Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Bitcoin is approaching a decisive inflection in its four-year cycle, with a euphoric “blowoff” advance likely to begin within days—or the market having already printed its peak at month 33—according to cycle analyst Bob Loukas. In a video published on September 24, 2025, Loukas told viewers he remains “heavily” inclined toward an imminent upside resolution into a cycle high during Q4, while outlining the risk markers that would instead confirm the top is already in. Bitcoin Blowoff Top Imminent Or Already In Loukas framed the present as the late stage of Bitcoin’s rising phase, noting that the advance from the bear-market low has been “a pretty consistent uptrend marked …
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The world’s leading cryptocurrency has demonstrated notable resilience in a week marked by geopolitical tensions and choppy risk sentiment. While traditional risk assets experienced volatile swings—gapping both higher and lower as headlines on the Israel-Iran conflict evolved—Bitcoin held its ground. A key signal of market resilience often comes at moments of maximum fear, when price action resists breaking key levels despite worsening headlines. That was precisely the case for Bitcoin. After peaking at a new all-time high of $112,030 in May, BTC pulled back, retesting the psychological $100,000 level. During the weekend escalation—when the US launched strikes on Irania…
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Bitcoin’s core promise of decentralization is facing a major test. Two pools now control a majority share of the network’s hashrate. This level of concentration challenges the very foundation of Bitcoin’s decentralized ethos. In an X post, Jacob King, the CEO of WhaleWire, stated that two mining pools now control more than 51% of the Bitcoin network’s computing power. He warns that the stage is set for a potential 51% attack, which could completely undermine the BTC security model and trigger catastrophic fallout across the crypto ecosystem. What This Means For Bitcoin’s Future Stability For context, the last time this occurred was in 2014 with mining pool GHash.io. The…
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Following a slight slump yesterday from its recent highs, Bitcoin (BTC) is now trading in the low $120,000 range. Meanwhile, BTC’s miner correlation has undergone a significant shift over the past few months, indicating a clear change in market dynamics between miner behavior and price direction. Bitcoin Miner Correlation Turns Negative According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, fresh data from Binance shows that Bitcoin price and miner flows to the crypto exchange have undergone a significant shift in recent months. Specifically, the 30-Day Rolling Correlation indicator has tumbled to its lowest level since March 2025. On October 3, this indi…
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Bitcoin (BTC) showed resilience over the last weekend as it defended the crucial $108,000 support level amid heightened whale selling on leading crypto exchanges around the world, including Binance. Bitcoin Survives September Whale Selling Pressure According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, September was marked by clear fluctuations between Bitcoin’s attempts to rally and exposure to selling pressure by whales and long-term holders. Binance trading volume data confirms this. Arab Chain highlighted Binance’s Exchange Inflow Coins Days Destroyed (CDD) indicator, which showed significant volatility throughout September. The indicator recorded mul…
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On-chain data shows the exchanges recently received a large amount of Bitcoin inflows, but so far, the asset’s price has only been going up. Bitcoin Has Seen A Spike In Exchange Inflows Recently In a new post on X, the institutional DeFi solutions provider Sentora (formerly IntoTheBlock) has talked about the latest trend in the Exchange Netflow for Bitcoin. The Exchange Netflow is an on-chain indicator that keeps track of the net amount of the asset that’s moving into or out of the wallets associated with all centralized exchanges. When the value of this metric is positive, it means the exchange inflows outweigh the exchange outflows. As one of the main reasons why inve…
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Crypto seems to thrive on chaos, defying everyone’s expectations. Just when many thought the bull run was over, BTC USD staged a stunning comeback. Trading above $120,000 at press time, the Bitcoin price has reclaimed its July 2025 highs and hit a two-month peak. Bulls are firmly in control and appear determined to push BTC USDT even higher today. On Coingecko, the surge isn’t limited to Bitcoin. Some of the best cryptos to buy are trending higher, lifting the total market cap above $4.1T. Presently, Bitcoin commands over +56% of the total market share. Meanwhile, Ethereum, in second place, has slipped, controlling just +12% of the total market cap. (Source: Coingecko…
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Bitcoin’s (BTC) recent volatility has unsettled investors, as the largest cryptocurrency by market cap slid by more than five percent over the last two weeks. However, two key on-chain factors indicate that the BTC market structure is largely resilient. Bitcoin Remains Strong Despite Volatility According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor XWIN Research Japan, two important on-chain indicators suggest that despite the recent slump in price, the overall market structure remains strong for the flagship cryptocurrency. The first is Bitcoin’s Delta Cap – a long-term valuation model derived from the difference between Realized Cap and Average Cap – that has histo…
