Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12059 tópicos neste fórum
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The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) lowered the interest rate by a quarter of a point to 2.25%, a decision that fully aligned with expectations. Expectations for further actions from the RBNZ have shifted to a more hawkish stance; not long ago, the market saw a relatively high probability of a 50-basis-point rate cut in November following a disappointing GDP report. However, after the release of third-quarter data and inflation rising to 3%, sentiments changed. As indicated in the meeting minutes, the discussion regarding the appropriateness of lowering the rate no longer involved a 50-basis-point step; rather, the probability of keeping the rate unchanged increased. T…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In recent months, the British pound has been under pressure amid debate over the UK budget for the next financial year. Personally, I do not understand the panic in the markets, and I even allow for the possibility that the pound's decline was not due to uncertainty about the budget and taxes. However, Chancellor Rachel Reeves has repeatedly caused market participants to panic and sell the British currency with her statements about taxes and the budget. Thus, a logical pattern emerges without difficulty. To begin this extensive topic, it is essential to note that the Labour Party promised British voters during the election campaign not to raise taxes. On Wednesday, it bec…
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The cryptocurrency market is currently in a phase of recovery, but it maintains a high degree of volatility and susceptibility to external factors. Prospects will depend on the decisions made by the Federal Reserve and the overall macroeconomic environment. The recovery process is likely to take some time as fundamental economic factors continue to impact the markets. The weakening dollar and the prospect of interest rate cuts from the Fed are contributing to the strengthening of dollar-alternative assets. Earlier expectations suggested a pause in the easing monetary policy, but recent comments from Fed officials Christopher Waller, John Williams, and Mary Daly have inte…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the Japanese Yen Because of low volatility, the price did not reach the levels I indicated during the first half of the day. In the absence of further catalysts that determine price direction, USD/JPY may show consolidation, relying on current support and resistance levels. Traders using intraday strategies can take advantage of this situation to profit from small range-bound fluctuations. However, despite the expected stability in the second half of the day, it is important to remember that unexpected news or geopolitical events can disrupt the balance. Therefore, monitoring the rhetoric and actions of central banks becomes an impor…
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Gold climbed to a six-week high on Monday, although it did not show strong follow-through buying. From a technical perspective, overcoming and sustaining above $4,250 would provide a new stimulus for bulls, opening the path for further gains. With daily chart oscillators in positive territory, gold could surpass intermediate resistance around $4,270 on its way to the round level of $4,300. On the other hand, the Asian session low near the $4,200 round level provides protection against an immediate decline. Any further weakening could be viewed as a buying opportunity, with support likely around $4,180 and $4,150. A decisive break below the latter would trigger technical s…
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For decades, the American dollar has been considered a reliable asset because the U.S. has consistently met its obligations. However, as debts accumulate, the cost of servicing them is rising. Interest payment costs exceed defense spending and account for about 17% of the budget. Meanwhile, the CBO forecasts that the national debt will increase to 129% of GDP by 2034. As a result, investors are accumulating doubts about whether the greenback can continue to serve as a safe-haven asset. Gross and Net Debt of Developed Countries Increasing taxes is an unpopular measure. The only acceptable option to cut budget expenses is to lower the federal funds rate. If it drops to the …
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British Pound The test of the 1.3245 price occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had just begun to move upward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by more than 35 points. News that the UK Services PMI came out higher than economists' forecasts provided significant support for the pound. The impact of positive PMI data on the currency market is quite logical. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion in business activity in the services sector, which in turn signals an overall improvement in the country's economic situation. For traders, this serves as an i…
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Crypto analyst Tony Severino has revealed a historical bearish pattern that could send the Bitcoin price to as low as $42,000. This bearish outlook for BTC comes amid a rebound for the flagship crypto, with a recent surge above the psychological $90,000 level. Bitcoin Price Risks 50% Drop To $42,000 Based On This Pattern In an X post, Severino stated that the Bitcoin price likes to retrace to subwave 3/4 of wave 3/4 of its impulse. Based on this, the analyst indicated that BTC could crash to as low as $42,000 on wave C of this move to the downside. His accompanying chart showed that this decline could happen sometime at the start of next year. This bearish Bitcoin pr…
