Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The U.S. just saw something new. Spot ETFs tracking Solana, Litecoin and Hedera hit the market and together racked up around $65 million in trading volume on their very first day. The clear leader was the Solana fund, which pulled in the bulk of that figure and set the tone for how these altcoin ETFs might perform moving forward. Solana Steals the Show Right Away Within the first hour, the Solana ETF brought in close to $10 million. Hedera’s fund followed with around $4 million, and the Litecoin ETF lagged with just $400,000. The difference in volume paints a clear picture of investor interest, and Solana is way out front. What makes the Solana fund stand out even more i…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Dogecoin price is fighting to hold the psychological $0.20 support as large investors continue offloading holdings and leveraged traders exit the market. The Dogecoin price briefly traded above $0.21 earlier this week, but has since slipped by more than 2%, highlighting the mounting selling pressure in the market. Related Reading: Is The Dogecoin Bull Run Over? Analyst Predicts When DOGE Rallies Again According to on-chain data, whales have sold over 500 million DOGE tokens in the past week, fueling fears of further downside. The selloff coincides with a sharp 61% drop in futures open interest, plunging from $5.03 billion to $1.95 billion, signaling widespread posit…
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Analysis of EUR/USD 5M The EUR/USD currency pair traded with minimal volatility on Tuesday, although it received some support from the British pound. The British currency plummeted yesterday due to another unfortunate statement from Chancellor Rachel Reeves, which also caused the euro to begin falling. However, the euro quickly rebounded as traders recalled that the UK's problems pertain to the British pound, not the euro. As a result, we first saw a sharp drop in quotes followed by an equally sharp rise. However, this "sharp drop" was only 40 pips, and practically all movements for the day occurred within the range of 1.1604-1.1666. The macroeconomic background in th…
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Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD pair fell sharply on Tuesday, like a stone. This was certainly justified, as in recent weeks we have observed average volatility of around 50-60 pips. Yesterday, the British pound lost about 120 pips during the day and only slightly recovered by the evening. The unexpected collapse of sterling was another unfortunate statement from UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves, who is already known for her regular negative impact on the British currency. This time, Reeves hinted that leaving the EU was a mistake for Britain and that the current government is diligently working to restore ties with the Alliance. Additionally, this evening, the FOMC mee…
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The EUR/USD currency pair remained practically motionless on Tuesday. In general, nearly every day, numerous experts, analysts, and forecasters share their opinions, using expressions like "the dollar has appreciated" or "why is the dollar falling?" We also use such epithets and phrases. But it is essential to understand that a 10-pip rise in the pair is also a decline in the value of the American currency. Conversely, a drop of 10 pips signifies the dollar's growth. But should we treat these price changes as actual growth or decline? From our perspective, when market volatility is minimal, it makes little sense to speak of increases or decreases at all. Essentially, all …
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The GBP/USD pair traded differently on Tuesday than the EUR/USD pair, even though both pairs have shown similar dynamics in recent days, weeks, and months. Therefore, the reasons for the decline of the British currency should have been sought within the UK. It is worth noting that there were no macroeconomic reports or significant events scheduled for Tuesday in the EU, the UK, or the U.S.. Thus, the search took a while and was not focused on the economy. The cause of the new drop in the British pound was a statement from the "politician of the hour" – Rachel Reeves, the head of the UK Treasury. As mentioned earlier, Reeves has already triggered at least two significant d…
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Bitcoin price is correcting gains below $113,500. BTC could continue to move down if it stays below the $114,200 resistance. Bitcoin started a downside correction below the $114,200 support. The price is trading below $114,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $114,050 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $112,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Starts Pullback Bitcoin price extended gains above the $113,500 zone. BTC gained pace for a move above the $115,000 pivot level. The price even spiked above $116,200 before the bears a…
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Cathie Wood is adding to her crypto-themed stock bets. This week, she put about $31 million into Jack Dorsey’s Block as demand for Bitcoin ETFs picked up again. According to an official announcement on X, ARK Invest bought $30.9 million in Block shares on Monday. The position was spread across three of its funds: ARKK, ARKW, and ARKF. The disclosure followed soon after and helped lift the stock during the session. The ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) recorded roughly $76.4 million in net inflows on Monday, the strongest single-day haul among BTC funds. US spot bitcoin ETFs have now posted gains for three straight days. (Source: Farside Investors) The market also…
