Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Analysis of Monday's Trades: 1-Hour Chart of GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair showed no notable movements on Friday or Monday. On Monday, business activity indices for the manufacturing sectors in the UK and the US were released, but attention was primarily on the US ISM index. This index turned out to be weaker than forecasts and weaker than the previous month, yet after its release, the dollar still rose, as market participants likely had already priced in its negative value. Unfortunately, ordinary traders have little power against insider information available to some major players. Overall, the British pound has remained stagnant for three full days, caught in yet anoth…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Monday's Trades: 1-Hour Chart of EUR/USD The EUR/USD currency pair maintained an upward trend on Monday and even showed quite decent movements throughout the day. These movements were not straightforward to understand, as the rise began in the first half of the day and was followed by a significant decline. The most important event of the day was the ISM manufacturing activity index, published closer to the evening. This index turned out to be worse than expected and should have triggered a decline in the U.S. dollar. However, the dollar was already falling before this index was published, and afterward it rose. This is where the illogicality lies. We as…
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Data shows the Ethereum Open Interest has shot up by more than 4% following the sharp move down in the cryptocurrency’s price. Ethereum Has Seen A Pullback Over The Past Day The cryptocurrency sector as a whole has witnessed a plunge to kick off the new month, with Bitcoin and Ethereum both being down by more than 5% over the last 24 hours. ETH is back in the low $2,800 levels, having essentially retraced the recovery that it had made during the last week of November. The sudden price decline has unleashed a wave of liquidations on the derivatives exchanges, leading to $158 million in Ethereum-related contracts being flushed. Of these, $140 million of the liquidations…
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Ethereum price started a fresh decline below $2,880. ETH is now attempting to recover from $2,720 but the bulls might face resistance. Ethereum started a fresh decline below $2,880 and $2,800. The price is trading below $2,850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,820 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $2,850 zone. Ethereum Price Attempts Recovery Ethereum price failed to stay above $2,950 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price declined below $2,880 to enter a bearish zone. The bears even pushed the pric…
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In a strategic move, Tether has shifted its reserve strategy, reducing its exposure to treasuries while increasing allocations to Bitcoin and gold. The USDT issuer has shown a notable reduction in government debt exposure, paired with an expanded position in hard assets known for durability and independence from traditional financial systems. Treasury Exposure Drops Amid Changing Macro And Regulatory Landscape Stablecoin giant, Tether, has reduced its US Treasury holdings and increased its Gold and Bitcoin reserves. CryptosRus reported on X that Tether is quietly repositioning itself for what the company expects to be the Federal Reserve’s (FED) next round of rate cuts.…
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Bitcoin price started a fresh decline below $88,000. BTC is now attempting to recover but upside might face hurdles near $88,000. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $88,000 zone. The price is trading below $87,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a short-term bearish trend line with resistance at $86,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it settles below the $85,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Attempts Recovery Bitcoin price failed to stay above the $90,000 zone and started a fresh decline. BTC dipped sharply below $88,500 and $88,000. The bears even pushed the price …
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The GBP/USD currency pair rose on Monday, despite a lack of support from the macroeconomic backdrop. Only one significant report was published yesterday—the ISM manufacturing activity index in the U.S. This report did not please traders; however, the dollar was already showing weakness before this figure was released. Monday often tends to be dull, and this time, volatility was also low. Overall, the market has been trading hesitantly for the past few months, and this trend continues. We maintain a positive outlook for further growth. Recall that in recent months, a global correction has been underway against the upward trend of 2025, a trend we anticipated would be compl…
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded relatively calmly on Monday while maintaining an upward trend. This is quite encouraging, as we may be witnessing the beginning of a new phase in the global upward trend that we've been waiting for over the past few months. Since approximately July 1, the EUR/USD pair has been stuck in a sideways channel between the levels of 1.1400 and 1.1830. Sooner or later, any flat period comes to an end. When it does, a new trend begins or an old one resumes. The trend remains upward, so we continue to expect growth. On Monday, there were no significant fundamental events in either the U.S. or the Eurozone. Yet this is not needed at the moment. The d…
