Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11911 tópicos neste fórum
-
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the Japanese Yen The test of the 155.58 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar. The second test of 155.58 coincided with the MACD being in the oversold zone, which led to the execution of Buy Scenario No. 2. As a result, the pair rose by 20 points. Next, close attention should be paid to the ADP report, which acts as a leading indicator. Positive ADP data may strengthen the dollar against the Japanese yen. The ISM Services PMI is also significant. A reading above 50 indicates growth in the sector, which w…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British Pound The test of the 1.3245 price occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had just begun to move upward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by more than 35 points. News that the UK Services PMI came out higher than economists' forecasts provided significant support for the pound. The impact of positive PMI data on the currency market is quite logical. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion in business activity in the services sector, which in turn signals an overall improvement in the country's economic situation. For traders, this serves as an i…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Recommendations for Trading the European Currency The test of the 1.1641 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving down from the zero mark, which confirmed the correct entry point for selling the euro. However, a significant decline in the pair never materialized. Demand for the euro returned after the release of PMI data. The market reacted to the positive data as a sign of economic recovery in the eurozone. Positive dynamics in the services sector—an important component of the regional economy—indicate rising consumer spending and growing optimism in the business environment. Nonetheless, despite the encouraging impression…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Macro strategist Alex Krüger is tying Bitcoin’s next macro chapter directly to the coming reshuffle at the Federal Reserve, warning that investors are underpricing how far US rates could fall under a Trump-aligned central bank. In a long X post titled “2026: The Year of the Fed’s Regime Change,” he argues that “the Federal Reserve as we know it ends in 2026” and that the most important driver of asset returns will be a new, much more dovish Fed led by Kevin Hassett. His base case is that this shift becomes a key driver for risk assets broadly and Bitcoin in particular in 2026, even if crypto markets are currently trading as if nothing fundamental has changed. Why The Fe…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: The US dollar is under pressure today. Stronger European final PMI readings and a pullback in US yields have seen the greenback sold through last month's lows against several G10 currencies. And even where the data disappointed, like Australia's Q3 GDP or Switzerland's CPI, the currencies are bid. Led by central European currencies, most emerging market currencies are higher with Türkiye, Russia, India, and the Philippines the exceptions. Equities were mixed in the Asia Pacific region but are firmer in Europe, and US index futures are trading a little higher. Chinese shares in Hong Kong and the mainland fell by more than 1%, while the Nikkei and South Korea's K…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
What to Know: A more dovish, crypto-friendly Fed chair like Kevin Hassett could extend a multi‑year liquidity cycle, favoring Bitcoin and high‑beta altcoins. Position sizing, diversification, and risk management remain critical, even when macro conditions and narratives seem heavily tilted in crypto’s favor. Bitcoin Hyper’s SVM-powered Layer 2 aims to unlock low-latency smart contracts and DeFi around $BTC while preserving Bitcoin settlement security. PEPENODE and Dogwifhat provide meme and community-driven upside exposure if easier policy reignites speculative flows into Solana and broader alt markets. Speculation that Kevin Hassett could take over the Fed with a mor…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
I was discussing an Ethereum price prediction here in Japan, and someone curtly said, “Yeah, also invest in some horse manure while you are at it.” How rude! But it was nice to know I understood what they said in Japanese. Meanwhile, Ethereum’s Fusaka upgrade went live on December 3, delivering the most meaningful throughput expansion since EIP-4844. Unfortunately, I don’t know how to say that in Japanese… On the lower boundary, support is defined at $2,850, the trendline that absorbed repeated hits throughout November. The derivatives side tells the same story. Open interest jumped 7.7 percent, a sign traders are creeping back into leverage and bracing for moveme…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair rebounded from the support level of 1.1594–1.1607, turned in favor of the European currency, and rose to the resistance level of 1.1645–1.1656. A rebound from this zone will work in favor of the U.S. dollar and lead to a new decline toward the 1.1594–1.1607 level. A consolidation of the pair above 1.1645–1.1656 will increase the likelihood of continued growth toward the next 38.2% retracement level at 1.1718. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed downward wave did not break the low of the previous wave, and the last upward wave has not yet broken the previous peak. Thus, the trend still remains …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair has been trading horizontally over the past few days between price levels 1.3186 and 1.3270. Traders often ignore chart levels, and the pair remains in a sideways range. Yesterday, a rebound from the 38.2% retracement level at 1.3186 occurred, leading to a reversal in favor of the pound and a rise to the 50.0% Fibonacci level at 1.3240. Today, a rebound from this level would work in favor of the dollar and lead to a new decline toward 1.3186. A consolidation of the pair above 1.3240 would allow for continued growth toward the 61.8% retracement level at 1.3294. The wave structure has turned "bullish." The last completed downward wave …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin jumped back above key levels on Wednesday, with prices climbing past $93,000 after dipping to $84,400 earlier this month. The move followed a sharp sell-off that removed about $8,000 from the price late over the weekend, and traders pushed the coin to a 24-hour peak of $93,910 on Coingecko. Bitcoin Climbs Above Key Levels According to MN Fund founder Michaël van de Poppe, regaining ground above $93,000 is important for momentum. He said that if the price holds and breaks higher, a run toward $100,000 becomes more likely. Other analysts echoed the call: Nick Ruck of LVRG Research pointed to macro factors and fresh ETF flows as drivers that could help Bitcoin t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
According to the OECD, the global economy is coping with Donald Trump's trade tariffs better than expected, as activity is supported by significant investment in artificial intelligence and by supportive fiscal and monetary policy. Although the trade restrictions introduced by the Trump administration have certainly had a negative impact on specific sectors and countries, global economic growth has proven more resilient than many economists had forecast. One of the key reasons for this resilience is technological progress, especially in the field of artificial intelligence. Large-scale AI investment—both from the private sector and from governments—has helped boost produ…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The crypto market is showing strong gains on December 3, 2025, with .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price-holder .…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday's inflation data for the eurozone prompted a series of comments from European Central Bank officials. However, in the currency market itself, the released report was largely ignored."The European Central Bank is not obliged to react to small deviations from the 2% inflation target. It should keep its powder dry so it can respond when there is a real need to change policy," said Governing Council member Martin Kocher in an interview. As a reminder, according to yesterday's data, consumer prices in the eurozone rose by 2.2% in November compared to the same period last year, higher than the 2.1% average level in the previous month and slightly above the median econ…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum fell more than 2% within 24 hours, sliding below $3,000 after losing its $2,900 support level. The drop triggered widespread liquidations, with around $500 million in long positions wiped out. Data shows that $79 million of the $106 million in ETH-focused contracts liquidated were long bets. Trading activity spiked sharply during the decline, with daily volume rising 200% to $33.2 billion. The broader crypto market also contracted, falling nearly 1.2% and erasing an estimated $1100 billion in value within hours. Bitcoin, SOL, XRP, and DOGE followed similar downward moves. Despite the volatility, some firms accumulated ETH during the downturn. BitMine Immersion…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, Bitcoin surged more than 8%, recovering all the losses from the previous day, and today it has reached the $93,800 mark, clearly aiming for a return to the $100,000 level during the Santa Claus rally. Meanwhile, the Strategy company, which has recently been under close scrutiny, acknowledged yesterday the possibility of selling BTC in the event of an extreme market situation. Previously, Saylor had stated that the company would never sell its BTC. Pressure on the company has increased following the significant drop in the cryptocurrency market in November of this year, causing many investors and traders to question the stability of the firm, which holds a co…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, the market may continue moving upward from the 1.3207 level (yesterday's daily candle close) toward the target of 1.3282 — the 38.2% pullback level (blue dotted line). When testing this level, the price may pull back downward toward the target of 1.3274 — the upper fractal (daily candle of December 1, 2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upwardFibonacci levels – upwardVolumes – upwardCandlestick analysis – upwardTrend analysis – upwardBollinger Bands – upwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: On Wednesday, the market may continue moving upward from the …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, the market may continue moving upward from the 1.1621 level (yesterday's daily candle close) toward the target of 1.1655 — the 50% pullback level (blue dotted line). When testing this level, the price may possibly pull back downward to the target of 1.1640 — the 38.2% pullback level (yellow dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upwardFibonacci levels – upwardVolumes – downwardCandlestick analysis – upwardTrend analysis – upwardBollinger Bands – upwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.1621 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the p…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