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Bitcoin continues to consolidate between $115,000 and $120,000, with bulls maintaining control despite the lack of a breakout above $123,000. What stands out in this range-bound structure is the clear demand concentration around $117,000. According to Glassnode’s BTC Cost Basis Distribution Heatmap, this level has consistently attracted buying interest, acting as a key area where capital rotates into Bitcoin. The heatmap reveals dense clusters of cost basis activity near key price levels. This reinforces its role as short-term support and a psychological anchor for bulls. As long as this zone holds, the risk of a full breakdown remains limited—even as BTC struggles to r…
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Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing a period of stability after its recent upward climb, currently trading around $118,502, marking a slight daily decline of about 0.3%. Despite approaching the notable resistance level at $120,000, the leading cryptocurrency has shown little indication of breaking through decisively. This quiet trading environment has drawn the attention of analysts, prompting a detailed examination of the current market sentiment and investor behavior patterns. A recent report by Arab Chain, an analyst at CryptoQuant, suggests there is waning interest among US investors at Bitcoin’s current price level. Declining Demand from US Investors Utilizing the Coin…
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Bitcoin is trading just above the $112,000 level after breaking down from a consolidation range that held for over two weeks. The sharp decline sparked concerns among investors, particularly among Short-Term Holders (STH), who now face the difficult choice of realizing losses or holding underwater positions. However, top analyst Darkfost shared key insights suggesting that Bitcoin’s underlying demand remains robust, despite the price volatility. According to Darkfost, the Apparent Demand metric—comparing new BTC issuance to over one-year inactive supply—indicates that the market is still absorbing supply effectively. The ratio has stayed in positive territory, signaling…
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Earlier today, Bitcoin (BTC) briefly fell below $115,000 – hitting a low of $114,116 – triggering panic selling across major crypto exchanges, including Binance. Sharp shifts in several key metrics, such as open interest and net taker volume, confirm the intensity of the sell-off. Bitcoin Decline Wipes Out $500 Million In Open Interest According to a Quicktake post on CryptoQuant by contributor Amr Taha, BTC’s drop below $115,000 led to a sharp decline in open interest on Binance, which fell from $14 billion to under $13.5 billion. The following chart shows Binance open interest declining by nearly 4% in a single day – a move typically associated with liquidation event…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to hover near its all-time high (ATH) of $111,814, signs of a reset in the derivatives market are emerging. One such indicator is the Binance Liquidation Delta, which is showing a consistent pattern of large-scale long position liquidations. Bitcoin Late-Long Positions Get Wiped Out According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by analyst Amr Taha, Binance’s BTC derivatives market is currently experiencing a significant reset. The Binance Liquidation Delta reveals that liquidations of long positions, sometimes exceeding $40 million, are repeatedly disrupting the market. For the uninitiated, the Binance Liquidation Delta measures the diffe…
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Bitcoin is now back trading above $115,000, but the recovery comes with a shadow that cannot be ignored. A new gap opened on the CME Bitcoin futures chart, and while the spot market has pushed higher since then, the presence of this gap opens up a bearish scenario. These gaps have a history of pulling Bitcoin back down to fill them, and the most recent one opens up questions about how long the current bullish momentum can last. Bitcoin Opens Up Huge CME Gap Crypto analyst Daan Crypto noted on the social media platform X how Bitcoin opened the week with a huge CME gap that has continued higher since the futures open. This gap is important, as it has been a while since Bit…
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On-chain data shows all Bitcoin investor cohorts have pivoted to distribution recently, an indication that a shift in market mood has occurred. Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score Has Turned Red For All Holders In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Accumulation Trend Score of Bitcoin for the various investor cohorts. The Accumulation Trend Score measures, as its name suggests, the degree of accumulation or distribution that BTC holders are participating in. The indicator uses two factors to calculate the score: the balance changes happening in the wallets of the investors and the size of the wallets involved. This m…
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Bitcoin has officially entered a new chapter in its bull market, surging to fresh all-time highs near $118,800 after weeks of tight consolidation. This decisive breakout marks a pivotal shift in momentum, with analysts pointing to a potential explosive leg higher as bullish sentiment returns. The move above previous highs has not only reignited interest in BTC but also fueled optimism across the broader crypto market. One of the most telling indicators of the current cycle’s strength is Bitcoin Dominance. According to top analyst On-Chain Mind, BTC dominance has climbed to 65% since the beginning of this bull market. This sharp increase highlights a clear preference amo…
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The cryptocurrency market, a landscape famed for its volatility and rapid innovation, operates on a rhythm dictated by the dominance of Bitcoin and the subsequent explosion of Altcoins. This pattern is proof that the market still moves to BTC’s beat, positioning it as the unseen conductor of this vast digital sector. How Bitcoin Dominance Peaks Before Altcoin Euphoria In an X post, Swissblock has mentioned that the Bitcoin and Altcoin cycle continues to indicate that the crypto market remains firmly anchored to BTC dominance. Despite the rise of narratives and market behavior, the market is now approaching the full BTC season zone, a phase where capital seeks safety and …
