Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Overview: The US dollar is trading with a firmer bias today but is mostly within yesterday's range. There are four developments to note. First, China's October data mostly disappointed, but the PBOC set the dollar's reference rate at a new low since October 2024. Second, the UK government reportedly has shifted strategies to focus on bracket thresholds and narrow tax increases rather than violate campaign promises. Sterling is trading in the middle of yesterday's ranges, while Gilts have been sold. Third, the numerous Fed officials that have spoken over the last couple of days have seen the market pullback expectations of a Fed cut next month to slightly less than 50%. Fo…
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⦁ GBP outlook has turned bearish: Sticky inflation, slowing growth, and tight fiscal prospects tilt risks to the downside despite earlier stability versus G10. ⦁ BoE likely to cut once more, then pause: After a split August 25 bp cut, a single 25 bp cut in November is plausible, with futures sceptical about further easing. ⦁ Inflation is persistent and services-led: Core ~3.8% y/y; services ~5% y/y; broad pricing pressure and elevated expectations keep disinflation progress limited. Recent performance and policy signals For most of 2025 sterling was broadly stable against the G10 basket despite a marked weakening of the US dollar and a modest strengthening of the euro.…
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Sterling Metals (TSXV: SAG) shares doubled after the Canadian explorer said it discovered a new high-grade copper zone at the past-producing Soo project in Ontario. Drill hole MEPS-25-02 cut 68 metres grading 1.39% copper, 1.83 grams gold per tonne and 8.46 grams silver from 179 metres depth, Sterling said Monday in a statement. This included 9 metres at 6.8% copper, 13.2 grams gold and 46.26 grams silver from 215 metres downhole. Results from MEPS-25-02 include the highest copper and gold grades encountered to date at Soo, Sterling said. Results from another hole, MEPS-25-01, are pending. “This discovery clearly indicates the potential for a giant magmatic hy…
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Bitcoin is struggling to find support after losing the $85,000 level and plunging to $81,000, marking its weakest point since early spring. Bulls have clearly lost control of the trend, and fear now dominates the market, with sentiment rapidly shifting from caution to outright panic. Many traders are calling for a confirmed bear market, while others argue the move is an orchestrated shakeout designed to flush out weak hands before the next macro leg. Amid the chaos, top analyst Axel Adler shared new insights that highlight a structural shift beneath the surface. Until just yesterday, short-term holders (STHs) appeared relatively stable despite the correction. However, t…
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In a livestream on June 15, crypto analyst Cantonese Cat delivered a firm verdict on XRP’s prolonged consolidation: don’t be fooled by the sideways drift. Despite trading in a tight range for over half a year, the chart veteran argued XRP is building energy for a powerful move, one that could take it as high as $6 to $8 once it breaks out of its multi-month technical cage. XRP To $8? “This thing has been going sideways for seven months,” he said. “But the entire time, it’s just hugging this GAN line.” He referred to a long-standing monthly Gann arc structure that XRP has been grinding against since late 2024. In his interpretation, the repeated tests of that arc—combined…
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A fresh promise of “tariff dividend” checks is colliding with a near-record Bitcoin, setting up a Q4 test of how fiscal headlines move crypto. According to Reuters, the White House is considering rebate checks of $1,000 to $2,000 per person funded by tariff revenue, an idea President Donald Trump described as a “dividend to the people” in a recent interview. The comments arrive as Bitcoin trades near record highs and US spot BTC ETFs draw steady inflows. This proposal has emerged this week in a One America News interview, with broader coverage, but no bill and no Treasury structure has been published. Markets are considering whether such rebates, were they to be …
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Market movements during risk-off events can be particularly challenging for traders, underscoring the critical need for thorough preparation, both in terms of chart levels and mental fortitude, to effectively navigate this volatility. US stock indices are currently paring their overnight declines, though prices have yet to reclaim their previous day's highs. This rebound follows the release of better-than-expected University of Michigan consumer sentiment data, which came in at 63 against an expectation of 53.5 (up from last month's 52.2 reading). Notably, year-ahead inflation expectations were revised down significantly, from 6.6% last month to 5.1%. In the commodities c…
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At the end of the previous day, American stock indices closed higher. The S&P 500 rose by 0.41%, while the Nasdaq 100 added 0.30%. The industrial Dow Jones climbed by 0.18%. Today, futures for American stock indices fell, as the deadline to prevent a government shutdown expired. This disrupted the operations of one of the country's largest employers and threatened to delay the publication of key economic data. This has created an atmosphere of uncertainty in financial markets, where investors are already worried about interest rate prospects and a slowdown in economic growth. A delay in the release of economic reports, such as the employment report, could make it mor…
