Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11982 tópicos neste fórum
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Bitcoin’s recent wobble has split analysts. Some warn of a deep pullback while onchain trackers point to a mild correction that could already be ending. Traditional Analysis Shows Risk According to Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone’s post on X, the move under $100,000 may not be finished. He called a fall from recent highs a possible “Speed Bump Toward $56,000,” and said that past rallies often reverted toward the 48-month moving average, now near $56,000. That view implies the potential for a sharp drop — almost 50% from recent peaks — if the current downtrend keeps going. Short, stark statements from established market commentators have pushed concern among some investo…
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Trade analysis and advice on trading the European currency The test of the 1.1541 level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro and stayed out of the market. In the second half of today's session, investors' attention will mainly focus on the release of the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index and inflation expectations data. The speech by FOMC member Philip N. Jefferson is unlikely to bring any changes. The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index is an important barometer of the health of the U.S. economy. It shows how co…
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Gold prices advanced on Friday to recover from a weekly loss, as traders weigh their outlook on US monetary policy following the release of private sector jobs data. Spot gold rose almost 0.5% to $3,995 an ounce by midday, having briefly touched the $4,000 level earlier. US gold futures saw similar gains, trading at just above $4,005 an ounce in New York. Click on chart for live prices. The move follows Thursday’s private US data showing the biggest October job cuts in more than 20 years, which sparked concerns about a softer labor market and boosted expectations of another Federal Reserve interest rate cut — a scenario that would benefit gold. “The private …
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Polkadot’s price action is beginning to hint at a possible shift in momentum, with a reversal setup forming just below the critical $2.85 level. The bulls are gradually building pressure, eyeing a breakout that could confirm a change in trend. Still, the presence of strong resistance overhead means the coming sessions will be crucial in determining whether DOT can break free or face another rejection. DOT’s Downtrend Shows Signs Of Exhaustion As Buyers Eye A Short-Term Recovery Giving a follow-up on the expected path of DOT in the 4-hour timeframe, Elliott Waves Academy revealed that the series of declines through the sub-waves of the recent impulsive move may be nearing…
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Solana Foundation manager Vibhu Norby jumped into a heated XRP discussion on X, adding a sharp dose of humor to an already intense online conversation. The debate began when Tradeship University founder Cameron Scrubs urged followers to sell all their other crypto assets and buy XRP. XRP Proponents Urge Bold Bets Scrubs, known for extreme XRP optimism, previously predicted that XRP would surpass Bitcoin and Ethereum within five years. He reignited that vision this week, telling investors to sell Bitcoin, Ethereum, ZCash, and Dogecoin — essentially, “sell everything” — and move into XRP. The statement quickly went viral, drawing reactions from multiple crypto communities…
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Reports from the Ripple Swell 2025 conference show growing interest in XRP. Traders and fund managers are watching November closely. According to speakers at the event, several timetabled moves could push more money into the token in the short term. Canary Capital ETF Timetable Canary Capital’s spot ETF is set to go live after an updated S-1 filing, with a possible automatic launch 20 days later on November 13. Reports from the stage cited Steven McClurg, CEO of Canary Capital, as confirming the update. That filing removed an amendment clause that would have given the SEC greater control over the product’s effective date. Based on reports, the timeline could still sh…
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Another week has come and gone, and the emergence of Asia within the larger crypto landscape has been ever-rapid and consistent. Its tech-savvy population, mobile-first economies, and an ever-increasing appetite for financial innovation have fueled crypto’s widespread adoption in Asia. While there are differences in the regulatory approaches of different countries toward crypto, it cannot be denied that Asia as a whole has come into its own as a crypto powerhouse. Here are some of the big headliners from this past week. Binance CEO Richard Teng: India Drives Crypto Growth In Asia India has become a major player in the global crypto scene. Binance CEO, Richard Teng, bel…
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China has lifted a nearly year-long ban on exports of gallium, germanium and antimony to the US, in a further de-escalation of trade tensions between the world’s two largest economies. In a statement issued on Sunday, China’s commerce ministry said it will pause its export ban on these minerals and related end-use items for about one year. The ban was first imposed in December 2024 in retaliation for US export controls on high-bandwidth memory chips into China towards the end of the Biden administration. The US considers all three minerals to be critical to its national security and economy. Gallium and germanium are both essential for semiconductors, with the for…