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Analysis of GBP/USD on 5M The GBP/USD currency pair experienced movement both up and down on Monday. The reasons for these movements were similar to those affecting the EUR/USD pair. The ISM manufacturing index in the U.S. was weak, which led to a rise in the pair in the first half of the day, as some market participants likely received insider information about the index ahead of time. The pair returned to the initial positions around 1.3201-1.3212 by the end of the day, and the movement over the past several days now strongly resembles a flat. From a technical perspective, the upward trend has been disrupted, as the price consolidated below the trend line on Monday.…
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Analysis of EUR/USD on 5M The EUR/USD currency pair showed impressive growth on Monday, even before the publication of the most important macroeconomic report—the ISM manufacturing index in the U.S. Oddly enough, the index turned out weaker than forecasts and... triggered a strengthening of the U.S. dollar. Thus, there are grounds to assume that insider information about this index reached the market ahead of schedule, which explains the rise of the pair in the first half of the day. When the report was published, the market had already priced it in, leading to profit-taking and a subsequent decline. The Eurozone also released business activity indices, but in second …
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According to market observers, this week could mark a turning point for XRP as five spot ETFs trade at the same time for the first full week. 21Shares’ XRP fund (TOXR) launched today, joining Bitwise, Grayscale, Franklin Templeton and Canary Capital. Reports have disclosed that ETF inflows have already topped Over $660 million in less than a month, with zero outflows across 10 consecutive trading days. 5 ETFs Trade Together Bitwise recently increased its XRP holdings to 80 million tokens. ETF managers now hold more than $687 million in assets, which represents just over 300 million XRP on record. 21Shares debuted with a $500,000 seed basket and charges a 0.50% managemen…
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The Southeast Alaska Indigenous Transboundary Commission (SEITC) last week filed a judicial review in the Supreme Court of British Columbia over proposed mining projects in the province. SEITC claims the provincial government failed to consult SEITC and its 14 member Tribes on major mining projects proposed in the headwaters of the transboundary Taku, Stikine, and Unuk Rivers. SEITC represents Tribal Nations whose traditional territory spans the US-Canada border. Its member Tribes formally requested consultation on any mining project that could affect their lands or rights on either side of the border. The Commission said the province required SEITC to s…
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Placeholder VC’s Chris Burniske sees one of the best long-term setups for Bitcoin building in the background – but he is clear that the real opportunity likely lies lower, with a potential test of levels near $56,000 still ahead. On X, Burniske argues that the current sentiment environment is exactly what eventually produces outsized returns, while warning that it is still early for aggressive deployment. “There’s so much pessimism and short-term thinking on crypto assets these days that the R/R is tilting towards optimism and long-term, sized, high-conviction positions in distressed, public, cryptoassets,” he writes. “That said, the time isn’t yet now, imo.” Bitcoin Be…
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Similar to major assets in the cryptosphere, Dogecoin (DOGE) is facing renewed selling pressure as broader crypto market weakness intensifies, pushing the memecoin below several key technical levels. Related Reading: $300 Million Crypto Bet: Kazakhstan’s Central Bank Gears Up The decline occurs amid outflows, a weakening market structure, and fading speculative interest, raising questions about whether a deeper correction may be underway. Dogecoin Breaks Key Supports as Selling Pressure Mounts Dogecoin slipped below important support areas after breaking a bullish trend line on the hourly chart, continuing a multi-day downtrend. The price now trades below the 100-ho…
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Bitcoin is fighting to reclaim the $90,000 level after a sharp drop earlier today, adding fuel to growing fears of a deeper downtrend. Market sentiment has weakened noticeably, with selling pressure intensifying across spot and derivatives markets. Traders remain cautious as liquidity thins and volatility increases, creating an environment where even minor inflows can trigger outsized price reactions. The recent rejection below $90K highlights the fragility of the current structure and raises questions about whether Bitcoin is entering a more prolonged corrective phase. However, beneath the surface, on-chain data reveals a striking counter-signal. According to On-Chain…
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The Australian dollar has strengthened its position against the U.S. dollar for the second consecutive week. The AUD/USD pair has surpassed the 0.6530 resistance level (the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, coinciding with the Tenkan-sen line on the W1 timeframe) and is now approaching the crucial price barrier at 0.6570. At this price point, the upper line of the Bollinger Bands coincides with the upper boundary of the Kumo cloud on the D1 timeframe. It is important to note that the pair is rising not only because of the greenback's overall weakness but also because of the strengthening Aussie. The pair has shown an upward dynamic even during periods when the DXY ro…
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Monday marks the first day of a new month, which means that we can expect an informative and, consequently, volatile week. December can be conditionally divided into two unequal parts. The first part (specifically the first three weeks) is characterized by increased volatility in the currency market, as traders react to key monthly releases and the final meetings of central banks. The second part consists of the pre-holiday and post-holiday periods. The first week of December plays a vital role in this context. MondayDuring the U.S. session on Monday, we will learn the November ISM manufacturing index value. This vital macroeconomic indicator has been in contraction …
