Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12189 tópicos neste fórum
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Global markets are tense, awaiting the release of the US consumer inflation report, which is especially intriguing ahead of next week's FOMC rate decision—especially after yesterday's producer inflation figures. Let's start with the producer inflation (PPI) data, which came in unusually low. The Producer Price Index fell year-over-year to 2.6%, versus a consensus forecast of 3.3%. Notably, the previous value was revised down from 3.3% to 3.1%. Recall that in August, a sharp jump in PPI shocked the market and reduced expectations that the Fed would cut rates this month. Now, with the CPI report imminent, the PPI numbers advise caution in interpreting these inflation measur…
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The pair is consolidating above the 1.1685 support level as the market awaits US inflation data and the outcome of next week's FOMC monetary policy meeting. Unlike the Federal Reserve, which is expected to lower interest rates, today the European Central Bank is anticipated to keep its rates and all monetary policy parameters unchanged. If today's US CPI report does not show inflation rising above the consensus forecast, the pair could receive support and continue its upward movement. From a technical point of view, the pair is above the support level of 1.1685. Technical View and Trade Idea: The price is below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, below the 5-SMA, an…
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Crypto feels electric today, especially with the bullish reports from major news outlets. Bitcoin has blasted past $114,000, and the mood across the market is very much about to go euphoric after a slight pump after weeks of flatlines. PriceBTC24h7d30d1yAll time Ethereum is playing chase, pushing over $4,400, while Solana, XRP, and ADA are seeing real gains. This surge is riding on softer PPI data that have people whispering “rate cuts soon.” Bitcoin dominance just need to slips under 52% as it means altcoin season are about to get real. Total crypto market cap is now back north of $4 trillion, and news today is all about how that shift is reshaping the space. (source…
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The euro is virtually unchanged on Thursday, trading at 1.1692 in the European session. ECB expected to maintain rates The European Central Bank meets later on Thursday and the money markets have priced in a hold at close to 100%, which would keep the key deposit rate at 2.0%. The ECB has cut rates by more than half since last July but has hinted that there is no rush to continue lowering rates. Has inflation in the eurozone become too much of a good thing? Inflation is under control, but there is now a risk of inflation undershooting the 2% target, which would put pressure on the ECB to respond by reducing rates. There are differing opinions within the ECB with…
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South Korea is lifting crypto restrictions for venture companies on September 16, giving them easier access to financing avenues and tax breaks. According to the Ministry of SMEs and Startups (MSS), the measure comes in response to the growing global trust in the crypto sphere, combined with advancements in the user protection department. The decision comes seven years after the country restricted crypto in October 2018, amidst concerns about speculation influencing the market and the lack of proper investor security. The shift marks a long-awaited move that could bring South Korea at the forefront of crypto adoption, which could rally projects like Pepenode (…
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Bitcoin climbed past $114,000 this week, pushing markets higher after a surprisingly weak reading on producer prices. According to reports, the move followed a pullback in US PPI that many traders read as a sign the Federal Reserve may be able to start cutting rates. The jump was quick and loud on price charts. It caught the attention of both retail traders and bigger money. Cooling Inflation Spurs Rate Cut Bets According to published data, US Producer Price Index (PPI) fell to about 2.6% year-on-year, while core PPI — which strips out food and energy — came in near 2.8%. On a monthly basis, PPI showed a drop, one of the first such moves since March 2024. Based on rep…
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Overview: The US dollar enjoys a firmer today ahead of the CPI and ECB meeting outcome. After falling to a new low for the year against the Chinese yuan earlier today, it has recovered and is higher on the day. The market is pricing in almost a 10% chance of a 50 bp cut next week, but a rise in the headline CPI, the fourth in a row, can see this re-assessed, which could help the greenback extend its recovery. There is little doubt about the outcome of the ECB meeting. It will stand pat while updating its macroeconomic forecasts. The dollar is enjoying a firmer tone against the emerging market currencies too. The new French prime minister is talking with the various parti…
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The pound continues to struggle to find direction against the dollar. The pair is trading between the middle and upper lines of the Bollinger Bands on the D1 timeframe, that is, within the 1.3490–1.3580 range. Buyers continue to test the upper limits near 1.36, while sellers attempt to secure the price below 1.3500. However, as soon as the price approaches either boundary of the channel, traders lock in profits and the pair returns to prior levels. Breaking out of this "vicious circle" will require a major trading catalyst to tip the balance in favor of either GBP/USD bulls or bears. That is why traders are now focused on the US CPI (to be published at the start of the US…
