Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Despite an aggressive intraday drop in the cryptocurrency market — likely aimed at flushing out speculators and weaker hands in preparation for the next leg of the bull run — Bitcoin managed to stay above the $112,000 level. And with continued inflows into crypto investment products, there's reason to remain calm. In fact, when looking at the fundamental factors supporting the crypto industry, the outlook remains largely positive. Institutional interest is holding strong, and more corporations are adding digital assets to their balance sheets. Regulatory developments are ongoing, fostering innovation and expanding the practical use of cryptocurrencies. The regulatory e…
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Bitcoin continues to trade in a range just below its recent all-time high, maintaining a relatively stable price structure despite broader market fluctuations. As of the time of writing, BTC is priced at approximately $105,756, reflecting a 1% drop in the past 24 hours and a 5.4% decline from its record peak of over $111,000 reached last month. The asset has been consolidating within this band for several weeks, with no clear breakout yet in sight, indicating a moment of uncertainty or possible transition in market direction. A CryptoQuany analyst known as Gaah has offered insights into this phase of the cycle. Bitcoin IBCI Suggests Cycle Is Ongoing, Not Exhausted Gaa…
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Right now, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading slightly lower than its ATH of $126,080 at , however, a forecast suggests that it is far from being overheated. According to the Mayer Multiple, an on-chain metric that compares BTC’s price to its 200-week moving average, the current reading is just 1.16, which is well below the 2.4 level that typically signals market tops. Crypto Quant analyst Frank, explained, “Bitcoin is at all-time highs and the Mayer Multiple is ice cold.” The move has caused Hargreaves Lansdowne, UK’s largest retail investment platform to put out a statement, stating, “The HL Investment view is that bitcoin is not an asset class, and we…
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Bitcoin (BTC) attempted to reclaim the $108,000 resistance level again but faced rejection as the third quarter (Q3) started, leading some market watchers to suggest caution for the upcoming months. Bitcoin Holds Crucial Range Bitcoin’s price ended the second quarter with a retest of the $108,000 barrier before being rejected and closing Q2 and June around the $107,140 area, its highest monthly close in history. Despite the positive performance, the flagship crypto started July with a pullback toward the $105,000, hitting a one-week low of $105,623. Analyst Rekt Capital affirmed that this suggested BTC’s post-breakout retest is in progress, which would strengthen the c…
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In his latest daily technical outlook, Cryptowzrd highlighted that Bitcoin closed the day with a gravestone doji, while holding above a critical level. According to the analysis, more bullish candles are needed to sustain momentum and push the price toward the $120,000 resistance, especially as the market contends with ongoing fundamental pressures. Fundamentals Support Bitcoin Despite Weak NFP Print Cryptowzrd highlighted that the daily candle of Bitcoin closed indecisively, signaling uncertainty as the market evaluates its next move. Despite this indecision, BTC remains above the crucial $110,500 level, which continues to serve as a strong support zone. This level rema…
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Bitcoin (BTC) staged a mild rebound from yesterday’s inflation-driven drop to $117,180, climbing back toward $119,000 at the time of writing. A declining leverage ratio suggests the top cryptocurrency’s bullish momentum could persist, keeping it in the running for a new all-time high (ATH) in the near term. Bitcoin Leverage Ratio Falls, Bulls Rejoice According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, Bitcoin’s leverage ratio across all cryptocurrency exchanges has sharply declined from its late-July and early-August peak of 0.27. Notably, the ratio dropped to 0.25 in early August before a modest rebound. In contrast, the period from May to late July s…
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Bitcoin held its ground as US President Donald Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill” passed the Senate late Monday narrowly by 51–50 votes. Vice President J.D. Vance provided the tie‑breaking vote that sealed the deal for the $4.5 trillion package. The package contains major tax reductions, deeper border security funding, and substantial cuts to programs such as Medicaid and SNAP. No crypto‑specific language was included, but lawmakers attempted to insert a tax benefit for digital currencies during last minute wrangling. Bitcoin Dips Before Quick Rebound Based on reports from crypto exchanges, Bitcoin slid to about $106,344 just before the vote as traders held off on big …
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Following another rejection from the $120,000 region on July 21, Bitcoin (BTC) is now holding steady around the $115,000 level. However, realized price data suggests that BTC’s surface-level calm may be nearing its end. Old Bitcoin Whales Stop Realizing Gains According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Kripto Mevsimi, Bitcoin whale behavior indicates that the asset may be walking a tightrope. While “old whales” have stopped realizing profits, newer whales remain slightly in the green – though only marginally. Here, old whales refer to large BTC holders who have held the digital asset for more than a year. New whales – including institutional players – are …
