Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Bitcoin price is attempting to recover above $112,500. BTC is now consolidating and might rise if it clears the $114,250 resistance zone. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $113,200 zone. The price is trading below $113,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $112,300 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if it clears the $114,250 zone. Bitcoin Price Eyes Recovery Bitcoin price started a fresh recovery wave from the $110,200 zone. BTC managed to climb above the $111,500 and $112,500 resistance levels. The bulls were able to pus…
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Paul Atkins, the newly appointed chair of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), has boldly declared that “crypto’s time has come,” marking a pivotal moment in the regulator’s approach to digital assets. Atkins Declares End To ‘Weaponization’ Of Regulation Delivering a keynote address at the inaugural OECD roundtable on global financial markets, Atkins expressed his commitment to unlocking the potential of digital assets in the United States, highlighting the impact of new technologies on global finance. Atkins criticized the previous SEC approach under former chair Gary Gensler, which he described as a “weaponization” of regulatory powers that stifled the c…
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Ethereum price started a fresh increase from the $4,240 zone. ETH is now consolidating and might aim for more gains if it clears $4,400. Ethereum is now eyeing an upside break above the $4,400 zone. The price is trading above $4,320 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $4,330 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it settles above $4,380 and $4,400. Ethereum Price Eyes Upside Break Ethereum price started a recovery wave after it formed a base above the $4,220 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the $4,320 and $4,350 resista…
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EUR/JPY The EUR/JPY pair has reversed for the second time from the upper boundary of the price channel and is now holding below the MACD line on the daily chart. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator remains in positive territory but is hesitating in front of the zero line, viewing it as a significant barrier. This likely reflects the price's indecision in overcoming the balance indicator line, where it has lingered for a second day. Today, the market is waiting for the release of US inflation data for August (CPI). If the data supports yen strengthening, the support level at 171.32 (the first target) could be reached today. In this case, the Marlin indicator would mo…
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GBP/USD On Wednesday, similar to Tuesday, the British pound managed to rise above the daily MACD indicator line, albeit only with its upper shadow. The day closed at the opening level, which is the support level of 1.3525. The declining Marlin oscillator and, likely, today's release of an increased US CPI for August (forecast at 2.9% y/y versus 2.7% y/y a month earlier) could easily pull the GBP/USD pair below 1.3525 with consolidation under it. This would open up a target at 1.3364. If the signal line of the oscillator moves below the zero line, it will also exit the 0.0007–0.0162 range, which could accelerate the price drop. Alternatively, this may first accelerate the…
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EUR/USD Yesterday's US Producer Price Index (PPI) data had little effect on the dollar (Dollar Index -0.01%) but notably shifted the probability of a December rate cut to 3.75% from 58.6% to 62.5%. The August PPI came in at 2.6% versus 3.1% y/y in July (revised down from 3.3%), while Core PPI showed 2.8% y/y versus 3.4% previously (revised down from 3.7%). This is quite a significant drop in the indices, but overall it was due to August's collapse in PPI from 0.7% m/m (0.9% before revision) to -0.1% m/m. Market participants generally judged that the PPI drop in August would only affect overall inflation by winter, which explains the current 62.5% probability of a rate cut…
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Bitcoin (BTC) has declined more than 10% from its latest all-time high (ATH) of $124,128, recorded on Binance in August 2025. However, fresh on-chain data suggests that the cryptocurrency may be preparing for its next bullish wave, as miners are starting to show a structural shift in behavior. Bitcoin Miners Shift Strategy – New High Ahead? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Avocado_onchain, recent on-chain data hints at a structural shift in Bitcoin miner behavior. At the same time, various other metrics point toward increasing resilience in the Bitcoin network. The analyst brought attention to the Miners’ Position Index (MPI), a metric that has …
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XRP price gained pace for a move above the $2.950 resistance. The price is now consolidating gains and might start another increase above $3.020. XRP price is facing hurdles and struggling to clear the $3.050 resistance. The price is now trading above $2.950 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key contracting triangle forming with support at $2.980 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to rise if it stays above the $2.9150 zone. XRP Price Eyes More Gains XRP price managed to stay above the $2.850 level and started a fresh increase, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price climbed above the $2.9150 and…
