Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12179 tópicos neste fórum
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, from the level of 1.1569 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving upward toward 1.1608 — a historical support level (light blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may possibly roll back downward toward 1.1593 — the 61.8% pullback level (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upwardFibonacci levels – upwardVolume – downwardCandlestick analysis – upwardTrend analysis – upwardBollinger Bands – upwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.1569 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may c…
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On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair formed a clear rebound from the 76.4% corrective level at 1.1517, reversed in favor of the euro, and rose toward the 61.8% corrective level at 1.1594. A rebound from the 61.8% level will work in favor of the US dollar and lead to a new decline toward 1.1517. Consolidation above 1.1594 will increase the likelihood of continued growth toward the resistance level of 1.1645–1.1656. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave did not break the peak of the previous one, and the last completed downward wave did not break the previous low. Thus, the trend remains bearish for now. The bulls have la…
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The prospect of peace regarding the Ukraine situation could significantly reduce geopolitical tensions worldwide. On this wave, the price of gold — which traditionally functions as a safe-haven asset — may resume falling. This decline may occur even despite the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision, which is expected to pressure the US dollar through a 0.25% interest rate cut. From a technical perspective, gold prices are still in a short-term uptrend and remain above the support level of 2150.50. A downward breakout of this level could lead to further declines. Technical picture and trading idea: The price is above the midline of the Bollinger Bands and above the S…
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Dogecoin started a steady increase above $0.150 against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might correct lower to $0.1480. DOGE price started a fresh increase above $0.1450 and $0.150. The price is trading above the $0.150 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $0.1490 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could aim for a fresh increase if it remains stable above $0.1480. Dogecoin Price Holds Gains Dogecoin price started a fresh increase after it settled above $0.1420, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE climbed above the $0.150 resistance to enter a positive zo…
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The Bitcoin price appears to be entering a new recovery phase, as the leading cryptocurrency recaptured the $91,000 level after falling by more than 30% from all-time highs last Friday, tumbling to an 8-month low of $80,000. Critical Bitcoin Price Range Technical analyst Daan Crypto Trades highlighted on social media site X (formerly Twitter) on Wednesday that the critical region for investors to monitor right now is between the $89,000 and $91,000 range. He observed that this price level acted as support in late 2024 and early 2025 before becoming a point of resistance during President Donald Trump’s recent tariff negotiations with the world’s top economies, including…
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The wave pattern for GBP/USD continues to indicate the formation of an upward trend segment (bottom illustration), but in recent weeks it has taken on a complex and extended form (top illustration). The trend segment that began on July 1 can be considered wave 4, or any major corrective wave, since it has a corrective rather than an impulsive internal wave structure. The same applies to its internal sub-waves. Therefore, despite the prolonged decline of the pound, I believe that the upward trend remains intact. The downward wave structure that began on September 17 has taken on a five-wave form a-b-c-d-e and may be complete. If this is indeed the case, then the instrument…
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Yesterday, stock indices closed with gains. The S&P 500 rose by 0.25%, while the Nasdaq 100 increased by 0.59%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average strengthened by 0.39%. On Wednesday, Asian indices traded within narrow ranges, reflecting Wall Street's dynamics as investors remained cautious ahead of the release of several key economic data points from the United States. The MSCI All Country World Index offset early gains of 0.3%, as Chinese stocks traded on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange showed their worst performance in recent times. European futures indicated a slightly positive market opening, while futures on the S&P 500 rose by 0.2%. Activity in the cryptocur…
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Overview: The US dollar is stabilizing most of the G10 currencies today after its recent losses. As the North American markets are set to open, the greenback is posting minor gains against the G10 currencies but the Japanese yen and Australian dollar. The news stream is light. The market has lifted the odds of a Bank of Japan rate hike later this month, while a jump in October household spending in Australia has sparked speculation in the futures market that the central bank will be hiking rates in a year. Most emerging market currencies are softer. In an unusual twist, the Indian rupee is the strongest after the central bank intervened, after it reached a record low. The…
