Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Bitcoin is currently undergoing a period of downward movement after briefly setting a new all-time high earlier last month. Over the past week, the world’s largest cryptocurrency has declined by nearly 4%, trading at $113,993 at the time of writing. This represents a drop of approximately 7.2% from the peak price of above $123,000 reached in July. The decline has sparked renewed discussion among analysts about the asset’s current price discovery phase and what it could mean for the remainder of 2025. Bitcoin Price Discovery and the Potential for Q4 Gains CryptoQuant analyst Oinonen shared his latest assessment of Bitcoin’s market performance, noting that while the rece…
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XRP price struggled to continue higher above the $3.10 zone. The price is trimming gains and might decline below the $2.90 support. XRP price is correcting gains from the $3.10 zone. The price is now trading below $2.980 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $3.060 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it stays above the $2.880 zone. XRP Price Dips Again XRP price struggled to continue higher above the $3.10 resistance zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price formed a short-term top and started a fresh decline below the $3.00 level. …
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A quant has explained how altcoin inflows into cryptocurrency exchange Binance might act as a leading indicator for the market. Spikes In Binance Altcoin Inflows Tend To Precede Corrections In a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, an analyst has talked about the trend in the altcoin exchange inflows going to Binance. The indicator of relevance here is the “Exchange Inflow Transaction Count,” which measures, as its name suggests, the total number of deposit transactions that investors are making to a given centralized exchange. Below is a chart for the indicator that shows the trend in the altcoin deposits occurring on the various exchanges. As is visible in the graph, the al…
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Ethereum price found support near the $3,400 zone and recovered. ETH is struggling to settle above $3,700 and might dip once again. Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $3,440 and $3,500 levels. The price is trading below $3,620 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $3,620 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it remains supported above the $3,500 zone in the near term. Ethereum Price Dips Below $3,600 Ethereum price started a fresh increase from the $3,365 support zone, beating Bitcoin. ETH price was able to recover above the $3,400 and…
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Ethereum’s price has experienced moderate declines over the past week, dropping around 5% after a period of notable gains in previous months. At the time of writing, ETH is trading near $3,633, fluctuating between the $3,500 and $3,700 range over the past day. This price movement follows a broader market cooling, with many traders engaging in profit-taking after Ethereum’s earlier upward trend. Recent on-chain and derivatives market data suggest that Ethereum may be heading into a consolidation phase. Derivatives Market Data Signals Selling Pressure CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost shared an outlook indicating increased selling pressure and potential short-term weakness in…
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Bitcoin price is struggling to recover above the $116,200 zone. BTC is now consolidating and might decline further below the $112,500 zone. Bitcoin started a fresh decline from the $115,500 zone. The price is trading below $114,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $114,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if it clears the $115,500 resistance zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance Bitcoin price found support near the $112,000 zone and started a recovery wave. BTC was able to climb above the $113,200 and $114,000 resistance levels. The pr…
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The price actions of the Japan 225 CFD Index (a proxy for the Nikkei 225 futures) have staged a recent decline of -5.5% from its intraday high of 42,084 on 24 July 2025 (around 1% away from its all-time high of 42,513, printed in July 2024) to hit a low of 39,980 on 1 August 2025. Right now, we will examine whether the Japan 225 CFD has hit an inflection point or will the corrective decline from the 24 July high will extend further to the downside from a macro and technical analysis perspective. Rising Japanese wages should boost consumer confidence …
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In his August 5 “Macro Monday” livestream, crypto analyst Josh Olszewicz delivered a review of the market’s late-summer state, arguing that while Bitcoin’s price action has gone quiet, the broader cycle remains intact. “We’re in this pocket of seasonal weakness for August and September that we typically see most years,” he explained, pointing to seasonality charts showing that historically, Bitcoin underperforms in this time window. “It’s a high likelihood that August and September is a giant nothing burger,” he added. Is The Bitcoin Bull Run Over? At day 978 of the current cycle, the question many investors are asking, Olszewicz noted, is simple but existential: is the …
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XRP has surged an impressive 35% over the past month, currently trading at $3.05. This bullish momentum is fueled by growing institutional interest, massive whale accumulation, and a long-anticipated regulatory breakthrough in Ripple’s legal battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Investors are increasingly optimistic ahead of the SEC’s expected status report on August 15, which may finally end Ripple’s multi-year lawsuit. This outcome could unlock a flood of institutional adoption and pave the way for XRP spot ETF approvals. With whale wallets scooping up over $60 million in the token recently, market sentiment is turning decisively bullish. Wh…
