggered a signal not seen before in market history. Analysts say such extreme compression typically precedes violent directional moves, and the fact that it’s happening at the intersection of two global safe-haven assets makes the setup even more significant. With BTC outperforming gold for over a decade, this rare signal suggests that the next phase of the BTC vs Gold battle could rewrite long-term market expectations. What Happens After A Historic Squeeze? The Bitcoin versus Gold monthly Bollinger Bands are expanding from the tightest reading in history. A chartered market technician and Bitcoin trader, Ton…
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Our preceding analysis on Silver could not have been more wrong. With the FOMC approaching and bouts of up-and-down action across all metals, what we thought to be a temporary top leading to a potential range was, in fact, just a retracement. And that retracement was an opportunity not lost on Silver traders: a stark run during month-end trading took the precious metal to new record highs, grazing the $58.85 level. The dovish repricing for the Fed's December 10 Meeting—main catalyst of the renewed "everything-rally" (or Debasement Trade) seen throughout stocks in the past week—was fuel for a sharp rally across the entire metals complex. …
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Bitocin treasury companies continue to accumulate a significant amount of BTC despite current market conditions and now control around 5% of the total BTC supply. These companies are led by Michael Saylor’s Strategy and Metaplanet, which have recently raised fresh capital to buy the dip. Bitcoin Treasury Companies Now Hold Over 1 Million In BTC Bitcoin Treasuries data shows that the top 100 public Bitcoin treasury companies currently hold 1,058,929 BTC, while all public companies combined hold 1,061,697. Notably, Strategy is the largest public Bitcoin holder with 650,000 BTC. Michael Saylor’s company yesterday announced another 130 BTC purchase for $11.7 million. Mea…
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China has issued the first batch of new, streamlined export licences for rare earths in fulfillment of its recent trade truce with the United States, Reuters reported on Tuesday. These new licences, according to sources cited by Reuters, were issued to three of China’s leading magnet makers: JL Mag Rare Earth, Ningbo Yunsheng and Beijing Zhong Ke San Huan High-Tech. Issuance of the licences comes more than a month after China agreed to temporarily suspend its expanded rare earth export controls as part of a broader trade deal with the United States. Rare earth controls Rare earths have become a central flashpoint in this year’s trade tensions between the w…
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According to reports, it has been three months since the Shibarium Bridge hack that drained more than $3 million from users, yet the case has not moved into formal law enforcement channels. On-chain investigators traced a clear path of funds, and community members say the clues are strong enough to support an official probe. Still, exchanges are holding back unless a police case number is presented. On-Chain Trail Revealed Based on reports from on-chain sleuths, the attacker moved 260 Ether through Tornado Cash before routing 232.49 ETH to deposit addresses at KuCoin. The laundering path involved 111 wallets and 45 unique KuCoin deposits, according to a public breakdow…
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On Tuesday, the euro weakened against the Swiss franc. At the moment, the EUR/CHF pair is trading around 0.9330, slightly retreating from the upper boundary of its multi-day range, after spending most of the day with little change due to the neutral market reaction to the preliminary eurozone inflation data. Recent eurozone statistics showed a mixed but relatively stable picture of price growth in November. The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) rose by 2.2% year-over-year — slightly above analysts' expectations (2.1%) and unchanged from October. The core HICP increased by 2.4% year-over-year — a bit below the forecast of 2.5% and also unchanged from October. On a…
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The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has transformed, but overall it remains quite clear. There is no talk of canceling the upward trend segment that began in January 2025, but the wave structure since July 1 has become significantly more complex and extended. In my view, the instrument has completed the formation of corrective wave 4, which took on a very unconventional form. Inside this wave, we observe solely corrective structures, so there is no doubt about the corrective nature of the decline. In my opinion, the construction of the upward trend segment is not over, and its targets extend all the way up to the 1.25 level. The a-b-c-d-e wave series looks co…
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For GBP/USD, the wave pattern still suggests the formation of an upward trend segment (bottom chart), but over the past few weeks it has become complicated and stretched out (top chart). The trend segment that began on July 1 can be considered wave 4—or any large corrective wave—since it has a corrective rather than impulsive internal structure. The same applies to its internal sub-waves. Therefore, despite the pound's prolonged decline, I still believe the upward trend remains intact. The downward wave structure that began on September 17 has taken the form of a five-wave a-b-c-d-e pattern and may now be complete. If that's the case, the pair is currently forming a new u…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese Yen The price test of 155.84 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar. The second test of 155.84 coincided with the MACD being in the overbought area, which activated scenario No. 2 for selling. However, the pair never actually declined, resulting in a loss. Will the situation in the market shift in favor of the Japanese yen after the release of the U.S. RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index? Unlikely. Most likely, the dollar will maintain its leading position in the pair with the yen, since this indicator does…