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Bitcoin’s price is holding firm despite growing chatter about the end of its market dominance. However, analysts are turning their attention not to Bitcoin’s price but to its waning market share as signs that altcoins may finally be ready to take center stage in what could become a full-blown altcoin season. A post on X has highlighted a specific breakdown structure in BTC dominance, which is linked to nine factors indicating that the altcoin season has begun. Technical Factors Showing Fall Of Bitcoin Dominance According to the analyst, Bitcoin dominance reached a peak of exactly 66% on June 27, 2025, a date he calls significant for its esoteric code 434 and its occurren…
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The Bitcoin dominance has hit a new cycle high, providing a bearish outlook for altcoins and any potential altcoin season. Crypto analyst Finsends has commented on this development and how it could affect the altcoin season moving forward. What’s Next As Bitcoin Dominance Hits New High? In an X post, Finsends stated that the Bitcoin dominance has made a new high and that it feels like it can never go down again. However, he opined that there should be a bigger correction starting somewhere around the current levels. The analyst added that the potential target area for a top in this scenario goes up to 68.56%. His accompanying chart showed that the Bitcoin dominance co…
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Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) has hit a critical turning point after getting sharply rejected from a TSDT resistance level that previously marked the start of a massive altcoin season. As the market reacts to this technical signal, analysts are closely watching for signs that a new altcoin season could be underway—one that could potentially mirror the explosive shift seen in 2021. Bitcoin Dominance Chart Signals Repeat Of 2021 Altcoin Season A new crypto analysis by market expert Tony Severino, posted on X social media on July 15, reveals that Bitcoin Dominance has once again faced a sharp rejection from the crucial TSDT resistance area near 65%. This level represents a tec…
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Is Bitcoin about to steal the spotlight again? As the FOMC meeting looms, investors are fleeing risky altcoins and piling into the king of crypto. Bitcoin dominance just climbed past 59%, its highest level in months, as traders brace for what could be another rate cut in November. With the crypto market turning cautious, coins like MYX, ASTER, and LINEA are being hammered in what appears to be a textbook de-risking move. Crypto Fear and Greed Chart All time 1y 1m 1w 24h The big question now: is this the calm before a massive a…
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Bitcoin briefly pushed into the $108,800 level a few hours ago but was once again unable to reclaim higher prices, reinforcing the key resistance just below its all-time high. This rejection has left the market in a state of caution, with investors expecting increased volatility in the coming sessions. As BTC continues to hover below the $109,300 mark, traders are watching closely for signs of either a confirmed breakout or a potential pullback. Adding a new layer to the current setup, top analyst Ted Pillows shared a notable development in Bitcoin dominance. According to Pillows, the Bitcoin Dominance chart is now showing a daily bearish divergence—a classic signal tha…
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Prominent market analyst Egrag Crypto is predicting an altseason of substantial magnitude following recent developments on the Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) chart. This latest technical commentary adds to the continuous list of speculations on the time and fashion of a rather peculiar and highly anticipated altseason. Here Comes The Mother Of All Altseasons – Analyst The nature of any potential altseason in the present market cycle has been a consistent debate over the past few months. While some analysts initially hinted at zero possibility of an altcoin market run, citing their increased volume over the past four years, others resisted this notion, rather pushing an idea …
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Bitcoin briefly slid to $98,974 late on Sunday after US airstrikes targeted Iranian nuclear facilities. That was its weakest point since early May. But by Monday morning in Asia, the leading cryptocurrency topped $101,000 again. Traders are weighing whether this was just a hiccup or the start of a fresh trend. Arthur Hayes Sees Temporary Weakness According to Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, the fall is only a short pause. On X, he wrote that “weakness shall pass” and predicted Bitcoin will “leave no doubt as to its safe haven status.” He said fresh money printing by central banks will be the main force driving prices back up. His view suggests that big dips can…
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Bitcoin’s recent rally appears to have paused as the asset declined to just above $104,000 following a 2.1% drop over the past 24 hours. This latest movement signals a potential shift in short-term market momentum, with traders increasingly opting to exit positions. While the broader cryptocurrency market has experienced similar pullbacks, Bitcoin’s trajectory is attracting closer scrutiny due to its influence on overall sentiment and market structure. Analysts are looking into how external factors, particularly geopolitical developments, are impacting trading behavior. One such development is the reported military engagement between Israel and Iran on June 13, which tr…
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