Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11977 tópicos neste fórum
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GBP/USD 5M Analysis On Wednesday, the GBP/USD currency pair began the day with a sharp drop to the 1.3307 level. However, in the second half of the session, traders regained composure and stopped selling the pound. The UK inflation report was released in the morning, marking the first somewhat notable macro release of the week. Since inflation came in below expectations, the pound understandably declined — dovish expectations toward the Bank of England's monetary policy surged immediately. However, this was the only valid fundamental reason for the pound's decline this week. In the second half of the day, the pound rallied significantly, despite its previous fall on e…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
GBP/USD Analysis, 5M On Thursday, GBP/USD also traded lower, although the British pound had absolutely no grounds for decline. One might assume that the euro pulled the pound down with it, but even the euro's fall raises questions—particularly since it started two hours after the weak unemployment report was published. The technical picture on the hourly timeframe remains unchanged. Despite Wednesday's and Thursday's declines, the new uptrend is still valid, though it remains very weak and uncertain as long as the Senkou Span B line is not broken. Friday may not provide clarity either and could create even more confusion. For starters, it is still unclear whether U.S.…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
GBP/USD Analysis – 5M Chart On Friday, the GBP/USD currency pair attempted to resume its upward movement in line with the new uptrend that formed after the last trendline break. However, as with the euro, most of the past week was spent in a flat phase. While less pronounced than in EUR/USD, the pound also failed to break below the critical line—or above the Senkou Span B line, for that matter. Thus, we're still in a flat market. There were no significant events in the UK on Friday. The only noteworthy release was the U.S. ISM Services PMI, which was processed by the market weakly and unconvincingly. On Thursday, for reasons unclear, the pound plummeted despite having…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin surpassed the $94,000 mark yesterday, reaching $94,600, marking a peak since its major sell-off in November this year. Ethereum also crossed the $3,300 threshold, maintaining strong prospects for further growth. Active buying of Ethereum could be linked to news that BlackRock applied to launch an Ethereum ETF with a staking option, which may attract more potential large clients to the market. The integration of the staking option makes the ETF even more appealing to investors seeking not only capital gains but also passive income from their assets. This could lead to significant capital inflows into Ethereum, as institutional investors and large funds who previou…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin failed to hold above $94,000 yesterday, while Ethereum is once again headed towards $3,000. This is mainly due to the US Federal Reserve's mixed stance. Recall that yesterday the interest rate was lowered by 0.25 percentage points, which positively affected the cryptocurrency market. The Fed also announced a bond-buying program, which ostensibly weakens the dollar and should help the cryptocurrency market. However, the central bank published a forecast expecting only one rate cut next year and one in 2027. This is problematic for risk assets, including Bitcoin and Ethereum. This ambiguity in forecasts prompts investors to exercise caution. On one hand, lower rate…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has fallen to the $85,000 area and is currently not showing strong signs of recovery from these lows. Ethereum has also dropped below $3,000 and is poised to move toward $2,700. Meanwhile, the head of the SEC made several statements yesterday regarding privacy in the crypto industry. According to him, blockchain is more transparent than any traditional financial system because every transaction is recorded in an open ledger, which creates certain risks for the future financial system. As a result, cryptocurrency could turn into the most powerful system of financial control when aggressive regulation is applied. However, the SEC Chairman believes that the complete…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has recovered all losses from the previous day and reached a monthly high, trading around $94,000 at the time of writing. Ethereum has also broken above $3,000. The sharp rise in the cryptocurrency market occurred yesterday after Bank of America (BofA) recommended that investors allocate 4% of their portfolios to cryptocurrency investments. The bank also advocated for lifting restrictions on banking organizations' investments in crypto ETFs. BofA's statement was the catalyst that the crypto market had been waiting for. Within hours, major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum demonstrated a rapid percentage increase, while altcoins surged even higher. Inves…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin approached the $94,000 level but has not yet held a position above it. Ethereum surpassed the mark of $3,100. Amid the relative stability in the cryptocurrency market, BlackRock issued a new forecast for 2026, warning that rising economic instability in the U.S. and the relentless growth of government debt will reduce the effectiveness of long-term Treasury bonds as traditional hedging tools. This may lead to broader adoption of digital assets such as BTC. The report also highlights the growing role of tokenization and stablecoins as key infrastructure linking traditional finance with the digital economy. Such a scenario predicted by one of the world's largest as…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has slightly pulled back from the $94,000 level and is currently trading around $92,000, maintaining the potential for a new wave of growth. Ethereum also