Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11894 tópicos neste fórum
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The Cardano weekly chart is still looking strongly bullish according to independent technician Charting Guy (@ChartingGuy on X) who resurfaced his long-running Fibonacci roadmap and channel study. Can Cardano Top $6 This Cycle? His latest post on X on October 26 noted that “ADA is fine as long as uptrend holds,” a view that is anchored in a multi-year rising channel that has contained price action since the 2018–2019 base. The channel features a lower rail now passing through roughly the $0.33–$0.35 area, a midline that has behaved as a recurring pivot since 2020, and overhead parallels that intersect with Fibonacci extension targets later in the cycle. The chart histo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Review of Macroeconomic Reports: One macroeconomic report is scheduled for Tuesday. Germany will release the consumer confidence index from GfK, which holds roughly the same value for traders as yesterday's business climate report. In recent weeks, the market has been ignoring factors related to the global fundamental backdrop and much more significant macroeconomic reports. Therefore, the consumer confidence index is unlikely to provoke any market reaction. The calendars for the UK, Eurozone, and the U.S. are empty today. Review of Fundamental Events: No fundamental events are scheduled for Tuesday either. This week, the European Central Bank and the Feder…
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Dogecoin struggled to rise above $0.210 and corrected some gains against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might decline below $0.1980. DOGE price started a fresh downside correction below $0.2035. The price is trading below the $0.20 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break below a contracting triangle with support at $0.20 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could aim for a fresh increase if it remains stable above $0.1940. Dogecoin Price Starts Another Pullback Dogecoin price started a fresh increase after it settled above $0.1920, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE climbed above the $0.20 re…
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Data shows the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index has surged back into the neutral zone after the recovery rally in the cryptocurrency’s price. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Now Has A Value Of 51 The “Fear & Greed Index” refers to an indicator created by Alternative that measures the average sentiment present among traders in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency markets. The metric uses the data of the following five factors to determine the investor mentality: trading volume, market cap dominance, volatility, social media sentiment, and Google Trends. The index uses a numerical scale running from zero to hundred for representing this sentiment. All values above 53 cor…
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Althea crypto is rapidly gaining attention in the DeFi and telecom spaces, as its native token is seeing significant upside amid the renewed interest of altcoin season and FOMO-driven narratives. With the ALTHEA price reportedly climbing by over 190% in the past seven days, the project is positioning itself as a decentralized alternative to traditional internet infrastructure, challenging the dominance of players such as Starlink. But what exactly underpins this surge, and can Althea truly disrupt conventional telecom models? (Source – Coingecko) What is Althea Crypto and How Does It Work? Althea is a permissionless blockchain platform built on the hybrid EVM/Cosmos-…
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The U.S. dollar continued to lose ground against the euro, British pound, Japanese yen, and other risk assets. The lack of U.S. statistics affected the U.S. dollar, and the upcoming FOMC meeting intensified the reluctance to open new long positions. In recent weeks, traders have shown noticeable caution regarding the dollar, awaiting signals from the Federal Reserve regarding future monetary policy. The uncertainty surrounding inflation rates and economic growth prospects in the U.S. creates a basis for a more accommodative policy, which is impacting the U.S. dollar. The Euro, conversely, demonstrates relative resilience despite ongoing economic challenges in the Eurozone…
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The stock market has found reasons for optimism, from corporate earnings and merger deals to the de-escalation of trade conflicts and expectations of a federal funds rate reduction. After a brief consolidation, the S&P 500 has resumed the practice of reaching record highs on a daily basis and is currently approaching the previously indicated level of 6,920. Approximately 86% of reporting companies exceeded profit forecasts, while 69% surpassed revenue expectations. This latter figure is the highest since 2021. The deviation of actual data from estimates is 2.4%, significantly higher than the historical average of 0.5%. The financial results of American corporations d…