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Pump.fun is synonymous with meme coin trading on Solana. Therefore, when Pump crypto was first unleashed, many expected PUMP USD to fly right off the bat. While it did, PUMP/USDT didn’t sustain the momentum, only to pull back to what can only be said to be worrying levels. Fast-forward a few weeks after PUMP crypto hit the market, and confidence is high across the board that the token priming the popular meme coin launch pad is ready to breach all-time highs. The latest data from Coingecko shows that the PUMP token is trending and has been among the top gainers in the last 24 hours. (Source: Coingecko) Because of the turnaround of the past few trading days from late …
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Indices close mixed ahead of inflation dataUS stock indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 posted gains, while the Dow Jones declined. Investors are awaiting inflation data, which will be released today. If actual figures deviate from forecasts, market volatility may increase further. Follow the link for more details. Optimistic Oracle report supports market growthOracle shares rose by 36% on the back of an optimistic report, pushing the S&P 500 to its 23rd record. Easing inflationary pressure strengthened expectations of Fed monetary policy easing. Experts note that strong results in the technology sector were the main driver of positive sent…
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Japan has committed $7 billion to develop the Nacala Logistics Corridor, a project expected to boost Sovereign Metals’ (ASX: SVM) (LON: SVML) Kasiya rutile-graphite project in Malawi. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs, working with the African Development Bank, will direct funds toward capacity expansion, refurbishment and resilience upgrades across Malawi, Zambia and Mozambique. The program, called Strengthening Global Supply Chain through Nacala Corridor Development, is designed to secure critical mineral supply chains, improve transport reliability and ease congestion. Kasiya, which already has access to Japanese titanium markets, stands to benefit directly. …
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A new market-cap–based Elliott Wave study from independent chartist Quantum Ascend (@quantum_ascend) argues that Stellar’s native token XLM is positioned for a fifth-wave advance that could lift its valuation roughly 5x from here. In a video published on September 10, the analyst says he prefers to model market cap rather than the dollar price because XLM’s supply dynamics have periodically distorted spot-price returns. Stellar (XLM) Set To Explode 400% “Looking at this… the USD price is only up 12,000% while the market cap chart [is] up 52,000%. So… there is some kind of inflationary pressure on the asset… Stellar, we have to use the market cap chart to measure out exac…
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Larry Ellison has unexpectedly dethroned Elon Musk as the world's richest individual. Ellison's fortune surged to $393 billion, while Musk's net worth now stands at $385 billion. The dramatic shift is explained by a staggering single-day increase in Ellison's wealth—over $100 billion. The backdrop could hardly be more favorable. The S&P 500 gained 0.4% and the Nasdaq rose 0.3%, with both indices hitting new all-time highs, while the Dow Jones was little changed. Markets were buoyed by a weaker-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) report. In August, it unexpectedly dropped by 0.1%, and the July figure was revised lower. On an annual basis, inflation metrics also c…
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Japan is preparing to launch its first stablecoin credit card. Starting in October 2025, ‘Nudge Card’ will be accepted at over 150M VISA merchants worldwide, and Nudge Corporation will accept the Japanese yen-backed stablecoin JPYC for repayments. Meanwhile, over in South Korea, e-commerce giant, Coupang, is partnering with Tempo to build blockchain rails for stablecoin adoption These developments in the Asian market reflect the broader global race to adopt crypto and blockchain payment systems. Best Wallet is gearing up with its upcoming Best Card, aiming to make everyday crypto transactions easier for people around the world. How Japan’s Nudge Card Could Revolutioniz…
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The Dow Jones Industrial Average has lagged its peers since the recent Fed Chair Powell’s dovish speech in Jackson Hole on 22 August 2025, which signaled a change of monetary policy stance from a “wait and see” approach to a more proactive one to address the risk of a deterioration in the US labour market. …
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US core inflation rate August (YoY): +3.1% vs +3.1% expected, meets consensusUS core inflation rate August (MoM): +0.3% vs +0.3% expected, meets consensusUS non-core inflation rate August (YoY): +2.9% vs +2.9% expected, meets consensusUS non-core inflation rate August (MoM): +0.3% vs +0.4% expected, above consensus by +0.1%US Consumer Price Index Report (August 2025): Breaking: The US core inflation rises by 2.8% YoY in August, down 0.1% MoM. The report comes in lower than expectations, with markets predicting a higher rate of 3.5% YoY, and a monthly gain of +0.3%. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services…
