Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Bitcoin (BTC) continues to show signs of weakness after recently setting a new all-time high earlier this month. As of today, the cryptocurrency is trading at $110,595, reflecting a 4.2% decline over the past week and an 11% drop from its peak of $124,000. The correction highlights an ongoing struggle for momentum even as broader market conditions remain uncertain. This decline has drawn the attention of analysts examining key on-chain and trading metrics. One such measure is the Taker Buy Sell Ratio, which is signaling reduced confidence among traders. According to data from CryptoQuant, this ratio has fallen to levels not seen since late 2021, raising questions about …
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Bitcoin once again ran into resistance at $118,000 and failed to break through this level. This indicates that the market currently lacks enough bullish momentum to push above $118,000, suggesting that the consolidation phase may continue and potentially open the way for a deeper pullback toward $107,000 and $105,000. Meanwhile, news emerged yesterday that Michigan lawmakers are reviewing a bill that would allow up to 10% of state funds to be invested in Bitcoin. The proposal, which has sparked heated debate among financial and political circles in the state, could set a precedent for other US regions and open a new chapter in the history of public sector investment. S…
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Bitcoin’s recent climb looks steady but measured. Prices hovered at $118,350 when the key calls were made, and short-term technical models point to a possible rise of about 11% to $129,690 by September 15, 2025. Market gauges are in Bullish territory. The Fear & Greed Index sits at 64 (Greed), and over the last 30 days Bitcoin recorded 13/30 (43%) green days with price volatility around 1.65%. Those figures show momentum, but not runaway behavior. CEO Issues A Cautionary Call According to Canary Capital CEO Steven McClurg, there may be no more than 27% of upside left in this cycle before a downtrend begins. He told viewers there is a greater than 50% chance Bitcoi…
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Bitcoin’s latest push towards $120,000 fizzled into a stall-out that now resembles a “failed breakout zone,” according to market analytics firm Swissblock. In a July 31 thread, the firm said “momentum has failed to ignite,” arguing that realized-profit flows and an overwhelming share of coins sitting in profit have turned every bounce into an opportunity for supply to meet price. Profit-Taking Cools Bitcoin Rally Swissblock framed the setback as a pause rather than a breakdown. “Profit-taking is rising—but not as intense as late 2024,” the firm wrote, adding that the effect through July was “enough to cap upside and trigger consolidation.” The tone is cooling, not capitu…
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Earlier today, Bitcoin (BTC) slipped below $115,000 for the first time since August 6, raising concerns that the cryptocurrency’s bullish momentum may be fading. Against this backdrop, the Binance Buying Power Ratio suggests that demand for BTC could be weakening, potentially setting the stage for a deeper price correction. Binance Buying Power Ratio Raises Alarms According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Crazzyblockk, the Binance Buying Power Ratio serves as a reliable indicator of overall market health. The analyst explained that the current reading points to a possible downturn for Bitcoin. To explain, the ratio measures stablecoin inflows against Bit…
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The Bitcoin price has slipped under $117,000 as on-chain data shows the network has observed one of its largest profit realization days of the year. Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Did The Major Share Of Profit-Taking In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin Realized Profit indicator for the short-term holders and long-term holders. The “Realized Profit” measures, as its name suggests, the total amount of profit that the BTC investors are realizing through their transactions. The metric works by going through the transfer history of each coin being sold to see what price it was moved at prior to this. The diff…
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The cryptocurrency market is in a tense mood after Bitcoin lost important price levels this week, and investor sentiment has taken a beating. This caused the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index to plunge by 16 points in a single day, sinking to 28 yesterday, its lowest level since March. At the time of writing, the index has recovered slightly to 33, but it still in the Fear zone. This may unsettle many investors, but history shows that fearful conditions may be blessings in disguise for Bitcoin investors. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Drops To 28 This week has been tough for many cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin. Bitcoin, which started the week above $115,000, entered …
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Data shows the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index has seen a bearish flip following the plunge in the cryptocurrency’s price to $113,000. Bitcoin Has Continued Its Recent Drawdown Since setting a new all-time high (ATH) above $124,000 one week ago, Bitcoin has been facing a downtrend. The bearish momentum has only furthered during the past day, with BTC hitting a low under $113,000. Below is a chart that shows how the coin’s recent performance has looked. From the graph, it’s visible that BTC has seen a bit of recovery after forming a low around $112,400, but at the current price of $113,800, the asset is still notably below the levels from the last few days. As is usua…
