Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Today, the EUR/USD pair attempted to continue its upward movement, but so far without success, as the U.S. dollar's pullback stalled following a Bloomberg report indicating that the end of the U.S. government shutdown is approaching. A group of centrist Democrats in the Senate reached an agreement to support the resumption of government operations and fund key departments and agencies for the upcoming year. The agreement ensures that federal employees will be paid and allows states to resume previously delayed transfers. Some departments will receive funding through January 30, while others will be funded for the entire upcoming fiscal year. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The situation is moving toward a temporary end to the "shutdown," but what does this bode for the dollar? At first glance, everything seems fine. The "shutdown" is coming to an end, the economy will stop losing billions of dollars, and government employees will start receiving their salaries. But is everything so clear-cut? It should be noted that the dollar has felt quite good throughout the "shutdown," so I would not expect a new strengthening from it now. However, further deductions allow for the possibility of a serious decline in the American currency. First, the wave analysis still indicates that an upward trend section is being built. The U.S. dollar has exceeded i…
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Dogecoin’s technical momentum is “back in the conversation,” with a revived pathway to $1 if current conditions hold, according to crypto analyst VisionPulsed in a November 10 video breakdown focused on DOGE’s structure and momentum profile. While he repeatedly underscored uncertainty around ultimate cycle timing, the analyst said Dogecoin has “reclaimed the uptrend,” adding that the macro uptrend looks broken but the summer uptrend is “valid technically,” especially when viewed on the weekly chart. Dogecoin To $1 Still Possible? VisionPulsed framed the setup as binary for risk takers: “Dogecoin’s road to the bull” if momentum confirms, versus a “path to the pig” near $0…
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Block, the payments firm led by Jack Dorsey, has rolled out a new Bitcoin payments option that is available to about 4 million Square merchants, allowing businesses to accept Bitcoin at checkout and offering promotional fee relief to sellers. Reports have disclosed the rollout began on November 10, and it targets Square’s existing merchant base in the US. Block Enables Bitcoin For Merchants According to company notices and trade reporting, merchants can accept Bitcoin payments directly at the point of sale, with transactions able to settle over the Lightning Network to speed up confirmation times. The feature also includes automatic conversion options so sellers can ch…
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At the moment, the USD/JPY pair has paused around the 154.00 psychological level, facing resistance at 154.50 on its way toward 155.00. A sustained move above the horizontal barrier at 154.50 would provide new momentum for the bulls. Given that the daily chart oscillators remain firmly in positive territory and are still far from the overbought zone, spot prices are likely to aim for a breakout above the psychological 155.00 level. The bullish momentum could extend further toward 155.60, before the pair reaches the 156.00 round level. On the other hand, a pullback below the 154.00 level could be seen as a buying opportunity within the 153.60–153.50 level. This would help …
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XRP is once again making headlines after a top crypto research firm issued a bold forecast, declaring it “the fastest horse” on the next bull market rally. The statement has reignited enthusiasm across the XRP community, with many investors and traders agreeing despite the token’s history of volatility and past declines. Sistine Research Sees Major Shift For XRP Market analysis platform Sistine Research has shared its outlook on X social media, saying XRP is the best-looking major digital asset in the current market cycle. The firm described XRP as the fastest mover following recent government developments that are expected to reshape the interaction between digital ass…
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The American stock market began the week on a down note. Futures for the S&P 500 declined moderately on November 11, reflecting cautious investor sentiment. After a series of tumultuous trading days, the market seems to be pausing to digest several conflicting signals: local successes in the global economy, inflationary pressures in the U.S., and political instability. All of this creates a complex but intriguing trading backdrop—filled with nerves but also opportunities. Politics and Economy: A Temporary RespiteU.S. authorities have avoided a new crisis: Congress has extended government funding through January 30, temporarily easing the threat of a shutdown. However…
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Bitcoin price failed to recover above $107,000. BTC is trimming gains and might could continue to move down if it trades below $102,500. Bitcoin started a fresh decline after it failed to clear $107,000. The price is trading below $105,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $104,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it settles below the $102,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Trims Gains Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above $105,000. BTC recovered above the $105,500 and $106,000 resistance levels. However, the bears remained active near…
