Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
2423 tópicos neste fórum
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Dogecoin is probing its most-contested price shelf of 2025, and two respected technicians— Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow) and ANBESSA (@Anbessa100)—have reached the rare point where their short-term and high-time-frame road maps overlap almost perfectly. Dogecoin Just Hit Its Make-Or-Break Zone Cantonese Cat’s daily chart, published late on June 2, highlights a turquoise demand band stretching from $0.1850 to $0.1950. That ribbon has flipped roles repeatedly since February: first cushioning the price action in late-February, and then capping March and April’s rebounds. After last week’s four-day decline, three successive bodies have closed inside the rectangle while intra…
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Technical analysis of Dogecoin’s price action shows that Dogecoin bulls are currently working hard to register a break above the $0.2 resistance price level. However, beyond the immediate battle at the $0.20 resistance, a broader technical perspective presents a far more interesting possibility of Dogecoin reaching new all-time highs very soon. Specifically, the technical analysis of Dogecoin’s monthly candlestick timeframe chart indicates that its price is currently in the formation of a rally between June and July 2025. Analyst Spots Recurring 3-Month Uptick, 5-Month Pullback Formation A technical analysis of Dogecoin’s monthly candlestick chart, first shared by cryp…
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Dogecoin was changing hands near $0.174 in European trading on Thursday, extending a two-day rebound that began when buyers twice defended the mid-June floor around $0.16. The 11% recovery since the Tuesday low has put the largest memecoin back on traders’ radars, but technical analyst More Crypto Online cautions that what looks like an impulsive burst is in fact “all corrective in nature,” with the market still trapped inside a complex diagonal wave pattern that could just as easily fail. Dogecoin Is Quietly Coiling For A Potential Breakout In a video update recorded on 2 June, the analyst dissected the one-hour chart and concluded that the advance from the 22 June low …
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So, it turns out that the Kansas banker (Shan Hanes) who ripped off millions from his small-town bank in Kansas, lost much of his loot to a pig butchering crypto scam, tied to a Philippines call centre, according to a Department of Justice (DoJ) complaint. According to the complaint filed on 18 June 2025, the DoJ’s persecutors have initiated a civil forfeiture action targeting over $225 million in laundered USDT, tied to Shan Hanes, the disgraced CEO of the Heartland Tri-State Bank, embezzling over $47 million from the bank, triggering the collapse of the agricultural lender in 2023. A crypto exchange provided critical information to the DoJ, which led to the regulatory…
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In one of the largest crypto crackdowns to date, the U.S. Department of Justice has seized $225.3 million in digital assets linked to a network of shady investment scams. The operation targeted a growing wave of fraud known as “pig butchering,” where victims are lured into fake crypto investments through personal messaging and social media. This marks the biggest crypto seizure ever handled by the Secret Service. The DOJ confirmed that this case sets a new record for the largest digital asset seizure handled by the Secret Service. How the Scam Worked The fraud schemes used slick social engineering tactics. Victims were approached online, often through dating apps or mess…
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Overview: The dollar's latest leg down began with the President Trump's heightened attacks on the Federal Reserve's conduct of US monetary policy on June 23. That move may be over. Perhaps helped by stronger than expected data yesterday and the rise in US rates. US rates have edged up further today, and the greenback is firmer against the G10 currencies. In a firmer US dollar environment, the Canadian dollar typically outperforms on the crosses and today is no exception. The Canadian dollar is off marginally. On the other hand, the yen is the weakest, off around 0.50%. Trump's protest that Japan does not buy rice from the US seems factually confused, but the end of the hi…
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Overview: The latest phase of the Israel-Iran conflict continues and the impact on the markets remains minimal. Oil prices are elevated, but private insurance seems to be slowing traffic in the Straits of Hormuz more than the direct results of a blockade that Tehran appeared to have threatened. After rejecting the G7 draft statement that urged restraint on both sides of the conflict, President Trump left the G7 meeting early and returned to Washington. On the sidelines of the meeting, the US and UK signed a trade deal though key details, like when the UK will not be subject to the steel tariff, were not announced. Separately, despite talks with Japan's Prime Minister Ish…
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Overview: It is not clear what happened yesterday, the first time US and Chinese leaders have spoken since the inauguration. The US readout suggests trade was only discussed and a deal on the rare earths was reached. China's readout included an expression of concern about US planned arms sales to Taiwan and the need for more talks to resolve the issue. The agreement in Geneva apparently covered bilateral actions and Beijing's export controls on several critical mineral and magnets are universal. Still, more talks have been planned even if not scheduled. Although the Trump-Musk break-up is as dramatic as one might expected, given the volatile personalities, the focus is o…
