Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11986 tópicos neste fórum
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Since last Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls number, the Greenback has been getting obliterated, retreating from the 100.00 landmark in the DXY to touching high 97.00 levels. Markets are quickly moving towards a heavy pricing of FED cuts which is hurting the Dollar and supporting strongly Equities in their ongoing rebound. It will be essential to see how US indices open today but the trading has been green for other global indices, particularly the DAX up 1.70% on the session, and the Nasdaq (CFD and Futures) is about 200 points from its all-time highs. In the meantime, the US Dollar follows through with another beginning of NA session where it lags other majors and even brin…
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According to Arkham Intelligence, the US government still holds more than 198,000 Bitcoin. That’s around $23.4 billion sitting in digital wallets across several agencies. A recent public spreadsheet showed just 28,988.356 BTC under the Marshals Service. But looking at FBI, IRS, DEA and Justice Department seizures makes the total jump far higher. Government Stash Spread Across Agencies Based on reports from the Marshals Service, 28,988.356 BTC—worth roughly $3.45 billion—has been under its control since July 15, 2025. Other agencies don’t share that data publicly. They manage coins from crime probes and prize auctions. Arkham gathered on‑chain data and linked addresses…
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The USD is mostly lower to start the US trading day/week (the exception is the vs the JPY after Prime Minister Ishiba's resignation) after the August 2025 U.S. jobs report which showed a sharp slowdown in hiring, with nonfarm payrolls rising just 22,000, well below expectations, while the unemployment rate climbed to 4.3%, its highest since 2021. Job losses were seen in manufacturing, construction, and government, offset only by modest gains in healthcare, retail, and leisure. The prior months were revised downward, reinforcing the trend of weakening labor demand. The three-month average of U.S. nonfarm payrolls is currently about 29,000 jobs per month, well below the 12-…
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The US Dollar has stayed firmly at the top of the FX leaderboard since last week, extending its rally on the back of resilient macro data and cautious risk sentiment. North American Equity indices, meanwhile, have started to show signs of hesitation as geopolitical tensions rise—especially with renewed tariff discussions weighing on global trade expectations. Both US and Canadian CPI figures came in broadly as expected, which should keep the Fed and the Bank of Canada comfortably on hold for now. As a result, the USD and CAD have both gained ground relative to other majors, supported by stable rate outlooks and a still-robust domestic backdrop. There has also been a re…
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The crypto market is eyeing a critical week ahead as Fed Rate cut odds fluctuate below 70%. However, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller is leaning towards an interest-rate cut in December. Waller said, “My concern is mainly labor market, in terms of our dual mandate. So I’m advocating for a rate cut at the next meeting. You may see a more of a meeting-by-meeting approach once you get to January.” Critical economic data releases are set to be released this week. After a turbulent week that saw Bitcoin plunge to $82,000 before staging a slight weekend rebound, everyone is closely monitoring rate cut probabilities. Meanwhile, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer …
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The Federal Reserve will hold its final policy meeting of 2025 this week. The market is heavily leaning towards a 0.25% rate cut on Wednesday, 10 December 2025 – the third cut that would take the rate to 3.5% – 3.75% target range. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference after Wednesday’s decision is expected to be critical for markets. Bank of America said that it expects Powell to hint at “reserve management purchases.” Anxiety grips markets ahead of Powell’s speech. DISCOVER: 16+ New and Upcoming Binance Listings in 2025 Key Takeaways Beyond the FOMC statement, several data releases could inject incremental vol…
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Week in review – Were the past few weeks just a farce? Markets rebounded as if nothing happened – Nvidia (NVDA) earnings came to save the trend as the narrative was switching to a general AI-Bubble scare. The earnings brought back confidence into the Market, and this feeling got exacerbated by a brand new dovish repricing after last Friday's speech by NY Fed President John Williams, who signaled his "support for a rate cut in the near-term". zoom_out_map P…
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Join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities, and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational p…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational pu…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational pu…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities, and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational p…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities, and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational p…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum is trading with renewed strength after breaking above the $3,300 level and briefly pushing toward $3,400, signaling a potential shift in short-term momentum. However, despite this recovery, bullish conviction remains fragile. Many analysts continue to warn that the broader trend still leans bearish, emphasizing that Ethereum has yet to reclaim the structural levels needed to confirm a macro reversal. Yet one signal has captured significant attention: according to fresh data from Lookonchain, a major whale known as BitcoinOG has doubled down on his Ethereum long position. This trader is widely recognized for being the whale who successfully shorted Bitcoin durin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Commander Bobo, the time has come to execute order $66k. “It will be done, Lord Bogdanoff…” Okay, all jokes aside, is BlackRock Bitcoin Holdings planning a secret coup? The launch of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has transformed the market, giving institutional investors an on-ramp into the once retail-led ecosystem. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) is at the center of this shift, which now manages more than 781,000 BTC—about $88 billion in assets. That’s nearly 6.5% of ETH ▼-4.19% circulating supply locked into a single vehicle, surpassing the reserves of many major exchanges. Net inflows into IBIT have consistently outpaced rival products, cementing Bla…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP’s weekly structure has seldom looked as compressed as it does in the chart published this morning by independent analyst Maelius. The view pulls data from the BITSTAMP feed and applies a 50-period exponential moving average (EMA) in blue, currently tracking at roughly $1.78. This XRP Chart Screams 2017 Price is perched above that dynamic support zone at $2.25, adding 3.33% so far in the present weekly candle, and has spent the past four months knitting out what the analyst calls a “giga bull flag.” The flag is defined by a sequence of progressively lower weekly highs that stop just short of the $3.40 line and higher swing-lows that bottom near $1.61, creating a conve…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP is no stranger to dramatic breakouts, and now, all signs point to another one brewing. After years of range-bound price action, the token is flashing powerful signals on the weekly chart: a fresh MACD crossover, surging momentum, and a massive breakout structure forming. With $5 acting as the key psychological level, analysts believe a close above it could ignite a euphoric rally toward $8–$11. If history is any guide, the real fireworks may spark between August and October 2025. XRP Multi-Year Range Breakout Signals Strength According to The Ape Of Main Street, in a recent post on X, XRP appears to be breaking out of a multi-year consolidation range, signaling the p…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP is still looking to confirm a strong bounce in price action after a crash that saw it register a huge bearish wick over the weekend, and many analysts are anticipating its next major move. According to technical analysis by crypto analyst HovWaves, XRP’s recent crash and bounce could be the early stage of a broader rally that positions its price for a run to as high as $8. XRP Finds Support And Rebounds Over 50% Technical analysis of XRP’s price action on the weekly timeframe, which was posted on the social media platform X by HovWaves, noted that the cryptocurrency got the move down into our support level for the expanded flat he was following. This is in referenc…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP flirted with stronger levels this week but slipped back as traders reassessed positions. According to a tweet by community figure Zach Rector, the next rally could arrive without much warning and push the token to a fresh all-time high. Price was at $2.40 on Wednesday, down from $2.43, marking a 1.14% fall over 24 hours. Daily trading volume rose to $4.9 billion, up 6.39%. Community Response Divided Reactions to Rector’s claim were split. Some holders sounded upbeat and said they would be “caught off guard” in a good way. Others pushed back, arguing that similar optimism has circulated for years with no sustained break above prior highs. Based on reports in the th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
While the Fed continues lowering interest rates, the Bank of Japan will likely resume cutting its own rates — something the regulator's chairman, Kazuo Ueda, hinted at quite explicitly. Previously, the Japanese central bank had taken measures aimed at gradually tightening monetary policy. But with the arrival of the new Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, the tightening process essentially halted, as she expressed the opposite view — that monetary policy should be eased. This led to a weakening of the yen against the dollar, despite the fact that the Fed resumed rate cuts this year. Now, given the current situation in both the global and national (Japanese) economies and the …
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The Japanese yen rose against the U.S. dollar yesterday following weak data related to the U.S. labor market, which only increased the likelihood of a widening divergence in monetary policy approaches between the U.S. and Japanese central banks. Today, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda delivered a speech in which he stated that the regulator can only broadly estimate where the so-called neutral interest rate might lie. The statement came amid growing expectations that the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates this month. "As for the neutral interest rate, unfortunately, it remains a concept that at the moment can only be assessed within a fairly wide range," Ueda said i…
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The Japanese Yen rout shows no signs of abating, pushing the USD/JPY pair to yet another set of monthly highs despite tomorrow’s highly anticipated rate cut from the Federal Reserve, combined with expectations of another hike in Japan. Rising expectations for another rate hike in Japan The decisive driver behind the Yen's continued weakness is the market's profound distrust of the Japanese monetary and fiscal coordination. zoom_out_map Japanese Yen against ot…
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The Japanese yen rose sharply after Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda gave a clear hint today that his board may soon raise interest rates, emphasizing the possibility of such a decision being made at the Bank of Japan's December meeting. Investors reacted instantly, beginning to actively buy the yen, which led to its strengthening against the US dollar and other major currencies. The market interpreted Ueda's comments as a signal that the ultra-loose monetary policy pursued by the Bank of Japan for many years is continuing to come to an end. All of this is happening against the backdrop of rising inflationary pressure in the country and concerns about further significan…
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In recent days, the Japanese yen has risen slightly against the US dollar, though the growth is largely technical. In his speech, Asahi Noguchi, a member of the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) Policy Board, stated that he maintains a dovish stance, refraining from fueling growing market speculation about a possible interest rate hike in December of this year. Overall, the official took a neutral position, emphasizing the importance of timely action. "The Bank must carefully examine how various economic channels ultimately affect economic activity and prices, and use the policy interest rate as a tool to adjust the degree of monetary accommodation as needed," Asahi Noguchi said on …
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You can't eat politics for breakfast. Following Shigeru Ishiba's unexpected resignation as Prime Minister, investors bet that USD/JPY would soon reach the 150 mark. The leading contender for prime minister, Sanae Takaichi, has repeatedly emphasized her support for Shinzo Abe's policies. This suggests large-scale fiscal stimulus and resistance to the Bank of Japan's attempts at monetary tightening. However, the yen hasn't been particularly spooked. In theory, political uncertainty means a delay in the next overnight rate hike. The Prime Minister's resignation allowed Barclays to postpone its forecast for the next tightening from October to January. Nevertheless, 36% of Blo…
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THE, the token behind THENA, a trading protocol on the BNB Chain, is on fire. The token rose 80% yesterday, following news of ambitious expansion plans and strategic partnerships. Just as Bitcoin and some of the best cryptos to buy are retracing after posting sharp gains over the weekend, spilling into Monday, interest is rapidly shifting to THE1 (No data), the native token of the decentralized exchange supporting perpetual futures trading on the BNB Chain, THENA. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 THE Crypto Rockets 80% Unlike BTC and BNB, both of which are shaky based on daily chart candlestick formations, THE crypto is resilie…
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