Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
16172 tópicos neste fórum
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Review of Tuesday's Trades:1-Hour EUR/USD Chart On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair managed to trade in both directions. In the morning, the euro came under pressure due to weaker-than-expected ZEW economic sentiment indices from both Germany and the Eurozone. In the second half of the day, the U.S. dollar faced pressure due to public remarks by Jerome Powell and Donald Trump. Chair Powell once again stated that the Federal Reserve will make decisions based solely on macroeconomic data and also signaled the end of the quantitative tightening program. Both statements could be interpreted in multiple ways. The market still lacks confidence in whether we will see one or two rat…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has explained how the latest Bitcoin selloff is different from the LUNA and FTX crashes of 2022. Bitcoin Supply In Profit Trend Is Structurally Different For The Latest Crash In a new post on X, Glassnode has discussed how the recent bearish action in BTC compares against some of the past crashes. The analytics firm has used the Percent Supply in Profit to make the comparison. This on-chain indicator measures, as its name suggests, the percentage of the total Bitcoin circulating supply that’s sitting on some net unrealized gain right now. The metric works by going through the transaction history of each token in circulation to see what…
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Washington’s latest retirement push could send fresh 401(k) money toward Bitcoin sooner than expected. House Republicans on Tuesday introduced the Retirement Investment Choice Act, a bill that would turn President Donald Trump’s August executive order into law. The proposal formally opens the door for retirement plans to include “alternative assets,” such as funds investing in digital currencies. The move comes as regulators advance guidance on the issue, with Bitcoin trading near $113,000 in a volatile market. If passed, the legislation would give Executive Order 14330 the full force of law. It directs the Labor Department and Securities and Exchange Commission to …
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The United States has exposed a massive forced-labor and cyber-fraud network operating out of Cambodia, seizing nearly $15Bn in Bitcoin now held in federal custody. The unprecedented case raises a new question: could these funds eventually become part of Washington’s Strategic Bitcoin Reserve? Prosecutors on Tuesday unsealed charges against Chen Zhi, chairman of Cambodia’s Prince Group, accusing him of running large-scale “pig-butchering” scam compounds that trafficked workers and defrauded victims around the world. At the same time, the Justice Department launched the biggest forfeiture action in US history, targeting roughly 127,271 BTC tied to the network. Th…
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XRP price started a fresh increase above $2.50. The price is now showing positive signs and could aim for more gains above the $2.620 level. XRP price is attempting a recovery wave above the $2.50 zone. The price is now trading above $2.50 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.60 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh surge if it clears the $2.60 resistance. XRP Price Set To Surge? XRP price found support and started a strong recovery wave above $2.220, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to climb above the $2.320 and $2.40 levels to en…
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Ethereum appears to be entering a pivotal phase as the market stabilizes around a key support level near $3,800. After a period of correction, technical indicators, structural signals, and price action now suggest the potential for a renewed bullish move. Ethereum Slips Below Key $4,060 Support Ted, in a recent update shared on X, pointed out that Ethereum has slipped below its crucial $4,060 support level, a move that may hint at a short-term bearish phase for the asset. This breakdown has drawn traders’ attention to lower support regions, as Ethereum’s next moves will likely determine whether the market stabilizes or faces further pressure. According to Ted, the nex…
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The GBP/USD currency pair once again traded lower on Tuesday. This time, there were actual reasons for the pound's decline—at least during the first half of the day. The UK releases macroeconomic data infrequently, but Tuesday was one of those rare days. The unemployment rate came in above expectations, while jobless claims exceeded forecasts by 2.5 times. These two reports were enough to trigger a further drop in the pound. Naturally, the market continues to ignore equally poor fundamental and macroeconomic data for the U.S. dollar—but that has now become business as usual in recent weeks. In the EUR/USD article, we suggested that the recent declines in both major curren…
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The EUR/USD currency pair moved—once again—downward throughout Tuesday. At this point, it seems we could write the same story every day: the dollar strengthened yet again, with seemingly no apparent reason. Of course, with enough effort, a reason can always be found. Tuesday provided a weaker-than-expected ZEW economic sentiment index for both Germany and the Eurozone. But here's the problem: why does the market treat all negative euro news seriously, while consistently ignoring negative dollar news? Let's recall: the U.S. government shutdown continues, the labor market is deteriorating, the Federal Reserve is more dovish than the European Central Bank, and President Trum…
