Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Long‑term holders of Bitcoin may need to see a fresh high around $140,000 before they enjoy the same kind of profits they saw earlier this cycle. According to CryptoQuant, that price point lines up with past peaks in realized gains for those who have kept their coins untouched for at least six months. ‘Market Magnet’ Theory CryptoQuant used the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio to track how deep in profit holders are right now. Based on reports, the average realized profit for long‑term holders stands at about 220%. That sounds healthy. But in March and December 2024, holders were sitting on roughly 300% and 350% gains, respectively. The gap between today’s…
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Ethereum has regained strong bullish momentum over the past few days, rising more than 23% since June 22 and reclaiming the critical $2,600 level. After weeks of uncertainty and sideways movement, ETH is showing signs of strength, with bulls now eyeing a push toward the $2,700 resistance zone. A successful reclaim of this level could open the doors for a broader rally, potentially reigniting hopes for the long-awaited altseason. While volatility remains in the broader market, Ethereum’s recovery has been notable, especially as macroeconomic sentiment improves and risk appetite increases across both equities and crypto. The surge in price has brought renewed attention to…
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Log in to today’s North American session Recap for July 3, 2025 Today’s market action was driven by consecutive upside surprises in US Non-Farm Payrolls (147K vs 110K exp) and ISM Services PMI data (50.8 vs 50.5 exp), fueling another wave of positive sentiment and pushing US equities into yet another frenzied rally. The reaction to the data was progressive but consistent, taking Safe-Havens like Gold and US Treasuries down, also dragging down the safer JPY and CHF. In contrast, the risk-on session pushed upward risk assets, like Consumption Commodities – known in Finance as Softs, with Orange Juice and Sugar rallying above 6% and Cryptos additionally enjoying from the …
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According to a new analysis shared by crypto analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino, Bitcoin has just closed the quarterly chart with a perfected TD9 sell setup. This is actually interesting, because it adds a possibly long timeline before Bitcoin can reach any further significant price target. Most of Bitcoin’s daily candles in the past seven days have shown mild upward pressure supported by positive sentiment from various technical analyses. However, according to the TD9 setup, Bitcoin could take up to four years to reach $149,000. TD9 Setup Hints At Slow Climb To $149,000 The TD9 is a component of the TD Sequential indicator, which is often used to identify trend exhausti…
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Marimaca Copper (TSX: MARI; ASX: MC2) shares soared to a new 15-year high Thursday on the release of copper sulphide drill results as high as 6 metres grading 12% copper at its Pampa Medina project in northern Chile. That intercept, drilled from 594 metres depth in hole SMRD-13, included 26 metres at 4.1% copper and 100 metres grading 1.3% copper, Marimaca said in a statement. Another hole, SMD-02, cut 132 metres at 1% copper from 278 metres, including 40 metres grading 2.1% copper. The project is about 25 km west of the company’s main Marimaca Oxide Deposit (MOD) and 1,250 km north of the capital Santiago. “Game changer, particularly for the sulphide intercep…
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The United States continues to demonstrate why it remains the largest and most powerful economy in the world, consistently surprising markets with its resilience in the past few data releases. While market participants have been eager to question US strength—especially under President Trump’s “US Exceptionalism” policy, which many feared could backfire—recent economic data continues to challenge that narrative. Despite ongoing concerns over diplomatic volatility and declining business confidence, the US economy once again delivered upside surprises. The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, expected at 110K, surprised with a +37K beat, and the more influential ISM Services PM…
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Dogecoin was changing hands near $0.174 in European trading on Thursday, extending a two-day rebound that began when buyers twice defended the mid-June floor around $0.16. The 11% recovery since the Tuesday low has put the largest memecoin back on traders’ radars, but technical analyst More Crypto Online cautions that what looks like an impulsive burst is in fact “all corrective in nature,” with the market still trapped inside a complex diagonal wave pattern that could just as easily fail. Dogecoin Is Quietly Coiling For A Potential Breakout In a video update recorded on 2 June, the analyst dissected the one-hour chart and concluded that the advance from the 22 June low …
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Barrick Mining Corporation (NYSE: B) says new drilling along the ARK-KCD corridor at its flagship Kibali mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo confirms “significant additional orebodies” that could stretch the Tier One asset’s life well beyond its current 10-year plan. Since pouring first gold in 2013, Kibali has replaced every ounce mined, and in-country investment has now topped $6.3 billion. In a call with reporters, CEO Mark Bristow added that a 16 MW solar-plus-battery plant has pushed Kibali’s renewable share to 85%, allowing the site to run entirely on green power for half the year. Underground productivity upgrades are slated to lift output from Q3 onw…