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Following another rejection from the $120,000 region on July 21, Bitcoin (BTC) is now holding steady around the $115,000 level. However, realized price data suggests that BTC’s surface-level calm may be nearing its end. Old Bitcoin Whales Stop Realizing Gains According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Kripto Mevsimi, Bitcoin whale behavior indicates that the asset may be walking a tightrope. While “old whales” have stopped realizing profits, newer whales remain slightly in the green – though only marginally. Here, old whales refer to large BTC holders who have held the digital asset for more than a year. New whales – including institutional players – are …
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SUI is currently sitting in a prime “sweet spot,” where key structural support meets the VWAP average. This alignment establishes a robust technical foundation, indicating a potential breakout as buyers step in at this critical level. Key Support Level Near Aligning With VWAP Average In a post on X, CryptoPulse drew attention to SUI’s recent price action, noting that the token has pulled back into what is described as a “sweet spot” for potential buying opportunities. The price recently touched the VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) and is currently sitting directly on a critical structural support level around $3.50. This zone has been a key area of interest for t…
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Despite recent bearish pressure in the crypto market, Dogecoin (DOGE) is showing signs of resilience, holding above the crucial $0.18 support level. After slipping below the $0.20 threshold, DOGE continues to attract bullish speculation, particularly as it approaches a critical RSI level on the 4-hour chart. Crypto analyst KrissPax highlights that Dogecoin’s RSI is nearing the same level that triggered a 70% rally in June 2025. Back then, DOGE surged from $0.14 to over $0.24 within a month. With the current RSI trajectory aligning closely with past patterns, traders are watching for a similar uptrend, this time potentially pushing DOGE to $0.34, especially with its hi…
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Log in to today's North American session recap for August 5, 2025. Yesterday's rally in equities was very strong and despite recovering beyond their pre-NFP levels, other assets had shown some discrepancies warranting caution. And these discrepancies did not lie, commodities like Oil and Gold traded the weekly open in lower economic outlook territory (Oil down, Gold up) and the same flows repeated today after the Miss in the US Services PMI – You can access the details of the report right here. It is always essential to look at the broad market picture to get an understanding of what the story of the day is, and yesterday's rebound in Equities really just seems to have…
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On-chain data shows Bitcoin investors who purchased near the price top are choosing to hold even after the latest pullback. Bitcoin Cost Basis Distribution Shows Supply Still Firm Above $118,000 In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed the latest trend in the Cost Basis Distribution Heatmap of Bitcoin. This indicator tells us about how much of the asset’s supply was purchased at the various spot price levels. In on-chain analysis, supply cost basis is considered a key concept, as investor behavior is often more pronounced when the cryptocurrency is trading at or near its acquisition level. When the market mood is bullish, investors in pro…
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Bitcoin mining difficulty has hit the brakes in 2025. For the first time in the network’s history, difficulty is rising at a slow pace and is on track for its slowest annual difficulty growth rate ever recorded. Signals Of Consolidation In The Bitcoin Mining Landscape Bitcoin mining difficulty has risen by 0.5% since June 1st, signaling an extraordinary slowdown in network expansion. According to mining infrastructure firm Blockware’s post on X, the Year-to-Date mining difficulty is up only 16%, which is a stark contrast to prior post-halving years. “2025 is on pace to see the slowest growth in mining difficulty in BTC history,” Blockware added. The mining growth will …
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GBPUSD found intermediate lows at 1.3140, losing close to 7 handles since its June 30 highs. The pound had seen a huge uptrend in 2025, with a 13.57% increase from 1.21, as the year commenced, to its recent top at 1.3790. July changed Forex markets consequently with the Dollar Index retaking some of what it had lost through the first half – After the injurious US Non-Farm Payrolls report from last Friday, the Greenback saw some of its momentary strength evaporate and which allowed the GBP to take a breather from strong selling flows. The Bank of England began a non-continuous rate-cutting cycle, taking their benchmark rate from 5.25% to the current 4.25%. The Central…
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Bitcoin is undergoing a sharp correction after losing the $115K support level, triggering a wave of uncertainty across the market. Following weeks of consolidation in a tight range, BTC has broken down, fueling debates among analysts about the asset’s short-term direction. Some experts warn that Bitcoin could face further declines as investors take profits and sentiment turns cautious. Others maintain a more optimistic view, suggesting that the correction is a healthy pause before BTC makes another attempt to reclaim its all-time highs. Key data from CryptoQuant adds another layer to the analysis. Metrics indicate that Bitcoin is currently in an “overheated” state, with…