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Citadel, an investment management firm, has asked the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to regulate decentralized finance (DeFi), the same way it does for traditional finance (TradFi). Naturally, this has caused backlash in the crypto community since the entire premise of DeFi is to be “other than” the traditional financial archetype, which is central in nature. Hayden Adams, CEO of Uniswap, a decentralized crypto exchange, minced no words in his accusations as he ripped into Citadel. In a post shared on X on 4 December 2025, Adams wrote that Citadel’s founder Ken Griffin “screwed over Constitution DAO” before “coming for DeFi, asking the SEC to treat software…
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The oil market has once again taken center stage: prices are rising, but this growth does not resemble the onset of a new commodities rally. Brent is consolidating around $63 per barrel, and WTI is near $59, with prices holding in a relatively narrow range. Meanwhile, the backdrop remains tense: on one hand, geopolitical risks are escalating, and concerns about supply disruptions are mounting; on the other hand, the fundamental picture indicates comfortable stock levels, high supply, and weak demand. As a result, the market is living in a state of constant balance: short-term news adds a "risk premium" to the price, while structural factors immediately counteract it. Anal…
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EUR/USD The euro continues following a corrective upward path. This morning, the price reached resistance at the MACD line. However, one obstacle stands in the way—the Marlin oscillator remains in negative territory, slowing the euro's ability to decisively break through this resistance. If the market waits for the oscillator to turn upward, the breakout above 1.1663 is more likely to occur tomorrow. Overall, we expect the euro to continue rising toward the target level of 1.1779. On the four-hour chart, the price has secured its position above both the balance line and the MACD. The Marlin oscillator is signaling a release of tension, which likely precedes a consolida…
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Macroeconomic Report Review: There are a few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Thursday. The most noteworthy will come from the United Kingdom, although even these are not expected to have a major impact. In roughly an hour, the UK will release data on industrial production and gross domestic product. However, the GDP figure will be monthly rather than quarterly. Markets tend to place more weight on quarterly and annual data. As for industrial production, it is not seen as a top-tier indicator among traders. Nevertheless, both reports could trigger a market reaction simply because no other significant data is scheduled for the day. In the Eurozone and the United St…
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Recently suffering a loss of 2.50% only six days ago, the Dow Jones 30 edges 0.22% in today’s session, erasing losses from Friday’s trading. Trading around ~$46,428, the Dow Jones now looks for support to continue the recent rally, albeit currently lagging behind its US equity counterparts. What’s next? zoom_out_map Dow Jones 30 (green), S&P 500 (blue) & Nasdaq-100 (yellow) OANDA, TradingView, 16/10/2025 Dow Jones …
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What to Know: $XRP is down 20% in the past month, but analysis reveals a path forward to $5. Ripple’s expansion in South Africa could bolster institutional adoption of $XRP. With 4 days left in the presale, $SNORT could follow $ XRP’s upward trend. Ripple’s $XRP hasn’t had a great month, dropping 20%. The downturn comes as the rest of the crypto market fares little better; Bitcoin currently trades near $110,000, down 10% for the week. But there’s every chance $XRP could drop further still, with one analyst seeing a plunge down to $2 even as major whales sell $XRP. So why be optimistic about $XRP’s chances? That’s because, despite the poor recent performance, techn…
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The price performance of Bitcoin over the past two weeks has been a major source of concern, as the coin’s value continues to drift away (about 15% down now) from its all-time high. As the flagship cryptocurrency slows down, the latest on-chain data suggests that a group of investors is exiting the market en masse. More Short-Term Holders Are Giving Up Their Holdings In an October 18 post on the X platform, on-chain analyst Darkfost revealed that a significant number of Bitcoin’s short-term investors have started to close their positions and realize their losses. Darkfost’s analysis was hinged on the Net Realized Profit/Loss metric, which tracks the net amount (in USD)…
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XRP price started a recovery wave above $2.40. The price is now facing resistance near $2.5350 and at risk of a fresh decline. XRP price is moving lower from the $2.5350 zone. The price is now trading above $2.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $2.420 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $2.5350 resistance. XRP Price Faces Resistance XRP price formed a base above $2.20 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price surpassed the $2.350 and $2.40 resistance levels. The bulls were able to push …
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[Natural Gas] – [Tuesday, October 21, 2025] Although there is the potential for a weakening correction with the appearance of Bearish Divergence in the RSI, the condition of the EMA(50) & EMA(200) which are Golden Crosses provides an opportunity to continue strengthening. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 3.620 2. Resistance. 1 : 3.520 3. Pivot : 3.329 4. Support. 1 : 3.229 5. Support. 2 : 3.038 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If #NG strengthens and breaks through and closes above 3.520, it may attempt to test 3.620. Momentum Extension Bias: If 3.620 is broken and closes above, Natural Gas could continue to 3.811. Invalidation Level / Bi…
