Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12169 tópicos neste fórum
-
After two months of a relentless rout in the Yen, the Japanese currency is finally finding some stable ground. The core of the current reversal lies in the clash between the administration’s fiscal policy and the central bank’s monetary response: fiscal recklessness has finally been met with monetary soundness. Prime Minister Takaichi has been pushing to implement massive stimulus packages, while also pressuring the Bank of Japan to keep rates low to support these projects. Still, Markets don't get by the "cheap money" concept, which has led to a precipitous 5% to 8% move in the JPY against most majors since the beginning of October. To balance things out, a round of…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The EUR/USD pair is consolidating near its monthly high, preparing for further growth, and the potential for a correction remains limited against a favorable fundamental backdrop. Today, the U.S. dollar attempted a modest recovery from levels last seen at the end of October, but unsuccessfully. This attempted rebound became the key factor restraining the rise of EUR/USD. According to the latest U.S. macroeconomic data, the economy is gradually cooling, and combined with signs of a further slowdown in the U.S. labor market in November, this has strengthened expectations of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting scheduled for next week. Meanwhile, expectatio…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Regulators in Washington on Thursday cleared a major step that lets Americans trade spot Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies on federally registered exchanges for the first time. According to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, listed spot crypto products may now be offered on exchanges registered with the agency, a move announced on December 4, 2025. Regulated Spot Trading Begins The action comes from a CFTC press release labeled Release No. 9145-25 and that the change allows spot crypto contracts to be listed on futures exchanges that are registered with the CFTC. The regulator said its rules now permit such listings to trade under the oversight and surveillanc…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The EUR/USD currency pair began a new upward attempt on Tuesday and continued it with moderate success on Wednesday. It's difficult to definitively state whether Jerome Powell's remarks or Donald Trump's latest escalation toward China were the precise catalysts for the dollar's decline—but it's likely. Over recent weeks, the market has been deliberately ignoring virtually all fundamental and macroeconomic pressure weighing on the dollar. We've repeatedly highlighted how illogical the greenback's resilience has been, so it's not guaranteed that the market has suddenly started reacting to bearish U.S. data. This shift actually began back in the first week of October, when m…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
After a turbulent few days, Bitcoin (BTC) has resumed its downtrend, currently retracing toward $111,000. This marks a 12% decline from its recent peak of $126,000, which raises concerns among market experts who suggest that the bull run may be closer to its end than many investors believe. End Of Bitcoin Bull Cycle Within Nine Days? On October 14, market analyst CryptoBirb, took to social media platform X (formerly Twitter) to assert that the bullish cycle is nearing its conclusion, stating that it may end within the next nine days. He referenced the Cycle Peak Countdown indicator, which suggests that Bitcoin is 99.3% through its current cycle, having lasted 1,058 day…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The trade war, which flared up again last week following Donald Trump's announcement of 100% tariffs on Chinese goods, continues to put pressure on the US dollar. On Thursday morning, the greenback slipped to a low of 98.38, and this may not be the bottom if the uncertainty in US-China relations persists. Here's what we know so far about the conflict — and what markets should expect next. Dollar under pressure: latest currency market trends On Thursday morning, the US dollar index dropped to 98.38 against a basket of major world currencies — a level not seen since spring. The dollar index, which measures the strength of the greenback against six key currencies, fell 0.1…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The global financial system is about to melt down and you’re laughing? .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price-holde…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Monday, trading volume in the British pound was below average. While the price did not rise, it also showed no eagerness to decline. It is clear that the market is awaiting Wednesday's release of the U.K. inflation data before making any decisive moves. On the daily timeframe, the MACD line has moved even closer to the key support level at 1.3369, thereby reinforcing it. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator has been moving sideways for four days. If the price tests the support at 1.3369, there is a high probability of a rebound upward within the ongoing consolidation. On the four-hour timeframe, the 1.3369 level is also reinforced by the MACD line, this time fro…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Strategy for the EuroOn Monday, the test of the 1.1664 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well above the zero line, limiting the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I chose not to buy the euro. The euro came under pressure earlier in the day following weak German Producer Price Index data and failed to recover during the U.S. session. Market participants responded to the negative data, leading to U.S. dollar strength and euro weakness. The absence of significant economic reports from the U.S. meant the euro had no support, and attention has now shifted to the upcoming central bank meetings, which are expected to clarify t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Strategy for the British Pound The test of the 1.3421 level occurred while the MACD indicator was just beginning to rise from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for buying the pound. However, the anticipated strong upward movement failed to materialize. The easing of U.S.