Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The Canadian dollar continues to weaken against the U.S. dollar, with no notable fluctuations, largely due to a relatively steady decline in oil prices (yesterday, -1.50%). The Marlin oscillator has settled in positive territory and is poised to turn upward. A breakout above the resistance level of 1.3958 (the high from September 26) opens the way to the next target at 1.4060. The first sign of a potential alternative (bearish) scenario for the Canadian dollar would be a decline below the 1.3890 level (high from September 11 and yesterday's low). However, a more significant signal would be a break below the 1.3860 level, which would open the path toward 1.3810. On the …
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The SEC and CFTC have finally agreed on something: they need to work together. After years of clashing over who should regulate what in the crypto space, both agencies are now aiming for better coordination. They say the confusion around who’s in charge has gone on for too long and it’s time to bring some order to the chaos. A Joint Roundtable as Starting Point This fresh approach came out of a joint roundtable in Washington, where both sides sat down to talk openly about the mess. SEC Chair Paul Atkins said it’s no longer acceptable for each agency to go off and do its own thing. He pointed out how the lack of coordination causes delays, piles on costs, and makes l…
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Cardano (ADA) is trading around $0.78–$0.80, struggling beneath a strong resistance at $0.83–$0.85, where the 50/100/200-day EMAs converge. Prediction markets currently assign a 91%–95% chance of U.S. Cardano spot ETF approval, with dates tentatively set for late October 2025. This narrative has helped stabilize sentiment after September’s decline. Bulls believe institutional access could mirror BTC/ETH’s ETF strategy by increasing liquidity and expanding demand. However, options activity remains subdued, and recent long liquidations suggest traders are cautious about chasing gains before a clear breakout. If ADA closes above $0.85, potential upward targets are $0.87 (…
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Ethereum price started a recovery wave above $4,175. ETH is now consolidating and might aim for more gains if it clears the $4,240 resistance. Ethereum remained stable above $4,100 and started a recovery wave. The price is trading above $4,160 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $4,120 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $4,220 and $4,240. Ethereum Price Eyes Upside Break Ethereum price remained supported above the $4,050 level and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to recover above the $4,150 and $4,200…
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Wisconsin lawmakers have put forward a new bill that could make life a lot easier for people working in crypto. The proposal, called Assembly Bill 471, aims to remove the need for a money transmitter license for certain blockchain-related activities. It’s meant to give a little more freedom to developers, stakers, node operators, and others who help keep crypto networks running behind the scenes. What the Bill Actually Covers This bill would let people accept crypto payments, use self-hosted wallets, or run a node without needing a money transmitter license from the state. It also covers things like creating blockchain software or staking your own crypto. If passed, the …
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On Tuesday, the GBP/USD currency pair traded with minimal volatility once again. The looming threat of a U.S. government shutdown had virtually no impact on trader sentiment — but that may not be the real reason. More likely, the market simply isn't willing to take risks right now or open positions that it might seriously regret in a few days. This explains both the low trading activity and the muted volatility. The dollar's position remains as vulnerable as ever. The greenback fell like a stone in early 2025, even as both the European Central Bank and the Bank of England were cutting interest rates. Now, roles have reversed: the ECB and BoE are taking a wait-and-see appr…
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The EUR/USD currency pair once again traded calmly on the second trading day of the week. While there was a minor intraday upward bias on Monday, it remained weak, accompanied by low volatility. Now that it's October 1 — and there's a 95% chance the U.S. government will shut down along with all federal agencies — the dollar's reaction to negative news is surprisingly modest. In fact, we would say it isn't reacting at all. Is this justified? Of course not. Even without the shutdown threat, there are already plenty of solid reasons for the dollar to be falling. While the pair has undergone a correction over the last two weeks, the fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop has …
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Analysis The GBP/USD currency pair also traded in a "neither here nor there" fashion. While the euro at least attempted to establish some directional movement throughout the day, the British pound didn't offer even that. Nevertheless, the pound managed to remain above the 1.3420 level as well as above the Kijun-sen line of the Ichimoku indicator. Earlier, the price had broken through a descending trend line, indicating that the trend has shifted to being upward. All that's left now is for the upward movement to resume, with hopes that this week's macroeconomic backdrop won't spoil the technical picture. But it very well might. Yesterday's GDP report f…