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Stock Market Meltdown Triggers Outside Week Key Reversals Stock market live While the average retail investor might view Friday’s (October 10, 2025) U.S. stock market selloff as a classic buy-the-dip opportunity, technical traders may see it very differently. The sharp drop to end the week created outside week key reversal patterns in major indices. A potentially important warning signal after months of relentless gains. What Is an Outside Week Key Reversal? An outside week key reversal is a classic technical analysis pattern that can mark the transition from an existing trend to a possible reversal. It forms when: The current week’s high exceeds the prior week’s h…
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Writing some hours after the New York open, U.S. equities are mixed in performance today. The Dow Jones is currently trading -0.02% lower for the day, at around ~$44,557 The S&P 500 is currently trading 0.22% higher for the day, at around ~$6,220 The Nasdaq-100 is currency trading 0.54% higher for the day, at around ~$22,635 close Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30USD), OANDA, TradingView, 02/07/2025 …
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As a result of last Friday, stock indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 increased by 0.13%, while the Nasdaq 100 fell by 0.21%. The industrial Dow Jones strengthened by 0.16%. The indices rose while Treasury bonds declined, as hopes for an agreement to end the longest government shutdown in US history boosted sentiment after a week of instability during which investors grappled with concerns over high valuations in the AI sector. Investors reacted with relief to news of progress in the negotiations, believing that the resumption of government operations would help avoid negative economic impacts that could exacerbate recession risks. Optimism over the prospect of stabil…
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Yesterday, US stock indices ended mixed. The S&P 500 rose by 0.06%, while the Nasdaq 100 declined by 0.26%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped by 0.68%. Global index futures continued their three-day rally, approaching record highs after President Donald Trump signed legislation to end the longest government shutdown in US history. This move breathed new life into the markets, weary from the political uncertainty prevailing in Washington. Investors, who had long stayed on the sidelines due to concerns over the impact of the partial government closure on the economy, rushed back into the market, causing a surge in demand for stocks and other risk assets. The opt…
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Last Friday, US equity indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 edged down 0.05%, while the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.49%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.49%. At the start of this week, the indices remain close to all-time highs, as investors focus on the upcoming Federal Reserve decision on monetary policy. The global equity index held steady after closing at its highest on Friday. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index pared gains after briefly closing above its previous record from February 2021. Chinese indexes advanced 0.4%, despite weak data on manufacturing and consumption. French 10-year bond futures fell after Fitch Ratings downgraded France's credit rating from AA- to…
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US equity indices closed higher yesterday, with the S&P 500 up 0.47% and the Nasdaq 100 adding 0.44%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.11%. Indices continued to notch record highs, while gold rose to a new peak as investors maintained bets that the Federal Reserve will ease monetary policy this week. The committee's two-day meeting begins today, with a rate decision to follow. Market sentiment is fueled by expectations that the Fed—faced with slowing economic growth and persistent inflation—may reconsider its policy stance. Some analysts are even suggesting the possibility of a more aggressive rate cut in the near future, which would be a strong catalyst f…
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US equity indices closed lower yesterday, with the S&P 500 down 0.13% and the Nasdaq 100 slipping 0.07%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.27%. Futures on major indices are fluctuating between minor gains and losses ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision, as investors speculate that the central bank may lower rates for the first time this year. Ahead of the Fed meeting, many traders are taking a cautious stance, waiting for clearer signals on the central bank's next steps. The market appears to be holding its breath, bracing for a potential catalyst that could trigger a sharp move up or a significant downturn in the major indices. In addition, geopoli…
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US stock indices closed mixed at the end of yesterday's session. The S&P 500 fell by 0.10%, while the Nasdaq 100 declined by 0.43%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, however, gained 0.57%. Futures on US and European stock indices are rising, indicating a recovery in confidence following the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates. Although questions regarding the pace of future policy easing remain unresolved. The S&P 500 futures advanced by 0.4%, and the Nasdaq 100 futures climbed by 0.6%, after the underlying indices edged lower post-Fed announcement. Treasury bonds partially recovered their losses, and the dollar strengthened for a second consecutive…