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(Commentary resumes with the weekly outlook on June 21) Overview: Yesterday's dollar buying seen in the North American afternoon appears to have exhausted the position-squaring adjustment amid speculation the US might enter more directly the hostilities with Iran and ahead of the outcome of the FOMC meeting. Follow-through buying to has been limited to a couple of G10 currencies, including the Swedish krona following the Riksbank's quarter-point cut and kept the door open to another reduction. The dollar's gains were also extended against the Swiss franc, whose central bank will likely bring its deposit rate to zero tomorrow. Emerging market currencies are more mixed. As…
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Overview: An accelerated run on the US dollar continues. The euro, sterling, Australian and New Zealand dollars have risen to new highs. The greenback has dropped to new lows since 2015 against the Swiss franc. Japan's efforts to protect its rice farmers triggered the ire of President Trump. The "reciprocal tariffs," which could come back to the fore in a week, would be around 24% on Japan if no agreement is struck. While all the G10 currencies are firmer today, the yen leads with around a 0.75% gain. In addition to the trade disruption, a drag is coming from the decline in US rates. The 2- and 10-year yields are at new two-month lows. All but a few emerging market curren…
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Overview: The US dollar was weak yesterday, but it has been pummeled today. It is down against the G10 currencies and all but the Russian ruble and Turkish lira among emerging market currencies. The proximate trigger of today's sell-off were news reports that a successor to Fed Chair Powell could be announced in a few months. The attempt to influence the Fed so directly does not set well with investors. In the Fed funds futures market, the odds of a July cut have crept up, but are around a 1-in-4 chance. However, there are now almost 63 bp of easing discounted before the end of the year. That is the most since early May. This, combined with the month/quarter end flows an…
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After failing to trade above the 99.00 psychological handle last Thursday, the Dollar Index had retracted strongly in the beginning of the week – Is the ongoing retracement over? Other majors have enjoyed from the close to 2% correction in the Index, particularly USDJPY which had been struggling since the onset of July. Markets tend to move chaotically on the small picture but the bigger picture sometimes offers some great insights. The US Dollar just marked what is for now an intermediate bottom on its index and this marked the end of the weekly run in European and Asia-Pacific currencies. Let's take a look at the DXY and a few other major charts to prepare for the m…
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Dollar Slumps
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Overview: The dollar is finishing the week heavily. It is off against nearly all of the world's currencies. The only exceptions are the Turkish lira and Hong Kong dollar. For the week, among the G10 currencies, only the Australian dollar has not risen at least 1%, Helped by stronger than expected retail sales, sterling set a new three-year high (~$1.3500). Between the tariffs and the budget, the Dollar Index is set to snap a four-week upside correction, even as the market has pushed the next cut by the Federal Reserve into Q4. Asia Pacific equities mostly rallied, except for China, Taiwan, and South Korea. Europe's Stoxx 600 is little changed on the day and week…
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Overview: The US dollar has steadied today after yesterday's shellacking that saw it fall to new multiyear lows against the euro and sterling and 10-year lows against the Swiss franc. The news stream is somewhat more supportive today, with trade deals said to be in the works, in addition to the confirmation/clarification of an agreement with China. The US got an exemption from the OECD's Pillar 2 corporate tax reform, and the onerous "revenge tax" of Section 899 of the budget proposal will be dropped. There is talk that the postponement of the so-called reciprocal tariff may be extended for the current deadline of July 9. While the greenback has steadied it has found litt…
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Overview: The US dollar is enjoying a firmer tone against the G10 currencies with the disappointing UK jobs data weighing on sterling the most. It is off about 0.5% in late morning European activity. The greenback is more mixed against emerging market currencies. The Mexican peso, which reached new highs for the year yesterday is consolidating. The Brazilian real also rose to its best level of the year yesterday. The US economic calendar is light today and the focus is on tomorrow's CPI report and the ongoing US-China talks in London. The US tariffs have been the key issue, the talks in London appear to be more about export controls. There are the makings for a deal: chip…
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The Dollar index is consolidating below the 100.00 level for the second consecutive week as Tuesday’s rally in the USD was not strong enough to hold. The DXY is trading at 98.80 and hasn’t crossed above 100 this week. Between renewed menaces and the actual delay in implementing tariffs, US President Trump is making sure that the ongoing trend of USD selling doesn’t stall. The announcement in the middle of last week from the US Federal Court boosted the USD initially, though the appeal of the court decision just added to more uncertainty. Overall mixed US Data hasn't helped to add demand for the Greenback. Manufacturing PMI and JOLTS beat while ADP Employment and Service…
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The US Dollar is beginning the week on a tough note as the White House appealed the Federal Court decision to block US tariffs - which has also dampened the risk-appetite on the week. All majors are higher with the Asian-Pacific currencies leading the charge - NZD and JPY are both up above 0.80% against the USD in the morning session. Gold is also much higher +2.40% on the day, with Bitcoin and Stock Indices down (though not by too much). Let's dive into a DXY Analysis starting from the Monthly timeframe. Read More: Markets Today: Sentiment Takes a Hit on Trump's Latest Tariffs Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA …
