Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11974 tópicos neste fórum
-
Ethereum is testing a critical juncture as the golden pocket between $2,600 and $2,800 comes into play. With resistance looming at $2,800, the market now faces a pivotal moment. Can ETH reclaim this level and spark a move toward $3,000, or will sellers push it back below key support? Golden Pocket Breakdown Validates Ethereum’s Downside Target In an Ethereum update, analyst Luca has offered a detailed analysis of the leading altcoin, reflecting on the expert’s previous predictions. As he covered all his PAT updates and his latest YouTube video, once Ethereum broke down below the high-timeframe support range, specifically the golden pocket between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibona…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum has been a major victim of the ongoing crypto market onslaught, recording a 27.63% loss in the last month alone. The largest altcoin now trades around $2,800, representing a significant fall from the local cycle peak around $4,800. As prices continue to tumble with each new drop triggering waves of liquidation, analyst Ali Martinez has postulated on a market bottom target. ETH MVRV Pricing Bands Reveal Potential 28% Decline Ahead In an X post on November 22, Martinez shares critical on-chain data that suggests Ethereum may be headed for a local bottom target around $2,000. For context, the MVRV Pricing Bands are valuation bands derived from the MVRV ratio and …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The upcoming trading week promises to be volatile across all dollar pairs, and the EUR/USD pair will be no exception. The tone of trading will be set by the United States, where key macroeconomic reports on GDP growth, inflation, and retail sales will be published. By the end of the week, "dovish" expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's future actions will either be strengthened or weakened. The American currency will respond accordingly, determining the configuration of major currency pairs. MondayThe economic calendar on Monday is practically empty. The only point of interest might be the German IFO indices. Specifically, the business climate indicator for German…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
An interesting setup observed by crypto analyst Bitguru could suggest that the Dogecoin price is on the path to another major recovery. This setup has previously led to major rallies in the past, having produced similar results at two separate times. Thus, it is not a stretch that the crypto analyst expects that Dogecoin will replicate this move once the setup is complete again. Dogecoin Moving Out Of Consolidation The trend that the crypto analyst highlights has to do with the overall trend and movement of the Dogecoin price during each rally. So far, each rally seems to be mirroring the others quite closely, with the same set of things playing out each time and leading…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP’s decline in recent weeks has led to questions among holders who worry that Ripple may be pushed into selling more of its XRP reserves to maintain operations. This concern resurfaced as discussions around Ripple’s shifting business model gained traction, especially with the company’s RLUSD stablecoin. The conversation was held on the social media platform X, where Ripple’s Chief Technology Officer, David Schwartz, stepped in to address whether a lower XRP price could force Ripple into additional token sales. Ripple CTO Says Falling Prices Do Not Increase Selling Pressure Schwartz’s comment came as a response after a user argued that Ripple might gradually shift its…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Friday returned to the 161.8% corrective level at 1.3110. A rebound of the quotes today from the resistance zone of 1.3110–1.3139 will favor the U.S. dollar and a slight decline toward the 200.0% Fibonacci level at 1.3024. A consolidation of the pair above the 1.3110–1.3139 level will allow us to expect continued growth toward the 127.2% corrective level at 1.3186. The wave situation remains completely bearish. The last upward wave failed to break the previous high, while the most recent completed downward wave broke the previous low. Unfortunately for the pound, the fundamental background has worsened for it in recent weeks, ma…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave structure on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has changed but remains generally understandable. There is no question of canceling the uptrend that began in January 2025, but the wave structure since July 1 has become significantly more complex and elongated. In my view, the instrument is currently forming corrective wave 4, which has taken an unusual shape. Inside this wave, we see only corrective structures, so there is no doubt about the corrective nature of the decline. I believe the upward trend is not yet complete, and its targets are scattered up to the 25th figure. The series of waves a-b-c-d-e appears complete, so in the coming weeks I expect the formation of…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ether held firm on Tuesday as the market tried to settle after a rough November shaped by derivatives resets, collapsing gas fees, and the build-up to a new US futures launch next month. Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest crypto asset, traded near $2,920 in the afternoon. As per Coingecko data, the price was up about +4% in the past 24 hours as traders looked for signs of stability after weeks of heavy pressure. