Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11986 tópicos neste fórum
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Market Insights Podcast (14/11/2025): In today’s episode, we discuss the changing narrative surrounding a Fed rate cut in December, and the associated sell-offs in US equity, precious metals, and crypto markets. Otherwise, we discuss the potential for a major equity correction and the recent upside offered by AI. Join Nick Syiek (TraderNick) and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 10th After an almost flawless run since June, equity markets finally met their match. Wall Street closed deep in the red as profit-taking and risk aversion swept the board. The Nasdaq plunged 3.5%, marking its sharpest daily decline in months, while the S&P 500 and Dow followed suit. The selloff didn’t spare cryptocurrencies, with Ethereum down roughly 8% since the session opened amid broad liquidation flows. The causes? After President Trump’s comments hinting at new tariffs, a mix of renewed US-China tensions reignited trade war fears. With the U.S. government shutdown extending, metals rallying…
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On June 26, an obscure entity called Aqua1 Foundation, which said it was based in the United Arab Emirates, announced it was buying $100m of WLFI tokens, the largest single purchase at the time. Now months later, the Financial Times has reportedly uncovered a link that hilariously ties the Trump crypto empire to a bunch of now-dissolved hardwood flooring firms. The mysterious Chinese businessman behind Aqua1, who met with Eric Trump in Dubai, was Guren “Bobby” Zhou, who has executive roles in multiple businesses and who is under investigation in Britain for money laundering, according to the UK National Crime Agency and a document filed in an immigration case at London’s…
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The U.S. dollar continues to face problems, and the key question remains: how much more will it lose before the Federal Reserve meeting, and how much after. The main issue for investors this week is whether Fed officials will push back against market expectations of a series of rate cuts, which many economists believe could last into next year. Clearly, the Fed's decision on Wednesday will set the tone for global markets, including currencies, but it is not the only important event on the calendar. The Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan are also set to announce their monetary policy decisions. The spotlight will undoubtedly be on Fed Chair Jerome …
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Yesterday, the U.S. dollar continued its rise against a number of currencies — with the euro and the Japanese yen suffering the most. The dollar's rally resumed after Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari warned that any sharp cut in U.S. interest rates could lead to higher inflation. His remarks, delivered amid growing expectations of imminent monetary easing, had a significant impact on the currency market. Investors, weighing the risks associated with premature policy loosening, once again turned to the dollar as a relatively safe asset. Kashkari's comments highlighted the dilemma facing the Federal Reserve. On the one hand, slowing economic growth …
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The U.S. dollar failed to regain its leading position against a number of risk assets — including the euro, pound, and Japanese yen — despite a rather impressive ADP employment report for the U.S. labor market. Federal Reserve Board member Steven Miran called the data showing an increase in employment at American companies in October a "pleasant surprise," although he reiterated that interest rates should be lower. According to data published Wednesday by ADP Research, private-sector employment increased by 42,000 after a revised decline of 29,000 the previous month. The median economist estimate had expected growth of 30,000. The ADP report took on greater significance …
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The dollar began an eventful week on a weaker note. The Dollar Index fell 0.2% on Monday, marking its second consecutive day of losses. The looming U.S. government shutdown, with both political parties holding firm to their positions, could significantly affect the strength of the dollar in the short term. Several important U.S. economic releases are also expected this week, culminating in Friday's monthly employment report. The prospect of a government shutdown, hanging over the U.S. economy like a Damocles' sword, adds considerable uncertainty to the currency markets. Traders, who traditionally seek safety during turbulent periods, may begin shifting capital into more …
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With Donald Trump taking office for a second time, America has claimed to be setting a course to reduce spending, cut the budget deficit, and lower the national debt. In theory, that is. In practice, we are witnessing yet another "shutdown," caused by the ongoing lack of funding for federal agencies and the government. If there were no budget deficit, there would be no shutdown. It is clear that once again, Trump's administration cannot reach an agreement with the Democrats, but this is far from the only sign of unmet goals set by Trump. I want to remind you again that Trump has repeatedly criticized the Biden administration (as well as many other presidents and Democrats…