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Bitcoin has weathered a wave of volatility in recent days, triggered by the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran. As geopolitical tensions rise and global markets grapple with uncertainty, risk assets like BTC have faced increased pressure. Yet despite this turbulent backdrop, Bitcoin has managed to maintain its footing above key support levels, demonstrating notable resilience. Currently trading just under its all-time high, Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase that many analysts view as the calm before a potential breakout. Top analyst Rekt Capital shared insights indicating that the final major Weekly resistance, which has previously capped price rallies, may n…
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The Bitcoin (BTC) market registered an impressive 4% price bounce on Friday, following dovish policy comments by US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. The premier cryptocurrency now trades above $116,000, nullifying earlier losses seen in the past week. Interestingly, prominent market analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino has outlined the implications of this price rebound regarding the BTC price trajectory. Bitcoin’s Latest Bounce Revives Bullish Momentum – Price Targets To Watch In an X post on August 22, Severino explains that Bitcoin showed resilience in its price recovery on Friday by bouncing off the lower boundary of a long-standing ascending channel, tagged as …
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Bitcoin is holding firm above the $115,000 level after several days of trading below it, signaling renewed strength in the market. The bullish tone is building as Ethereum posts massive gains and altcoins begin to show strong moves over the past few days. For some analysts, this could be the start of the long-awaited altseason; for others, it’s simply the rest of the market catching up to Bitcoin’s earlier rally. Top analyst Axel Adler noted that Bitcoin’s price is now trading close to its all-time high, with the BTC Z-Score (Price, 30/365) sitting around +1.5σ above its one-year norm. This reading is well below the +2.5σ level typically associated with overheating, sug…
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Bitcoin’s price remains in a zone where it is seeing little upward momentum as it continues to hover below its recent all-time high. After reaching above $123,000 earlier this month, the asset has pulled back slightly, trading at $119,343 at the time of writing. This represents a 2% gain over the past week but still leaves BTC roughly 3% below its recent peak. The muted price action reflects a market that appears to be consolidating amid diverging signals from on-chain indicators and regional demand metrics. Recent analysis from CryptoQuant contributors points to a weakening appetite for Bitcoin in both the US and South Korea, two markets that have historically contribu…
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In his latest keynote speech at the OECD in Paris, SEC Chair Paul Atkins reassured that ‘most crypto tokens are not securities,’ and that the agency continues to work on market guidelines. Atkins emphasized that his focus is on changing the regulations for digital assets and on-chain capital in the US, while providing more clarity for investors and minimizing legal uncertainty for entrepreneurs. He also urged the SEC to end selective enforcement (which has been arguably bad for the industry) and promised growth-oriented regulatory rules in the future. Finally, Atkins mentioned the development of a Super app and an integrated blockchain vision that could validate all-in-…
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Shaco AI, in a fresh update, highlighted that Bitcoin is showing off its moves, dancing upwards past both the 25-hour ($119,088.50) and 50-hour ($118,338.56) Simple Moving Averages. With such momentum, it’s clear BTC has decided it’s not a bear season yet. Momentum And Indicators Shaco AI’s analysis on Bitcoin dives deep into the technical indicators, and there’s no shortage of bullish energy in the air. First off, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently riding high at 86.02. That’s well into overbought territory, and as Shaco colorfully put it, “it might need to hydrate soon.” Such elevated RSI levels often signal a potential cooldown on the horizon, but for now,…
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The Global Money Supply has just hit a rare yearly growth rate of 9%. Here’s what followed for Bitcoin the last few times this signal appeared. Global Money Supply Is Currently Sharply Going Up In a new post on X, Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards has talked about the latest trend in the Global Money Supply. The “Global Money Supply” refers to an indicator that measures the total amount of fiat supply (priced in US Dollars) issued by the top countries around the world. Below is the chart shared by Edwards that shows the data for the year-on-year growth in the metric: As displayed in the graph, the metric’s value has recently been witnessing an increase, in…
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Bitcoin prices climbed by 5.07% in the past week to hit a local peak of $108,000 before experiencing a solid rejection. Since then, the leading cryptocurrency has remained in the $106,000 – $107,000 range showing no indications of a breakout in either market direction. Amidst this market consolidation, renowned crypto analyst with X username KillaXBT has highlighted the key liquidation zones in the present Bitcoin market structure that are critical to the next significant price move. Bitcoin: Clustering At $103K–$106K And $108K–$111K – What Could This Mean? In a recent X post , KillaXBT shares that Bitcoin is currently at a pivotal decision zone as liquidation heatm…
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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Exchange Reserve has witnessed a spike recently, a sign that could be bearish for the asset’s price. Bitcoin Exchange Reserve Has Hit A Multi-Month High In a new post on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has talked about the latest trend in the Exchange Reserve of Bitcoin. The “Exchange Reserve” refers to an on-chain indicator that keeps track of the total amount of the cryptocurrency that is sitting on the wallets attached to centralized exchanges. When the value of the metric goes up, it means the investors are making net deposits of the asset to these platforms. Generally, one of the main reasons why holders would transfer thei…