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time The latest move comes as funding rates and open interest calm down following a sharp unwind earlier in the m…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In recent weeks, I have been writing regularly in my reviews that market participants are currently ignoring many important factors. As a rule, these factors do not concern the U.S. dollar's strength — but rather its weakness. In other words, in situations where a decline in the U.S. currency would be natural and raise no questions, the decline simply does not occur. As a result, the market first ignored the resumption of the Fed's monetary easing cycle, then the government "shutdown," then the second consecutive Fed rate cut, and then Donald Trump's new tariffs. At the same time, it ignored the weakness of the labor market. And I've listed only the "hottest" factors of r…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Strongest Major currency of the past month, the Dollar had swept through most of its peers powered by a hawkish repricing, assumed by the Market after Powell's speech at the October 29th FOMC (You can access it right here). The Federal Reserve Chair made many more mentions of their dual mandate to monitor both Employment and Inflation compared to the September meeting which had seen a tilt towards employment (meaning tariffs were posing an issue yet again). The rough numbers and downward revisions to NFP in August and many other labor releases had warranted such a dovish turn from the Fed during the early Summer, but also caught people by surprise when data did not cont…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold is back in the spotlight of financial markets, and the reasons are much deeper than just another reaction to news. At the end of November 2025, the metal rose to its highest level in more than a week—and although there was a slight correction afterwards, the overall dynamics suggest the market is entering a phase where even moderate signals from the Federal Reserve can shift sentiment by dozens of dollars per session. An interesting situation is unfolding: amid discussions of potential U.S. rate cuts, gold is rising despite a strong dollar. A major new player—Tether—has emerged on the market, quietly but steadily becoming the largest holder of gold outside of central…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP has witnessed a strong surge during the past day, but data shows speculative leverage is building up behind the scenes, a potential warning sign. XRP Has Enjoyed A Sharp Rally Over The Last 24 Hours The cryptocurrency market as a whole has seen some recovery from the recent crash, but XRP has stood out for its particularly rapid growth. With a jump of 7% over the past day, the coin has managed to return to the $2.19 level. The chart below shows how the recent performance of the asset has looked: XRP’s breakaway from the pack has come as Franklin Templeton and Grayscale have launched their exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The products, with tickers XRPZ and GXRP, are…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Starknet’s new mainnet upgrade is live, and traders are already watching how it might shape STRK after one of the token’s roughest months this year. The Ethereum Layer 2 network pushed its v0.14.1 update to the mainnet on November 25. It follows a testnet run earlier in the month. The release, developed by StarkWare and the Starknet core team, introduces faster block production during quieter periods, a new hash function standard, and an enhanced JSON-RPC stack. The upgrade arrives while STRK trades near multi-week lows, around $0.13–$0.14, after a steep drop from its mid-November highs. DISCOVER: Top Solana Meme Coins to Buy in 2025 How Does Starknet’s Latest Upgra…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP is inching closer to a major turning point as fresh upward momentum collides with a developing, expanding diagonal structure. The recent impulse off support is starting to hint at a potential macro shift, raising expectations for a breakout-driven continuation if buyers can maintain control. Building Toward A Truncated Low: Market Structure Turns Complicated Hov recently highlighted a key shift in XRP’s structure, revisiting the outlook from the previous analysis where a potential push lower was expected to complete a truncated low. Since that discussion, XRP has dipped further, printing a new low on the line chart compared to the wick from the liquidity sweep. Howev…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The September jobs report, which arrived seven weeks late, due to the U.S. government shutdown revealed that 119,000 new jobs were created that month. That far outpaced expectations for a 50,000 job gain. The better-than-expected September jobs report called into question whether or not the Federal Reserve will pull the trigger on a third interest rate cut when it meets in December. U.S. stocks initially gained on the news, but quickly reversed lower and wiped out earlier gains as concerns about an AI bubble continue to press equities lower. Gold largely traded sideways and is consolidating in a sideways holding pattern between $4,000 and $4,212 an ounce. The long-term …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Unfortunately, the only way to address this issue is through protectionist policies. Washington has already taken this path, and the European Union may follow suit in the near future. What does this mean for the average consumer? It translates to a compulsion to purchase domestically produced goods or to pay tariffs to the government when buying imported products. Ultimately, it all boils down to money, with consumers worldwide facing higher prices for the same goods. Otherwise, European industry will continue to decline in volume and will eventually perish within the next 50 years. The situation in American industry is somewhat better, but Donald Trump is not unjustified…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Thai authorities have ordered World, the digital identity project backed by Sam Altman, to stop operating in the country and erase all user identification data collected from residents. According to a statement released on Monday by the Ministry of Digital Economy and Society (MDES), the order was issued by Thailand’s Economic and Social Development Board. The order directed the company to delete iris scan records linked to around 1.2M people. Officials said World violated Thailand’s Personal Data Protection Act by collecting biometric data in exchange for its Worldcoin token. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Why Did Thailand Order the World to Hal…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