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Continuing the comparison between Italy, Greece, and the U.S., the IMF also notes that the national debt of the former two countries will decrease due to strict control over spending and taxes. The U.S. Congressional Budget Office agrees, stating that the country's national debt will not only grow until 2030 but also in the subsequent decades. It is clear that Donald Trump will not be in power in ten years, but the fact remains that there are currently no signs of a budget deficit reduction that could lead to a decrease in U.S. national debt. In America, the Trump administration has achieved significant reductions in spending and increases in revenue through import tariff…
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Just as the markets had started to take a somewhat optimistic view of the new trade standoff between the U.S. and China, the Trump administration once again warned Beijing not to take retaliatory measures against foreign companies that assist the U.S. in developing critical industries. It's worth recalling that last week, Beijing imposed sanctions on the American divisions of a South Korean shipping giant over its plans to invest in the U.S. maritime sector. Such actions undoubtedly undermine trust between the parties and create an atmosphere of uncertainty, which has an extremely negative impact on the global economy. Investors are highly sensitive to such signals and r…
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Market Insights Podcast (26/11/2025): In today's episode, TraderNick leads the discussion on the UK autumn budget and the subsequent rally in sterling prices. Otherwise, we discuss the narrative surrounding the Fed's December decision, as well jobs number today. Join Nick Syiek (TraderNick) and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impac…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for September 26 Today saw penultimate session of the United Nations General Assembly, where speeches from France and Israel captured attention, though the tone soured as several delegates walked out during Prime Minister Netanyahu’s address. On the monetary front, Fed speak stayed in focus, with FED’s Barkin appearing twice, stressing that the key to consumer spending will hinge on whether “people lose their jobs or not,” while Governor Bowman, a dove, doubled down on her call for a more proactive, forward-looking Fed, pushing back against the risk of staying behind the curve. On the data side, Canada finally surpr…
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[Uniswap] Although the RSI(14) is in the Neutral-Bullish level, but with the appearance of a Bearish Divergence and the two EMAs still forming a Death Cross, it indicates a significant likelihood for Uniswap to weaken. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 5.938 2. Resistance. 1 : 5.754 3. Pivot : 5.521 4. Support. 1 : 5.337 5. Support. 2 : 5.104 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down below 5.337, Uniswap may head toward 5.104. Momentum Extension Bias: If 5.104 is broken, there is potential for this cryptocurrency to test the level at 4.920. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is restrained if the price of Uniswap stren…
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Even with Andrew Tate holding an unmatched perspicacity coupled with calling for $25,000 Bitcoin, the controversial influencer and alleged human trafficker has been fully liquidated. While BTC has tanked from over $100,000 to $90,000, the Andrew Tate crypto portfolio has lost over $750,000, according to Polymarket. Many rumors are circulating, from Tate orchestrating the public losses to avoid future financial penalties to the losses being paid to Donald Trump in exchange for a future pardon after the Trump administration allegedly intervenes in the Tate investigation in the US. The liquidation of such a controversial figure comes as Bitcoin .cwp-coin-chart svg path …
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The morning NA session follows a quasi-dead European overnight trading. This tends to happen when a lack of data adds to the Summer trading when volumes are typically subdued. The Dollar Index had been in the middle of many headwinds, as per usual. After a stellar July followed by and N-shaped (for nope) downward spiral in the beginning of August, it has been difficult to spot where the Greenback is heading. Forex volatility tends to calm during summers and lack of decisive trends exacerbate this rangebound trading – When the path is unclear, rangebound trading is typical (particularly in currencies.) With Markets awaiting more developments after the White House gath…
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Forex markets have been taking what resembles a summer break, with two consecutive days of muted movements – Most major pairs are contained within a 300 pip range, but with the USD attempting a rally, let's see if this may add fuel to create some volatility. The Weekly Jobless Claims report just came with a beat – 227K vs 235K expected and shows another sign of strength for US Employment. Claims had started to elevate in the middle of June but seems like it only was temporary as we just received another positive report. The latest tariffs news were the announcement of 50% tariffs on Copper imports (questionable idea by the way, trying to relaunch US Industrial productio…
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Market reactions have been very muted and mixed, even if the CPI report came out with a small but positive surprise. For those who are discovering the number, US Headline CPI came in as expected (0.287 unrounded Headline vs 0.30% expected). The Core number was however the more welcomed surprise, coming in at 0.2% (0.227%) vs 0.3% expected – This is what the FED prefers for their decisions. For Canadian Data also, CPI Came in as expected (1.79% y/y, slightly stronger core) Reactions have been a bit underwhelming overall, not what could have been expected. Nonetheless, more participants will be coming into the Market at 9:30 for the open, which may trigger some further v…