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XRP price started a decent increase above $2.50. The price is now correcting some gains might aim for another increase if it stays above the $2.320 level. XRP price started a downside correction from the $2.580 zone. The price is now trading near $2.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.440 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it clears $2.50. XRP Price Trims Some Gains XRP price started a decent upward move above $2.420 and $2.50, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price gained pace for a clear move above the $2.550 resistance. …
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Despite agreeing to relax its export controls on rare earths, China is now preparing a new licensing regime that would continue to restrict shipments to US military-linked firms, The Wall Street Journal reported on Wednesday. According to sources cited by WSJ, the Chinese government plans to launch a “validated end-user” (VEU) framework that would vet companies with no ties to US defense contractors to receive faster export approvals for rare earths and other sensitive materials, while keeping tighter scrutiny over dual-use exports. The new system is designed to let Chinese leader Xi Jinping honor his pledge to US President Donald Trump to ease the flow of strateg…
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The wave pattern for GBP/USD continues to indicate the formation of an upward trend segment (see lower chart). However, in recent weeks it has taken on a complex and ambiguous shape (see upper chart). The pound has fallen too sharply, which makes the trend segment beginning on July 1 look uncertain. This section can be viewed as wave 4 — or even as a global corrective wave, since it exhibits a corrective rather than impulsive internal structure. The same applies to its sub-waves. Therefore, despite the prolonged correction, I believe the upward trend remains intact. The downward wave pattern that began on September 17 has taken the form of a five-wave structure a–b–c–d–e …
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The GBP/USD currency pair has once again settled below the moving average line on Wednesday and now risks falling even lower. Despite the pair's decline over the past nearly two months, largely without significant reasons and justifications, we still view this movement as a correction. In other words, we do not see any prospects for the dollar while Trump remains the president of the United States. Even the break of the price out of the sideways channel on the daily timeframe has not prompted us to change our stance. The British pound has had nearly 5% more reasons to decline over the past month and a half compared to the euro, which has had virtually none. The euro has r…
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EUR/USD is trading around 1.1614 after reaching the 7/8 Murray level and the 200 EMA. We can observe on the H4 chart that the euro is breaking through these resistance levels and is likely to continue rising to reach the top of the ascending channel around 1.1655. In the past, the euro has struggled to stay above 1.1600. This level has now become support as the price has broken through it. EUR/USD is likely to continue rising in the coming days to fill the gap left around 1.1740. If a consolidation occurs above the 7/8 Murray level, the outlook could be positive for the euro, and any pullback will be seen as an opportunity to take long positions. However, we must be very …
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[Uniswap] Although the EMA has not yet formed a Death Cross, but with the RSI position at the Neutral-Bearish level, Uniswap has the potential to weaken and fall to its nearest support level. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 8.446 2. Resistance. 1 : 7.998 3. Pivot : 7.726 4. Support. 1 : 8.446 5. Support. 2 : 7.006 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of Uniswap breaks down and closes below 8.446, it may continue its decline to 7.006. Momentum Extension Bias: If 7.006 is breached, Uniswap could continue weakening to 6.558. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is contained if Uniswap strengthens and breaks above 8.446. Techni…
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Analysis of Transactions and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe price test at 154.66 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move up from the zero mark, which allowed buying the dollar in line with the trend. However, after a rise of 10 pips, pressure on the pair returned. Despite a slight strengthening of the yen, Japan's economy is expected to contract in the third quarter of this year, marking the largest decline in several years. GDP data will be released next Monday. If this happens, it will provide Prime Minister Sanae Takachi an opportunity to prepare a significant economic stimulus package, which will likely weaken the Japanese yen against the U.S. d…
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Easy trades that pay well How to Identify and Trade a Liquidating Market Easy trades that pay well A liquidating market occurs when traders are focused on exiting positions and not adding new ones. Instead of fresh buying or selling to build positions, the dominant flow consists of participants rushing to get out, creating sharp, often relentless price moves. In today’s environment, this behavior has been especially visible in U.S. equities, including the NASDAQ 100. After reaching record highs fueled by AI enthusiasm, tech-sector strength, and expectations of a December Fed rate cut, sentiment shifted quickly. Concerns about stretched valuations and mixed signals from …
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Endolith, a US biotech startup that aims to use AI to revolutionize the metals recovery process, announced this week it has raised $13.5 million in seed funding amid a growing national focus on critical minerals. This initial Series A funding was backed by investors with a national-security focus, with Baltimore-based Squadra Ventures leading the way. Also participating in the funding round were Draper Associates, Collaborative Fund and Overture Climate Fund. Endolith is currently developing an AI-guided process that uses microbes to extract copper and other critical minerals from low-grade and complex ores. This method, the Denver-based startup said, could offer …