remains above the $3,100 mark, which is very positive. Yesterday, the CEO of BlackRock stated that some sovereign funds are already buying BTC. The November correction provided a great opportunity for large purchases aimed at accumulation for the long term. This statement is undoubtedly an important signal for the crypto market. BlackRock, the world's largest investment company, has a significant influence on institutional investor sentiment. The confirmation of interest from sovereign funds, which control vast…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has failed to hold above $92,000 and has retraced to below $90,000. Ethereum is also facing some challenges in sustaining its upward momentum. However, looking at the technical picture over the past few weeks, the odds are still in favor of buyers, and the chances of a new wave of growth after the Federal Reserve meeting are quite high. In a recent report by Glassnode, the Trend Score indicator suggests strong buying of BTC among nearly all types of investors, from whales to smaller retail traders. This is often observed before a market reversal, although not always. Additionally, a recent Santiment report noted that after heavy selling in November, whales have f…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin, similar to last weekend, has shown a fairly decent recovery and is currently trading above $106,000. Ethereum has also recovered well, but it is still too early to speak of a return to a bullish market. Just as traders were beginning to recover from the sharp market crash observed on October 10 and 11, which caused billions of dollars in losses, news emerged that the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission plans to launch cryptocurrency trading with leverage on American-regulated exchanges. It is worth recalling that excessive leverage and borrowing were major factors in Bitcoin's crash from $121,000 to $100,000 within hours in early October. This move has p…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The enthusiasm of Bitcoin buyers has quickly faded. Following purchases made last weekend, both Bitcoin and Ethereum are losing positions day after day. Apparently, there are no new positive drivers, so buyers are in no rush to return to the market. The potential decision by the US Federal Reserve to lower interest rates again in December remains the main positive catalyst for crypto traders. Even before the last Fed meeting, many hoped for a rate cut at the end of the year; however, just recently, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that further policy easing is not yet a settled matter. Yesterday, the media reported that disagreements within the US central bank regard…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has once again faced a significant sell-off, evidently lacking support from major US buyers and spot ETFs. However, the fact that it has managed to hold above $102,000 maintains the chances for further growth. Meanwhile, it was announced today that the first spot ETF for XRP will launch in the afternoon. Nasdaq has officially certified the listing of the spot XRP ETF from Canary Capital. This event marks an important milestone in the development of the cryptocurrency market, providing institutional and retail investors with direct access to XRP without requiring direct ownership of the digital asset. The integration of XRP into the ETF framework significantly sim…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has fallen below $90,000, and interestingly, there are still no major buyers at these levels. Ethereum also fell below $3,000 yesterday. The absence of buyers is not surprising. Retail players have been under pressure from large sell-offs, and medium-term buyers who accumulated at an average price of $100,000–$102,000 are also facing significant challenges. Against this backdrop, it is not surprising that from November 10 to 14, spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net outflow of $1.1 billion, while spot Ethereum ETFs lost over $729 million. Undoubtedly, this trend raises concerns in the market. Traders are likely reassessing their strategies amid the significant downtur…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin recovered quite well yesterday to around $93,500, but was unable to hold that level and is currently trading below $91,000. Ethereum also pulled back above $3,150, but at the time of writing, it has returned to around $3,000. Meanwhile, many traders are anxiously watching the market as assets rapidly lose value, despite news of institutional and corporate purchases of cryptocurrency. According to the November BofA survey, the level of cryptocurrency adoption among institutions remains very low. Approximately 76% of global fund managers surveyed have not yet invested in crypto and are only considering it in the near future. This raises doubts about the common beli…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin recovered after hitting a new monthly low of around $88,700 yesterday. Ethereum is also attempting to establish itself above the $3,000 mark. The sharp rise in the U.S. stock market pulled the cryptocurrency market along with it. The focus yesterday shifted to Nvidia Corp.'s earnings report and forecast. After the release of strong figures, traders revised their positions, easing concerns about a potential bubble in the artificial intelligence industry that had recently stirred markets worldwide. As the flagship of digital assets, Bitcoin rose, pulling altcoins along with it. Investors felt a renewed sense of confidence, and risk appetite significantly increased…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin fell below $86,000 yesterday, and it still seems far from the limit. Ethereum also dropped to around $2,800 and shows no signs of a significant upward trend. Meanwhile, panic continues in the cryptocurrency market, which is only being exacerbated by active selling in the US stock market, and discussions about where the bottom of this cycle will be are increasing. Another liquidation of buyers totaling nearly $1 billion vividly characterizes the current market situation. The fact that Bitcoin will have difficulty returning to the $100,000 level indicates that the bullish cycle, which peaked in early autumn last year, is over. Many experts suggest the current decli…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