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United States Antimony (NYSE-A: UAMY) says it has been reacquiring mining claims next to its existing smelting operations in Montana since earlier this year, and is now ready to reboot mine operations in areas that have permits in place. These mining claims, US Antimony said, have a history of antimony production dating back to the 1970s, and are all situated in or around its operating smelter — the only antimony smelting facility in the country. Like with rare earths, the US has listed antimony as a mineral critical to its national and economic security. The grey-colored metal is used in a variety of high-tech and defence products, including flame-retardant mater…
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Crypto analyst Crypto Inside has provided a bullish outlook for the PEPE meme coin. The analyst predicted that it could witness a 150% surge as it looks to grab the liquidity above its current range. PEPE Eyes Rally To $0.000025 In Bid To Grab Liquidity Above In a TradingView post, Crypto Inside shared an accompanying chart in which he predicted that PEPE could jump to as high as $0.000025 following its reclaim of the $0.000010 support zone. He explained that this price surge could occur because there is currently more liquidity above than below. The chart showed that there is a total sell liquidity of 10,678.659 trillion around this $0.00025 range. Meanwhile, the tot…
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Consecutive positive data points in US economic releases have once again boosted sentiment, notably taking Equity and Cryptocurrency markets to a renewed frenzy. ISM Services PMI came at 50.8 vs 50.5 expected, in the latest round of positive surprises in US Data which should once again deter markets from the weaker United States theme due to volatile Trump Administration policies. US Equity markets will see an early 1PM Close as Americans prepare their Independence Day 4th of July Holiday. All US Indices are making new highs, with the Dow close to 100 points from its ATH while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are still in All-Time High Price discovery. The latest geopolitic…
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Gold prices fell on Thursday after strong US jobs data took the pressure off the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates at the end of this month, denting the metal’s appeal. Spot gold dropped 0.9% to $3,326.35 per ounce by 10:45 a.m. ET, erasing most of its gains from the past two sessions. US gold futures also slid 0.7% to $3,336.90 per ounce in New York. Click on chart for Live Prices The precious metal had declined as much as 1.4% earlier in the session, after trading mostly within a narrow range. The selloff in gold comes after the latest US payroll numbers came in above analyst expectations, and the unemployment rate was lower than forecast. The do…
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Ero Copper (TSX, NYSE: ERO) said its Tucumã copper operation in Brazil achieved commercial production this week – though at least one analyst was left wondering if the company would be able to hit full-year output targets. Tucumã produced about 6,400 tonnes of copper in the second quarter, including about 2,000 tonnes during the second half of June, Vancouver-based Ero said Thursday in a statement. Plant throughput volumes should keep increasing by year-end, supporting sequential growth in copper production during the second half, according to the company. Located in Pará State, in the northern part of the country, Tucumã is projected to produce 37,500 to 42,500 l…
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According to recent data, public companies have raced ahead of Bitcoin spot ETF issuers by snapping up more than twice as much BTC in the first half of 2025. Public firms added 245,510 BTC to their balance sheets from January through June, a 375% jump over the 51,653 BTC they bought in the same stretch last year. At the same time, spot ETF issuers purchased 118,424 BTC, leaving them well behind their corporate counterparts. Public Firm Purchases Smash ETF Buys According to data from Bitcoin Treasuries, the 245,510 BTC bought by public companies during H1 2025 is more than four times the 118,424 BTC ETF issuers gathered. That ETF component is 56% lower than the 267,87…
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This morning's Non-Farm Payrolls data was more than welcomed for Dollar-Bulls A 37K Beat on expectations (147K vs 110K exp), accompanied with a lower Unemployment Rate (4.1% vs 4.3% prior) and lower Growth Average Hourly Earnings (=less price pressures) gives path to way lesser chances of stagflation for the US Economy, at least for now. US Indices have had a fairly muted reaction as Equity markets are still preparing for the open and the release of ISM Services Data at 10:00 expected at 50.5. However, the US Dollar is the one standout winner and confirms further the idea that 96.50 could be a swing low for the Greenback. Let's take a look at Intra-Day Charts for the D…
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BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF, trading under the ticker IBIT, have overtaken BlackRock flagship S&P 500 ETF (IVV) in annual revenue generation. Despite being a fraction of its size in terms of assets under management, IBIT’s surge is pivotal. It indicates an increase in institutional demand for regulated Bitcoin exposure. According to 2 July 2025 Bloomberg report, IBIT’s higher expense ratio of 0.25% has propelled it ahead of the iShares Cor S&P 500 ETF IVV. Notably, IVV charge a nominal 0.03% fee in terms of annual fee income. So the higher fee structure of IBIT, combined with the surging interest in Bitcoin as an asset class, has given BlackRock a powerful new …
