Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
16172 tópicos neste fórum
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In his latest display of geopolitical confrontation, U.S. President Donald Trump tightened oil sanctions against Venezuela, forcing Caracas to seek alternative suppliers of crude oil. Venezuela, one of the world's leaders in oil reserves, has been crippled by international sanctions, outdated infrastructure, and a chronic lack of investment, limiting its ability to develop the oil sector. Although the country does produce and sell some oil, its thick, viscous crude is not highly valued on global markets. Caracas must dilute it with lighter grades of oil before exporting. Until recently, that lighter oil came from the United States—but Trump decided to cut the flow due to …
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The EUR/USD pair remains under pressure: for the second consecutive week, bearish traders are targeting the 1.1550 support level, which corresponds to the lower Bollinger Bands line on the D1 timeframe. The primary reason behind this price dynamic is escalating U.S.–China tensions. The trade war continues to gain momentum, risk-off sentiment is intensifying, and the safe-haven U.S. dollar is increasingly in demand. Additional pressure on the pair came from ZEW survey results, which unexpectedly fell into the "red zone." However, in our view, market participants may have rushed to judgment. The German economic sentiment index came in at 39.3, while analysts had forecast…
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The UK labor market report for August showed no indication that inflationary pressure is likely to ease. Average wages, including bonuses, rose by 5% year-over-year over the last three months, significantly higher than the previous reading of 4.7%. At the same time, unemployment increased, as did the number of jobless claims. Adjusted for inflation, the real annual growth in total wages increased by 1.2%, which is also higher than for the previous three-month period. On a broader scale, there has been no change in the inflation outlook. In September, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) published calculations from its own inflation forecas…
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The study involves examination of public reporting as well as interviews with member companies, and three in-depth case-study visits to mine sites. The MSV team has recently visited the South Deep operation of Gold Fields in South Africa to speak with the company and its suppliers. “With its social and economic contribution reports showing most in-country spending goes to procurement, the World Gold Council deserves credit for working with its member companies to highlight and promote the economic benefits for host communities and countries that can be created through local procurement,” Jeff Geipel, managing director of the MSV said in a news release. Many mini…
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After a blistering run to fresh all-time highs, Binance Coin (BNB) has seen a significant drop. Following a push to roughly $1,370–$1,376, BNB slid about 10% in the past 24 hours, making it one of the biggest decliners on the day as traders reassess risk and profits come off the table. The retreat follows a dramatic weekend across crypto, but also arrives after a string of BNB-specific catalysts that pushed the token into price discovery. What Drove The BNB Price Surge, And The Snapback BNB ripped to record levels as the market rebounded from the largest liquidation event on record (nearly $19B wiped in 24 hours), with BNB Chain on-chain activity surging to record t…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 14 Market sentiment has been yo-yoing since Friday’s turmoil, with investors struggling to find stable footing after the week’s chaotic end. While equities appear to have found an intermediate bottom, the price action remains uncertain, reflecting caution and the price action in risk-assets is now much more open compared to the prior up-only trend. Every US-China headline is being closely dissected, the latest being this Axios update, which reignited some anxiety over the increasingly fragile trade relationship between the two global leaders. The overall ambiance is one of hesitation — a fitting tone for…
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Dogecoin just endured a sharp weekend drawdown, slipping back below the $0.20s after failing to extend its early October rebound. This decline was enough to wipe out many weeks of steady gains and shake retail sentiment. However, amid the volatility, the monthly chart is still bullish. Despite the weekend crash, Dogecoin is well above its 25-month moving average and is trading near the same structural zone that preceded past parabolic rallies. This setup caught the attention of a technical analyst on X known as EᴛʜᴇʀNᴀꜱʏᴏɴᴀL, who pointed out that the same pattern that preceded Dogecoin’s 36,000% breakout in 2021 has now resurfaced. Historical Structure Reappears On Doge…
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Healthcare expenses often rise sharply in retirement, which leaves many retirees wondering how to use their IRAs, 401(k)s, or other retirement accounts to help cover medical bills without jeopardizing long-term financial stability. Understanding the rules around qualified medical expenses, tax implications, and withdrawal strategies is essential. It is also important to consider how allocating part of a retirement portfolio to a self-directed Gold IRA can provide stability, diversification, and protection from inflation that supports healthcare planning for decades. Understanding How Retirement Accounts Can Be Used for Healthcare Expenses Retirement accounts can be valuab…