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EUR/USD By the end of the previous trading day, the euro gained 36 pips amid mixed performance in U.S. stock indices and a slight decline in government bond yields. There are external signs that bond yields may continue to decline. However, if that's the case, we shouldn't expect a strong euro rally in the medium term—such as a move to the upper boundary of the price channel on the daily chart at 1.1908. For now, the euro has two active targets: 1.1662 – the MACD line1.1779 – the highs from October 1 and September 9If the price suddenly falls below yesterday's low at 1.1543, it may attempt to consolidate under the 1.1495 support level, which would open the path toward th…
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GBP/USD On Tuesday, the British pound didn't even attempt to break through the resistance level at 1.3369. Instead, it worked through support at 1.3253, a level it previously approached but failed to reach on October 10. By the end of the day, the daily candlestick left a long lower wick, which adds another signal supporting a potential upward reversal. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator is now pointing upward. The price must now complete two difficult tasks in succession: overcome the resistance of the 1.3369 target level, followed by the MACD line at 1.3400. A successful breakout through both would allow the market to aim for the next target at 1.3525. On the fo…
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USD/JPY After two days of consolidation, the USD/JPY pair has exited the target range of 151.70–152.10 and is now, in our view, heading toward the closure of the price gap left on October 6. Along this path, the pair faces two key support levels: 150.50, represented by the MACD line, and 149.38, a target level marked by the peak from July 16. Once the gap is closed, the price may complete the current downward leg within the 146.29–146.59 target range — a strong support zone formed during three months of consolidation. The Marlin oscillator is leading price action lower, providing a strong indication of the market's current bearish direction. On the four-hour chart, the …
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Early in the European session, gold is trading around 4,182, below the uptrend channel formed on September 15 and with a positive bias after a strong rebound above 4,100. In the coming hours, gold could continue its rise and reach the top of the uptrend channel around 4,205 and could even reach the 7/8 Murray around 4,218. If gold falls below the 7/8 Murray and fails to consolidate above this area, we can expect a pullback to reach the 21SMA around 4,080. The instrument could even get the 6/8 Murray at 4,062. Technically, the Eagle indicator has reached the overbought zone, so a strong technical correction is likely in the coming days, and gold could reach the psychologic…
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EUR/USD is trading around 1.1618, bouncing after forming a double bottom pattern around 1.1543. After bouncing above 1.1550, the euro is now consolidating above the 7/8 Murray and above the 200 EMA, suggesting it could continue its rise in the coming days, reaching the 200 EMA around 1.1670. EUR/USD is expected to rise in the coming hours until it breaks the downtrend channel and reaches the 8/8 Murray around 1.1718. The euro is expected to cover the bottom it left at around 1.1739. Therefore, we could look for opportunities to continue buying at current levels while the EUR/USD pair trades above 1.1580. Any pullback will then be seen as a buying opportunity. The outl…
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Bitcoin is trading around 112,800, retreating after reaching the 5/8 Murray level around 115,625 and encountering strong resistance around the 200 EMA, which pressured Bitcoin. We now believe BTC could continue its fall in the coming days, reaching the psychological level of $110,000. If Bitcoin consolidates above 112,500 and then breaks and consolidates above the 21 SMA located at 113,200, this will be seen as a clear buy signal with targets at the 200 EMA around 116,114. Conversely, if Bitcoin consolidates below the 4/8 Murray level, then the outlook could be negative. Thus, the price could even reach the bottom of the downtrend channel around 105,800. The eagle indicat…
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The U.S. government is preparing to add around 127,271 bitcoin, valued at roughly $14.2 billion, into what it now calls a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. During a joint operation with UK authorities, these coins were confiscated in connection with a massive crypto fraud operation led by Chen Zhi, a Chinese national tied to the Cambodia-based Prince Group. Instead of offloading the assets as it typically would, the government appears ready to hold the Bitcoin. The move marks a potential turning point in how states treat digital assets, suggesting that officials now see this stash as a long-term financial tool rather than something to liquidate. A Web of Scams, Trafficking, an…
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Ethereum price started a fresh recovery above $4,050. ETH is now showing positive signs and might rise further toward the $4,350 level. Ethereum started a recovery wave above the $4,000 and $4,020 levels. The price is trading above $4,050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3,980 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it trades above $4,200. Ethereum Price Holds Support Ethereum price started a recovery wave above the $3,950 level, like Bitcoin. ETH price formed a base and was able to recover above the $4,000 level. The price cleared the 50% Fib retra…
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Dogecoin fell sharply on Tuesday, losing a quarter of its value and retreating to the $0.19 mark after a recent run of gains ran out of steam. Traders said the move followed a failure to hold above the $0.23–$0.24 range and a break below a short-term rising channel that had been supporting prices earlier in October. Technical Weakness Deepens The price action on the daily chart points to weakening momentum. Dogecoin could not defend $0.22, and that breach opened the door to faster selling that sent the token to its lowest level in over three weeks. The 20-day and 50-day EMAs sit around $0.23 and are now acting as overhead resistance. The Parabolic SAR has flipped to a …
