Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11970 tópicos neste fórum
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Bitcoin renewed its weekly high today, reaching $116,300. However, it's still too early to say the previous bear cycle is broken. To do that, price needs to firmly break through $118,000, which would open the way to $120,000 and $124,000. Ethereum is also up modestly. Yesterday's crypto market rally was fueled by news that US inflation, while still rising, is doing so at a very slow pace. This allows the Federal Reserve to consider rate cuts as soon as next week, providing support for crypto. Investors, tired of the Fed's tight stance, saw this as a long-awaited glimmer of hope. Lower interest rates are likely to spur capital flows out of traditional assets like bonds an…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Demand for Bitcoin remains at a reasonably high level. Given that the weekend passed with no major corrections and that we have a Fed meeting and potential rate cuts ahead this week, the stage is set for further crypto market recovery and new local highs. Data from CryptoQuat support this theory. According to their report, whales continue to buy ETH and BTC actively. In fact, wallet balances holding 10,000-100,000 ETH have hit a record high. CryptoQuat notes that ETH is currently in one of its strongest cycles: institutional demand, staking, and on-chain activity are all approaching historic highs. The growth in whale balances—especially among those holding large amounts…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, Bitcoin slipped down to the $114,600 area and spent most of the day there. Today, however, active buying with the opening of the European session is an encouraging sign. The key question is whether BTC can stay above $116,000 rather than fall further as it did yesterday—we'll know soon. If Bitcoin does hold this level, the road to $117,000 and $119,000 opens up. Ethereum remained at the same levels as yesterday. Meanwhile, some crypto market experts—including Arthur Hayes—expect that once the Fed launches QE, BTC could reach $200,000 by the end of 2025. Under favorable conditions, Bitcoin could rise to $250,000, and by the end of 2028, it could reach $1,000,00…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is knocking on the $117,000 level, while Ethereum isn't feeling too confident, trading around the same levels as at the week's start. While markets await a rate cut from the US Federal Reserve and another push toward all-time highs, analytics firm Santiment notes that ahead of the FOMC meeting, greed and bullish sentiment for BTC have reached a 10-week high, which historically is "bearish." This fact should raise some concern among investors and analysts. Excessive optimism and belief in nonstop growth usually precede a correction or, worse, a deeper drop. Financial history is full of examples where euphoria turned into disappointment. Growing greed, amplified by…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
During the Asian session, Bitcoin stopped just one step away from the 118,000 mark, although only yesterday, after the Federal Reserve's rate decision, BTC had updated the level of 114,800. Several factors drive this sharp rally: the continued inflow of institutional investors, rising interest from retail traders, and the Fed's ongoing monetary easing. Institutional players, who had previously shown caution, are likely to keep building positions in Bitcoin now that the Fed has confirmed its dovish stance, viewing BTC as a hedge against inflation and instability in traditional financial markets. Before the Fed's decision, the average daily BTC purchases by public companie…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday's latest failed attempt by Bitcoin to break above $118,000 could present significant challenges for its near-term growth prospects. The third consecutive failure to push beyond this range signals that bullish sentiment for a run to all-time highs in the near-term is quickly dwindling. Meanwhile, the crypto market continues to evolve. Yesterday, trading began in the US for the first spot XRP ETF and Dogecoin ETF from REX-Osprey. This step marks an important milestone in the legitimization of cryptocurrencies as an asset class, expanding access for a broader range of investors and traders. The launch of the XRP ETF and Dogecoin ETF triggered mixed reactions in t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, Bitcoin stopped just shy of the $114,000 mark, and during today's Asian trading, it quickly dropped back to around $111,500. Apparently, this level is where it's currently most comfortable trading. Ethereum fell below $4,000, triggering $141 million in long liquidations. This sharp market move came as a surprise to many traders who had bet on continued growth for the second-largest cryptocurrency. The break below the psychologically important $4,000 mark triggered a chain reaction—exchanges began to close leveraged positions, which further intensified the downtrend automatically. Several factors contributed to this crash. First, general uncertainty in global f…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, Bitcoin plunged below $109,000, triggering panic in the market. Ethereum also remained below $4,000, indicating ongoing active selling that has been seen recently. It's clear that BTC began to see heavy selling right after the FOMC, and a couple of failed attempts to rise above $118,000 only encouraged even more short positions from speculators. The overall market structure now points to fading momentum. According to Glassnode data, there is currently heavy selling from long-term holders, but these sales are not being absorbed, as inflows to ETFs have slowed significantly lately. This is worrisome, since long-term holders are traditionally seen as the most sta…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin rose sharply during today's Asian session, reaching $112,300, after previously trading near $109,000. Ethereum also gained significantly, climbing back to the $4,000 level, which had been broken late last week. Meanwhile, Eric Trump, son of the U.S. president, recently stated that the fourth quarter of 2025 will be incredible for BTC and the entire cryptocurrency market, citing seasonality and similar factors. According to him, the future of crypto looks bright thanks to QE, an expanding money supply, regulatory progress, and the actions of the White House administration. While the impact of political statements on the cryptocurrency market is hard to overestim…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin continued its rally during U.S. trading yesterday and gained further during today's Asian session, reaching the 114,800 mark. Ethereum also posted significant gains, consolidating above $4,000. Yesterday, the SEC required issuers of spot ETFs for LTC, XRP, SOL, ADA, and DOGE to withdraw their 19b-4 filings, following the approval of general listing standards that replace the need for individual submissions. Clearly, this change will significantly accelerate the approval process for new crypto ETFs, making the old approach obsolete. As I noted earlier, the SEC's decision marks a turning point in recognizing cryptocurrencies as a legitimate asset class. The withdr…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
It is evident that even after the weak US labor market data—which points to a possible rate cut by the Federal Reserve—there was no sharp or explosive demand for Bitcoin or other cryptocurrency assets. This suggests that the market correction is not yet complete, and we are likely to see trading within a channel, with a gradual renewal of weekly lows. In the worst-case scenario, sell-offs will be sharp and rather significant. Investors appeared to ignore the potentially dovish signal from the Federal Reserve, which is usually seen as a positive for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. There are several possible reasons for such a muted reaction. Firstly, the crypto m…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin continues to demonstrate strength. After a minor correction during today's Asian trading session down to the $110,000 area, it is now trading at $112,500, indicating ongoing demand. This is clearly being supported by news that the US Congress is reviewing a bill requiring the Treasury Department to study the possibility of creating a "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve" and a "National Digital Asset Reserve." Even at the discussion stage, such an initiative sends a powerful signal to the market, indicating potential recognition of bitcoin as a strategic asset at the state level. The creation of a strategic bitcoin reserve could set a precedent that other countries may fol…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is trading within an uptrend channel formed on the H4 chart. Yesterday, after reaching the bottom of the uptrend channel around $114,800, it resumed its bullish cycle and is now trading around $118,000. BTC is likely to continue rising in the coming days. It could reach the 6/8 Murray at $118,750 and possibly even the top of the uptrend channel around $119,400. A good area to look for short opportunities in Bitcoin could be the 6/8 Murray at $118,750 or the top of the uptrend channel. On the other hand, if Bitcoin undergoes a technical correction and consolidates above $116,000, we could expect it to extend its rise. This would be seen as a buying opportunity, wit…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is trading around $89,034 below the 21 SMA, going through a strong technical correction after breaking the uptrend channel formed since November 19. Bitcoin could find good support around $87,500, which is where Murray's 2/8 level is located, which could serve as a good point to open long positions if the price resumes its upward cycle. If the bearish force prevails, Bitcoin has another key support around $86,000 - $85,000. In other words, if a technical rebound occurs around this area, we could open long positions. Since last week, Bitcoin has entered an overbought zone. So, we warned you about a probable correction below $93,000 towards $85,000. Bitcoin will lik…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is trading around $9,281, retreating after reaching strong resistance at the 94,200 level, which coincided with the 3/8 Murray and, in turn, with the 200 EMA. In the coming days, Bitcoin is expected to continue its technical correction until it reaches the 2/8 Murray located at 87,500. If Bitcoin consolidates below $94,000 in the coming hours, any failed attempt to break through this zone will be seen as an opportunity to open short positions with a target around the 21 SMA located at $90,780 and finally at the bottom of the uptrend channel around $87,700. The Eagle indicator is showing overbought signs, so any technical rebound is expected to be seen as an opport…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is trading around $90,000 after a sharp technical correction that occurred after attempting to break above the 200 EMA and, in turn, after testing the top of the uptrend channel around $94,600. According to the H4 chart, Bitcoin appears to be overbought. So, if a technical rebound occurs in the coming hours and the price consolidates below 3/8 Murray and below the 200 EMA, it will be seen as an opportunity to take short positions with a short-term target around $85,000. Bitcoin is trading below the 200 EMA and below the 21 SMA, which means that the leading cryptocurrency could remain under bearish pressure in the coming days. A reasonable strategy could be to wait…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is trading around $92,506 below the 200 EMA and below the 3/8 Murray, showing signs of exhaustion. BTC has been consolidating around this area for more than three weeks. Bitcoin could continue its rise in the coming hours and could reach the top of the uptrend channel around $95,000. If this scenario occurs, we could expect it to be a strong barrier and could be seen as a signal to open short positions. Conversely, if