Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
16174 tópicos neste fórum
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The upcoming week promises to be quite eventful for the British pound. It is important to note that the bulk of the United Kingdom's key economic data is traditionally released around the middle of each month. The wave count for GBP/USD has also become more complex due to the recent decline in price, and now shows a pattern of three consecutive three-wave structures. In this regard, the wave configurations of the pound and the euro currently align fully, which is a positive development. We are now observing the third wave taking shape in the current structure. At the same time, recent developments in macroeconomic news have not provided a reason for the broad strengthenin…
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The euro continues to develop a third consecutive three-wave structure, suggesting that the instrument's decline may be nearing completion. Of course, any corrective structure can become more complex at any moment, because it is the market participants—not wave theory—that ultimately determine the direction of movement. However, if we consider only the simplest wave patterns (as I always emphasize), we are already observing the absence of a clear trend and the presence of a three-wave correction. Consequently, a resumption of the upward trend may begin as early as next week. The news backdrop also favors continued strengthening of the euro. It is worth noting that for mos…
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On Friday, gold attracted buyers amid expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut borrowing costs two more times this year. Fed Chair Jerome Powell did not provide any new policy signals, but the minutes of the FOMC's September meeting, released Wednesday, confirmed ongoing concerns about inflation. Despite this, traders still largely expect two additional rate cuts by the Fed before the end of the year. The U.S. government shutdown continues into its second week, with no progress on a funding agreement. On Thursday, the Senate rejected competing budget proposals for the seventh time and does not plan further votes until next week, when the upper chamber is expect…
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It is also worth noting that on November 1, a meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping was scheduled to take place in the United Arab Emirates. The offended U.S. president stated that, following recent events, he was unsure whether meeting with the Chinese leader was necessary. However, he later added that "he will be there anyway." Therefore, I am inclined to believe that the two leaders will hold a personal conversation after all, but the results may not meet the expectations of many optimistic market participants. Everything Trump is doing in 2025 is aimed solely at generating additional profit and dividends. Trump is willing to cut costs at the expense of his own p…
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To understand the essence of this renewed conflict, it is essential to note that China leads globally in the production of various rare-earth metals and materials, which are widely used in the automotive, aerospace, and technology industries. Previously, China conducted an antitrust investigation against Qualcomm, a U.S. technology firm, and also expressed intentions to impose port fees on American vessels. China, which was previously forced to return to the negotiating table with Trump in an attempt to restore trade blocked by triple-digit tariffs introduced by both sides, continues to push back, refusing to become a second European Union or Japan. It is worth recalling …
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It is quite possible that demand for the U.S. dollar would have continued to grow modestly without any strong justification. But on Friday evening, Donald Trump announced on his social media platform, TruthSocial, the introduction of additional tariffs on all imports from China. All market participants know that the trade standoff between China and the U.S. began during Donald Trump's first presidential term. It was then that Washington first imposed tariffs on Chinese imports, sparking a year-and-a-half-long negotiation over a trade deal. Trump began his second term with another trade war—this time targeting the entire world—since it's now hard to find a country on the p…
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Binance said it will compensate a group of users affected by Friday’s extreme market swings that caused three major tokens to lose their peg and trigger forced liquidations. The exchange confirmed on Saturday, Oct. 11, that users who held Ethena’s USDe, BNSOL, or WBETH as collateral on its platform between 21:36 and 22:16 UTC on Oct. 10 will receive compensation. During that 40-minute window, prices for those assets briefly diverged from their benchmarks, prompting automatic liquidations. What Triggered the $19 Billion Liquidation Across Global Exchanges? Market Cap 24h 7d 30d …
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Understanding Required Minimum Distributions and Their Impact on Retirement Savings Required Minimum Distributions, or RMDs, are mandatory withdrawals that apply to tax-deferred retirement accounts once you reach the age established by current IRS rules. They are calculated using your account balance and a life expectancy factor, which means the dollar amount generally increases over time. While you are always allowed to take more than the required amount, larger withdrawals can weaken long-term retirement stability because they remove principal that can never be replaced inside a tax-advantaged account. How RMDs Work for IRAs and 401(k)s RMDs apply to most traditional r…
