Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12178 tópicos neste fórum
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Global financial and technology markets have entered a phase of relative stability, yet beneath this calm surface lie forces that could significantly shape investor sentiment and asset performance in the months ahead. The volatility of the US dollar has dropped to lows not seen since before the 2024 elections, giving markets a brief respite. However, the Fed's dovish stance, the ongoing US government shutdown, and a pullback in precious metals all suggest that the global economy remains highly sensitive to monetary policy signals. Meanwhile, as traditional financial instruments settle down, the crypto market appears to be rebooting. Following a wave of liquidations, dig…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has been a source of concern for the crypto community lately. The reason for that is most likely the large declines in altcoin prices at a time when they are supposed to be ripping. Sentiment on CT (Crypto Twitter) has switched multiple times from bearish to bullish over the past couple of weeks. Follow along and discover what our Bitcoin Price Analysis reveals about market structure. According to NorthstarCharts we are still in a bullish trend on the long-term timeframe, and actually sitting on support. Fear and green index show more fear than bears would like. Although this indicator is not decisive on its own. It appears that we have just revisited the 20 …
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Bitcoin price is attempting to recover above $105,500. BTC could continue to move up if it clears the $107,000 resistance zone. Bitcoin started a decent recovery wave above the $105,000 support. The price is trading above $105,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $104,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it settles above the $107,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Key Resistance Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $102,000 support level and started a recovery wave. BTC recovered above the $103,500 and $104,200 resistance levels. The pair …
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Why is crypto up today? The answer lies partly in Washington. With the US government going back to the office, the crypto narrative is turning bullish once again. The Bitcoin price has surged past $ 106,000, altcoins are experiencing green double-digit gains, and traders are anticipating two significant developments. The restarting of federal operations after days of lockdown, and the announcement of potential $2,000 stimulus checks by Donald Trump. These signals are fueling renewed momentum in crypto prices across the board. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time …
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China’s export controls on certain critical minerals could reduce US GDP by more than $1 billion a year, even if America’s reliance on Chinese imports is not as strong as publicized, according to analysts at Macquarie Group. This estimate — a product of modelling by a team led by chief economist Ric Deverell — was based on Chinese export curbs placed on four rare earths (samarium, lutetium, terbium, dysprosium) plus gallium. All five appear on the US government’s recently updated list of critical minerals, which now has 60 items including copper and silver. In a report published on Tuesday, Deverell and his team outlined the degree of US dependence on foreign sour…
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Today, Wednesday, the NZD/USD pair attracted some buying interest. Prices are trading around 0.5650. Yesterday, the pair broke above the 100-hour SMA, indicating that the bulls attempted to stage a recovery. However, it encountered resistance at the 200-hour simple moving average (SMA) and has not yet managed to break through it, which supports the likelihood of a bearish outlook. Consequently, further weakness toward the intermediate support level of 0.5625 on the way to the round level of 0.5600 — a level last seen in April — appears likely. A sustained move below the latter level would make the NZD/USD pair vulnerable to an accelerated decline toward 0.5550, before pot…
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On Wednesday, the euro rose against the U.S. dollar, recovering previous losses as the dollar's rally slowed ahead of a key congressional vote to end the longest government shutdown in U.S. history. At the time of writing, the EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.1590, marking its sixth consecutive day of gains. Later on Wednesday, the House of Representatives is expected to vote on a bill that would resume federal government operations and restore budget funding. House Majority Leader Steve Scalise told CNBC that a decision is expected today. This follows Monday's vote in which both chambers expressed support for the bill, with the Senate passing it 60–40. This major step ha…
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Ripple’s Chief Technology Officer (CTO), David Schwartz, has provided a clear explanation for why the Bitcoin price remains so high, currently the most expensive cryptocurrency on the market. Notably, Schwartz’s statement had sparked new discussions across the crypto community. His remarks focused on how people view and use BTC in transactions, revealing a simple economic truth that helps explain the market’s continued confidence in the world’s leading cryptocurrency. Ripple CTO Explains Logic Behind Elevated Bitcoin Price On Tuesday, Schwartz shared his thoughts on X, offering a simple but insightful explanation for Bitcoin’s current price strength. Responding to a com…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for November 12 Traders came back from the November 11th Holiday and the Stock rotation came strong yet again. The Dow Jones pursued its strong rally higher, following European benchmarks, towards a new record close of 48,254 (+0.68%). Even on a lower scale than yesterday, tech stocks continued to see major outflows towards more traditional sectors such as Financials and healthcare – A new trend could be in its early beginnings. When looking at the renewed downmove in Cryptos, it really resembles like an aversion towards higher beta assets is at least forming. Metals however have shined bright in another remarkable …