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Bitcoin is turning heads once again as it climbs steadily within a rising channel, teasing a potential explosive move. According to chart watchers, the current rally aligns with Wave (5) of an Elliott Wave structure, historically the phase that unleashes the most aggressive price action. With momentum building and institutional demand ramping up, could this be the final leg before Bitcoin launches toward uncharted territory? Rising Channel Holds Firm As Wave (5) Builds Steam In a recent update, market analyst LSplayQ pointed out that Bitcoin is steadily climbing within a clearly defined rising channel, with the price now trading close to $118,000. This structured upward …
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Bitcoin price is currently at a critical juncture, sitting right on top of the Bull Market Support Band. Throughout past bull cycles, this band has historically served as a crucial support level, with price retesting it during corrections and bouncing off it to continue its upward trend. Why This Level Matters For Bitcoin Uptrend In an X post, full-time crypto trader and investor, Daan Crypto Trades, has pointed out that Bitcoin is currently sitting directly on top of the Bull Market Support Band. This level has long been regarded as one of the most reliable high-timeframe momentum indicators. Daan Crypto Trades noted that while Bitcoin has seen short-term consolidatio…
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Bitcoin is holding steady above its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), showing signs of underlying strength despite a lack of clear directional momentum. With rising trading volume and mixed technical indicators, the next move could swing either way, keeping the market on edge. RSI Holds Neutral As Bitcoin Awaits A Clearer Signal According to Shaco AI, in a recent update on X, Bitcoin is currently hovering around $107,264.17, positioning itself just above two key moving averages. It’s nudging the 25-day SMA at $107,229.82 and holding slightly above the 50-day SMA, which sits at $107,040.81. This positioning reflects a mild bullish bias in recent sessions, keeping both b…
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Bitcoin is walking a fine line again. After sliding for six straight trading sessions, the world’s largest cryptocurrency bounced back from a key support level around $114,432. That small rebound is catching attention, but it’s not enough to suggest a strong rally is around the corner. Labor Data Fuels Fed Speculation Recent economic data in the US isn’t helping much. Reports showed that job growth came in weaker than expected, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.2%. Average hourly wages only went up by 0.3%, pointing to a cooling labor market. These numbers are adding weight to the idea that the Federal Reserve might soon hit pause on interest rate hikes—or even lo…
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Bitcoin has seen a rebound since retesting the short-term holder Realized Price, a sign that this historical on-chain support may be holding. Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Realized Price Just Acted As Support As explained by CryptoQuant author IT Tech in an X post, Bitcoin found support around the short-term holder Realized Price during the latest dip. The “Realized Price” here refers to an on-chain indicator that measures the cost basis of the average investor on the BTC network. When the price of the cryptocurrency is above this metric, it means the holders as a whole are in a state of net unrealized profit. On the other hand, it being under the indicator implies the ove…
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Bitcoin flashed a short-term “buy” signal that previously marked the $49,000 and $74,000 swing lows, according to on-chain analyst Frank (@FrankAFetter), a quant at Vibe Capital Management. “Officially got the Oversold print on the short-term holder MVRV bollinger bands,” he wrote on X, pointing to prior occurrences during the “Yen Carry Unwind” around $49,000 and the “Tariff Tantrum” near $74,000, adding a third instance “Today – $108k. The metric in focus blends the short-term holder market-value-to-realized-value (STH-MVRV) ratio with Bollinger Bands to capture when newer coins trade at statistically depressed valuations versus their cost basis. In the chart Frank sh…
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Bitcoin (BTC) has reached a critical turning point, successfully flipping a key horizontal support zone that previously acted as resistance. With momentum now building, the focus has shifted to the next major test: the $117,000 resistance level. A decisive move above this threshold would not only confirm the continuation of the current rally but also set the stage for a potential run toward new highs. Daily Support Flip Confirms Bullish Control Alpha Crypto Signal, in a recent market update, pointed out that BTC is showing renewed strength on the daily timeframe. The leading cryptocurrency successfully flipped a key horizontal zone into support, a move that highlights gr…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade near its all-time high (ATH) of $123,218, concerns over rising exchange deposits are mounting. However, fresh on-chain data reveals a significant contrast between the current rally and previous ones – most notably, a decline in BTC deposits to exchanges. Bitcoin Flow Pulse Shows Low Exchange Activity According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, the Bitcoin Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP) indicator is exhibiting “interesting behavior” in mid-2025. Notably, large investors do not appear to be selling their holdings, despite BTC trading at record highs. Typically, sophisticated investors begin profit-taking as an…
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Brewing tensions between Israel and Iran have triggered global de-risking across risk-on assets, including Bitcoin (BTC). The top cryptocurrency by market cap is down 1.7% over the past 24 hours. That said, technical indicators still point toward a potential new all-time high (ATH) for BTC in the coming months. Bitcoin Tracing The ABCD Pattern According to a recent post on X by crypto analyst Titan of Crypto, BTC appears to be following the ABCD pattern. The analyst noted that Bitcoin is currently trading within a wedge formation and could target as high as $137,000 if it breaks out. For the uninitiated, the ABCD pattern is a classic chart setup with four points and th…