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Solana is evolving faster than most market participants realize, and it has been celebrated for its blistering speed and low transaction costs. The BIT narrative movement within the SOL ecosystem is quietly driving a core evolution of the platform, cementing the network’s position as a leading blockchain. How BIT Is Reshaping The Solana Infrastructure BIT is quietly becoming one of Solana’s most underrated narratives right now. An analyst known as CryptoDoc has revealed on X that Bitdealernet is building an asset-backed meme launchpad, where every token launch on their platform is tied to real iGaming products with millions of active players. The project has integrate…
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The recent Bitcoin price crash below the $100,000 psychological level has fueled a new wave of bearish predictions, yet not everyone is convinced that a deeper decline is imminent. While many traders expect a correction to $92,000, one analyst has rejected the idea of a price breakdown, insisting that Bitcoin still has unfinished upside potential before any significant retracement Why The Bitcoin Price Won’t Decline To $92,000 Crypto analyst @YazanXBT has become one of the loudest voices negating the increasingly popular $92,000 crash target for Bitcoin. The analyst took to X social media on November 13 to inform the crypto community that, rather than a drop to $92,000, …
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Tuesday, the market, from the level of 1.1590 (yesterday's daily candle close), may continue moving downward toward the target of 1.1556 – a historical support level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may possibly retrace upward to test the 23.6% retracement level at 1.1574 (yellow thin line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: indicator analysis – down;volumes – down;candlestick analysis – down;trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;weekly chart – down.Overall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.1590 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may begin a downward moveme…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British Pound The price test at 1.3165 occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had just begun moving upward from the zero line, which confirmed a correct buy-entry point for the pound. As a result, the pair rose by only 10 points before pressure on the pound returned. Due to the lack of important U.K. statistics, the British pound continued to trade within a sideways channel. However, despite the current stability, experts note growing uncertainty surrounding the Bank of England's future monetary policy and the budget set to be presented on November 26. Inflationary risks, although showing signs of slowing, still remain abov…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair continued trading within the horizontal channel of 1.3110–1.3186 on Tuesday. Today, a new rebound of quotes from the 161.8% retracement level at 1.3110 will work in favor of some growth toward the 127.2% Fibonacci level at 1.3186. A rebound from 1.3186 will favor a slight decline toward 1.3110. One can count on continued growth only after the quotes consolidate above the 1.3186 level. The wave situation remains "bearish." The new upward wave has not yet broken the previous peak, while the last downward wave (which formed over three weeks) broke the previous low. The fundamental backdrop in recent weeks has been negative for the U.S…
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On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair continued a weak downward movement and consolidated below the 61.8% retracement level at 1.1594. Thus, the decline in quotes may continue toward the next 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1517. A consolidation of the pair above 1.1594 would work in favor of the euro and a resumption of growth toward the resistance zone of 1.1645–1.1656. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last upward wave did not break the peak of the previous wave, while the last completed downward wave broke the previous low. Thus, the trend remains "bearish." Bullish traders have moved into offense, but they must maintain momentum for the "bulli…
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Bitcoin is trading at critical price levels as the market enters one of its most tense and uncertain stages of the year. The crypto market is showing clear signs of stress, and new data from CryptoQuant confirms that Bitcoin is now moving into one of the most severe short-term capitulation phases of this cycle. According to the latest on-chain metrics, short-term holders (STHs) are realizing losses at a scale typically seen only near major market turning points. The key indicator driving this analysis is STH-SOPR, which has plunged to deeply depressed readings around 0.97. This means STHs are selling coins at a clear loss, often driven by fear rather than strategy. Even…
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Bitcoin price found support near $88,500. BTC is now correcting some losses but faces many hurdles near $92,500 and $93,500. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below $93,000 and $92,500. The price is trading below $93,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $93,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it settles below the $90,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Hurdles Bitcoin price failed to stay in a positive zone above the $92,000 level. BTC bears remained active below $92,000 and pushed the price lower. The bears gained strength and were able t…
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