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Last Friday, US equity indices closed higher, with the S&P 500 up 0.49% and the Nasdaq 100 gaining 0.72%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.47%. Asian indices moved higher, following the rally on Wall Street, while Japanese stocks advanced after concerns eased about the Bank of Japan's plans to divest its large ETF holdings. The regional MSCI equity index rose 0.2%, and the Nikkei 225 jumped 1.6%. The yen weakened against the dollar, typically benefiting exporters. The dollar advanced 0.1%, marking a fourth consecutive day of gains. US Treasuries eased slightly, with the 10-year yield up one basis point to 4.14%. Oil climbed 0.6% after last week's small declin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
At the end of yesterday's trading session, stock indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 fell by 0.09%, while the Nasdaq 100 rose by 0.13%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 0.38%. Asian stock indices showed a mixed performance as investors await further guidance regarding the Federal Reserve's position in its final interest rate decision of the year. Shares of Chinese real estate companies rose amid optimism about potential government support. US equity futures remained virtually unchanged. Silver continued its upward trajectory, while Australian bonds saw increased selling pressure following a hawkish central bank decision on Tuesday. The price of US Treasury…
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Recently suffering a loss of 2.50% only six days ago, the Dow Jones 30 edges 0.22% in today’s session, erasing losses from Friday’s trading. Trading around ~$46,428, the Dow Jones now looks for support to continue the recent rally, albeit currently lagging behind its US equity counterparts. What’s next? zoom_out_map Dow Jones 30 (green), S&P 500 (blue) & Nasdaq-100 (yellow) OANDA, TradingView, 16/10/2025 Dow Jones …
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Trading at around ~$44,500 deep into the New York session, the Dow Jones 30 (DJIA) remains relatively unchanged in today’s trading, up +0.22%, and looks for direction midway through earnings season. Otherwise, the benchmark S&P 500 is virtually unchanged at +0.01% in today's trading, while the Nasdaq-100 is down -0.44%. Dow Jones 30 (DJIA): Key takeaways from today’s session Trading in a period of consolidation since early July, markets keenly await the release of big tech earnings later this week, to include Alphabet (GOOG), Intel (INTC) and Tesla (TSLA) While some companies have already beaten Q2 expectations, the impact of elevated interest rates, ongoing geopol…
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As of yesterday's close, major US stock indices ended lower. The S&P 500 fell by 0.50%, while the Nasdaq 100 lost 0.50%. The industrial Dow Jones retreated by 0.38%. Global equities continue to slide for the fourth straight day, as concerns over high valuations and mixed signals from Federal Reserve officials regarding interest rates have dampened investor sentiment. Traders are digesting the latest economic data and Fed commentary as they try to gauge the future course of monetary policy. Uncertainty is mounting due to diverging opinions within the Fed about the timing and scope of future rate cuts. Some officials emphasize the importance of further data analysis b…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for November 17 Markets opened the week on some fragile risk-sentiment to continue what has been going on since the end-October price peaks. Cryptocurrencies have led the risk-unwinding. Bitcoin plunged to its lowest level since early May, trading around $92,000 at the close. This action, marking a multi-month low, is starting to scare investors, particularly the most leveraged ones. Today's drop was not just surrounded by Tech and AI names. The Dow Jones also took a severe hit, shedding 550 points, closing down 1.2%. Sectors that had performed solidly last week, like Financials, Consumer Defensive, and Energy, got…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for November 10. This week opened on some false hopes for an early conclusion of the US government shutdown after what were described as productive US Senate discussions this past Sunday. Unfortunately, those initial hopes did not materialize, but there is light at the end of the tunnel. We are now on the 40th day of the shutdown, and the pressure is mounting. The airport situation in the US is becoming disastrous, with more than 1,000 flights seeing delays due to a critical shortage of air traffic controllers. Nonetheless, prediction markets remain optimistic, currently pricing a 92% chance that the shutdown will …
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The US Dollar is enjoying a broadly positive day after a relentless stumble throughout the past week. A green start to the week in Equity Indices is seeing follow-through in this morning session. The Nikkei is once again leading all indices as the 2025 BOJ-IMES Conference is continuing, driving up sentiment across all asset classes. Winners in a Risk-On Market The BOJ-IMES conference in Tokyo has had quite an influence on the current day, as the Nikkei has been leading all indices since the beginning of the week, dragging up sentiment - The index is up 3.74% on the day. Recent comments by the Japanese Minister of Finance Kato have weakened the ye…
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Yesterday's session offered quite a positive rewind after what had been a rough start to the month. The powerful uptrends are still technically dominant in the global stocks' impressive yearly explosion, but ever since their first appearance at the big surprise in the August NFP, it seems that sellers are trying to make a decisive appearance again. The underlying technical background for equities has largely stayed positive: strong fundamental value underpinned by roughly 80% of reporting US firms showing growth, combined with a projected dovish path from the Fed while the economy stands solid, had fueled exactly what the bulls needed to close last month at new highs. …
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