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For decades, the American dollar has been considered a reliable asset because the U.S. has consistently met its obligations. However, as debts accumulate, the cost of servicing them is rising. Interest payment costs exceed defense spending and account for about 17% of the budget. Meanwhile, the CBO forecasts that the national debt will increase to 129% of GDP by 2034. As a result, investors are accumulating doubts about whether the greenback can continue to serve as a safe-haven asset. Gross and Net Debt of Developed Countries Increasing taxes is an unpopular measure. The only acceptable option to cut budget expenses is to lower the federal funds rate. If it drops to the …
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A sudden drop in XRP balances across major crypto exchanges has led to speculations about how this might affect the cryptocurrency’s price action. The movement was highlighted by analyst Vincent Van Code, who explained that the transfers are not simply a sign of long-term holders scooping up supply. Instead, he pointed to the expanding influence of newly launched Spot XRP ETFs, which are now absorbing a significant share of market activity that once took place on retail platforms. ETF Demand Is Pulling Liquidity Away From Exchanges Van Code noted that billions of XRP leaving Binance, Upbit, and Kraken are largely flowing into ETF custodial wallets. This changes the way…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for December 1 The new month of trading begins with quite some violent mean-reversion across asset classes. US Stocks opened much lower compared to their strong Friday close before rebounding sharply and rejecting new highs again, in a session marked by indecision. Cryptos continued to sell off amid the MicroStrategy (MSTR) "funding catastrophe" narrative—fueled by fears of index exclusion and a potential "death spiral" for its leverage-heavy model—along with general deleveraging across the sector. The US Dollar led currency markets to some wild swings, opening sharply lower before taking on a V-shape recovery to tra…
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XRP is entering December with a mix of unusual market signals, steady price action, and renewed bullish expectations from analysts and prediction platforms. Despite the general instability and uncertainty in the crypto market, traders continue to monitor XRP’s behavior above the $2.0 range as new data points shape sentiment. One-Sided Liquidations Highlight Market Imbalance Liquidation data from CoinGlass recorded an unusual reading this week after XRP posted $0 in short liquidations during a one-hour window. All losses came from long positions, totaling about $128,000. Such a clean one-sided liquidation profile is rare in active derivatives markets and immediately …
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BHP (NYSE, LSE, ASX: BHP) wants to use lessons from its maiden foray into potash production to ensure that a subsequent expansion of the facility is completed at or under budget. The world’s biggest miner in July disclosed a $1.7 billion cost overrun in the development of its Jansen potash mine in Saskatchewan as it pushed first production back by six months to mid-2027. The project’s first stage – known as Jansen 1 – is now expected to cost as much as $7.4 billion, up from a previous target of $5.7 billion. Capital expenditures for a second stage, whose entry into service was delayed by two years to 2031, are still pegged at $4.9 billion, though the amount…
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Catalysts for movements in the US Dollar have been confusing all types of Market Participants. Reaching new cycle highs during the longest ever US Government shutdown (43 days), the Greenback consequently fell as the government reopened, driven by dovish hopes for the December 10 FOMC meeting. Current yo-yos in the dollar are leaving traders in question. All of this comes after a massive downtrend throughout the first half of the year due to tariffs and unpredictable policies from Donald Trump, requiring dollar-diversification from many economic and political parties around the world. Dollar funding is also not at its best levels, with Reverse Repo (RRP) facilities …
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Ethereum lost the critical $3,000 level on Sunday, sliding toward $2,800 and triggering a new wave of fear across the market. The drop highlights a deepening corrective phase that has pushed short-term investors into heavy unrealized losses, prompting many to reassess their risk exposure. Adding to the uncertainty, fresh on-chain data has revealed renewed distribution from major holders. According to data from Arkham, shared by Lookonchain, the well-known whale 0xdECF deposited another 5,000 ETH—roughly $15.05 million—into Binance. This move expands a pattern of consistent selling pressure from large wallets, often seen during heightened market stress. While one whale…
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A fresh analysis points to a developing bullish pattern that may set the stage for a massive surge in the Dogecoin price. The crypto analyst who shared this analysis argues that the current structure in DOGE’s trend suggests the early formation of a recovery move strong enough to trigger a 174% price rally. With momentum building and technical indicators aligning, this new setup could be the catalyst that pushes Dogecoin out of its downtrend. Dogecoin Price Trend Signals 174% Rally Dogecoin is entering a phase that analysts say could be the beginning of a powerful bullish structure forming on the charts. According to crypto market expert Javon Marks, the popular meme co…
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