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After breaching a significant resistance level around $116,400, Bitcoin retraced to $114,000, with further upside potential. Ethereum also corrected, but it remained above $4,000, which is quite favorable. While the cryptocurrency market surges ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision to lower interest rates, a Swiss legislator announced that the country is working to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve. This unexpected development signals a growing recognition of digital assets not just as speculative tools but also as potential elements of national financial security. Switzerland, traditionally known for its conservative financial policy, has always been cautious abou…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the Euro CurrencyThe tests of the levels I indicated in the second half of the day did not take place, so I was left without trades. The absence of U.S. reports due to the shutdown, which is approaching its monthly mark, negatively affected the U.S. dollar's position. Given that today marks the start of the Federal Reserve meeting, this factor discourages traders from making active dollar purchases—especially amid the recent dovish rhetoric from committee members. The geopolitical situation also plays a role, particularly the ongoing trade conflict between the U.S. and China, which may de-escalate after the upcoming meeting between X…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British PoundThe first test of the price at 1.3328 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly down from the zero mark, which limited the downside potential of the pair. The second test of 1.3328 shortly thereafter took place while the MACD was in the oversold area, allowing scenario No. 2 for buying the pound to be realized. As a result, the pair only rose by 10 pips. There is no fundamental data for the UK today, so the pound has every chance to continue its correction. The absence of macroeconomic data generally provides currencies with maneuverability, allowing them to move under the influence of technica…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the Japanese YenThe first test of the price at 152.71 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly down from the zero mark, limiting the downside potential of the pair. The second test of 152.71 took place shortly thereafter while the MACD was in the oversold area, allowing scenario No. 2 for buying the dollar to be realized. As a result, the pair only increased by 40 pips. Demand for the yen returned today after Japan's core consumer price index rose to 2.1% in October, up from 2.0% recorded in September. This suggests the central bank may return to a more hawkish stance on interest rate increases in the near fut…
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Despite facing criticism for lagging behind the United States in creating a more accommodating environment for cryptocurrency growth and adoption, China reaffirmed its stringent stance on crypto once again this week. Authorities issued warnings about the alleged risks posed by stablecoins, particularly amid concerns that the US may have solidified its dollar dominance through these digital assets. US GENIUS Act Vs. China’s Crypto Caution According to local media reports, Pan Gongsheng, governor of the People’s Bank of China, announced plans to expand the use of the country’s central bank digital currency (CBDC), known as the “e-CNY.” He remarked, “[Stablecoins] are s…
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Today, the crypto market feels a déjà vu as the markets are getting some excitement again with so much bullish news. However, not every coin is smiling as Solana ETF launch is stealing the news spotlight. All while Bitcoin and Ethereum price look slightly shaky after an energetic week. This early Monday data puts Bitcoin price near $113,800, down 1.5% on the day. Ethereum follows with a 3.5% drop in price to $4,080. Solana, although experiencing the same drop, is taking all the attention. The upcoming Solana ETF from Bitwise is everywhere in most major crypto news today. With the current crypto drop, the total crypto market cap is now creeping just below $4 trillion, a…
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Last Friday, US stock indices closed with gains. The S&P 500 rose by 1.23%, while the Nasdaq 100 strengthened by 1.86%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.71%. After reaching new historical highs, US stock indices paused their record growth during Asian trading. Investors are awaiting a new influx of earnings data from large-cap technology companies and political statements from major central banks. Asian indices fell by 0.4%, and futures for European stock indices predict a weaker opening. Many market participants are also betting on a resolution to the trade conflict between the United States and China. The easing of trade tensions contributed to yesterday'…
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Gold continues to trade just below the $ 4,000-per-ounce mark after a sharp sell-off at the beginning of this week, as progress in trade negotiations between the U.S. and China undermined demand for safe-haven assets. This level is also psychologically important; a breach below it could trigger further selling, as short-term traders are likely to close their long positions, adding fuel to the bearish trend. However, despite the current price weakness, the fundamental factors supporting gold demand remain significant. Geopolitical tensions, rising concerns about global economic growth, and ongoing uncertainty about central banks' future monetary policy remain supportive f…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1).On Tuesday, the market, starting from the level of 1.1644 (yesterday's daily candle close), may continue moving upward toward the target of 1.1686 — the 38.2% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may pull back downward to test the support line at 1.1668 (thick red line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Volume – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: Upward trend. Alternative scenario:From the level of 1.1644 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may continue moving upward towa…