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Bitcoin (BTC) started the week recovering 6% from Friday’s drop and attempting to reclaim a crucial area that could set the stage for a trend continuation. However, some analysts have advised caution as BTC’s next leg up could be delayed until December. Bitcoin To Move Sideways Until December? After the end-of-week market downturn, Bitcoin has bounced to the $110,000 level and is attempting to turn this area into support again. Notably, the flagship crypto has been trading within the $108,000-$120,000 price range since July. Last week, BTC recorded its second drop below the range lows, falling to the $103,500 mark on Friday. Over the weekend, the cryptocurrency’s price…
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Yesterday, US stock indices closed with gains. The S&P 500 rose by 1.07%, while the Nasdaq 100 added 1.37%. The industrial Dow Jones strengthened by 1.12%. Wall Street traders continue to buy stocks amid positive signals from corporate America and hopes for easing tensions between the world's two largest economies. The yield on 10-year Treasury bonds fell by three basis points to 3.98%. Gold prices surged. Optimism in the stock market is fueled not only by quarterly earnings reports exceeding expectations, but also by growing speculation over a possible resolution to trade disagreements. The easing of tensions between the United States and China provides significan…
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Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei Prints Fresh All-Time Highs Global stock markets continued to rally on Tuesday, with Asian shares and Japan's main index hitting new record highs, as trade tensions eased and investors grew confident about future interest rate cuts. The regional stock index for Asia surpassed its previous peak, and a global index is also poised for a new high. Japanese stocks soared, with the key Nikkei 225 Index closing 0.3% higher at an unprecedented 49,316.06. This rally was driven by the confirmation that pro-stimulus candidate Sanae Takaichi won a crucial parliamentary vote to become the next Prime Minister, which investors see as a signal for continued l…
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The Solana Dex ecosystem is heating up again, and not just from the West. As Solana Labs quietly builds Percolator, a next-gen decentralized perpetual exchange to rival Hyperliquid crypto and Aster dex, Justin Sun’s SunPerp is making bold moves in the East. Backed by TRON crypto and supported by a massive $200M trader recovery fund, SunPerp’s rapid multi-chain expansion and Chinese-market focus have turned it into the stealth player few saw coming. Together, these launches mark a new phase in the global battle for decentralized derivatives dominance, one that could define the future of on-chain leverage trading. …
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The 4-hour wave pattern for EUR/USD has changed — unfortunately, not for the better. It's still too early to conclude that the upward phase of the trend is over, but the latest decline in the euro has made it necessary to adjust the wave count. We now see a series of three-wave structures (a-b-c), which can be assumed to be part of the larger wave 4 within the broader uptrend. In this case, wave 4 has taken on an unnaturally extended form, but overall, the wave structure remains coherent. The upward trend continues to form, while the fundamental background still largely fails to support the U.S. dollar. The trade war launched by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation w…
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The broader crypto market is currently navigating a phase of uncertainty, with concerns mounting over the possibility of a new bear market. A recent analysis by Barchart analyst Rob Isbitts highlights three significant signals suggesting that a deeper retreat in crypto prices may be on the horizon. Emerging Correlations Among Crypto Prices The report points to notable trends observed in April of last year, when a 50% increase followed the launch of several spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs_. Specifically, BlackRock’s IBIT fund which boasts over $85 billion in assets under management, subsequently experienced a decline of approximately 25%. A similar pa…
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The GBP/USD currency pair once again traded lower on Wednesday, but this time with clear and valid reasons. Early in the session, the UK released an inflation report showing that the headline CPI for September remained unchanged, while core inflation even declined slightly. Though this drop was minimal, and the headline figure still exceeds the Bank of England's target by nearly twofold, the data likely served as a catalyst for the British pound's decline. Still, this conclusion is debatable. Let's explain why. With inflation holding at 3.8%, it's highly unlikely that the Bank of England is actively considering another rate cut. The fact that inflation has ceased rising d…
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Bitcoin is trading around $108,972, below the 21-SMA and below the 4/8 Murray pivot, undergoing a technical correction after reaching a high around $114,000. Bitcoin attempted to break out of the uptrend channel formed since early October. However, BTC encountered strong resistance at the top of this channel, which in turn coincided with the 200 EMA, a key level that acts as a barrier preventing the price from continuing upward. Technically, we could expect Bitcoin to fall below $110,000 and could reach the 6/8 Murray pivot around 106,250, and could even reach the psychological level of $100,000. On the other hand, if Bitcoin sharply breaks the downtrend channel and conso…
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