According to trading records and company filings, Grayscale’s new spot Dogecoin ETF — ticker GDOG — opened quietly, pulling in just $1.4 million in trading volume on its first day on NYSE Arca. Muted Debut On NYSE Arca Reports have disclosed that the debut fell well short of some public forecasts. Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas had suggested the fund might see roughly $10–12 million in opening-day volume, a target that the actual figures did not meet. That gap has drawn quick commentary from traders and analysts, who say the launch exposure was smaller than expected for a high-profile first spot product. Grayscale’s paperwork shows the ETF began life with holdings o…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the European CurrencyThe price test at 1.1565 occurred when the MACD indicator was just starting to move down from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair declined by 15 pips, and that was the end of it. The brief rise in the dollar, driven by news of a decline in new jobless claims in the United States, failed to reverse the overall downward trend in the American currency. The expectation of further monetary policy easing by the Federal Reserve remains the main factor weighing on the dollar. Today, a rather interesting set of reports is expected in the first half of the day. Th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Metaplanet, often dubbed Japan’s MicroStrategy for its adoption of Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin investment strategy, is nearing a critical juncture as Bitcoin (BTC) retraces below 30% of its all-time highs in under a month. Metaplanet Bitcoin Holdings Plummet As of November 26, Metaplanet ranks as the fourth largest public Bitcoin treasury company, holding just over 30,000 BTC valued at approximately $2.7 billion, with an average acquisition cost of around $108,000 per coin. Currently, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $87,700, placing the firm at a nearly 17% loss on its investments. The company finds itself about $640 million underwater, compounded by a steep drop in …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
An analyst has explained how Bitcoin’s bottom in the current cycle may not follow the same pattern as historical bear markets. Bitcoin Could Bottom Around True Mean Price Instead This Time In a new post on X, Checkonchain co-founder Alec Dejanovic has talked about a couple of pricing models related to Bitcoin. The first of these is the “Realized Price,” keeping track of the cost basis of the average investor on the BTC network. When the BTC spot price is trading above this level, it means that the network as a whole is in a state of net unrealized profit. On the other hand, the asset being under the metric suggests that the average token is being held at some loss. Th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Athena Bitcoin, the US-based fintech company operating Bitcoin ATM across the country, has rolled out a special Black Friday deal. Users can get a 10% discount on their Bitcoin purchases made on 28 November 2025. The deal only applies if the users buy Bitcoins through any of its Bitcoin ATM locations in the US. The users just need to use the promo code FRIDAY during their purchase. With the promo, Athena hopes that users will consider gifting Bitcoins to their loved ones, a modern twist on traditional presents. “As Bitcoin continues to gain mainstream adoption, we’re seeing more people interested in giving the gift of cryptocurrency during the holidays,” said Carlos Car…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum (ETH) is attempting to bounce from the market’s Q4 correction, retesting the $3,000 barrier once again. As we approach the end of November, some market observers have suggested that the end-of-year rally may still be possible in the coming weeks. Ethereum Eyes $3,000 Ahead Of Key Upgrade On Wednesday, Ethereum experienced a 4.4% daily surge, retesting the $3,000 level for the first time in nearly a week. The cryptocurrency has been trading within the $2,680-$2,980 price range amid the latest market-wide correction, which also saw Bitcoin (BTC) lose some crucial support levels. At the start of the week, the King of Altcoins broke above the $2,900 area, attempti…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Crypto traders can now breathe a sigh of relief. After the pounding of the better part of November, Bitcoin, Solana, and some of the top cryptos to buy are ticking higher. Specifically, Solana crypto is inching closer to $150, retesting a key resistance level when writing. Even though the path of least resistance is still southwards, a high volume breakout above local liquidation zones could see SOL USDT erupt to $170 and higher. As Solana stabilizes, some of the top meme coins running on the modern chain are also firm. TRUMP crypto, Pengu, WIF, and Fartcoin are in the green. So far, the total market cap of Solana meme coins is up 2% to $5.7 billion. (Source: Coingec…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
What to Know: Bitcoin Hyper utilizes a modular Bitcoin-settlement plus SVM-execution design to integrate high-speed, low-fee smart contracts directly into the Bitcoin ecosystem. $HYPER’s presale and whale activity signal growing conviction in Bitcoin Layer 2 narratives as traders rotate back into risk assets. SUBBD targets the $85B creator economy by merging AI tools, token‑gated content, and crypto payments with 20% first‑year staking. LiquidChain’s Layer-3 architecture aims to unify BTC, ETH, and SOL liquidity, positioning LIQUID as a longer-term cross-chain DeFi infrastructure bet. A top trader calling for a 25% Solana rebound is exactly the kind of spark that can …
Last reply by Ben Graham,