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Bitcoin has entered a consolidation phase after reaching $124,500 earlier this month and retracing below the $115,000 mark. The sharp move higher followed by weeks of sideways action has left the market in a state of uncertainty, with traders watching closely for the next decisive move. For many analysts, this consolidation is not a sign of weakness but rather a natural pause before the next leg higher. A push above the all-time high would be the clearest confirmation that the next wave of growth has begun. Momentum, however, remains dependent on whether buyers can reclaim lost ground and sustain pressure against resistance levels. Despite short-term caution, onchain si…
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On-chain data shows inflows into Bitcoin have recently been so large that they outweigh the cumulative capital that entered BTC in its first 15 years. Bitcoin Realized Cap Shows Acceleration In Inflows Recently In a new post on X, CryptoQuant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju has shared the trend in the Realized Cap of Bitcoin over its entire history. The “Realized Cap” here refers to an on-chain indicator that measures, in short, the total amount of capital that the investors as a whole have put into the cryptocurrency. When the value of this metric rises, it means the investors are feeding a net amount of capital into the network. On the other hand, it going down suggests …
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After weeks of consolidation within a tight range, Bitcoin has broken down below the crucial $115K level, reaching a local low around $112,200. This correction has sparked a divide among analysts and investors, with some viewing it as a healthy retracement that could set the stage for a continuation of the broader uptrend. Others, however, warn that this move might signal the beginning of a more extended bearish phase if key support levels fail to hold. Adding to the market’s uncertainty, top analyst Darkfost highlighted a significant shift in exchange activity. Data reveals that Bitcoin inflows to Binance have been steadily rising since early July, reversing a prolonge…
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Veteran trader Peter Brandt delivered a sharp critique of Bitcoin holders this week. According to posts on X, Brandt, a septuagenarian with more than 800,000 followers, lashed out at those who “hodl” through thick and thin. He called them “a bunch of idiots who borrow money to buy pizza.” His message was blunt. He urged people to “get a life,” warning that faith in Bitcoin as a cure-all will leave many disappointed. Trader Slams Hodl Mentality Brandt argued that Bitcoin is “just an asset” and nothing more. He stressed that treating it like a miracle fix gives the crypto community a bad image. Reports have disclosed that he’s grown tired of endless debates online. “I…
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The Bitcoin price action was largely sideways rather than strongly bullish for most of June. As of early July, the flagship cryptocurrency has maintained its movements around $108,000 – $110,000 region. While Bitcoin still retains its bullish market structure, recent on-chain data calls for a level of caution when investors are looking for opportunities in the market. Bitcoin Sentiment Recovers From Bearish In a July 4 post on the social media platform X, crypto analytics firm Alphractal revealed that the Bitcoin investor sentiment is “very bullish.” This on-chain observation is based on the Alpha Crypto Sentiment Gauge metric. As its name suggests, the indicator ev…
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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin mega whales are still in a phase of distribution despite the other cohorts shifting to buying. Bitcoin Mega Whales Have Continued To Sell During This Rally According to the latest weekly report from Glassnode, the Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score suggests a resurgence in buying among the investors. This on-chain indicator basically tells us whether the BTC holders are buying or selling. The metric calculates its value by not only looking at the balance changes happening in the wallets of the investors, but also accounting for the size of the wallets themselves. This means that the behavior of the larger entities has a larger influence on …
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The price of Bitcoin has managed to stay afloat over the past few days despite the growing conflict in the Middle East and the ensuing bearish pressure. The premier cryptocurrency continues to hover around the $105,000 level, with its value down by merely 0.8% in the past week. According to the latest on-chain data, the Bitcoin price might not be down for too long, as investors seem unbothered by the rising tensions between Israel and Iran. Below is what the BTC investors have been up to since the military action started in the past week. BTC Investors Still Holding On To Their Assets: Analyst In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, a pseudonymous on-chain anal…
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Bitcoin is currently trading at critical levels after a sharp decline to the $112,000 zone, sparking panic among investors who fear this could mark the beginning of a broader bear market. After weeks of tight consolidation, the sudden drop has triggered concerns of a deeper correction, especially as short-term holders (STH) are forced to either realize losses or hold underwater positions. However, not all analysts are sounding the alarm. Top analyst Axel Adler argues that while the market is experiencing typical late-stage bull cycle behavior, the broader uptrend remains intact. Adler points out that as bull markets mature, investor risk appetite naturally decreases, le…
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