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The price of Bitcoin has struggled so far in the month of November, briefly falling below the psychological $100,000 level twice already. Although the flagship cryptocurrency appears to be in a state of calm this weekend, a recent on-chain evaluation shows the possibility of more price corrections in the short term. Bitcoin Risk-Adjusted Returns See Growing Downturn In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, data analytics platform Arab Chain revealed that there seems to be a growing amount of risks for Bitcoin market participants on Binance. This on-chain observation revolves around the Bitcoin Sharpe Signal metric on Binance, which tracks the efficiency of the re…
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I would also like to point out that the latest ADP report was weak but still above market expectations and higher than the previous month. Therefore, one could theoretically even argue that the labor market is improving. Last week, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates once again, so by the beginning of December, the labor market could be back on its feet. At that point, the question of a third consecutive policy easing will become critical. Then, most Fed governors will not only observe the dire state of the labor market, which has been largely shaped by Donald Trump and the AI boom, but will also take inflation into account. To be fair, it should be noted that infl…
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What threats does the "shutdown" pose to America and the American economy? The first clear consequence right now is financial loss. Each week costs the economy approximately $15 billion, and by the end of the "shutdown," GDP could lose several tenths of a percent. Such a minor contraction may not instill fear in American lawmakers, which is why progress is not being made from a "dead point." However, the problems could become significantly larger. It's important to remember that government officials are not just school teachers and bus drivers; they also include, for example, air traffic controllers. In all previous instances when Democrats and Republicans could not agree…
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All the most interesting events are behind us. To briefly recap, all three central bank meetings have taken place, significant ISM indices were released in the U.S. last week (along with a lone ADP labor market report), and American inflation figures were published (albeit with considerable delay). Additionally, the Nonfarm Payrolls report and unemployment rate have been missed for the second consecutive month due to the "shutdown." Undoubtedly, there are also important indicators in the Eurozone, but in my opinion, the market, which has ignored significant news for over a month, is not eagerly awaiting European reports to react to them. What should we pay attention to? T…
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The economic calendar for the week does not include any major events for the EUR/USD pair. The ZEW indices, which will be published on Tuesday (November 11), are of some interest. All other scheduled releases are of not even secondary, but tertiary importance. Therefore, the market's attention will be focused on other fundamental factors, such as the rhetoric of Federal Reserve representatives. Several members of the U.S. central bank will speak throughout the week. The ongoing shutdown, which has already become the longest in U.S. history, remains in the spotlight. Towards the end of Friday's trading, sellers of EUR/USD recovered some lost positions amid a strength…
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Analysis of GBP/USD on 5-Minute Timeframe The GBP/USD currency pair continued its upward movement for almost the entire day on Friday, with no significant local factors driving it. It should be noted that for the past month and a half, the British currency has only been falling, which completely contradicts, at least, the global fundamental background. However, a flat trend has developed on the daily timeframe for both the euro and the pound sterling. Thus, from a technical perspective, the pound's one-and-a-half-month decline can be explained. The GBP/USD pair has now even gone below the lower line of the sideways channel on the daily chart, but it is important to re…
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Ethereum price started a recovery wave above $3,350. ETH is showing positive signs but faces hurdles near the $3,720 resistance. Ethereum started a decent upward move above $3,350 and $3,400. The price is trading above $3,500 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $3,350 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it clears the $3,720 zone. Ethereum Price Attempts Recovery Ethereum price managed to stay above $3,200 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the $3,350 and $3,400 resistance levels. There was a break abov…
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Bitcoin, similar to last weekend, has shown a fairly decent recovery and is currently trading above $106,000. Ethereum has also recovered well, but it is still too early to speak of a return to a bullish market. Just as traders were beginning to recover from the sharp market crash observed on October 10 and 11, which caused billions of dollars in losses, news emerged that the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission plans to launch cryptocurrency trading with leverage on American-regulated exchanges. It is worth recalling that excessive leverage and borrowing were major factors in Bitcoin's crash from $121,000 to $100,000 within hours in early October. This move has p…
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So far in history, the Dogecoin price has seen two major price rallies that have led the meme coin to reach brand new all-time highs. Given this trend, the expectations are that the cryptocurrency could be getting ready for another rally like the last two bear markets. Even though the year 2025 is about to come to an end and there has been no such rally in sight, it has not dimmed bullishness among investors. Analyst Predicts 3rd Wave For Dogecoin Price Pseudonymous crypto analyst EtherNaysyonal shared an analysis with the Dogecoin community that shows where they expect the DOGE price to be headed next. This analysis focuses on the sudden explosive bull runs that have ha…