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XRP hovers at a key resistance, signaling a crucial decision point. With momentum building, traders now wonder, will one final dip come before the next major breakout? XRP Faces A Crucial Decision Zone Amid Ongoing Range CasiTrades, in a recent market update, highlighted that XRP continues to range within a critical zone, keeping its setup for a potential final wave down valid. The analyst noted that the price remains at a key decision point, with ongoing tests of the Wave 4 highs acting as a firm ceiling against further upside movement. According to CasiTrades, the pivotal level to watch is $2.82 on Binance. A confirmed breakout and sustained hold above this resistan…
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Ethereum price started a downside correction from $4,250. ETH is moving lower below $4,000 and might decline further if it trades below $3,920. Ethereum started a downside correction below $4,150 and $4,050. The price is trading below $4,050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $4,100 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it trades below $3,920. Ethereum Price Starts Downside Correction Ethereum price extended gains above the $4,050 level, like Bitcoin. ETH price even surpassed $4,200 before the bears appeared. A high was formed at $4,252 and the p…
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Ethena-backed DEX Terminal has now topped a quarter-billion dollars in deposits before launch, signaling strong early interest in yield-bearing stablecoin trading, raising the question: Is ENA the best crypto to buy right now? Terminal Finance, a spot exchange built for institutional-grade assets and interest-accruing stablecoins, said its pre-deposit total value locked has climbed past $280 million. The figure reflects three vaults that have already hit capacity: 225 million USDe, 10,000 WETH, and 100 WBTC. The platform is set to go live around the end of the year, alongside its token generation event. The vault balances are visible on open DeFi tracking dashboards t…
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Ethereum-focused treasury company ETHZilla said it has sold roughly $40 million worth of ether to fund ongoing share repurchases, a maneuver aimed at closing what it calls a “significant discount to NAV.” In a press statement on Monday, the company disclosed that since Friday, October 24, it has bought back about 600,000 common shares for approximately $12 million under a broader authorization of up to $250 million, and that it intends to continue buying while the discount persists. ETHZilla Dumps ETH For BuyBacks The company framed the buybacks as balance-sheet arbitrage rather than a strategic retreat from its core Ethereum exposure. “We are leveraging the strength of …
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XRP price started a fresh increase above $2.550. The price is now facing hurdles above $2.650 and at risk of another decline in the near term. XRP price gained pace for a move above $2.60 and $2.620 before the bears appeared. The price is now trading below $2.60 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $2.6350 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it stays above $2.50. XRP Price Retreats Lower XRP price started a fresh increase after it settled above $2.50, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price surpassed the $2.550 and $2.60 resistance leve…
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Bitcoin and Ethereum hold steady as ETF flows, Fed bets, and new regulatory actions have crypto in a holding pattern. Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) slipped a little in the last 24 hours, as BTC fluctuated around the mark of $115,000, and ETH around the mark of $4,160 on Tuesday. SoSoValue data shows that US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net inflow of $149 million, indicating that investors were consistently showing interest in Bitcoin irrespective of the price fluctuations. (Source: SoSoValue) Why Did Bitcoin Attract $931M While Ethereum Logged Outflows? According to CoinShares’ report, investors added about $931 million into Bitcoin funds last week, even as ethe…
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Trade Analysis for Tuesday: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair traded with minimal volatility on Tuesday. Throughout the day, there were no significant events published in the Eurozone or the U.S., but the British pound faced certain downward pressures, causing the European currency to decline alongside it in the first half of the day. By the second half of the day, the euro recovered, while the pound continued to fall for its own reasons. Consequently, the sharp moves we observed yesterday in the euro could have been absent if it weren't for yet another statement from UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves. The day's overall volatility was 43 pips. This ev…
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Trade Analysis for Tuesday: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair unexpectedly plunged on Tuesday, like a stone. The UK and U.S. calendars were empty yesterday, so the sharp decline of the British currency mystified many. The situation became clearer in the second half of the day, when it was revealed that UK Treasury Secretary Rachel Reeves expressed her opinion on Brexit. According to her, leaving the EU was a mistake (though she hinted at it), and the government is currently working to strengthen and restore ties with the European Union and many other countries around the world. In our view, this is a relatively weak reason to sell the pound, but in recent…
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Review of Macroeconomic Reports: There are no macroeconomic reports scheduled for Wednesday. While at least secondary reports were published in Germany on Monday and Tuesday (which did not provoke any market reaction), there will be none on Wednesday. The only event of the day is the Federal Reserve meeting, accompanied by a press conference with Jerome Powell. Review of Fundamental Events: There will only be one fundamental event on Wednesday. For obvious reasons, representatives of the Fed and the European Central Bank cannot provide comments or interviews on the economy or monetary policy right now, so today the focus should be solely on the Fed meeting.…