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Latin America is stepping up efforts to build critical mineral supply chains as the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) says governments want to add more value at home while the Trump administration pushes for production closer to the US. IDB president Ilan Goldfajn said countries across the region are working on increasing their refining and processing capabilities for lithium, copper and other key minerals instead of exporting raw material to Asia. Together with the European Union, the IBD launched last year a joint initiative to boost responsible investment and develop value chains for critical minerals in Latin America and the Caribbean. Under this program …
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The XRP price has spent the past several days in a fragile position after falling from $2.20 and retesting $2, which has now become the most closely watched level on its price chart. The weekly candle has managed to close slightly green for the first time in more than a month, yet the rebound has not erased the weakness created by the recent sell-off. The latest technical analysis from Guy on the Earth focuses on this exact moment, noting that XRP’s entire structure now depends on whether this $2 zone can keep functioning as the pivot that stops further downside. Holding $2 As The Important Bull Support Guy on the Earth describes the $2 price level as the line separati…
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Navoi Mining and Metallurgical Company (NMMC) has received a credit rating upgrade by S&P Global to reflect its status as one of the world’s biggest gold producers. On Tuesday, S&P upgraded the Uzbekistani miner’s long-term credit rating to ‘BB’, with a ‘Stable’ outlook, citing the Central Asian nation’s improved sovereign. The upgrade reflects “the company’s solid financial position and the resilience of its operational performance,” the firm said in a statement. The agency expects NMMC to maintain a balanced financial approach, enabling the company to continue making a significant contribution to the national economy, it added. S&P’s rating also …
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Cryptocurrencies are finally bouncing from their relative lows, with Bitcoin reclaiming the $90,000 level after bottoming near $80,500 on Friday, November 21. Traders are scared, and for good reason: elevated valuations and an ecstatic mood in early autumn had led to extreme positioning, which consequently triggered a cascade of liquidations and stops. The first major crack appeared shortly after Bitcoin reached its new record at $126,400 in mid-October, where a dark weekly closure led to a gigantic flash-crash. After that, the recovery was swift but proved temporary, materializing into a consistent, progressive selloff that dragged on all the way to the final week of…
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BTC USD has seen quite a bit of volatility lately. Especially yesterday, for some strange reason, when just under $1 billion got liquidated from the crypto market, $830 million of these being longs. Maybe that’s a sign that the sentiment is bullish? Or is it a sign that people are having a hard time shifting their bias? drops down to $70,000 or lower. Sayler came back with a claim about reserves being ready. What is moving the markets then? Over the past weeks, there has been mostly selling in the Bitcoin spot ETF. Although the Inflow chart looks close to where it was in the pre-April 2025 pump. Maybe there is hope. DISCOVER: Best …
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A recent XRP price analysis from a prominent supporter has placed the cryptocurrency’s long-term value in the four-figure range. Although XRP is currently trading around $2, the analyst believes a rise to $1,000 is necessary for the altcoin. His outlook stems from the cryptocurrency’s underlying utility rather than speculation, emphasizing how global liquidity systems could drive prices upward through massive settlement volumes. Why The XRP Price Needs To Climb To $1,000 Crypto analyst @unkownDLT has shared a rather ambitious price forecast for XRP this week. The analyst claims that the cryptocurrency must reach thousands of dollars to operate as a fundamental component…
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Ascot Resources (TSXV: AOT.H) is proceeding with a C$150 million ($107 million) private placement as part of ongoing efforts to keep its British Columbia-focused mining business running. On Tuesday, the Vancouver-based miner said a group of brokerages led by Canaccord Genuity and Raymond James has agreed to market the placement on a best-efforts basis. It follows up on the company’s announcement on Oct. 23 of a planned capital restructuring, which also includes a C$14.9 million rights offering, followed by a proposed 50:1 share consolidation. The C$150 million financing will take place post consolidation, and will involve the issuance of Ascot common shares priced…