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Analysis On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair traded in both directions without establishing a clear directional bias. A significant amount of macroeconomic data was released throughout the day, influencing market sentiment and causing the pair to fluctuate. Key reports included German inflation and unemployment data, as well as the U.S. JOLTS job openings report. Germany's annual inflation rate rose to 2.4%, exceeding forecasts, and unemployment remained unchanged at 6.3%. These can be viewed as relatively solid reports for the euro. Meanwhile, the JOLTs report showed 7.227 million job openings in August, nearly in line with expectations — making the data ne…
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Ripple is taking another bold step toward mainstream finance by extending the reach of its Interledger Protocol into the SWIFT network, regarded as the backbone of global payments. By enabling interoperability between two of the most influential payment ecosystems, Ripple is positioning XRP as a key player in the future of international money movement. Could XRP Become A Standard For Settlement? The strategy for mainstream adoption of the XRP Ledger (XRPL) and its native asset, XRP, is intricately linked to the Interledger Protocol (ILP). As highlighted by researcher SMQKE on X, Ripple’s approach is to become an essential part of the Society for Worldwide Interbank Finan…
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Bitcoin price started a recovery wave and traded above $114,200. BTC is now consolidating gains and facing hurdles near $114,750. Bitcoin started a fresh recovery wave above the $114,000 zone. The price is trading above $114,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a short-term bullish trend line forming with support at $113,300 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it clears the $114,750 zone. Bitcoin Price Eyes Upside Break Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $112,000 zone and started a recovery wave. BTC settled above the $113,200 resistance zone to start the current move. The bulls …
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Hedera’s HBAR declined about 1.6% for the day to hover near $0.211, but the overall outlook into “Uptober” remains positive. Momentum is supported by increasing ETF optimism, with new trust and ETF discussions bringing HBAR into the same conversation as large-cap altcoins, along with renewed engagement from SWIFT. Hedera Makes Global Partnerships Hedera representatives participated with SWIFT, Citi, and Germany’s Bundesbank on a Sibos panel to discuss digital-currency interoperability, highlighting Hedera’s role in real-world finance. Meanwhile, Wyoming’s Frontier Stablecoin pilot, which selects HBAR for low-cost, high-speed settlement, continues to validate Hedera’s …
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US- based Momentum Technologies announced Monday it has proven its ability to deliver commercial-quality battery materials at scale. The company said its demonstration unit in Carrollton, Texas has achieved commercial-grade purity and yield within the first year of the facility’s opening, marking a milestone in the company’s scale-up journey from pilot-scale operations to full commercial readiness. Momentum said its proprietary Membrane Solvent Extraction (MSX) technology represents the culmination of a systematic scale-up process that began with pilot-scale validation and has now been proven at demonstration scale. The company said it has consistently produ…
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On-chain data shows a Cardano whale has made a massive withdrawal from Coinbase, a sign that may be bullish for the ADA price. Cardano Whale Has Withdrawn Big From Coinbase According to data from cryptocurrency transaction tracker service Whale Alert, a large transfer has been spotted on the Cardano blockchain during the past day. The move in question involved the shifting of about 67.8 million ADA across the network, worth over $54.3 million at the time that the sender executed the transaction. Considering the significant scale of the transfer, it’s likely that a whale entity was responsible for it. Whales are big-money investors who carry large amounts in their walle…
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A fresh bout of tribal sparring over token valuations broke out on X after CoinRoutes founder Dave Weisberger asked why XRP trades at more than ten times the market value of Chainlink’s LINK despite Chainlink’s high-profile role in financial-market infrastructure. The exchange, which followed Swift’s announcement at Sibos that it will launch a blockchain-based ledger, quickly crystallized two very different theories of “value capture” in crypto: a native asset securing and settling an L1 network versus a utility token powering oracle middleware. Weisberger set the stage with a direct challenge to the XRP community: “Can someone from the XRP army (@xrpmickle) explain how …
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Bitcoin (BTC USD) price closed September near $113,400, slipping from an intraday high of $114,842 as trading wrapped up on September 30. The late-month pause came as gold pushed to fresh all-time highs, renewing debate over whether Bitcoin might follow bullion’s lead into Q4. Gold’s surge set the tone for the close. As per Reuters report, Spot XAU/USD touched roughly $3,871 per ounce on Sept. 30, lifted by US government shutdown concerns and expectations that the Federal Reserve may lean toward policy easing. Market watchers say a softer yield backdrop could support risk assets, including Bitcoin, in the weeks ahead. DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 CME Gap at…
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Most Read: Taking a step back – key long-term market charts and levels AUD/USD has risen 0.6% from its Tuesday low of 0.6572 as the US Dollar continued its slide. The Dollar struggle is partly linked to a potential US Government shutdown with Congress needing to agree to temporary funding before 04h00 GMT on Wednesday. RBA Rate Hold Boosts Aussie Dollar The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided to keep its main interest rate, known as the cash rate, unchanged at 3.6%. This decision was expected by the markets and indicates a more cautious approach by the central bank. This careful stance is due to concerns that overall inflation is starting to creep up toward the top…