After another significant sell-off of Bitcoin last Friday down to the $80,000 range, the price has recovered slightly, and during today's morning trades, Bitcoin has already surpassed the $88,000 mark. However, further bullish prospects remain in question. With the arrival of more sellers from the same spot ETFs, pressure on the cryptocurrency market is expected to return quickly, so it's premature to speak of an end to the bearish trend even in the short term. Before buying, it's essential to ensure that the active sellers observed over the past weeks are no longer present. In the meantime, last week, realized losses for BTC rose to levels not seen since the FTX collaps…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, Bitcoin surprised with its persistence, rising to $89,200. Ethereum also performed well, stopping just one step away from $3,000. Yesterday, the open interest in BTC showed the sharpest 30-day decline of the current cycle. The last time this occurred was during the 2022 bear market. This indicates that a serious "cleaning" of the market, which everyone has been anticipating, has partially taken place. Many investors closed losing trades after a week of declines and liquidations. Historically, all of this creates conditions for forming a bottom and the subsequent recovery of the long-term bullish trend. Although the recovery will not be instantaneous, these sig…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, Bitcoin saw a significant rise, returning to the $90,000 area. This opens the door to an update of the broader resistance around $93,000. Ethereum also returned to the $3,000 mark and is now trying to consolidate at this level. The increase in risk appetite was fueled by the sustained strength of global stock indices, which also affected the cryptocurrency market. However, it's important to remember that the bearish market we observed just a week ago has not gone anywhere, and the current movement should still be viewed as a pursuit of sellers'sellers' stop losses, not as the resumption of a new bullish market. The cryptocurrency market has always been charact…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The month has started with an active sell-off. The fact that October, traditionally considered a good month for Bitcoin, closed in the negative, has led to aggressive selling in the cryptocurrency market during today's Asian session. Bitcoin briefly fell to around $107,300, while Ethereum dropped below $3,700. Traders whose expectations were not met are showing signs of disappointment, leading to increased pressure on digital assets. Amidst the pessimistic sentiment dominating the market, there is some positive data. According to a report, the total monthly trading volume of stablecoins on Ethereum surged to a historical high in October this year, as traders increasingly…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin continues to lose ground and, at the time of writing, is trading around $104,000, with a high likelihood of testing support at the psychological $100,000 level. The fact that the month started with an active sell-off comes as no surprise. The question remains: when will the first major buyers step in? According to CoinShares, last week saw a net outflow of $360 million from cryptocurrency investment products managed by firms such as BlackRock, Bitwise, Fidelity, Grayscale, ProShares, and 21Shares, a significant drop from the $921 million net inflow recorded the previous week. Despite the recent US interest rate cut, traders have been spooked by comments from Fede…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Just yesterday, I mentioned that Bitcoin was eyeing the $100,000 level, and during today's Asian trading session, the $99,000 level was breached, triggering panic in the market. On Tuesday, the net outflow from Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States amounted to $797 million, as institutional investors were spooked by the market crash. According to SoSoValue, the net outflow from spot Bitcoin ETFs reached $577.74 million, the largest daily outflow since August 1 of this year. From Fidelity's FBTC fund, $356.6 million left, $128 million flowed out from ARKB by Ark & 21Shares, and $48.9 million exited from Grayscale's GBTC. In total, seve…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has just slightly recovered to around $104,000, but for now, this looks like nothing more than a minor correction before another plunge in the cryptocurrency market. Ethereum has also reached $3,480 and then paused. According to recent data, long-term investors in Bitcoin sold approximately 400,000 BTC last month, amounting to $45 billion. Clearly, such a volume of sales disrupted market stability, which we are currently witnessing. Ongoing selling pressures compound the current market crash, as seasoned participants actively realize profits. This is mainly due to macroeconomic uncertainty stemming from the U.S. government shutdown, which continues to affect all …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin rebounded yesterday but failed to break above the $115,000 mark, which raises questions about its short-term bullish outlook. Ethereum, meanwhile, remained relatively flat, continuing to trade around the same levels as the previous day. A particularly interesting interview with Pavel Durov surfaced yesterday, in which he revealed that he lives off early investments in BTC. Durov shared that he had purchased several thousand BTC at around $700. "In reality, my cryptocurrency investments, primarily in Bitcoin, support my lifestyle. Many believe that my affinity for luxury homes and private jets is funded by Telegram. However, as I've said before, Telegram is a non…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