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As Solana (SOL) taps the $225 barrier, Bitwise’s CIO forecasted that a bullish Q4 rally might be brewing for the altcoin if it follows Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum’s (ETH) recipe. Solana To Follow BTC, ETH’s Recipe? On Tuesday, Matt Hougan, CIO at Bitwise, affirmed in a new memo to clients that the recipe for strong returns has been clear over the past 18 months: “Take one part ETP inflows, add strong corporate treasury purchases, and voilà—you get big returns.” Hougan explained that BTC followed this recipe since January 2024, while ETH discovered the same formula in April 2025. “It’s no surprise that the recipe works. It’s classic supply and demand,” he stated, adding …
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Wednesday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD On Wednesday, the EUR/USD currency pair traded with minimal volatility and without any trend. This is now the second day in a row this week that the market has shown completely illogical movements. We'll leave aside what's happening in the crypto market—there's little logic there either. Recall that on Tuesday, the annual Nonfarm Payrolls report was published. Although it didn't reveal anything new—US labor market contraction continues—it remains an important report that traders ignored. Yesterday, the US Producer Price Index (PPI) showed a price decline of 0.1% in August. We don't believe this drop in PPI will have any impac…
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Wednesday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD On Wednesday, the GBP/USD pair also traded strictly sideways with minimal volatility. There were no significant events scheduled for Wednesday, but let's recall that this week already saw the NonFarm Payrolls report and the Producer Price Index. Today, the US inflation report will be released. It also became known that the US Supreme Court reinstated Lisa Cook, whom Donald Trump fired a few weeks ago. So, the battle between Trump and the Federal Reserve continues, and the American president still cannot do anything about the FOMC's unwillingness to cut rates by 2–3% at once. Thus, the US dollar already had plenty of reasons t…
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Macroeconomic Report Review: There are a few macroeconomic releases scheduled for Thursday. However, in the United States, an important August inflation report will be published, which could provoke a strong market reaction if it prints a surprise figure. Any value outside the 2.7–2.9% range would be considered a substantial surprise. Lower-than-expected inflation (relative to previous readings and forecasts) could trigger a dollar sell-off. Higher inflation would support the US currency. No important releases are planned today in the UK, Germany, or the Eurozone. Fundamental Events Review: Among Thursday's fundamental events, the European Central Bank meeting a…
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Solana started a fresh increase above the $220 zone. SOL price is now consolidating above $215 and might aim for more gains above the $225 zone. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $212 and $215 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $215 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $222 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend gains if it clears the $225 resistance zone. Solana Price Eyes More Gains Solana price started a decent increase after it found support near the $205 zone, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $212 l…
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Although the US dollar did lose ground against risk assets, it managed to avoid a larger sell-off. This suggests traders have already shifted their attention to waiting for new, and much more important, inflation data than what was released yesterday. A sharp decline in US producer prices in August by 0.1% led to a drop in the dollar and strengthening of the euro, British pound, and other risk assets. This unexpected turn made traders reconsider their forecasts for the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy, and now the Fed is widely expected to resume cutting interest rates soon. Today, in the first half of the day, the European Central Bank will publish its decision o…
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An analyst has pointed out how Dogecoin could see a rally to $0.50, if the upper boundary of this technical analysis pattern breaks. Dogecoin Is Currently Trading Inside A Parallel Channel In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has shared a technical analysis (TA) pattern forming in the 1-day price of Dogecoin. The pattern in question is a Parallel Channel, which forms when the price of an asset observes movement restricted between two parallel trendlines. The upper line of the channel is likely to provide resistance, while the lower one support. A break out of either of these boundaries can imply a continuation of trend in that direction. There are a few different …
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[Nasdaq 100 Index] – [Thursday, 11 September 2025] Although there is a potential for correction as the RSI is at the Neutral-Bearish level, but as long as it does not break and close below 23606.5, there is still potential for a return to the bullish bias because both EMAs are still forming a Golden Cross. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 24119.9 2. Resistance. 1 : 23974.1 3. Pivot : 23863.2 4. Support. 1 : 23717.4 5. Support. 2 : 23606.5 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the Nasdaq 100 Index manages to break through and close above 23,863.2, it will likely test the next resistance at 23,974.1. Momentum Extension Bias: If 23,974.1 is broken and closed above, t…
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[Natural Gas] – [Thursday, 11 September 2025] Although there is potential for strengthening, as long as it does not break and close above 3.052, Natural Gas will return to its bearish bias because the RSI is in the Neutral-Bearish area and both EMAs are forming a Death Cross. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 3.160 2. Resistance. 1 : 3.095 3. Pivot : 3.052 4. Support. 1 : 2.987 5. Support. 2 : 2.944 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If #NG breaks down and closes below 2.987, it may test the next support at 2.944. Momentum Extension Bias: If 2.944 is broken and closed below, there is potential for further weakening towards 2.897. Invalidation Level /…