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Sui (SUI) is drawing renewed market attention after staging one of its strongest breakouts in months, rising sharply at a time when most large-cap altcoins remain range-bound. The latest 31% surge was triggered by a series of developments that converged within days, most notably Coinbase’s approval to offer SUI trading to New York residents, a move that places the token inside one of the most heavily regulated crypto markets in the U.S. The rally also arrived immediately after one of the largest token unlocks of the month, an event that would normally dampen prices but instead saw buyers step in with force. New York Listing Boosts Liquidity and Institutional Demand…
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Yesterday's rebound of gold from the $4160 support level and its subsequent movement to the upside favor the bulls. Nevertheless, before being confident in a continued rise of the precious metal, it would be prudent to wait for confirmation above the strong resistance at $4250. In this case, gold may break the weekly high near $4270 and aim for the round level of $4300. On the other hand, a decline below the round level of $4200 will attract buyers and find solid support ahead of the $4150 level. This level will become a key pivot point — breaking it would push gold down to the round level of $4100, en route to the confluence support zone at $4075, then toward the 50-day …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A sharp rise in crypto liquidations is sending a louder message of how some traders are using more leverage in recent months. Average daily wipeouts have jumped from roughly $28 million in long bets and $15 million in shorts during the last cycle to about $68 million long and $45 million short in the current cycle, according to a new Glassnode and Fasanara report. That shift has made single sell-offs much more violent. Early Black Friday Shock Reports have disclosed that Oct. 10 was the clearest sign of the change. On that day, more than $640 million per hour in long positions were liquidated as Bitcoin plunged from $121,000 to $102,000. Open interest fell about 22% i…
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Solana started a fresh increase above the $135 zone. SOL price is now consolidating above $142 and might aim for more gains above the $145 zone. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $135 and $140 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $140 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $143 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend gains if it clears the $145 resistance zone. Solana Price Gains Momentum Solana price started a decent increase after it settled above the $128 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $135 level to e…
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Charles Schwab plans, the latest twist in US-China trade talks, and the surge tied to the Ethereum Fusaka upgrade all hit the crypto market at the same time today, and the overlap is bullish. These three themes keep showing up today because they’re likely driving most of the movement we’re seeing right now. Fusaka has been the biggest catalyst for Ethereum this week. ETH punched through $3,200 after a fast 4% climb, and the upgrade is now getting credit for the bump. Ethereum Fusaka expanded blob capacity sharply through PeerDAS; users are already seeing cheaper L2 activity and smoother network performance. Market…
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ETH/USD is trading around $3,165 after a strong technical rebound from $2,700, gaining more than 21%. Ether encountered strong resistance around the 200 EMA and around the top of the uptrend channel formed since November 20. We could expect a technical correction in the coming hours, and ETH could reach the psychological level of $3,000. On the contrary, if Ether consolidates above the 200 EMA and above the top of the uptrend channel around $3,300, we could expect a new bullish sequence, and the instrument could reach 4/8 Murray around $3,750 in the coming days. The Eagle indicator is showing the overbought market. Therefore, the odds are that the market will undergo a te…
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Read More: Santa Claus Rally Strategy: How to Trade the S&P 500's Most Reliable Seasonal Pattern Oil prices climbed on Thursday with WTI Oil ending the day with an increase of roughly 1%, trading at $59.70 a barrel. The upside move was primarily fueled by renewed geopolitical risk. Specifically, news of Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil infrastructure and the backdrop of stalled peace negotiations created supply disruption fears, encouraging traders to push prices marginally higher. Ukraine-Russia Peace Talks Oil prices received support from the fact that peace talks for Ukraine seemed to be stalling, especially after representatives for President Trump met with the…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe test of the price level at 1.3353 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator began to move upward from the zero mark, confirming a valid entry point for buying pounds. As a result, the pair rose by more than 30 pips. Following the publication of data showing a reduction in initial jobless claims in the United States to their lowest level in over three years, the dollar partially regained its position against the British pound. However, statements from Kevin Hassett, head of the National Economic Council and a Trump adviser, on the advisability of a 25 basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve at the upc…