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Overview: Despite the US jobs report, which was considerably better than the fears induced by the ADP estimate and the gradually rising jobless claims, and apparent resumption of China's rare earth exports to US (and European) auto makers, Asia and European participants sold into the dollar's gains they inherited. The greenback has largely unwound its pre-weekend gains. The US-China trade talks are being held in London today. China's export control of critical metals and magnets was a shot across the bow. As the US dominates chip technology, and therefore the supply chain, China demonstrated it does the same more or less in the rare earths space. Separately, China reporte…
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Overview: The US dollar is extending yesterday's pullback after Monday's sharp rally. Monday's rally had met or approached several technical targets, but the momentum and news stream, including the downgrading of US recession forecasts, the pushing out of the next Fed rate cut into Q4 seemed to favor further dollar gains. Against many pairs, the greenback has given back all of Monday's gains or nearly so. The dollar is weaker against nearly all the world's currencies. The South Korean won has strengthened the most following talk that the currency was discussed in bilateral trade talks with the US. It is up nearly 1.8%, followed by the Japanese yen, which is up almost 1.2%…
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A top crypto analyst is making waves with a strong call: Going all-in on XRP should be a priority. That’s the message from Oscar Ramos, a widely followed figure in the crypto world, as the market turns green again. Bitcoin just hit a new all-time high of $118,250 Friday, helping to fuel momentum across altcoins. XRP has been one of the top gainers during this run, jumping above $2.65 and showing signs of strength. At press time, it’s trading around $2.69—up over 10% in just a day. Ripple’s Stablecoin, BNY Mellon Partnership Spark Optimism The rising interest in XRP isn’t only about price moves. Ripple, the company tied closely to the altcoin, is rolling out development…
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Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong has acknowledged that the unexpected freezing of user accounts has been a major issue for the cryptocurrency exchange. In a recent announcement on X, Armstrong stated that the company has successfully reduced these unnecessary account restrictions by 82% and is committed to further improvements. The progress comes after significant investment in upgrading the platform’s machine learning models and infrastructure, according to Dor Levi, a product team member at Coinbase. The enhancements have improved the precision of the Coinbase security systems, leading to fewer legitimate accounts being mistakenly flagged and frozen. Despite these adv…
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The Trump name got loud applause at the Bitcoin 2025 conference in Las Vegas. Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump showed up in person, carrying a message that the family isn’t just paying attention to crypto. The plan puts Trump Media right in the center of the crypto conversation, showing it’s not just a media company but a financial player with bold ideas. A Change from Skeptics to Supporters It wasn’t long ago that the Trump family didn’t think twice about crypto. Their world was real estate, finance, and legacy institutions. But times have clearly changed. At the Vegas event, the message was clear: they’ve gone from sitting on the sidelines to actively betting on Bitcoin…
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A crypto donor who thought they were supporting Donald Trump’s January inauguration ended up losing over $250,000 to a well-disguised phishing scam. The fraud was pulled off using a fake email that looked nearly identical to a real address from the Trump-Vance Inaugural Committee. The fake Trump inauguration message looked nearly identical to real fundraising emails, with only a small typo in the domain name. With just a single character altered, the message passed as legitimate, leading the donor to send $250,300 in USDT.ETH directly to the scammer. How the Scam Worked The attack was subtle and precise. Scammers swapped one lowercase letter in the domain name, replaci…
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Bitcoin’s recent price momentum has encountered a pause following the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, which showed inflation rising to 2.7% in June. The inflation increase appears to have affected investor sentiment. After reaching a new high above $123,000 on Monday, Bitcoin has since declined by roughly 5.4% from that peak, with its price currently trading just above $116,000. The broader crypto market also reacted to the news, with the global crypto market cap valuation dropping by nearly 7% in the past day amid renewed uncertainty about future interest rate policy. While Bitcoin has exhibited a strong uptrend in recent weeks, the latest pullback intro…
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Ethereum has been consolidating around the $2,500 price level over the past few days, showing little momentum in either direction. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap has struggled to sustain a breakout above the $2,600 resistance zone, despite the inflows into Ethereum Spot ETFs last week. One event that has sparked interest, and possibly concern, among Ethereum holders is the reactivation of a dormant whale wallet holding millions worth of ETH. The sudden awakening of this long-inactive address raises questions about a potential selling pressure and its market impact. First Transaction From Dormant ETH Address Since 2015 On-chain tracker Whale Alerts was…
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