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The US Dollar has started to show some signs of relative weakness after an almost flawless beginning to July. Between a rebirth in Tariff talks, extended until the 1st of August and some general volatility in global Geopolitics, there has been some sell-side covering for the Greenback. The rally has (at least for now) concluded through last week's bout of Middle East tensions (with intense Syrian local conflicts), encouraging PPI Data and FED's Waller starting the Blackout Period from the US Central Bank with some repeating of his dovish comments. For those who haven't seen the headlines, Japan's Prime Minister and his electorate have lost the majority which has create…
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The US dollar finally breaks its range ahead of Wednesday's FOMC as market participants keep placing their pre-Meeting bets. After holding between 97.50 to 98.50 since August 11th, the Dollar Index has failed to hold support to start this week to regain lows reached in the previous week's downward fakeout. With Equities rallying to their continued highs, hopes for a dovish cut are extremely optimistic which could lead to some furious reactions. This move notably weakening the US Dollar also assisted majors like the British Pound and the Aussie to reach new highs. As a matter of fact, despite the odds for 50 bps retracting from 10% to 4% since Thursday, the US dollar s…
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The US Dollar is starting the week on a steadier footing after lagging through much of last week, weighed down by a string of underwhelming US data releases. Traders now turn their attention to a pivotal stretch for inflation figures, with CPI due Tuesday (consensus: +0.2% m/m, +2.8% y/y) and PPI on Thursday (consensus: +0.3% m/m, +2.5% y/y) and expectations are for high volatility: Markets and central banks all want to know more on the US Economy as the infamous Trump tariffs are finally in place. Major pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD have seen sharp appreciation on the back of recent USD weakness, but that rally now faces a test. With key data looming, uncertainty i…
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[USDX] – [Monday, October 20, 2025] The appearance of a Bearish Divergence on the RSI indicator against the price movement of #USDX, combined with its position in the Neutral-Bearish zone and confirmation via a Death Cross between the two EMAs, suggests that #USDX is likely to decline today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 98.86 2. Resistance. 1 : 98.69 3. Pivot : 98.34 4. Support. 1 : 98.17 5. Support. 2 : 97.82 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 98.34, #USDX may continue its decline toward 98.17. Momentum Extension Bias: If 98.17 is breached, #USDX has the potential to fall further toward 97.82. Invalidatio…
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Yesterday the US dollar sharply slumped in pairs with several risk-sensitive assets following news that US consumers have shown signs of fatigue just before what could become the longest government shutdown, and their outlook has only deteriorated since. According to data released on Tuesday, retail sales in September rose by only 0.2%. A more recent report from the Conference Board showed that consumer confidence fell to its lowest level in seven months, reflecting growing concerns about the labor market and the economy. The drop from 95.5 in October to 88.7 in November is also very significant and sensitive, which is negative for the dollar. These data sparked a wave o…
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Catalysts for movements in the US Dollar have been confusing all types of Market Participants. Reaching new cycle highs during the longest ever US Government shutdown (43 days), the Greenback consequently fell as the government reopened, driven by dovish hopes for the December 10 FOMC meeting. Current yo-yos in the dollar are leaving traders in question. All of this comes after a massive downtrend throughout the first half of the year due to tariffs and unpredictable policies from Donald Trump, requiring dollar-diversification from many economic and political parties around the world. Dollar funding is also not at its best levels, with Reverse Repo (RRP) facilities …
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for September 18 Today's story was one of a FOMC rate decision that American Markets loved. Between a comeback in the US Dollar and Nasdaq rallying to new highs, traders loved the atmosphere. Tech stocks led the charge after the acquisition news that Nvidia had acquired a stake in Intel, propelling related names like CrowdStrike and Synopsys higher. Still, the Dow Jones closed near the same lows seen during the FOMC’s intraday down-wick, a dynamic that will be worth watching in the coming sessions. By contrast, the Russell 2000 marked fresh all-time highs—a first since November 2024—underscoring the rotation into sma…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 9th Now up above 2% on the week, many Markets and assets can't ignore the ongoing rally in the US Dollar. Between resilient consumers – with, for example, Airlines like Delta giving out strong future expectations – and the Trump Administration-engineered Middle East deal agreed by both parties now, the US is getting back on its feet. Indeed, some questions are arising in concern of the strength of the US Economy. Despite some job losses and tariffs, how is it that company earnings and retail sales are still growing so much ? Some very interesting pieces convey that US Equities at record highs and filthy …
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