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Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei Up 1.2% Most Read: Markets Weekly Outlook – Traders get impatient for the US shutdown to end Stock prices went up and government bonds (Treasuries) went down because people felt hopeful about a possible deal to end the longest US government shutdown. This good feeling came after a chaotic week where investors worried about whether Artificial Intelligence (AI) company stocks were too expensive. The major MSCI Asia Pacific Index gained almost 1%, with twice as many stocks rising as falling. Japan's Nikkei stock average also climbed more than 1% on Monday, following the positive feeling from US stock futures because traders hoped the US shutdown …
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Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptocurrencies are showing promising growth potential amid renewed optimism stemming from news that the US government shutdown may come to an end soon. Traders are likely viewing the potential conclusion of the shutdown as a sign of stabilization, albeit temporary, which reduces risks for the US economy. Additionally, the prolonged uncertainty has caused many investors to be more cautious in their purchases and accumulation of risk assets, particularly cryptocurrencies. Reports emerged yesterday that US senators reached a bipartisan agreement on funding, marking the first step toward ending the 40-day government shutdown. On Sunday evenin…
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A Manhattan jury has deadlocked in a closely watched federal case over whether an alleged MEV exploit on Ethereum amounts to criminal fraud. On November 7, a New York federal judge declared a mistrial after jurors failed to reach a unanimous decision on the fate of brothers Anton and James Peraire-Bueno. According to the Reuters report, Prosecutors say the MIT-educated pair pulled roughly $25M in cryptocurrency from the network in a 12-second on-chain transaction. What Led Judge Jessica Clarke to Dismiss the Jury? The trial ran for several weeks, focusing on how Ethereum blocks are built and whether the brothers’ actions constituted sharp trading or a scheme that cros…
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Momentum for institutional adoption of XRP has surged as the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) added five spot XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to its database, marking a key pre-launch milestone. Related Reading: MEXC Users At Risk Of Losing Their Crypto? Ex-Public Advisor Exposes ‘Structural Rot’ The listings include products from Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, 21Shares, Canary Capital, and CoinShares, all of which are categorized as “active and in the pre-launch stage.” DTCC Lists Five Spot XRP ETFs, Signaling Institutional Readiness While the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has yet to give final approval, analysts view DTCC listings as …
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Arthur Hayes says Zcash is now his second-largest liquid holding after Bitcoin, and the market took notice. The BitMEX co-founder shared the update on X late Friday. He said his family office, Maelstrom, now holds more ZEC than anything else except Bitcoin. According to the tracker, the whale sent $6.27 million to Hyperliquid and placed a limit-long order for 20,800 ZEC, worth approximately $ 12.12 million. As the market moved higher, the trader’s position briefly showed approximately $1.51 million in unrealized gains. They later closed the trade and walked away with roughly $1.25M in profit. Futures activity also picked up. CoinGlass data shows Zcash open intere…
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The only event on Monday was the first step toward establishing a temporary truce between Democrats and Republicans aimed at ending the record U.S. "shutdown." This lengthy phrasing describes what transpired on the first day of the week. Many market participants were quick to celebrate this event, but it is not entirely clear what they now expect from the dollar. If they expect a new increase in value, how can they explain its strengthening over the past month and a half? Will the dollar rise on the "shutdown," and then again on the completion of the "shutdown"? However, as more information emerged from open sources, it became clearer that the end of the temporary governm…
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US President Donald Trump’s latest promise of a tariff-funded “dividend” sent shockwaves through markets Monday, and traders in digital assets moved quickly to price in the possibility of extra cash in American pockets. The plan would pay at least $2,000 to most adults and has been described as part of a broader push to use tariff receipts for direct payments. Tariff Dividend Sparks Market Moves According to reports, the proposal is being presented as a way to convert tariff revenue into direct payments to citizens, with proponents linking the move to stronger consumer spending and higher risk appetite among investors. Trump said the government could afford the new pa…
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EUR/USD is trading around 1.1555, above the 21-period SMA, with a positive bias. In the coming hours, we could expect a technical correction towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level around 1.1530. This level is key, as the euro could find strong support around 1.1530 to 1.1545. Should the price consolidate above this area, it could be seen as an opportunity to resume buying, with targets at the 7/8 Murray level at 1.1596, and potentially even reaching the 8/8 Murray level at 1.1718. If EUR/USD remains below 1.1530, it could be seen as a continuation of the bearish cycle, potentially reaching the 6/8 Murray level around 1.1474. The euro has the potential to continue r…
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