–China trade tensions has helped the U.S. dollar strengthen, placing renewed pressure on the British pound. Investors who were previously concerned about further escalation in the trade conflict are now feeling some relief, which has led to capital flows in favor of more stable assets like the U.S. dollar. Improving global trade sentiment has also contributed to the greenback'…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The concept of a price battleground in Bitcoin markets refers to a critical price range where the forces of buying and selling pressure are in a fierce and decisive contest. This is where the outcome is expected to determine BTC’s overall direction and confirm a continuation of a bull market or bear market correction. Why This Zone Will Define Bitcoin’s Next Expansion Phase In an X post, an institutional-grade reporter, Bitcoin Vector, has highlighted that BTC has entered its decisive battleground between $110,000 and $115,000, which could determine the trajectory of the entire cycle. In the past week, spot demand, which is the engine of sustained rallies, was notably we…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Advice for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 152.53 price in the first half of the day occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving upward from the zero mark. This confirmed a correct entry point for buying the dollar, which resulted in a 25-point rise in the pair. On the eve of key events, the market is in a state of tense anticipation. The U.S. housing sales report, while important, temporarily loses relevance as traders focus on predicting the Federal Reserve's next moves. The main question determining the future of interest rates is inflation dynamics — whether it is slowing or remaining stable. The speeches by Barr and Bowman will…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Western Union facilitates the movement of billions of dollars every year. As of October 27, the payment and remittance processor had a market cap of over $2.9Bn, generating over $1Bn in adjusted revenue in Q3 2025. And now that market share could be shifting onchain, The problem is that, though many users still rely on traditional finance rails to move funds across the world, alternatives are quickly catching up and gnawing market share. A significant threat to Western Union is the emergence and expansion of stablecoin issuers like Tether and Circle. Presently, the stablecoin market stands at over $312Bn. The largest stablecoin issuer, Tether, has minted over $183Bn of…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin edged higher on Sunday as signs of easing US-China trade tensions lifted risk assets, while Strategy’s founder hinted the company kept adding to its Bitcoin holdings. Strategy Keeps Buying Michael Saylor posted a chart on October 26 that uses orange dots to mark recent purchases. The visual cue has become his shorthand for new buys. Based on reports, Strategy added 387 BTC between October 13 and October 20, bringing its total to 640,418 BTC. That number is striking on its own. It shows a steady, deliberate approach to buying even when prices are volatile. Strategy’s disclosed average cost for its Bitcoin stands at $74,010. The company’s moves lately have been …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the Japanese YenThe first test of the price at 152.71 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly down from the zero mark, limiting the downside potential of the pair. The second test of 152.71 took place shortly thereafter while the MACD was in the oversold area, allowing scenario No. 2 for buying the dollar to be realized. As a result, the pair only increased by 40 pips. Demand for the yen returned today after Japan's core consumer price index rose to 2.1% in October, up from 2.0% recorded in September. This suggests the central bank may return to a more hawkish stance on interest rate increases in the near fut…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The European Union must ramp up support for its critical minerals sector and allow greater state intervention to counter China’s rare earth export curbs, the European Initiative for Energy Security (EIES) said Wednesday. In a new report, the EIES urged the EU to earmark “substantial, dedicated” funding for critical minerals in its next budget, drawing from existing energy and decarbonization lines. The group warned that Europe risks falling behind China and the United States, both of which are advancing state-backed mineral strategies. “As China and the US pursue capital-backed political critical minerals agendas, the absence of a comprehensive European financial …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Canadian explorer Collective Mining (TSX, NYSE: CNL) has expanded the footprint of its Apollo system at the Guayabales gold project in Colombia and plans to accelerate exploration with as much as 100,000 metres of drilling before a first resource late next year. The company cut 144.3 metres grading 1.86 grams gold per tonne and 13 grams silver, 0.04% copper and 0.15% zinc from 324.45 metres deep in hole APC105-D5, Collective said on Wednesday. The hole included 48.55 metres at 4.38 grams gold, 21 grams silver, 0.04% copper and 0.28% zinc from 371.4 metres downhole and extended the western boundary of the system by up to 50 metres. Another of the 13 holes