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The recent crypto market crash stunned investors across the globe, but one analyst saw it coming long before it happened. Bitcoin plunged from above $125,000 to briefly below $102,000, and Ethereum dropped to below $3,800, exactly as predicted by popular market commentator Ash Crypto earlier this month. His October 1 post on X warned of a sharp correction meant to liquidate all the bulls before a major rebound in Q4. Now that the dip has played out exactly as he forecasted, Ash Crypto’s outlook for the coming weeks is a powerful rebound phase. The Crash Prediction That Shook ‘Uptober’ The sell-off that sent shockwaves through the industry is a quick change in sentimen…
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The Pentagon has moved to acquire up to $1 billion worth of critical minerals as part of an accelerated stockpiling drive aimed at reducing US dependence on China, the Financial Times reported on Sunday, citing public filings from the Defense Logistics Agency (DLA). According to FT, the Trump administration directed the Defense Department to expand its national stockpile after Beijing tightened export controls on materials crucial to defence and high-tech industries. China dominates global supply chains for many of these metals, including those used in fighter jets, radar systems and smartphones. “They’re definitely looking for more, and they’re doing it in a deli…
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The crypto market has erased more than $19.5 billion in leveraged positions in the past 24 hours, making it the most chaotic 24-hour period in crypto history. This crash, which saw 1.6 million traders forced out of positions, was caused by sudden US tariff announcements on China and amplified by risky leverage across exchanges. Bitcoin alone witnessed a $20,000 daily swing and erased $380 billion in market capitalization in a single day. This liquidation surpassed all previous records by nearly tenfold, surpassing records set during the FTX collapse and the March 2020 crash. Liquidations Ripple Through Entire Crypto Market The most recent crypto market crash took many…
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Tokyo Japanese Politics Tokyo Japanese Politics The long-time junior coalition partner Komeito indicating it will leave the coalition with the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP). It has thrown Japanese politics and prospects for Sanae Takaichi to become Japan’s next prime minister into a state of flux. How this plays out could have far-reaching political, legislative, and market implications for Japan. Immediate Political Impacts Loss of Majority in the Diet The LDP–Komeito coalition has governed Japan almost continuously since 1999. Without Komeito’s support, the LDP would lose its majority in both houses of the Diet. It will be creating a major obstacle to confirming a n…
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A crypto selloff triggered by macro tensions wiped out $19.37 billion in leveraged trades in just 24 hours. However, now that the storm has passed and the chips have fallen where they did, let’s look at how the two biggest cryptocurrencies are faring at the moment. But first, a precursor. On 10 October, 2025, US President Trump announced his trade war against China in a response to China restricting rate earth mineral exports. (Source: CoinGecko) He said, “Based on the fact that China has taken this unprecedented position, and speaking only for the U.S.A., and not other Nations who were similarly threatened, starting November 1st, 2025 (or sooner, depending on any fu…
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As an aftermath of the October 10 market crash, where Bitcoin’s price reached levels as low as $101,500, the market is exhibiting a recognizable bearish on-chain structure. While the selling momentum seems to be slowing down, giving a sliver of hope to potential market participants, recent on-chain analysis seems to point towards caution as the more correct sentiment to have in the short term. Realized Profits Climb As High As $2.25 Billion In an October 11 post on social media platform X, technical and on-chain analyst Darkfost revealed that a lot of Bitcoin investors might still be taking profits from their last buys. In the post on X, Darkfost cited results obtain…
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Uh, hm, I haven’t been keeping up and just noticed on CoinGecko that Zora crypto and Zcash are up 300 and 400 percent, respectively over the last few months. What was the news I missed? Should I be getting more? If you’re asking these questions, then this is the article for you: the Weekly Roundup. The upshot is that Crypto Twitter misses everything; Zora and Zcash weren’t discussed there or really anywhere! Here’s what you need to know about the two top tokens trending this week: #1: Is Zora Crypto The New TikTok? Creator Model Draws Major Capital (Source: CoinGecko) The ZORA token, launched in April 2025, remained relatively dormant until July, when its “creator toke…
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After months of debate, Kenya’s parliament has passed the country’s first comprehensive crypto legislation. VASP will be key in driving adoption and creating a regulatory framework for crypto businesses in the country. In Uganda, an initiative to launch the country’s first Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) is going into effect. CBDC continues to lose momentum as stablecoins, like the USDC and USDT, take over Meanwhile, approximately 650,000 crypto merchants in South Africa can now accept Bitcoin payments following the integration of the Lightning Network (LN). The LN scales the Bitcoin mainnet, enabling low-fee transactions. Presently, the Bitcoin Lightning Network h…
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Bitcoin prices are consolidating around $111,000 following the heavy market losses on October 10, due to a trade war between the US and China. The asset’s price is presently down by 9.45% on its weekly chart and also 12.16% away from its all-time high amidst this corrective phase. Bitcoin Logs First Negative Apparent Demand Flip Since July In an X post on October 11, popular market analyst Ali Martinez shares on-chain data that shows that Bitcoin’s apparent demand has recently flipped into negative territory for the first time in three months, suggesting a short-term cooling in investors’ appetite. For context, the apparent demand measures the net amount of Bitcoin be…