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The Japanese yen continues to gain intraday strength. Despite mixed views expressed by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) in its recently released Summary of Opinions, investors appear convinced that the central bank is leaning toward a path of monetary policy normalization. This perception is helping to offset weak domestic indicators such as industrial production and retail sales, lending additional support to the yen. Rising geopolitical tensions and fears of a potential U.S. government shutdown also contribute to the yen's demand as a safe-haven currency. The Bank of Japan's tone remains notably hawkish, standing in contrast to growing market expectations that the U.S. Federal R…
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How will the dollar react to the shutdown? So far, the market isn't jumping the gun—it's not rushing ahead of the train. However, economists have reviewed historical price data and found that during the last three government shutdowns, the dollar has inevitably declined. The decline didn't start immediately—it kicked in over time and even continued after the shutdowns ended. In simpler terms, a shutdown is like a time-delayed landmine for the U.S. dollar. Take the previous shutdown, for example, which ironically happened under Trump's first term in 2018–2019. It was the longest government shutdown in U.S. history, lasting 35 days. During that time, the dollar lost about 2…
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Since everything Trump does is "Great," the shutdown will likely be Great as well — albeit with a negative side. This time, Trump has decided not to simply send federal workers home while he and his team attempt to negotiate with the Democrats. Instead, he's opted for a more dramatic move: to fire government employees — and blame the Democrats for it. It may look and sound absurd, but let's not forget that Trump is a gambler. And gamblers love to bluff. I believe this is just that — a bluff — and no one is actually going to be fired. However, Trump will play this card as a trump (no pun intended) in his standoff with the Democrats. Without a doubt, he will announce loudly…
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As soon as Wednesday, October 1, the U.S. government and all federal institutions may go on leave. No, this isn't the start of vacation season. This is Donald Trump, once again, failing to reach an agreement with the Democrats — and lacking the political leverage to bypass the opposition. This time, U.S. legislation stands in Trump's way: the law requires 60 votes in the Senate to pass the budget for the next fiscal year. Whether Trump forgot about this or anticipated it and prepared accordingly is unclear. Most likely, it's the latter. Either way, whether he forgot or not doesn't really matter. What matters is the shutdown, which could become the first in the past six ye…
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The second estimate of UK GDP confirmed 0.3% growth for Q2, but the composition of growth reveals a troubling trend—stagnant consumer spending was offset by increases in government expenditures and a widening current account deficit. Expectations of accelerated GDP growth in Q3 remain low, as the composite PMI index fell in September to a four-month low of 51 points. The manufacturing PMI hit a five-month low and remained firmly in contraction territory. Structural problems are building in the UK economy and are increasingly impacting its resilience. Public borrowing in August significantly exceeded forecasts, with the budget deficit rising to £18 billion—a five-year…
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XRP is showing signs of strength as it holds above key support levels, but the road to a breakout remains far from clear. While momentum off the trendline brings optimism, bearish divergences on higher timeframes are raising caution. Bearish Divergence Signals Market Caution CasiTrades, in a recent update, noted that XRP has managed to show some momentum after bouncing off the black trendline highlighted last week. The respect of this level is encouraging, but the market is not out of danger just yet. Its price still faces the critical $3 resistance, which remains the key hurdle to confirm the start of a new bullish trend. Until that level is broken, downside risks rema…
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Dogecoin has yet to deliver the kind of rally many expect in the current market cycle, but one analyst believes that is only a matter of time. Posting on the social platform X, the analyst with the handle @EtherNasyonaL described a parabolic run for Dogecoin as inevitable, pointing to recurring chart structures that preceded Dogecoin’s explosive rallies in 2017 and 2021. Dogecoin’s price movement in this cycle has largely been characterized by short-lived bursts of momentum followed by lengthy stretches of sideways consolidation or gradual retracements. Yet, there is a strong conviction among the most bullish Dogecoin proponents that the true rally for this cycle has no…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for September 30 Today continue yesterday's geopolitical narratives with the US Government shutdown odds increasing (it seems that democrats wouldn't want to sign an extension) and Arab nations pushing for Hamas to accept the Gaza deal. About the first theme, a movement is happening with the Trump administration to remove a huge number of federal workers in an attempt to reduce costs and bureaucratic inefficiencies – There is a breach in the Government budget. The one issue is that it would be the people whose jobs are on the line that are required to prevent a shutdown. There are some intricacies to this theme but o…
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