Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12169 tópicos neste fórum
-
The US stock market is driven by two parallel narratives: monetary policy history and the monetization of artificial intelligence. Within the market, there are both skeptics and optimists. The former discuss inflated fundamental valuations and the billions of dollars wasted on AI technologies. The latter view the current decline in the S&P 500 as a healthy correction and an opportunity to establish and increase long positions. For them, the Magnificent Seven is a sacred cow that has generated and will continue to generate money. Unfortunately, nothing lasts forever under the moon. During the dot-com boom in the 1990s, the market also seemed too perfect. In 2000, then…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Dogecoin market structure has tightened around a single, highly watched support zone near $0.138, and analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) is framing that area as the pivot that decides whether the meme coin’s broader bull case survives its current drawdown. Is Dogecoin About To Break? Sharing a weekly DOGE/USD chart on X, Kevin described the level as a rare multi-factor confluence: “$0.138 cents on Dogecoin is a combination of the macro .382 Fib, the 200W SMA, and this upsloping trendline.” In his read, the cluster of a macro Fibonacci retracement, the 200-week simple moving average, and an ascending trendline rooted in the bear-market base and late-summer 2024 lows crea…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Market Insights Podcast (24/11/2025): As we start week 48, join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they discuss the end-of-week rally in US equities, the upcoming UK budget on Wednesday, ever-changing expectations of the FOMC meeting in December, as well as the latest on the FX markets, including JPY and AUD. Join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin’s six-week collapse has erased over $40,000 from its price, yet—according to Jeff Park, CIO at ProCap BTC and Bitwise advisor—the more important story may lie not in spot markets but in volatility. In his November 22 Substack post “Where Does Bitcoin Go From Here?”, Park argues that “market structure has flipped sharply negative,” citing ETF outflows, the Coinbase discount, structural selling, and liquidations of over-levered longs. But beneath that surface stress, he says, “something in the structure of Bitcoin’s volatility markets is stirring again—something that looks more like the old Bitcoin, not the new one.” Sudden Twist In Bitcoin Skew Has Expert On High…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In 2016, Elon Musk famously said: “Although [they’re] called lithium-ion, the actual percentage of lithium in a lithium-ion cell is approximately 2%. Technically, our cells should be called nickel-graphite, because the primary constituent in the cell as a whole is nickel. There’s a little bit of lithium in there, but it’s like the salt on the salad.” In 2016, nickel cobalt manganese (NCM) and nickel cobalt aluminum or NCA, favoured by Tesla and its cell provider Panasonic dominated the market. Tesla’s Model S and Nissan’s Leaf were the bestselling EVs in the world at the time. Lithium iron phosphate batteries (LFP) did have a place in the market then, but th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Defense Metals (TSXV: DEFN; US-OTCQB: DFMTF) actively recognized the ongoing support from the federal government and the McLeod Lake Indian Band (MLIB) for its Wicheeda rare earth project. The project is located about 80 km northeast of Prince George, British Columbia. During the week of November 20, 2025, Defense Metals CEO Mark Tory and MLIB Chief Harley Chingee met with Canadian Government officials in Ottawa. With Chief Chingee’s strong endorsement on behalf of MLIB and the project’s merits and urgency, the Canadian government reaffirmed its support for Defense Metals to proceed with its permitting and development strategy. The Wicheeda project aimed to contri…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
As Bitcoin (BTC) attempts to reclaim the $88,000 area, some market observers believe that the recent lows marked the bottom, and a price recovery rally is underway. Nonetheless, other analysts have warned that the flagship crypto’s November pain could continue if the current levels don’t hold. Bitcoin Finds Local Support On Monday, Bitcoin continued its price recovery from the latest correction, nearing a key resistance for the second consecutive day. Throughout November, the cryptocurrency has struggled to hold multiple crucial levels amid the crypto market volatility, falling below the $100,000 psychological barrier and trading around multi-month lows. Last week, BTC…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
.cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price-holder .cwp-coin-trend-holder .cwp-trend { background-color: transparent !imp…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Monad crypto is up 25% since launching less than 24 hours ago, after a rocky start that included a significant sell-off that sent MON to $0.022. Early drama sparked significant speculation about the project after Coinbase temporarily disabled the sell button and withdrawals, prompting many to speculate that the exchange could be about to orchestrate a gigantic pump for MON. Monad is an EVM (Ethereum Virtual Machine) Layer-1 network that raised over $430M across six separate funding rounds, including a public sale on Coinbase. Learn more , SHIB, and PEPE. MAXI aims to bring memecoins into the mod…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP traders are once again arguing about upside targets after popular chartist Charting Guy reposted a bullish long-term setup and doubled down on his call that XRP can still reach $8 this cycle. “XRP still going to $8, idc,” he wrote on X in the early hours of Nov. 25, alongside a weekly XRP/USD chart from Bitstamp. XRP Price Still Has Room To Run At the time of the screenshot, XRP was trading around $2.25, up roughly 9.8% on the week, with the chart plotting an Elliott Wave structure from early 2023 into a projected peak in 2026. The analysis is built on a dense Fibonacci framework spanning from about $0.25 to a 1.272 extension at $8.29661, which anchors his upside tar…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
For the GBP/USD pair, the wave pattern continues to indicate the formation of an upward trend segment (bottom chart), but over the past several weeks it has taken on a complex and extended form (top chart). The trend segment that began on July 1 can be considered wave 4, or any global corrective wave, since it has a corrective rather than impulsive internal wave structure. The same applies to its internal sub-waves. Therefore, despite the prolonged decline of the pound, I believe the upward trend remains intact. The downward wave structure that began on September 17 has taken the shape of a five-wave a-b-c-d-e pattern and may be complete. If this is indeed the case, the p…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Everything is relative. The German economy did not grow in the third quarter. Is this bad news? It depends on what you're comparing it to. Compared to the impressive growth of U.S. GDP, then yes. Compared to 2023-2024, when Germany was in a recession, then no. Exports and weak consumer demand are pulling Berlin down, yet hopes remain. They allow EUR/USD to go on the offensive. The ruling coalition led by Friedrich Merz expects Germany's GDP to accelerate from 0.2% in 2025 to 1.3% in 2026 and 1.4% in 2027. Authorities are counting on large fiscal stimuli, but as the Bundesbank rightly noted, this is not enough. Reforms are needed to create favorable conditions for business…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Kevin Hassett, head of the White House National Economic Council, has suddenly become the market’s base case for the next Fed chair – and crypto investors are already gaming out what a “Hassett Fed” would mean. According to Bloomberg-sourced reporting, Hassett has “emerged as the frontrunner” for President Donald Trump’s choice to lead the Federal Reserve, seen as the candidate most aligned with Trump’s preference for lower interest rates. Earlier disclosures showed Hassett previously served as an adviser to Coinbase and holds at least $1 million in Coinbase stock. How Will Hassett Impact The Crypto Market? For crypto allocators, that combination of macro dovishness and …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The demand for gold remains strong amid growing expectations of a U.S. rate cut this December. Expectations of a more accommodative monetary policy from the U.S. Federal Reserve are boosting investor interest in gold, a traditionally safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty and declining interest rates. Gold, which does not yield interest income, becomes more attractive relative to alternative investments such as bonds when their yields fall. Additionally, the current weakness of the U.S. dollar makes gold more accessible to buyers using other currencies, further boosting demand. However, it is important to note that the dynamics of gold prices are influence…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
UFC star Conor McGregor went scorched-earth on longtime UFC rival Khabib Nurmagomedov after the latter launched an NFT drop on the Telegram messaging app. The Khabib crypto NFT drop was widely panned by both the MMA and crypto communities, labelled as a ‘cash-grab’. It didn’t take long for his rival McGregor to weigh in. “There is just no way good guy Khabib used his late father’s name, as well as Dagestan’s culture, to scam his fans and fire sell a bunch of digital NFTs online,” McGregor wrote in a now-deleted X post. Although the post was initially met with a lot of support, McGregor has seemingly deleted the post after everyone’s favourite on-chain sleuth, ZachXBT, ca…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Let's move on to the next tax—the dividend income tax. Starting April 6 next year, all rates will increase by 2%. Economists point out that for many small business owners, these 2% are significant. Previously, directors of small enterprises and firms could pay themselves a minimal salary while receiving the rest of their earnings as dividends, but now they will have to pay more taxes on that amount. An additional 2% tax on the company's overall income is quite substantial. The next tax is on the luxury housing tax. From 2028, owners of luxury apartments and houses will pay an annual rate on their property. The tax will apply to properties valued at over £2 million. The mi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Friday, the market may start moving downward from the level of 1.1595 (yesterday's daily candle close) with the target at 1.1556 — a historical resistance level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, a corrective upward price movement is possible with