reported,…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Hedera’s much-anticipated debut on the New York Stock Exchange through the Canary Capital Hedera ETF (Ticker: HBR) marked a major milestone for the network, positioning it alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum as one of the few cryptocurrencies with a regulated U.S. spot ETF. Related Reading: Dogecoin Whales Quietly Accumulate Over 320 Million Coins — What’s Coming Next? The listing initially sparked optimism, sending HBAR soaring over 25% to $0.2191 as trading volume jumped 328% to $1.12 billion. However, the momentum proved short-lived. Within 24 hours, HBAR has slid nearly 6%, retreating below $0.20. Analysts attribute the decline to profit-taking and broader market cautio…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitget Wallet’s integration with HyperEVM, the Ethereum-compatible smart contract layer powering the Hyperliquid Layer-1 blockchain, has ignited strong momentum across the DeFi sector. The update expands Bitget’s reach to over 80 million users, granting seamless access to Hyperliquid’s deep onchain liquidity, programmable finance features, and cross-chain transfers. The move effectively transforms Bitget Wallet into a major gateway for $HYPE token utilities, staking, and governance. With Hyperliquid’s Total Value Locked (TVL) now surpassing $5 billion, the Layer-1 network continues to attract institutional capital and DeFi builders, strengthening its status among top-…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The EUR/USD currency pair resumed its decline on Thursday, even before the European Central Bank meeting results were announced. Recall that a significant macroeconomic data package was released yesterday in the Eurozone. Could this have caused the euro's decline? Let's analyze. The unemployment rate in Germany remained unchanged, while the number of unemployed decreased by 1,000 against much more pessimistic forecasts. The third-quarter GDP came in at 0%, as anticipated. In the Eurozone, GDP growth was 0.2%, even exceeding forecasts. Despite this fairly neutral information, the euro declined again. As a reminder, the day before, the Federal Reserve announced the results …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
If you’ve been watching crypto news today, you probably felt the sting of this Halloween crypto crash. Bitcoin price has slipped below $108K before slowly climbing back now. ETH USD is falling from the $4K line, and people are wondering if “Uptober” has officially been cancelled. It’s rough out there, no question about it, but history says we’ve seen worse, and every major correction tends to come right before a strong push higher. Part of the panic came after the Fed’s latest 25bps rate cut. Everyone saw it coming, but Chair Powell’s tone afterward was more cautious than expected. If the central banks sound nervous, risk assets usually take a short-term hit. Geopo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Key takeaways Nasdaq 100 uptrend intact: Despite a 1.5% pullback led by Meta on rising AI capex, the index remains supported above key short-term levels of 25,745–25,800.Treasury volatility supports equities: Compressed U.S. Treasury volatility, reflected in the MOVE Index, continues to reinforce risk-on sentiment and short-term equity momentum.Tech earnings drive futures rebound: Strong after-hours results from Apple and Amazon lifted Nasdaq futures, while technical signals, including an hourly RSI breakout, point to continued short-term upside. The US stock market retreated for a second straight session on Thursday, 30 October 2025, led by the Nasdaq 100’s 1.5% d…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Fed cut interest rates to 3.75–4.00% for the second time but signaled a more cautious stance going forward, with growing internal divisions and uncertainty due to the U.S. government shutdownBank of Japan held rates at 0.5% but indicated a potential rate hike in December, driven by persistent inflation and rising wage pressures, despite political support for low ratesJapanese yen weakened against the U.S. dollar following the BoJ decision, with USD/JPY moving higher as markets priced in divergent monetary policy paths The Federal Reserve of the United States cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the second time in a row, bringing the target range down to 3.75–4.00%…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave pattern on the 4-hour EUR/USD chart has changed — unfortunately, not for the better. It's still too early to conclude that the upward trend segment has ended, but the recent decline in the euro has made it necessary to adjust the wave structure. Now, we see a series of corrective formations. It can be assumed that they form part of the larger wave 4 within the current upward trend. In that case, wave 4 has taken on an unusually extended form, but the overall integrity of the wave pattern remains intact. The construction of the upward trend segment continues, while the news background still mostly fails to support the dollar. The trade war launched by Donald Trump…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP has been a top performer during this recent bull market, beating Ethereum and almost all other cryptocurrencies in ROI. But could a recent bearish signal suggest the top altcoin could drop by 70-80% from current levels? XRP Triggers Bearish Crossover of Monthly LMACD Aside from Bitcoin, altcoins haven’t fared well during this recent bull market cycle in crypto. XRP, however, has done extremely well, even outperforming BTC at times. But as Bitcoin itself begins to struggle with selling pressure, XRP has triggered a high timeframe bearish signal that could also point to the end of the ongoing rally. XRPUSD has triggered its third-ever bearish crossover of the LMACD…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