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Dogecoin saw a sharp jump in trading activity on Tuesday, but prices did not follow immediately. Volume over the last 24 hours rose by 60%, pushing total traded value above $2 billion, according to CoinMarketCap. Yet the token traded near $0.21 at the time of the report, down about 0.18% in the day and down 12% so far this month. Trading Volume Surges According to CoinMarketCap data, the sudden spike in volume shows many more hands moving DOGE than usual. Reports have disclosed that this wave of trades coincides with renewed interest among retail buyers and larger holders. Data shows that October has historically been a strong month for Dogecoin, with modest gains of …
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Solana failed to stay above $200 and corrected gains. SOL price is now trading below $200 and might decline further if it dips below $192. SOL price started a downside correction below $200 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $198 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $198 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend losses if it dips below the $192 zone. Solana Price Corrects Some Gains Solana price started a decent increase after it settled above the $192 zone, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $198 level to enter a short-te…
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Early in the European session, the euro is trading around 1.1644, below the 200 EMA and within the descending trend channel formed in early September. The euro could continue its fall in the coming days, potentially reaching the 6/8 Murray support level at 1.1474. At the beginning of October, the euro left a gap around 1.1739, and this gap is expected to be filled in the coming days. Technically, we see that there is still part of this gap that needs to be filled, so we believe that if the price consolidates above 1.1670, we could expect it to reach 1.1740. If bearish pressure prevails, this will be seen as an opportunity to sell only if the price consolidates below 1.166…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is currently trading around the 4/8 Murray level at 112,500. This level is offering strong support for Bitcoin, and it's likely that it could recover some of its losses if it consolidates above the 21SMA at 113,720. Conversely, if the Bitcoin price consolidates below 113,800, any technical bounce will be seen as a sell signal. If the price falls below this resistance, it could reach the bottom of the ascending trend channel around $111,000. If the bearish pressure persists from current price levels, we could expect a continuation of the BTC decline, potentially reaching $110,800. Around this level, we could expect a strong technical bounce. Hence, we should pay at…
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Early in the European session, gold is trading around 3,963 above the 200 EMA, rebounding after reaching the 5/8 Murray level during the New York session yesterday. Gold reached a low not seen since early October, around 3,886. Since then, gold has been recovering some of its losses and is now consolidating above 3,950, which has become a strong support level. If gold reaches the 5/8 Murray level again in the next few hours, around 3,906, it will be seen as a good buying opportunity with targets around the psychological level of $4,000. If the gold price sharply breaks the downtrend channel formed since October 20, we could see a new bullish sequence during which the istr…
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Market expert VirtualBacon recently suggested that the most significant event for the crypto industry this year is not the Bitcoin (BTC) Halving or the approval of exchange-traded funds (ETFs), but rather a potential shift in Federal Reserve (Fed) liquidity policy. After 18 months of tightening measures, the Fed is reportedly preparing to pause its quantitative tightening (QT) and may even initiate stealth quantitative easing (QE) once again. What’s Next For The Crypto Market In a recent post on social media platform X, VirtualBacon laid out a compelling argument linking liquidity pivots to altcoin cycles. In 2019, the Fed halted QT, which resulted in a rally for altco…
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The U.S. dollar has risen sharply against the euro, British pound, Japanese yen, and other risk assets, despite the fact that the Federal Reserve is set to lower interest rates today. Data showed that the consumer confidence index in the U.S. exceeded economists' forecasts, as did the Richmond manufacturing index, prompting a sharp rise in the dollar in the absence of significant fundamental data. The impact of the shutdown on economic data remains significant. The lack of regular statistics makes it difficult to assess the current state of the economy and increases volatility in the markets. Because of this, traders are forced to rely on disparate indicators, which ampli…
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[XPD/USD] – [Wednesday, October 29, 2025] Today, XPD/USD has the potential to decline toward its nearest support level, as confirmed by both EMAs forming a Death Cross and the appearance of a Divergent RSI against its price movement. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 1472.39 2. Resistance. 1 : 1440.54 3. Pivot : 1391.01 4. Support. 1 : 1359.16 5. Support. 2 : 1309.63 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of XPD/USD breaks and closes below 1391.01, it may continue to decline toward 1359.16. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1359.16 is also broken and closes below it, then 1309.63 will likely be tested. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bi…
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