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XRP has been through a rollercoaster over the past few days, tumbling in a crash alongside the rest of the crypto market. The crash drove XRP’s price to a flash low of $1.64 before it recovered to $2.36, with volumes surging 164% above the 30-day average. This flash crash created a notable downside wick on XRP’s price chart, which, according to a technical analyst, is reminiscent of a 2017 price structure that suggests that the cryptocurrency is about to enter into a massive rally. XRP 2017 And 2025 Setup Shows Striking Similarities XRP’s recent flash crash has grabbed the attention of a crypto analyst known as ChartNerd on the social media platform X. The analyst drew p…
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In our Crypto Asia News roundup for the week, we see how Asia’s crypto landscape is undergoing a rapid transformation. There is now state-backed innovation happening, strategic partnerships are being made and there is a rising institutional momentum at play. From CBDCs to AI-powered platforms and payment integrations, there is something new happening everyday. Here’s are the big hitters from this week. Crypto News Asia: India Doubles Down On CBDCs India is doubling down on its CBDC program and has maintained its tough stance on private cryptocurrencies. According to a local publication, Union Minister Piyush Goyal announced that the Indian government will intensify its…
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The Ethereum price has struggled to mount any significant bullish pressure since hitting the all-time high of $4,946 in August. The bullish momentum of the second-largest cryptocurrency has mostly waxed and waned, reaching the $4,750 high twice in the past few weeks. After running up to this local peak on Tuesday, October 7, the Ethereum price has been on a steady descent in recent days. This bearish pressure intensified on the close of the week, with the ETH price falling towards $3,700 due to United States President Donald Trump’s tariff imposition on China. Interestingly, a recent technical outlook still points to a possible journey to the $5,000 mark for the altcoi…
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The Bitcoin market suffered a heavy crash on Friday after US President Donald Trump confirmed plans to place a 100% tariff on Chinese goods. The planned order, which was in response to an initial export tax order by the Asian superpower, shook financial markets globally, resulting in total crypto liquidations of $19 billion. However, the market has stabilized in the past few hours with Bitcoin prices now consolidating around $111,000. While investors await the next price movement, a prominent analyst with the X username PlanD has shared two important conditions for the next bullish wave. 2 Important Bitcoin Levels To Watch – Analyst In a recent X post on Saturday, P…
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According to CRYPTOWZRD in a recent post, both Ethereum and ETH/BTC closed the session on a bearish note but quickly recovered, showcasing ETH’s resilience and renewed buyer confidence. He noted that a move above $4,000 would be a crucial development, potentially marking a key turning point for Ethereum’s momentum. Bearish Daily Close Mirrors Bitcoin’s Market Direction CRYPTOWZRD further explained that Ethereum and ETH/BTC’s daily candle bearish close followed Bitcoin’s lead. Despite the negative close, Ethereum displayed relative strength compared to most other cryptocurrencies, maintaining a more resilient structure amid the decline. This reflects the asset’s continued…
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Dogecoin has plunged violently over the past 24 hours, shedding a large chunk of its value in a brutal correction across the entire crypto market. What looked like a hold above $0.25 turned into a fast breakdown that dragged the Dogecoin price to as low as $0.148 within 24 hours. However, technical analysis from crypto analyst Kaleo shows Dogecoin is ready to hit new all-time highs. In a post on X, he doubled down on a remarkably bullish prediction, stating that $6.90 is a “magnet” for Dogecoin. Dogecoin Chart Tells The Story In his post on the social media platform X, Kaleo noted how members of the crypto community are increasingly waking up to see how primed Dogecoin…
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Public Investment Corporation (PIC), South Africa’s state-owned asset management firm, has raised its shareholding in Sibanye-Stillwater (JSE: SSW, NYSE: SBSW) to above 20%, further cementing its states as the miner’s largest investor. In a press release issued Friday, the Johannesburg-based mining group disclosed PIC’s purchase of an additional 2.35% of equity, bringing its total holding to 20.42%. Established in 2013 through the spin-off of a Gold Fields subsidiary, Sibanye-Stillwater currently operates mines across five continents. In addition to precious metals, it also produces nickel, chrome, copper and cobalt. PIC, which has over R3 trillion (approximat…
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Bitcoin appears to be quietly gathering strength beneath the surface. After a healthy pullback that shook out weak hands, the market is showing signs of renewed momentum. Key technical signals suggest this correction may have been a setup for the next major rally, potentially paving the way for a new all-time high. Healthy Correction Within A Dominant Uptrend EtherNasyonaL, in a recent post, highlighted that Bitcoin continues to maintain its upward trajectory despite recent market fluctuations. The analyst described the latest movement as a healthy correction within the broader bullish trend, emphasizing that such retracements are natural in a sustained rally. Followin…
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