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Buy or lose. Investors are preparing for a Christmas rally and are wondering whether a rate cut on federal funds at the FOMC meeting on December 10 will ensure this rally. The end of the year is traditionally a seasonally strong period for the S&P 500, so the proliferation of FOMO, or fear of missing out, is understandable. The question is whether the broad stock index has been driven too far by euphoria. Markets are in a mode where downbeat economic data from the United States is perceived as good news for stocks. In this regard, the announcement by Challenger, Gray & Christmas that American employers plan to cut 71,300 employees in November is seen as a boon fo…
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Prominent market analyst Michael Van de Poppe has shared four market conditions that would confirm an altcoin market rally. Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market continues to experience a widespread correction, weighing down the price growth of several assets. Ethereum Outperforms Bitcoin: A Positive Sign For Altcoins? Ethereum has shown more resilience in the last month than Bitcoin, which is largely interpreted as a bullish signal for altcoin enthusiasts. In the last week alone, the prominent altcoin reported a slight market gain of 0.86% compared to Bitcoin’s loss of 1.95%. When Ethereum outperforms Bitcoin, it encourages increased altcoin activity, as investor confid…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In the crypto world today, the market news is quite depressing to read. Crypto is down across the board after a much-anticipated Trump announcement turned out to be unrelated to crypto or financial policy. Instead, it focused on IVF access, leaving those who expected a catalyst disappointed. The result has BTC USD dropped below $106,000, triggering a big wave of liquidations and another market panic. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Markets are reacting swiftly with .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-cont…
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SOL USD had a strong response to the massive sell-off event, reclaiming more than 60% and leaving a long wick below. Now is the time for Solana investors to step up and support the bullish cause. Breaking the $200 level resistance and reclaiming it is potentially what separates us from the next ATH run. Will the new ETF provide the necessary liquidity for SOL to overcome the last line of defense? Fundamentally, it appears that Solana is performing well, with no recorded outages over the past 21 months. That is a big deal! DISCOVER: The 12+ Hottest Crypto Presales to Buy Right Now SOL USD Pushing For $200 Reclaim: What’s Next? (Source – Tradingview, SOLUSD) Start…
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On 27 October 2025, Strategy CEO Michael Saylor acquired additional 390 Bitcoin worth nearly $44 million, bringing the company’s total to 640,808 BTC. Blockstream CEO Adam Back, Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino, and Twenty One Capital CEO and Strike CEO Jack Mallers, voiced their opinions on Saylor’s Bitcoin accumulating strategy during the Plan B conference held in Lugano. “Saylor has been very communicative about his learning through the process,” said Blockstream CEO Adam Back. “They started with the bonds, moved on to the convertibles, at the market share selling, and now the preferred.” “I think he’s been vocal that he thinks the preferred is a better strategy, and he appe…
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Market Insights Podcast (28/10/2025): In today’s episode, we discuss the recent sell-off in gold pricing, an apparent increase in co-operation between the US and China on trade, as well as equity performance in the Asian session. Join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. …
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With Donald Trump taking office for a second time, America has claimed to be setting a course to reduce spending, cut the budget deficit, and lower the national debt. In theory, that is. In practice, we are witnessing yet another "shutdown," caused by the ongoing lack of funding for federal agencies and the government. If there were no budget deficit, there would be no shutdown. It is clear that once again, Trump's administration cannot reach an agreement with the Democrats, but this is far from the only sign of unmet goals set by Trump. I want to remind you again that Trump has repeatedly criticized the Biden administration (as well as many other presidents and Democrats…
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[XPD/USD] – [Wednesday, October 29, 2025] Today, XPD/USD has the potential to decline toward its nearest support level, as confirmed by both EMAs forming a Death Cross and the appearance of a Divergent RSI against its price movement. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 1472.39 2. Resistance. 1 : 1440.54 3. Pivot : 1391.01 4. Support. 1 : 1359.16 5. Support. 2 : 1309.63 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of XPD/USD breaks and closes below 1391.01, it may continue to decline toward 1359.16. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1359.16 is also broken and closes below it, then 1309.63 will likely be tested. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bi…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Tuesday reversed in favor of the U.S. dollar and showed a strong decline, which led to a reconstruction of the Fibonacci grid. Today, a consolidation of quotes below the 100.0% Fibonacci level at 1.3247 allows us to expect a continued fall toward the next corrective level of 127.2% – 1.3186. The British pound has been declining for the second day in a row, raising many questions. The wave structure has now turned bearish. The last completed upward wave broke the previous high, while the latest downward wave broke the previous low. In recent weeks, the news background has been generally negative for the U.S. dollar, but bullish t…
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