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Today marked the first trading day of the week for many North American traders after Columbus Day for the US and the Canadian Thanksgiving — and the session opened with what felt like a long-weekend hangover. Overnight markets had reacted sharply to China’s condemnations regarding the escalating US-China trade tensions, notably hurting Oil markets even further. Despite Trump’s reassuring comments on Sunday, which helped risk assets rebound over the weekend and led to a bullish Monday session, sentiment reversed during the Asia session leading to a scary opening Bell. Major indices gapped down, with the Nasdaq dropping 1.2% and cryptocurrencies also taking another hit …
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Most Read: Gold (XAU/USD) Price Eyes Acceptance Above $4100/oz on US-China Trade War Fears, Up 2% on the Day The loonie has recovered in the US session after starting the day on the back foot. The move was more driven by the US dollar than any developments on the side of the Canadian Dollar. The loonie has come under pressure in recent days as oil prices have also retreated to fresh lows. When it comes to USD/CAD, the loonies weakness coincided with a rally for the US Dollar which has defied the US Government shutdown and US-China tensions to leave the US Dollar Index (DXY) hovering near recent highs. Technical Analysis - USD/CAD Back to the technicals though and USD/C…
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Veteran chartist Peter Brandt has shifted his view on XRP, moving from a short-lived bearish stance to a more positive outlook as the token tries to recover from a sharp market drop. According to recent reports, XRP fell to $1.55 Friday, Oct. 10 during the sell-off, then bounced back into the mid-$2 range as traders reassessed the situation. Brandt Revises Technical Take Brandt shared a long-term weekly chart covering 2013 to 2025. The chart shows years of sideways action that formed large triangle shapes before big moves. Between 2014 and 2017, XRP was held inside a symmetrical triangle and then broke out in March 2017, which preceded a run up to $3.30 by January 201…
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The Blockchain Recovery Investment Consortium (BRIC), a partnership between GXD Labs and VanEck, announced on Tuesday a significant development in Celsius’ bankruptcy case. Tether (USDT) has agreed to pay a major amount to the crypto lender’s bankruptcy estate following an adversary proceeding that was initiated last year. Tether Settles Billion Dollar Lawsuit This settlement marks a significant milestone in the ongoing legal saga surrounding Celsius, which filed for bankruptcy in July 2022. Celsius had previously accused Tether of mishandling collateral and liquidations, claiming 39,542 BTC (approximately $4.3 billion at the time) along with an additional $100 million…
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Bitcoin continues to trade with high volatility following Friday’s brutal crash that sent prices as low as $103,000. Over the weekend, the market has struggled to find a clear direction, with bulls and bears locked in a tense battle around the $115,000 level. Sentiment remains divided — some analysts expect a consolidation phase before another leg higher, while others warn of a deeper correction if selling pressure intensifies. Adding to the uncertainty, new data from on-chain analytics firm Lookonchain has revealed massive withdrawals by wallets linked to Matrixport, a major crypto financial services platform. The move has sparked heavy speculation across the market, w…
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First Quantum Minerals (TSX: FM) has pushed back against claims that its La Granja copper project in northern Peru is stalled due to public opposition, calling the allegations outdated and misleading. The comments come in response to a study by GEM Mining Consulting, which suggests the project remains “blocked by public distrust.” First Quantum responded this week, stating La Granja is progressing “decisively and transparently” under strict environmental, social, and governance (ESG) standards. The company noted that GEM’s study relies on community opposition sources that are nearly two decades old and no longer reflect the current state of the project or its rela…
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The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has changed. It is still too early to conclude that the upward trend segment has ended, but the recent decline in the euro has required an adjustment of the wave count. We now see a series of three-wave structures a–b–c, which may be part of the larger wave 4 within the overall uptrend. In this case, wave 4 has taken on an unusually extended form, but the wave pattern as a whole remains coherent. The formation of the upward trend segment continues, while the news background mostly supports currencies other than the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Federal Reserve also per…
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Today, the Japanese yen is leading amid concerns about possible interventions. Japan's Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato noted that recently there have been one-sided and sharp fluctuations in the exchange rate, emphasizing the importance of stable currency movements that reflect the economy's fundamentals. This has supported the yen, although political uncertainty could limit its gains. Last week, the long-standing LDP–Komeito coalition unexpectedly collapsed, as newly elected LDP leader Sanae Takaichi awaits a parliamentary vote to confirm her as Japan's first female prime minister. The breakup means Takaichi will need support from other parties to advance her key initiat…