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The debate around Bitcoin’s top for this cycle has been a major topic as market participants eye potential peaks later this year. Although some analysts have forecasted a blow-off top in October or November, Quinten Francois, a respected crypto market commentator, strongly disagrees. Drawing from historical data and market psychology, Francois believes that the current bull market is far from over and that expectations for a Q4 2025 top are “just not going to happen.” November Is Too Soon For A Bitcoin Peak Taking to the social media platform X, Bitcoin commentator Quinten argued that any expectations for a full market peak by November completely overlook how previous cy…
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Fortuna Mining (NYSE: FSM; TSX: FVI) has boosted the mineral resource count for its Diamba Sud gold project in Senegal ahead of a preliminary economic assessment (PEA) later this year. The Diamba Sud project now contains 724,000 ounces of gold in indicated resources, a 53% increase on the previous estimate since year-end 2024. The inferred resource also rose by 93% to 285,000 gold ounces. The resource covers seven deposits — Area A, Area D, Karakara, Western Splay, Kassassoko, Southern Arc and Moungoundi — based on drilling data from a total of 1,178 diamond and reverse circulation holes completed since 2019. The update incorporates over 31,000 metres of drill…
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In the face of growing market uncertainty, a Shiba Inu developer, Kaal Dhairya, has spoken out on X about the project’s internal problem and the team’s top priorities. As SHIB begins August with a market dip, slipping further down the crypto rankings, and facing growing competition, Dhairya is drawing attention to the internal struggles holding the ecosystem back. Shiba Inu Primary Challenge Revealed According to Kaal Dhairya, the biggest issue holding Shiba Inu back is not the market, but what’s happening inside the community, highlighting the ongoing splits slowing down SHIB’s development and holding back its progress. He says rather than evaluating projects based on …
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The Swiss Franc has been on a formidable run in 2025, continuing a trend that began when it reached parity with the US Dollar in November 2022. With the American Exceptionalism theme, widening deficits, and growing trade distrust, markets have sought the CHF as a stable hedge against the Greenback. Switzerland’s neutrality in economic and geopolitical affairs—and its low, stable inflation—make it an attractive safe haven, especially in a world facing fresh conflicts. The Franc’s rally to 2011 highs has also been fueled by regional currency trends. Since early 2025, the Euro’s strength has lifted its neighbors, adding tailwinds to the CHF. This trend is actually one t…
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Shares of NextSource Materials (TSX: NEXT) soared on Tuesday as the graphite producer became the designated supplier of anode active materials to Japan’s Mitsubishi Chemical under a multi-year offtake agreement. NextSource — which mines graphite from its Molo project in Madagascar — will supply 9,000 tonnes of intermediate anode materials to Mitsubishi on an annual basis, with an agreed-upon price formula that comprises both a fixed and variable component linked to the mine’s economics. The graphite concentrate, dubbed the SuperFlake, will also go through a qualification process through technical collaboration between the parties to confirm its compliance with spe…
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Ethereum (ETH) has been facing heightened volatility over the past week, following a sharp correction from its recent local high at $3,940 down to $3,360. After weeks of aggressive buying activity and bullish momentum, the market is now showing signs of fatigue. Analysts are growing cautious, with many warning that a deeper correction could be imminent if Ethereum fails to reclaim key support zones. Adding to these concerns, fresh data reveals a significant shift in market dynamics. The taker buy/sell ratio — a key indicator that tracks the aggressiveness of buyers versus sellers — has sharply declined into negative territory today. This signals that sellers are current…
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The Philippines Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has issued an advisory flagging 10 major international cryptocurrency exchanges for operating within the country without necessary licenses. Popular exchanges including OKX, Bybit, KuCoin, Kraken, MEXC, Bitget, Phemex, CoinEx, BitMart and Poloniex made the list. A 4th August 2025 advisory from the SEC said, “These platforms have no license, registration, or authorization from the SEC to operate in the Philippines or to solicit investments from the public.” The Philippines SEC said it will work with Google, Apple and Meta to curb the marketing activities of these unauthorized exchanges. The authorities can al…
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Shares in Fresnillo (LON: FRES) jumped 6% on Tuesday after the Mexican precious metals miner raised its gold production forecast for the year, driven by a strong first-half performance marked by rising profits and solid free cash flow. For the six months ending June 30, gold production rose 16% to 314,000 ounces, fuelled by operational gains at the Herradura mine in Sonora. In contrast, silver output fell 12% year-over-year to 24.9 million ounces, weighed down by mine closures and lower ore grades. The company responded to the performance by revising its full-year guidance. Fresnillo now expects to produce between 550,000 and 590,000 ounces of gold, up from a prev…
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