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Bitcoin is trading at a critical level after several days of tight consolidation between $115,000 and $110,000. The price action reflects a tense standoff, with bulls working to regain ground while mounting selling pressure keeps gains in check. Despite the cautious mood, momentum appears to be leaning bullish, as buyers continue to defend key support zones and prepare for the next decisive move. Adding weight to this outlook, top analyst Maartunn shared new insights showing that dormant Bitcoin coins are beginning to move onchain. This activity suggests that long-term holders, who typically sit through volatility, are repositioning themselves, marking a significant shi…
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In low trading volume, none of the instruments worked out through the Mean Reversion strategy. I tried trading the pound (GBP) using Momentum, which worked out reasonably well. Now all attention is on the US CPI and Core CPI data. Growth in these indicators will strengthen the dollar and push risk assets lower. In the case of a sharp drop in inflation, the dollar will weaken sharply again. Market participants are watching every slight data change, as it may provide clues about the Fed's next interest rate steps. The Fed is expected to cut rates if inflation slows sharply, which would weaken the dollar even further. Despite some deceleration in recent months, inflation sti…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe price test at 1.1690 occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the pair's downside potential. In the second half of the day, everyone will be closely watching the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, both including and excluding food and energy prices. An increase in these indicators will likely support the dollar while putting pressure on the euro. The data will influence the Fed's decision as it will shed light on price trends. It's worth noting that despite a recent slight decrease in inflationary pressure, it still significantly exceeds the target level.…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3518 occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the pair's downside potential. In the second half of the day, US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August will be released, and a decline in this indicator will restore demand for the British pound, significantly weakening the dollar's position. The CPI excluding food and energy prices is also important. Investors and traders constantly analyze every point of the report carefully, trying to anticipate the Federal Reserve's next moves. It is expected that the Fed will make decisions ba…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe price test at 147.59 in the first half of the day occurred as the MACD indicator started to move upward from the zero line, confirming a correct entry point for buying dollars, which resulted in a gain of more than 40 pips. In the second half of the day, US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August will be released, and a decrease in this indicator will restore demand for the Japanese yen, significantly weakening the dollar. The CPI excluding food and energy prices is also crucial. Lower inflation could ease pressure on the Fed to maintain a wait-and-see approach, which would negatively impact the attractiveness of t…
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The British pound continues to have a calm week. Early in the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3546, up 0.14% on the day. US inflation rises to 0.4% in August US inflation climbed 0.4% m/m in August, up from 0.3% in July and above the market estimate of 0.2%. Annual CPI rose to 2.9% from 2.7%, in line with the market estimate. Core CPI came in at 0.3% m/m and 3.1% y/y, unchanged from July. The core rate continues to hover well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target but that isn't expected to stop the Fed from lowering rates next week for the first time since December 2024. Although a rate cut has been fully priced in, we could see downward pressure on th…
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Bitcoin remains above 114,000 and is preparing for a significant move. Ethereum has also shown good growth. All the focus will be on US inflation. If prices decrease significantly, Bitcoin may respond with a fresh surge, as this will increase the chances of a more active rate-cutting cycle by the Federal Reserve. As the leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin is especially sensitive to changes in Federal Reserve monetary policy. Lower US inflation can be seen as a signal for a more dovish monetary stance. This, in turn, would weaken the US dollar and increase the attractiveness of alternative assets such as Bitcoin. Lower interest rates also reduce borrowing costs, which can stim…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Forex currencies have been dormant since the beginning of August as Markets haven't found what they want in the latest key data reports. As previously thought, the latest NFP, PPI, and CPI combo reports would have expected to relieve volatility in FX. But volatility there wasn't. After receiving all the most influential market data, the next step will be next Wednesday's FOMC rate decision (September 17). Prior to the CPI release, expectations for a 50 bps cut were priced at 10% and are now closer to 5%. The 25 bps cut, however, is still priced to be a sure thing. Indeed, when looking at Market reactions in other assets, it seems that the theme that is developing is o…
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