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Stocks have begun December trading on a muted note, though far from the bearish trajectory that defined much of November. December is historically a month where investors anticipate gains—a phenomenon known as the "December Effect" or the "Santa Claus Rally." This seasonal strength is typically driven by three core catalysts: Corporate Stock Buybacks: Companies rushing to complete buyback programs reduce the supply of outstanding shares, naturally pulling prices higher.Year-End Bonuses: As workers receive year-end payouts, fresh capital often flows into investment accounts, boosting demand.Psychological Momentum: A self-fulfilling prophecy where traders, anticipating a r…
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Torex Gold Resources (TSX: TXG) said new drilling near its Media Luna underground mine in Mexico yielded high-grade zones west of the main deposit. Hole ML25-1088D in the Media Luna West area cut 11 metres grading 11.7 grams gold per tonne, 10.3 grams silver and 0.26% copper from 647 metres downhole, Torex said Monday after the close of trading. Hole ML25-1095D, meanwhile, intersected 12.9 metres grading 17.25 grams gold, 8.7 grams silver and 0.27% copper from about 704 metres depth. “Near-mine opportunities in the Media Luna cluster provide sight lines for the year-end maiden inferred resource, hint at backfilling and extending the Morelos production profile,” Na…
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On December 1, 2025, Ripple announced a major regulatory upgrade in Singapore, reinforcing its ambition to make XRP a central instrument for global payments. The expanded license allows the company to streamline cross-border money transfers, expand its payments infrastructure, and provide faster, more transparent settlements to financial institutions worldwide. Ripple Intensifies Its Global Payments Playbook The Singapore regulatory upgrade extends the scope of Ripple’s Major Payment Institution (MPI) license, giving its subsidiary, Ripple Markets APAC Pte. Ltd., authority to operate a fully regulated, end-to-end payments platform. The license enables Ripple to handle fu…
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December 1st became a black day for the cryptocurrency market: at the start of the Asian trading session, Bitcoin sharply dropped below the $88,000 mark, erasing all weekly gains and sending the market into freefall. The price crash triggered a mass liquidation of leveraged positions amounting to around $400 million within just one hour. Thousands of traders worldwide suffered losses, particularly holders of long positions, which accounted for 90% of the liquidated bets. Causes of the collapse and consequences According to Bloomberg, during the Sunday crash (which has unofficially been dubbed this on crypto forums), Bitcoin lost up to 4.3% of its value, falling to $87,0…
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After yesterday's major sell-off, Bitcoin has dropped to around $84,000, and the market is currently undergoing a correction that could evolve into something more interesting, provided there is at least some solid fundamental reasoning behind it, which has been difficult to find lately. Meanwhile, the chief banking inspector of the Federal Reserve, Michelle Bowman, stated in an interview that she plans to establish new rules for banks and stablecoins to ensure healthy competition among Wall Street, fintech, and cryptocurrency companies. Bowman emphasized the need for a balanced approach that would not stifle innovation in the rapidly evolving fintech sector while ens…
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In another (bold) move towards institutional acceptance of digital assets (during an obviously turbulent phase), Goldman Sachs has announced a $2 billion acquisition of Innovator Capital Management. What does this move mean? It will essentially help the Wall Street giant expand its presence in the crypto ETF market. In a 1 December 2025 announcement, Goldman Sachs said that the acquisition will add $28 billion in assets under supervision (AUS) to Goldman Sachs Asset Management’s broad range of custom portfolio solutions and active ETF capabilities. The deal is expected to close in the second quarter of 2026. It will bring 159 ETFs into Goldman Sachs’ AUM. More importa…
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Arca CIO Jeff Dorman calls the current market slide “one of the strangest crypto sell-offs ever,” arguing that price action is increasingly disconnected from both macro conditions and sector fundamentals. Why The Crypto Sell-Off Is “Strange” In a post on X, Dorman notes that traditional risk assets are behaving exactly as textbooks would suggest: “equity, credit and gold/silver markets are launching to ATHs every month because the Fed is cutting rates, QT is ending, consumer spending is strong, record earnings, AI demand still incredibly strong.” Yet crypto continues to grind lower, even as most of the usual bearish narratives have been invalidated. “MSTR isn’t selling, …
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What to Know: Over 1M XRP payments in a single day show how strong on-chain activity can grow even when the token price moves sideways. Markets are shifting toward crypto assets that support clear, repeatable real-world actions – payments, gaming, and creator monetization – instead of pure hype. AI creator platforms keep running into the same problems: huge fees, random bans, clunky tools, and payments that change depending on your passport. SUBBD Token ($SUBBD) mixes Web3 payouts, token-gated content, and AI tools to cut fees for creators and give fans programmable ways to access and support content. More than 1M XRP payments between unique wallets in a single day …
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