Bitcoin falls below $93,713, we could look for opportunities to sell, as it is expected to reach the 2/8 Murray around $87,500 in the coming days. A consolidation below $90,000 could change the Bitcoin scenario, and we could expect it to reach the bo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is trading around $89,797 within the uptrend channel formed since November 24, rebounding after reaching the bottom of the uptrend channel at the 2/8 Murray line located at $87,500. Bitcoin could continue its rise in the coming days until it reaches the top of the uptrend channel around $98,700. The key would be to wait for the Bitcoin price to consolidate above $90,000 and above the 21 SMA located at 90,467. If this scenario occurs, we could look for opportunities to open long positions, with targets at $93,750 and finally at $98,000. On the contrary, if Bitcoin breaks sharply and consolidates below the uptrend channel and below $87,000, we could expect the price…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is trading around $85,797, below the 2/8 Murray and with a bearish bias after reaching resistance levels around $90,000. If Bitcoin trades within the secondary uptrend channel and rebounds around $85,000, we could expect a recovery, and it could reach the top of the downtrend channel formed at about $90,200 on the daily chart since September 25. A decisive break of the main bullish trend channel in consolidation above $90,500 could be seen as a clear signal to buy Bitcoin with a target at the 4/8 Murray, around the psychological level of $100,000, and it could even reach the 200 EMA around $102,811. Conversely, a sharp break below $85,500 could accelerate the bea…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is trading around $87,098, below the 21 SMA and below the 200 EMA, which indicates that it could continue its fall in the coming days and could reach 1/8 Murray around $80,000. On the H4 chart, we can see that Bitcoin has been moving within an uptrend channel formed since November 19. However, on several occasions, around $93,750, it has attempted to break above this zone without success. After a high of around $94,500, Bitcoin underwent a strong technical correction and is likely to reach $84,000 in the coming days. If this scenario occurs, it could even continue its downward acceleration and reach 0/8 Murray around $75,000. We could expect a recovery in Bitcoin …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is trading around $92,737, consolidating around 3/8 Murray over the last few hours and showing signs of exhaustion. Bitcoin is trading within an uptrend channel formed since November 20 and has been respecting support and resistance points. So, if the price consolidates below the 200 EMA in the coming days, BTC could make a technical correction, and we expect it to reach 2/8 Murray at $87,500. If the Bitcoin price consolidates above $95,000 around the 200 EMA, we could expect a recovery towards the psychological level of $100,000, where Murray's 4/8 is located. Given that Bitcoin is showing overbought levels, we expect the price to fall below $93,750 in the coming…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is trading around $91,270. On a daily chart, we can see that the price is within a downtrend channel formed since the end of September. If Bitcoin falls below the psychological level of $90,000, we could expect it to reach the psychological level of $75,000 in the medium term, around the 0/8 Murray. If Bitcoin rebounds and consolidates above $90,000, we could expect it to continue rising and could reach the top of the downtrend channel around $96,500. A good area to open short positions could be if the price reaches the $96,000 level. Below this area, we could expect a strong technical correction. On the contrary, if Bitcoin falls towards the 1/8 Murray located a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has been trading around $91,666 within the uptrend channel formed since November 21, but it is now showing signs of exhaustion. BTC managed to recover over the weekend after falling to $87,500. Bitcoin could continue its rise over the next few days and could reach the 200 EMA around $94,000. It could even reach the top of the uptrend channel around $96,200. Given that Bitcoin is showing positive signs, we could expect any pullback as long as the price consolidates above the 2/8 Murray. This could be seen as an opportunity to continue buying. On the other hand, if Bitcoin reaches the strong resistance of $96,000 in the coming days, it could be seen as an opportunit…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is trading around $105,942, encountering strong resistance around the 2/8 Murray level. Should the bullish momentum prevail, we could expect Bitcoin to reach $109,091 around the 200 EMA and potentially even reach the 3/8 Murray level around $109,375. Should Bitcoin pull back towards the 21 SMA located around the 1/8 Murray level in the coming hours, this is seen as an opportunity to resume long positions. Hence, we could buy with a target of the psychological level of $110,000. The 2/8 Murray level at $106,250 represents strong resistance, so we believe Bitcoin may struggle to continue rising, and we could expect a technical correction in the coming hours towards …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is trading around $105,616, undergoing a technical correction after reaching a weekly high of $107,500. According to the H4 chart, we can see that Bitcoin encountered strong resistance around $107,000. Currently, the BTC price is below this level, indicating that the decline is likely to continue. Crypto could find good support around the 21 SMA located at $103,794 or around the bottom of the ascending trend channel located at $104,000. Should Bitcoin reach the $104,000 price level in the coming hours, it will be seen as an opportunity to resume buying with targets at $108,967 (around the 3/8 Murray and the 200 EMA). The instrument could finally reach the 4/8 Murr…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