a target of 1.1575 — the 23.6% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: indicator analysis – downFibonacci levels – downvolumes – downcandlestick analysis – downtrend analysis – downBollinger Bands – downweekly chart – downOverall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: Today, from the level of 1.1595 (yesterday's daily candle close),…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The price test of 1.3215 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The second test of 1.3215 coincided with a moment when the MACD was oversold, which allowed scenario #2 for buying the pound to play out. However, the pair failed to rise, resulting in closing the position with a loss. The pound continued to decline amid the absence of U.K. statistics. After the morning pressure, the lack of internal catalysts left the British currency vulnerable to the overall negative market sentiment. Traders, lacking domestic guidance, focus on global uncertainty fa…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Crypto analyst Charting Guy (@ChartingGuy) is mapping out a sharply asymmetric setup for XRP, arguing that the token is locked in a textbook Wyckoff reaccumulation and is “still NOT bearish in the slightest” despite a year of range-bound trading. Why XRP Is Still Not Bearish His work is based on XRP/USD Bitstamp charts posted on X on 27 November 2025. On the weekly view, XRP trades around $2.23 after an 8–9% gain on the week, consolidating below the 2025 peak at approximately $3.317, which he marks as the 1.0 Fibonacci level. The retracement is drawn from the cycle low near $0.11400 up to that high, producing a ladder of levels that structure the entire thesis. Key Fib…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Silver soared to an all-time high on Friday following an outage on the Comex due to what the exchange operator CME calls a “cooling system failure”. Spot prices rose 4% to a new record of $55.66 per oz., surpassing its peak set during a historic squeeze in the London market last month. Three-month futures also jumped 5%, trading within a similar range. Click on chart for live prices. The rally comes amid erratic price moves and thin liquidity in the silver market, as the Comex recovers from one of its worst outages in years. Trading of futures was halted for over 11 hours prior to resumption in US morning time. “It impacted a lot of the futures markets globa…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, stock indices closed with gains. The S&P 500 rose by 0.25%, while the Nasdaq 100 increased by 0.59%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average strengthened by 0.39%. On Wednesday, Asian indices traded within narrow ranges, reflecting Wall Street's dynamics as investors remained cautious ahead of the release of several key economic data points from the United States. The MSCI All Country World Index offset early gains of 0.3%, as Chinese stocks traded on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange showed their worst performance in recent times. European futures indicated a slightly positive market opening, while futures on the S&P 500 rose by 0.2%. Activity in the cryptocur…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, the market may continue moving upward from the 1.3207 level (yesterday's daily candle close) toward the target of 1.3282 — the 38.2% pullback level (blue dotted line). When testing this level, the price may pull back downward toward the target of 1.3274 — the upper fractal (daily candle of December 1, 2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upwardFibonacci levels – upwardVolumes – upwardCandlestick analysis – upwardTrend analysis – upwardBollinger Bands – upwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: On Wednesday, the market may continue moving upward from the …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The crypto market is showing strong gains on December 3, 2025, with .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price-holder .…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
According to the OECD, the global economy is coping with Donald Trump's trade tariffs better than expected, as activity is supported by significant investment in artificial intelligence and by supportive fiscal and monetary policy. Although the trade restrictions introduced by the Trump administration have certainly had a negative impact on specific sectors and countries, global economic growth has proven more resilient than many economists had forecast. One of the key reasons for this resilience is technological progress, especially in the field of artificial intelligence. Large-scale AI investment—both from the private sector and from governments—has helped boost produ…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Norway is hitting pause on deep sea mining after the governing party reached a deal with the opposition to ensure adoption of its latest budget. No deep sea licences will be issued in Norway’s territorial waters until 2029, in line with an agreement made with the opposition Socialist Left Party on Tuesday. Second thoughts The moratorium marks a reversal of Norway’s decision 18 months ago to approve licensing for exploration permits that were supposed to be issued this year, BMO Capital Markets analyst Helen Amos said in a note on Wednesday. Oslo had proposed 386 offshore blocks comprising about 38% of the 280,000 sq. km approved by Parliament for exploratio…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