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Yesterday, Bitcoin managed to hold above the $113,000 level, which indicates a relatively high probability of further growth. Ethereum also posted a strong move upward. This growth is not surprising. According to reports from several expert firms, buying demand for BTC has surged in recent days, hitting a historic record. CryptoQuant attributes this to inflows of new investments and idle funds from institutional players. This surge in interest clearly shows Bitcoin's growing recognition as a legitimate asset class among large investment funds and corporations. Institutional investors, who are traditionally more conservative, are increasingly viewing BTC as a means of po…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroA test of the 1.1718 level coincided with the MACD indicator just starting to rise above the zero mark, which confirmed this as a valid long entry in EUR and resulted in only a 10-pip upward move. The 0.1% decline in the US Producer Price Index for August triggered a weakening of the dollar and, consequently, a strengthening of the euro. This development came as a surprise to many and forced analysts to reconsider their outlook on the Fed's future monetary policy. However, a major risk asset rally did not materialize—indicating that FX markets remain volatile and uncertain. Market participants are closely watching economic releas…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundA test of the 1.3545 price level coincided with the MACD indicator just starting its move up from the zero line, confirming a good buy entry in GBP. However, the pair never developed a significant upward move. The sharp 0.1% drop in US producer prices in August led to a dollar decline and a strengthening of the British pound. Still, a major bullish run did not materialize. First, the PPI drop was a one-off event, shifting the focus to today's US Consumer Price Index figures. Second, ongoing uncertainty over the British economy continued to weigh on sterling. There are no UK data releases today, so most of the market move…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenA test of the 147.32 price level coincided with the MACD indicator just starting to move down from the zero line—a good confirmation to sell the dollar. However, this did not lead to a significant drop in the pair. The yen reacted with only a minor gain against the US dollar after news that US producer prices in August declined, not increased. This restrained reaction reflects a mix of factors, including ongoing concerns about Japan's economic outlook and the Bank of Japan's monetary policy. Despite dollar weakness from US data, investors remain cautious about the yen, given its sensitivity to global economic swings—weak …
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Yesterday, US stock indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 rose by 0.30%, while the Nasdaq 100 added 0.03%. The industrial Dow Jones fell by 0.48%. Futures on US and European equities showed stability ahead of the highly anticipated US inflation data, due today, while the Asian session was marked by gains in technology giants. Euro Stoxx 50 futures were little changed, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures pared losses during Asian trading. Japan, South Korea, and mainland China's major stock indices advanced, while Australian and Hong Kong indices declined. The MSCI Asia-Pacific regional index was flat after five straight days of gains. US Treasuries stabilized afte…
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The recent movement of the USD/JPY has been very choppy as it continues to trade within a four-month-plus “Ascending Wedge” range configuration since its 22 April 2025 low of 139.89. The initial 0.8% intraday rally of the US dollar against the Japanese yen at the start of this week’s Asia session on Monday, 8 September 2025, to hit an intraday high of 148,58 has evaporated as the USD/JPY is now trading almost unchanged week-to-date as of Thursday, 11 September, at 147.40. Market participants have largely looked beyond the political uncertainty stemming from Prime Minister Ishiba’s resignation, shifting their focus to factors that could shape the Bank of Japan’s ongoin…
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The S&P 500 achieved its 23rd record high of 2025, fueled by Oracle's stunning performance and an unexpected drop in US producer prices in August. The odds of aggressive monetary easing from the Federal Reserve have increased, helping US equities sustain their stellar run. US equity index performance Oracle shares surged 36% in a single day, highlighting the company's best session since 1992 and a remarkable move for a 48-year-old tech giant. This leap added $247 billion to Oracle's market value, propelling it to become the 10th-largest S&P 500 constituent by market capitalization, surpassing JP Morgan. Market chatter is already likening Oracle to the next NVID…
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Elliott Management, the activist investment firm led by Paul Singer, has raised concerns regarding the cryptocurrency market, suggesting that it may be on the brink of an “inevitable collapse.” In a recent investor letter reported by Fortune, the firm attributed the inflation of this so-called “crypto bubble” to the perceived endorsement from the White House, particularly during President Donald Trump’s administration. Impending Crypto Collapse Ahead? The letter articulated fears that the US government’s backing of cryptocurrencies could undermine the dollar’s position as the world’s primary reserve currency. Elliott Management highlighted that the dramatic rise in c…
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