All problems are in the head. Events help us remember them. For example, rumors about the appointment of Kevin Hassett as chairman of the Federal Reserve and the presentation of the British budget project reminded financial markets of the serious fiscal difficulties facing the U.S. It was enough for the "bulls" in XAU/USD to attempt to restore the upward trend. Gold has risen for the fourth consecutive month. Five out of the last six months, including November, closed in the green zone for the precious metal. It is heading towards the best annual result since 1979, thanks to the influx of capital into ETFs, central banks' demand for bullion, geopolitical factors, and expe…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has turned itself around with a sharp surge to $92,000, unleashing a fresh wave of short liquidations on the derivatives exchanges. Bitcoin Has Seen A Flash Recovery Back To $92,000 Bitcoin suffered a blow on Monday as its price slipped under $84,000, but just as quickly as it had crashed, the cryptocurrency has made a swift recovery on Tuesday. With the asset’s price now floating above $92,000, its price has surged by more than 8% over the last 24 hours. Like is usually the case, Bitcoin hasn’t been alone in this rally; the rest of the cryptocurrency market has also shot up alongside the number one digital asset. Some of the top altcoins have even managed to…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Anyone planning to bet against the S&P 500 should consider the strength of the American economy and the ongoing enthusiasm surrounding artificial intelligence. The US has proven to be more resilient to tariffs than previously thought. The OECD has raised its GDP forecasts by 0.2 percentage points to 2% for 2025 and 1.7% for 2026. Enormous investments in artificial intelligence are boosting gross domestic product as well as stock price growth. Americans are becoming wealthier and continue to spend. OECD Forecasts for US Economy and Other Countries According to 22V Research, increased consumer spending and investments in AI technologies will support productivity and …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In crypto news today, the pump in BTC and ETH against USD, and the anticipation around the Fusaka upgrade are the talking points. BTC USD breaking above $93,000 and ETH USD reclaiming the $3,000 level, it almost feels like déjà vu for anyone who has lived through previous crypto cycles. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time However, the tone is different this time. All four key drivers, BTC USD momentum, the behavior of ETH USD, the market’s appetite for risk, and the imminent Fusaka upgrade collided in a way that can push sentiment higher, as violent moves up…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, several entry points into the market were formed. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened there. In my morning forecast, I focused on the 1.3203 level and planned to make entry decisions based on it. A decline and the formation of a false breakout around 1.3203 provided a buying opportunity for the pound, but a significant rise in the pair did not materialize. In the second half of the day, active buying around 1.3177 created another buying opportunity for the pound, and this time the pair rose by more than 30 pips. To open long positions on GBP/USD, it is required:Good reports from the U.S. put pressure on the pound and support on th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, only one entry point into the market was formed. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened there. In my morning forecast, I focused on the 1.1591 level and planned to make entry decisions based on it. The pair declined, but due to low volatility, it did not reach the test of 1.1591. As a result, I was left without trades. In the second half of the day, a false breakout around 1.1623 provided a good entry point to sell the euro, resulting in a drop of more than 30 pips. To open long positions on EUR/USD, it is required:Good data on a sharp increase in the U.S. economic optimism index from RCM/TIPP led to a temporary strengthening of the …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, stock indices closed with gains. The S&P 500 rose by 0.25%, while the Nasdaq 100 increased by 0.59%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average strengthened by 0.39%. On Wednesday, Asian indices traded within narrow ranges, reflecting Wall Street's dynamics as investors remained cautious ahead of the release of several key economic data points from the United States. The MSCI All Country World Index offset early gains of 0.3%, as Chinese stocks traded on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange showed their worst performance in recent times. European futures indicated a slightly positive market opening, while futures on the S&P 500 rose by 0.2%. Activity in the cryptocur…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