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Bitcoin's exchange rate against the U.S. dollar has been correcting for the second consecutive day after a strong upward movement that began on September 26. If today's daily candle closes as a bearish (black) candle, this will confirm the price's consolidation below the target level of 122,185, as well as below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. The next downside target will be the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level, which aligns with support at 117,418 — the August 22 high. Further decline toward 115,679 is also possible. This level corresponds to the low from July 15 and lies near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. A deeper correction below that zone is unlike…
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Bitcoin (BTC) Bitcoin twice managed to break daily candles above the resistance level of 111,904 (yesterday and today), but failed to hold above it. The Marlin oscillator also was unable to find the internal reserves to develop an uptrend in positive territory. Visually, it will return to negative territory today. This means the 111,904 level will be seen as a reversal point, and the price will head toward the nearest target at 107,500—the embedded price channel line. This target is very close to the August–September lows. On the four-hour chart, the price consolidated below the 111,904 level after a false breakout above it. This is a sign of further decline. Here, the …
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Although Bitcoin’s (BTC) momentum has stalled over the past week due to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, the flagship cryptocurrency appears to be forming a bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern on the three-day chart – significantly increasing the likelihood of a new all-time high (ATH) in the coming months. Bitcoin Eyeing New ATH Soon? In an X post published today, crypto analyst Mister Crypto highlighted that BTC is forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern on the three-day chart. The analyst shared the following chart, noting that a successful breakout could propel Bitcoin’s price as high as $150,000. For the uninitiated, the inverse he…
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Bitcoin is showing resilience above the $105,000 mark, holding firm despite ongoing volatility and economic uncertainty. While bulls struggle to break above the all-time high at $112,000, the market remains in a high-stakes consolidation phase. Macroeconomic conditions remain unstable, with weak global growth forecasts and elevated inflation pushing investors into risk-off assets. Still, Bitcoin appears to be thriving under these pressures, strengthening its case as a hedge against traditional financial instability. Top analyst Carl Runefelt recently highlighted a compelling technical development: Bitcoin is forming a massive inverse head and shoulders pattern spanning …
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While Bitcoin continues to hover above the $100,000 threshold, the driving forces behind this historic consolidation phase appear to be more complex than the surface-level narratives of institutional “FOMO” and ETF euphoria. According to multiple leading analysts, a silent rotation is underway—one that suggests long-term holders are offloading their positions while corporate treasuries and institutional buyers quietly absorb the flood. OG Bitcoin Whales Are ‘Dumping’ On Wall Street Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, delivered a sobering breakdown via X on June 29, challenging the prevailing belief that Bitcoin’s price stagnation amid surging demand is anom…
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Five long-dormant Bitcoin wallets sprang back to life on July 31, moving a total of 250 BTC—nearly $30 million at today’s rates. That’s money mined on April 26, 2010, during Bitcoin’s earliest tests. Traders saw the shift and paused, wondering if a massive sell-off was coming after more than 15 years of silence. Early Coins Stir According to on-chain observers, these coins came from wallets active before the famous “Patoshi pattern” ended. That pattern, often linked to Bitcoin’s creator, slowed down around May 2010. Moving coins from that era can send a jolt through the market, even when the total is small. Around 250 BTC made a splash in today’s headlines. Yet Bitcoin…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to remain range-bound between $110,000 – $115,000, data from crypto exchanges seems divided toward the leading cryptocurrency. While Binance traders are exhibiting a bullish stance, traders from other exchanges are still showing a degree of hesitation. Binance Traders Expecting Bitcoin Price Surge According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Crazzyblockk, fresh derivatives data from Binance is signaling shifting market dynamics – specifically, the recent BTC funding rate on Binance points toward traders taking a bullish stance. On the contrary, the BTC funding rate from other exchanges, such as OKX, Bybit, and Deribit, suggests th…
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Bitcoin’s price has declined slightly following recent gains, falling 2.3% over the past 24 hours to trade at approximately $107,205. This latest movement places the asset 4.1% below its all-time high of over $111,000 recorded last month. Despite the short-term dip, some analysts see familiar signs in derivatives data that could point to the next phase of market movement. Funding Rate Rebounds Signal Potential Upside for Bitcoin According to recent insights shared by on-chain analyst “nino” on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, Bitcoin may be repeating a funding rate pattern that has historically led to price rebounds. The data shows the asset’s funding rate briefly di…
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