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Today, the GBP/JPY pair is attracting aggressive intraday sellers following yesterday's rally and the rise during the Asian session to the 203.55 level. This comes amid the overall strengthening of the Japanese yen. Weak U.K. employment data suggest that the Bank of England will likely continue cutting interest rates, as signs of economic slowdown increase the likelihood of further monetary easing. Moreover, solid demand for the yen is putting downward pressure on the GBP/JPY pair, curbing its upward momentum. Recent remarks from Japan's Finance Minister, Katsunobu Kato, about possible sharp fluctuations in the foreign exchange market have heightened speculation that the …
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the Japanese Yen The price test of 151.95 in the first half of the day occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had just begun moving upward from the zero mark, confirming a correct entry point for buying the U.S. dollar. As a result, the pair rose by 20 points. During the U.S. session, data on the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index will be released. Although this macroeconomic indicator might appear insignificant, it can still influence currency market dynamics — particularly for risk-sensitive assets. The NFIB index, reflecting the sentiment of small business owners, provides valuable insights into the outlook for U.S. econom…
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Crypto exchange Changelly has predicted when the Shiba Inu price could delete three extra zeros and rally to as high as $0.01. Based on the prediction, the top meme coin is still over a decade away from achieving this milestone, even as it currently underperforms in this market cycle. When The Shiba Inu Price Could Hit $0.01 Changelly predicted in a blog post that the Shiba Inu price could reach $0.01 by September 2040. Specifically, they highlighted $0.0106 as the maximum price that SHIB could reach by then. Meanwhile, the crypto exchange projects that the meme coin could still reach $0.0139 by year-end 2040, highlighting that price level as the maximum for December 2…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British Pound The price test of 1.3325 occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had just begun moving down from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound and resulting in a drop of more than 60 points. A sharp increase in the number of unemployment benefit claims and in the unemployment rate in the U.K. led to a sell-off of the pound. Investors reacted instantly, alarmed by signs of a slowdown in economic growth. The data published by the Office for National Statistics caused some turbulence. In particular, the rise in jobless claims pointed to potential issues in the labor market, intensifying…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the Euro The price test of 1.1578 occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had just begun to move down from the zero mark, confirming a correct entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair fell toward the target level of 1.1558. Weak data from eurozone countries triggered a drop in the euro. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index for Germany and the eurozone turned out worse than economists' forecasts, which became a trigger for new short positions. Recession risks in the eurozone, reinforced by the ZEW data, caused a chain reaction in the financial world. The European Central Bank faces a difficult dilemma: on one hand, i…
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Fitch Solutions’ BMI has raised its 2025 average copper price forecast to $9,650 per tonne, up from $9,500 previously, as persistent supply disruptions and resilient industrial demand continue to support the market. Copper prices have averaged $9,609 per tonne, but are currently trading above $10,000 per tonne due to a confluence of macro factors. Chief amongst those are US interest rate cuts, which BMI predicts will spur manufacturing and investment activity into 2026, creating a tailwind for industrial metals. However, it also cautions that geopolitical tensions—particularly the renewed US-China trade confrontations—could cap further gains through 2026. Clea…
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Published overnight, the latest UK labor market data has raised several red flags for the economy, signaling a possible shift in the broader macro outlook. Persistent inflation pressures constrain the Bank of England’s rate-cut path, leaving the BoE with the second-highest policy rate among OECD economies, just behind the Federal Reserve at 4%. (FYI Fed Chair Powell will be speaking here for those interested) …
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As the crypto market is resting in the emergency room, traders are wondering if ETH USD will see a new ATH in 2025. What does this massive sell-off and liquidation event mean for the rest of this bull-run? With .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-cont…
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Ostium Labs’ Market Outlook #55 argues that Bitcoin’s higher-timeframe bull structure survived last week’s volatility and now points “back to the highs,” provided spot holds above $107,000. “Whilst we trade above $107k, I think the next move is back to the highs, with $112k likely to act as local support,” the note states, adding that the firm still expects price to trade into “that confluence of overhead resistance at $133k by month-end.” The team frames last week’s deleveraging as the “great reset,” contending that the largest liquidation event in crypto history removed excess leverage without breaking weekly structure. On the weekly chart, no major support was lost an…
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