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Multiple crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are set to launch this week despite the government shutdown, with investment products based on Solana (SOL), Litecoin (LTC), and Hedera (HBAR) seemingly ready to start trading as soon as Tuesday. Big Week For Crypto ETFs On Sunday night, Nate Geraci affirmed that the next two weeks will be key for the long-awaited spot crypto-based ETFs as Solana, XRP, LTC, and other ETF filings are “all lined up & ready for launch.” Similarly, Bitwise CEO, Hunter Horsley, hinted that this week would be a “Big week,” suggesting progress related to its Solana Staking ETF. It’s worth noting that the crypto community has been awaiting the U…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1).On Tuesday, the market, starting from the level of 1.3333 (yesterday's daily candle close), may continue moving upward toward the target of 1.3389 — the 85.4% retracement level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may begin moving downward toward 1.3363 — the 61.8% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Volume – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: Upward trend. Alternative scenario:From the level of 1.3333 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may continue mov…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Following yesterday's significant rise in Bitcoin and Ethereum, which marked the largest gains in recent weeks, there has been a notable correction that highlights the challenging situation in which market participants revise their portfolios and sentiment. According to SoSoValue, recent days have seen mixed inflows and outflows in spot BTC and ETH ETFs, indicating volatility that reflects the uncertainty hanging over the cryptocurrency market ahead of an important policy meeting of the Federal Reserve. This volatility is also indicative of the market's dependence on macroeconomic data, which have been somewhat lacking lately. Investors are exercising caution, closel…
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It is anticipated that following a two-day policy meeting, the Federal Reserve will implement a second consecutive rate cut to prop up the unstable labor market. However, any attempts to extend the monetary easing cycle beyond October may encounter new resistance from a group of officials who remain concerned about inflation. The absence of economic data over the past month due to the government shutdown creates an ambiguous picture. On the one hand, previous indicators do not show a significant slowdown in GDP growth. On the other hand, there is a noticeable decline in employment indicators, suggesting the need for stimulus measures. Inflationary pressure, while mode…
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The crypto market, despite experiencing throughout the year major price fluctuations, security incidents, and legal hurdles, has experienced remarkable growth. This can be attributed to the expansion of digital asset treasuries (DATs), increased institutional adoption, and new initiatives aimed at integrating digital assets, particularly stablecoins, into traditional financial sectors. Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) recently shared their projections for the crypto landscape for the remainder of the year and years to come, highlighting nine key trends expected to be major catalysts for the industry. Key Legislative Changes And Institutional Adoption Firstly, market struct…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Monday rebounded from the 23.6% Fibonacci level at 1.3313, turned in favor of the pound, and rose, closing above the resistance level of 1.3354–1.3357. Thus, the upward movement may continue toward the next 50.0% Fibonacci level at 1.3387. A consolidation of quotes below the 1.3354–1.3357 level would favor the U.S. currency and lead to a slight decline toward the 23.6% corrective level at 1.3313. The wave situation remains "bullish." The last completed upward wave broke the previous high, while the last downward wave did not break the previous low. The information background in recent weeks has been negative for the U.S. dollar,…
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On Monday, the EUR/USD pair consolidated above the resistance level of 1.1645–1.1656, which allows us to expect further growth toward the next corrective level of 38.2% – 1.1718. I remind you that the weekly decline of the European currency did not cancel the bullish trend, so buying remains preferable to selling for me. However, a consolidation of quotes below the 1.1645–1.1656 level would favor the U.S. dollar and trigger a new decline toward the 61.8% corrective level at 1.1594. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last upward wave broke above the previous wave's peak, while the last downward wave did not break the previous low. Thus,…
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The crypto market is slightly lower today as investors wait for the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision this Wednesday. The total market cap has fallen 1.5% to $3.86 trillion, while .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-tre…
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Overview: The dollar is mixed against the G10 currencies today. Fanned by Japanese official caution about exchange rate developments, and perhaps what seems like a successful between President Trump and Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi, the dollar is snapping a seven-day advance against the yen. The dollar bloc and sterling are under-performing, while the roughly 1.75% drop in crude prices, the third consecutive declining session, put the Norwegian krone at the bottom of the G10 today. Emerging market currencies are mixed. And despite the stronger yuan, and the PBOC setting the dollar's reference rate at a new one-year low, Asia Pacific currencies were mixed. Equities ar…
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