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Nigel Farage is stepping into the UK crypto conversation with a bold pitch that looks a lot like something out of Donald Trump’s playbook. He wants the country to hold a £5 billion bitcoin reserve, using coins already seized by the government. He’s also pushing for a 10 percent flat tax on crypto profits, an end to the Bank of England’s digital pound project, and even the option for citizens to pay their taxes in crypto. In a speech that felt more like a campaign rally than a policy talk, he positioned himself as the UK’s crypto advocate, borrowing Trump’s tone and timing with just weeks before a general election. A Bold Plan That Looks Better on Paper There’s no denyin…
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Bitcoin price corrected losses and traded above the $115,000 level. BTC is now struggling and might start another decline below $110,000. Bitcoin started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the $116,000 resistance level. The price is trading below $115,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $118,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $110,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $112,000 resistance level. BTC recovered above the $112,500 and $113,200 resistance leve…
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis The GBP/USD currency pair opened on Tuesday with a sharp decline. This time, the market had legitimate reasons to sell the British pound: UK unemployment data and jobless claims came in well below expectations. Unemployment continues to rise, which on its own is negative for the economy. Beyond that, the Bank of England may consider restarting monetary easing due to weakness in the labor market. In short, Tuesday morning brought bad news for the pound. In the second half of the day, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell came to the pound's aid. It's still unknown what exactly Powell said, but demand for the U.S. dollar began to drop sharp…
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis The EUR/USD currency pair fluctuated throughout Tuesday. In the first half of the day, another decline was observed, potentially driven by weaker-than-expected ZEW economic sentiment indices from both Germany and the EU. In the second half of the day, the pair experienced a slight recovery, likely in response to remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. It remains unclear what exactly Powell communicated to the markets, but in any case, the Fed is expected to maintain a generally dovish stance over the next one to two years. The only question is the pace at which the key interest rate will be lowered. Even the modest upward move…
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Elon Musk waded back into the money-meets-energy debate on X today, endorsing Bitcoin and Dogecoin. The Tesla CEO replied to a viral ZeroHedge thread that framed artificial intelligence as a government-funded arms race that will turbocharge monetary debasement. “True. That is why Bitcoin is based on energy: you can issue fake fiat currency, and every government in history has done so, but it is impossible to fake energy,” Musk wrote, aligning BTC’s value proposition with physical power constraints. Minutes later, when community account Sir Doge of the Coin (@dogeofficialceo) added, “Dogecoin is also based on energy,” Musk replied with a simple “,” his first explicit nod…
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The sudden and violent market correction triggered by geopolitical shockwaves served as an unprecedented stress test for the entire cryptocurrency ecosystem, exposing critical differences in network architecture. While the multi-billion-dollar liquidation event sent prices plunging across the board, Solana demonstrated remarkable resilience, whereas the Ethereum network and liquidity thinned during the peak volatility. Why Solana High-Performance Design Continues To Shine In an X post, the Nasdaq-listed go-to Solana Digital Asset Treasury (DAT), DefDevCorp, has revealed that when the largest liquidation event in crypto history hit last Friday, most of the market froze, a…
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The Dogecoin price slipped roughly 4% on the day and 24% on the week, hovering near $0.20–$0.21 at press time. While the pullback cools last week’s rebound, analysts say fresh Nasdaq-listing headlines and ETF momentum could reset the narrative and revive the long-standing $1 target if key levels hold. Nasdaq Listing & Dogecoin ETF Buzz Put $1 Back in Sight The House of Doge, a corporate arm tied to the Dogecoin Foundation, plans to go public via a $50 million merger with Brag House Holdings (NASDAQ: TBH). The new entity is set to steward an ecosystem treasury of 837 million DOGE and push DOGE integrations across gaming, campus sports, and digital media, bringin…
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Bitcoin is testing a critical support level near $110,000 after being rejected from the $116,000 supply zone, a level that has now become a major point of contention between bulls and bears. The market remains fragile following the historic volatility from Friday’s crash, which erased billions in leveraged positions and triggered widespread uncertainty. While the price has managed to stabilize above key moving averages for now, momentum appears to be weakening as buyers struggle to absorb continued selling pressure. Some analysts warn that if Bitcoin fails to hold this zone, a deeper correction toward the $105,000–$107,000 region could follow, marking another shakeout b…
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