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The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has transformed — unfortunately, not for the better. There is currently no reason to talk about the cancellation of the upward trend segment that began in January 2025, but the wave structure since July 1 has become much more complex and elongated. In my view, the instrument is in the process of forming corrective wave 4, which has taken on an irregular form. However, the most recent five-wave corrective structure suggests that the current phase of the instrument's decline may be coming to an end. The formation of the upward trend section continues, and the news background overall continues to favor anything but the dollar.…
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[Polkadot] With the RSI in the Neutral-Bearish zone and both EMAs forming a Death Cross, Polkadot is likely to weaken toward its nearest support level today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 3.1364 2. Resistance. 1 : 2.9587 3. Pivot : 2.8575 4. Support. 1 : 26798 5. Support. 2 : 2.5786 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of Polkadot breaks down and closes below 2.6798, it may continue its decline to 2.5786. Momentum Extension Bias: If 2.5786 is breached, Polkadot will test 2.4009. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is contained if Polkadot strengthens and breaks above 3.1364. Technical Summary: EMA(50) : 2.8938 EMA(200):…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Over the last few weeks, analysts have been predicting that the Bitcoin price could crash again after the initial October 10 crash. This is because of the weakening market trends that have shown that Bitcoin is still favoring a downtrend at this point. Crypto analyst Lixing_Gan on the TradingView website also shares this view, with the appearance of a descending trend pattern that suggests that the Bitcoin price is more likely to fall than rise. Bitcoin Price At Risk Of Major Crash Below $90,000 So far, the Bitcoin price has been able to maintain its hold above the psychological level of $100,000, despite bears briefly pushing the price below this level. It has been trad…
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Hour by hour, the situation grows more complicated. First, Donald Trump was raising tariffs; now the current US president is cutting them. Seeking to slow inflation, the White House plans to reduce import duties on food products from several Latin American countries. How should the US dollar react? If it has been falling since Independence Day, why wouldn't the USD Index rise now? Yet another puzzle for investors, who already have plenty to worry about on the Forex market as autumn draws to a close. The key question is: why is the US dollar weakening when the odds of a federal funds rate cut in December are falling? Normally, the opposite happens. Such derivative signals…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has transformed and, unfortunately, not for the better. There is no talk of cancelling the upward trend segment that began in January 2025, but the wave structure has become significantly more complex since July 1 and has taken on a more extended form. In my view, the pair is currently in the process of forming corrective wave 4, which has taken on a non-standard shape. However, the latest five-wave corrective structure suggests that the decline may be ending at this stage. The formation of the upward trend segment continues, and the news background mostly supports anything but the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
While the European currency, although still in a bullish cycle against the dollar, continues its correction, the Vice President of the European Central Bank, Luis de Guindos, stated that risks to financial stability remain high due to the unpredictable outlook for the global economy and trade. "Vulnerability remains elevated due to uncertainty about geoeconomic trends and the ultimate impact of tariffs in an unstable international environment," Guindos said in his speech in Frankfurt. In his address, he also emphasized that the ECB will closely monitor developments and is prepared to take necessary measures to ensure financial stability in the euro area. Special attentio…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Crypto’s main value proposition is that base networks are supposed to be online, all the time. Out of this ultra-high reliability, DeFi platforms, whether lending or decentralized exchanges, can function at any time of the day, all without censoring transactions, another big plus. True, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and mainnets powering some of the next 100X cryptos are reliable. Ethereum, Litecoin, Monero, and most legacy chains whose nodes and miners are decentralized have never “stopped” since launching. However, something happened last month. When AWS failed, Uniswap, MetaMask, and other top DeFi protocols also ceased connecting to the mainnet and offering services to thousa…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair continued trading within the horizontal channel of 1.3110–1.3186 on Tuesday. Today, a new rebound of quotes from the 161.8% retracement level at 1.3110 will work in favor of some growth toward the 127.2% Fibonacci level at 1.3186. A rebound from 1.3186 will favor a slight decline toward 1.3110. One can count on continued growth only after the quotes consolidate above the 1.3186 level. The wave situation remains "bearish." The new upward wave has not yet broken the previous peak, while the last downward wave (which formed over three weeks) broke the previous low. The fundamental backdrop in recent weeks has been negative for the U.S…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3103 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero mark, limiting the pair's bearish potential. The second test at 1.3103 coincided with the MACD being in the oversold area, prompting trade #2 to buy the pound, which resulted in a loss as the anticipated rise did not materialize. The appreciation of the dollar and the decline of the pound came after it became clear that many Federal Reserve officials consider it prudent to keep interest rates unchanged until the end of 2025. The minutes strengthened the dollar's position against other major currencies, as investor…