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Arthur Hayes has published a new essay, “Quid Pro Stablecoin,” arguing that the United States’ sudden political enthusiasm for bank-issued stablecoins is less about “financial freedom” and more about arming the Treasury with a multi-trillion-dollar “liquidity bazooka.” The former BitMEX chief—writing in his personal newsletter—contends that investors who postpone buying Bitcoin until the Federal Reserve resumes quantitative easing will serve as “exit liquidity” for those who bought earlier. How The Money Printer Is Already Warming Up At the core of Hayes’ thesis is the claim that eight “too-big-to-fail” banks hold roughly $6.8 trillion in demand and time deposits that ca…
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Nonfarm Payrolls June (NFP), +147k vs. +110k expected, beat of +37,000Average Monthly Earnings June (YoY), +3.7% vs. +3.9% expected, miss of -0.2%Average Monthly Earnings June (MoM), +0.2% vs. +0.3% expected, miss of -0.1%Unemployment Rate June, 4.1% vs. 4.3% expected, beat of 0.2% Markets now look towards further US economic releases today: 09:45 EDT, S&P Global Composite PMI June10:00 EDT, ISM Services PMI June10:00 EDT, ISM Services Prices Paid June10:00 EDT, ISM Services New Orders Index June10:00 EDT, ISM Services Employment Index June10:00 EDT, Factory Orders May (MoM)11:00 EDT, Fed Raphael Bostic Speech Opinions ar…
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It only took one day for the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to walk back on an approval given to Grayscale Digital Large Cap Fund (GDLC) to convert to an exchange-traded fund (ETF), inadvertently halting its launch. On 1 July 2025, the SEC shared a letter stating its intention to again review the recent approval granted to GDLC to convert its fund into an ETF. The SEC’s approval of the Grayscale ETF had been welcomed as a landmark development for multi-asset crypto ETFs in the US. For the uninitiated, Grayscale brings a regulatory structure to a product that tracks Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other leading tokens by converting its multi-asset crypto fund. The r…
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Bitcoin climbed above $109K, triggering a surge across the markets: Ethereum ($ETH) – up 4.65% XRP ($XRP) – up 3.86% Solana ($SOL) – up 7.85% Tron ($TRX) – up 4.17% But one of the biggest daily surges came from an unexpected corner, as Dogecoin mounted an 8% rally and broke the key $0.17 mark. As meme coins rebound, could the purest meme coin of them all be poised to hit the stratosphere? Time for a closer look. What’s Driving the Rally? A wave of optimism around potential US Federal Reserve rate cuts, prompted by recent dovish statements from key officials, energized risk assets. Overall, markets are bullish and tokens are up for a number of reasons. Approvals of…
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Pakistan is courting the United States with a bold pitch that includes rare earths, bitcoin mining potential and political flattery, in a bid to avoid looming tariffs of up to 29% and secure deeper ties with Washington. Hoping to attract foreign investment and burdened by a spiralling economic crisis, Pakistan is reviving long-standing claims about its untapped mineral wealth, estimated by officials to be worth between $8 trillion and an eye-popping $50 trillion. The country is highlighting its vast reserves of copper, gold, lithium and antimony, a metal used in batteries and flame retardants. “Pakistan has been quite smart about getting the administration’s atten…
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Plume crypto is up 22% in the past 24 hours following the integration of USD1. The stablecoin by World Liberty Financial, a DeFi platform linked to the Trump family, now has a market cap of over $2.2 billion. The past 24 hours have been highly bullish for the crypto markets. After days of sideways movement following the surge on June 23, BTC ▲1.61% broke above $108,000 and is inching closer to all-time highs. Presently, the total crypto market cap is up 2%, rising to $3.4 trillion, with more room for growth, especially for some of the best cryptos to buy. DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Plume Crypto Surges 22%, Will The Rally Last? While the market expa…
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Crypto analyst Capo of Crypto, who is currently one of the most recognizeable names in crypto spaces on social media, has sounded a warning for the market. The analyst has completely dismissed the current trajectory of the Bitcoin price and, by extension, the altcoin market, calling for only a short-lived rally. His analysis points to a Bitcoin price crash, but the most impact is expected to be felt by the altcoin market as they tumble further. Bitcoin Price Is Headed Below $100,000 In the post on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), Capo of Crypto shares a rather bearish thesis that suggests that the current strength in Bitcoin won’t last. He points out that …
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Overview: The US dollar is firm. The only G10 currency that is stronger today is sterling, which is recovering from yesterday's sharp losses and the UK's drama eased following Prime Minister Starmer's support for Chancellor Reeves. Of note most of the final June PMI readings were revised higher from the initial estimates. The US struck a trade agreement with Vietnam, the third deal reached, and the clear intent is to deter it from re-exporting Chinese goods. Meanwhile, the US also lifted export requirement for chip design software sales to China, which would seem to imply that the administration is satisfied with the resumption of rare earth and magnet shipment to the US.…
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