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Gold is trading at $4,077, rebounding after reaching key support around $4,040. This level coincided with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, plotted from the low of $3,996. Gold will likely continue its rise in the coming hours until it reaches $4,117. The instrument could even return to the 7/8 Murray located at $4,218. Today, the labor market report from the United States will be released, which could generate strong volatility in gold, so we must be very attentive to the development of the technical movement. Above $4,062, where 6/8 Murray is located, we could take long positions, with targets at $4,150 and $4,172. On the contrary, if there is consolidation below $4,065,…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is currently trading below $92,000, and the market is showing clear signs of exhaustion as selling pressure intensifies. Fear has pushed sentiment toward the bearish end of the spectrum, with many analysts now arguing that BTC may be entering a new bear market. The loss of key support levels and the rapid acceleration of downside volatility have only fueled these concerns, especially as short-term holders continue to capitulate at scale. However, not all perspectives are bearish. Some analysts believe that Bitcoin may be forming a local bottom, as the current correction resembles previous mid-cycle retracements seen during strong bull markets. They argue that th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The GBP/USD currency pair traded more actively on Thursday following macroeconomic data from across the Atlantic. In our discussions about the Non-Farm Payrolls and unemployment reports, we emphasize that the local macroeconomic events impact how the market reacts. However, in this article, we'll focus on more global factors. The data on unemployment and Non-Farm Payrolls, which the market had awaited for a month and a half, was released yesterday. However, we must immediately ask ourselves: what does it really change? It doesn't matter whether Non-Farm Payrolls increased or decreased, or if they exceeded forecasts— the Federal Reserve will not make monetary policy decisi…
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The Dogecoin price is back under pressure after sliding to the crucial $0.15 support zone, a level many traders say could determine whether the world’s biggest memecoin rebounds into December or sinks deeper before any recovery. Related Reading: Bitcoin To Suffer 40% Crash From All-Time High? Analyst Reveals ‘Final Target’ With volatility ripping through the crypto market, DOGE holders are anxiously watching what comes next. The drop follows a rough week for the entire sector, highlighted by Bitcoin sinking below $90,000. Dogecoin Price Struggles at $0.15 as Bears Dominate Dogecoin price dropped as low as $0.15 this week, reflecting a continued downtrend that has er…
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Market Review Thursday: 1H Chart of EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair traded slightly more actively on the fourth trading day of the week than in the previous three days, but only for about half an hour. Recall that reports were published in the United States yesterday that the market had been waiting for a long time and presumably did not want to resume active trading without. These reports are the NonFarm Payrolls and the unemployment rate. The data was supposed to be released in September, and we had already warned that no significant conclusions could be drawn from it because it was already outdated. However, we did expect a strong market reaction, especial…
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Bitcoin fell below $86,000 yesterday, and it still seems far from the limit. Ethereum also dropped to around $2,800 and shows no signs of a significant upward trend. Meanwhile, panic continues in the cryptocurrency market, which is only being exacerbated by active selling in the US stock market, and discussions about where the bottom of this cycle will be are increasing. Another liquidation of buyers totaling nearly $1 billion vividly characterizes the current market situation. The fact that Bitcoin will have difficulty returning to the $100,000 level indicates that the bullish cycle, which peaked in early autumn last year, is over. Many experts suggest the current decli…
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Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a slight rebound after reaching a near eight-month low of $87,500 on Wednesday. By Thursday, the leading crypto surged back toward $90,000. However, market expert Leshka warns that this brief increase may signal only the start of a new distribution phase for Bitcoin, as selling pressure continues to build. Possible Bottom Between $40,700 And $47,500 In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), Leshka assessed Bitcoin’s position on the weekly chart, identifying critical demand zones between $40,700 and $47,500 that could take shape throughout 2026. She suggested that these levels might represent the bottom for Bitcoin during the anticipated bear m…
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