Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
16185 tópicos neste fórum
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The euro is trading around 1.1735, above the 200 EMA, above the 21 SMA, and above the 8/8 Murray, which could indicate a recovery. However, EUR/USD is under bearish pressure as it is located within a downtrend channel. If the euro falls below the 8/8 Murray and below the 200 EMA in the coming hours, this could indicate a further bearish movement. Therefore, EUR/USD is expected to reach the 7/8 Murray at 1.1596 in the short term. A sharp break above 1.1765 could favor a recovery for the euro. In the short term, it could reach +1/8 Murray at 1.1840 and even reach +2/8 Murray at 1.1962. The eagle indicator on the H4 chart is showing a positive signal for the euro, so a recov…
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Solana (SOL) shook off a swift sell-off to $205 on Tuesday, rebounding above $209–$216 as institutional-sized wallets scooped the dip while over-levered retail longs were flushed. The slide coincided with U.S. shutdown jitters across risk assets, but crypto quickly mirrored equities’ intraday recovery. Order-flow dashboards (anchored CVD in the $1M–$10M bucket) show pro buyers adding on weakness, while funding briefly flipped negative—an attractive setup that encouraged fresh longs in spot and perps. Solana ETF Speculation Keeps Bulls Optimistic Ahead of October 10 The next major milestone for Solana is set to arrive on October 10, when the SEC is expected to decide…
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Ethereum price started a steady increase above $4,320. ETH is now consolidating and might aim for more gains if it clears the $4,400 resistance. Ethereum remained stable above $4,250 and started a recovery wave. The price is trading above $4,320 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a key contracting triangle with resistance at $4,180 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $4,400 and $4,420. Ethereum Price Gains Over 5% Ethereum price remained supported above the $4,120 level and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the $4,250 and $4,3…
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Will Central Bank Gold Buying Push Prices Higher? A Practical, Data-Informed Guide Executive Summary Central bank gold buying has become a durable, multi-year force. It has coincided with record price levels and helped support demand even when ETFs saw outflows, yet it does not set a guaranteed “floor.” Real interest rates, the U.S. dollar, and risk appetite still steer near-term moves. Even so, official-sector buying adds meaningful downside support and helps rallies stick. For investors, especially retirees seeking resilience, treat official purchases as a tailwind, not a timing signal. A modest, well-managed allocation can cushion drawdowns and capture upside when ma…
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Private Equity for Retirees: Should You Add It to Savings? Executive Summary Private equity for retirees can add long-term growth and a layer of diversification beyond public markets. However, it demands patience, higher fees, and a healthy cash buffer. For many households, a small, carefully chosen slice can help; for others, liquid and transparent holdings remain the smarter fit. This guide shows when PE belongs in a retirement plan, how to size it, and how to evaluate options without risking financial security. What Is Private Equity? A Plain-English Definition Private equity (PE) is simply owning pieces of companies that don’t trade on public exchanges. Managers …
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Inflation Risk in Retirement: How Millionaires Protect Their Portfolios Executive Summary Rising prices quietly chip away at what your money can buy. Over decades, that adds up fast. To manage inflation risk in retirement, pair smart asset allocation with steady spending rules and tax-aware withdrawals. This guide uses plain English, simple math, and a clear, step-by-step plan you can apply now to manage inflation risk in retirement. What Is Inflation Risk in Retirement? Inflation risk is the chance that higher prices reduce the real value of your savings and income. Your account balance might look steady, yet its buying power can slip. That matters even more once payche…
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Is a Safe Deposit Box for Gold Really Safe? A Practical, Data-Informed Guide Executive Summary A safe deposit box for gold can be a secure, low-visibility choice for long-term holders who don’t need 24/7 access. However, the FDIC doesn’t insure box contents, banks usually disclaim liability, and access is limited to branch hours. You’ll likely need private coverage; keep receipts, photos, and appraisals, and set up estate access according to state law. Quick Answer: When a Safe Deposit Box Makes Sense The question isn’t “safe or unsafe,” but “safe for which goals?” A safe deposit box for gold shines when your priority is quiet, durable storage rather than rapid trading o…
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Impact of Foreign Taxes on Retirement Income Executive Summary If you receive income across borders in retirement, foreign taxes on retirement income can shrink your cash flow, or, with planning, become mostly a non-issue. This guide shows how the foreign tax credit (FTC), tax treaties, residency rules, and smart asset placement work together to reduce double taxation and keep your withdrawal plan steady. Additionally, we break the rules into clear steps, add simple examples, and point to the forms you’ll actually use. With the right structure, you can turn complex international tax issues into repeatable tasks that protect your income. Who Should Read This This artic…
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401(k) after leaving job: Your 4 Best Options (and How to Choose) Executive Summary: What you do with a 401(k) after leaving job affects taxes, fees, and control for years. You generally have four choices: leave the money, roll to an IRA, roll into a new employer’s plan, or cash out. This guide explains each path, compares them side by side, and gives you a simple checklist so you can act confidently without overpaying taxes or fees. Note: This article is general education, not individualized tax, legal, or investment advice. Why the 401(k) decision matters right after leaving a job The choice you make in the first few weeks can compound for decades. Costs, access rules…
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Executive Summary Budgeting in retirement isn’t about penny-pinching. It’s about building a steady, flexible paycheck you control. The seven rules below turn savings into income, coordinate taxes and healthcare, and add guardrails so you can adjust with confidence as life changes. In practice, you’ll separate essentials from lifestyle wants, automate a monthly “paycheck,” and keep a cash buffer for market dips. With a tax-smart plan and simple check-ins, your spending stays predictable while your lifestyle remains adaptable. Why Budgeting in Retirement Is Different Before you stop working, paychecks arrive on schedule and saving is the lever you pull. Afterward, your “p…
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So, the U.S. government shutdown is now a fact. However, the market — as expected — did not panic or start "selling America." On the contrary, the S&P 500 rose by 0.34%, and the U.S. dollar index slipped by a symbolic 0.03%. What did change meaningfully were U.S. Treasury yields — the 5-year yield fell from 3.73% to 3.67%, and the 10-year yield from 4.15% to 4.09%. During the previous shutdown in December 2018, the markets also remained calm; equities continued to rally, and although the euro jumped 200 points at the peak of fear, it ended the 35-day shutdown only 60 points higher. Treasury yields also steadily declined back then. What's different this time is that th…
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Since the start of the U.S. budget crisis, the British pound has perked up, reaching the key resistance level of 1.3525. However, this optimism has not been supported by external markets or technical indicators — the Marlin oscillator remains weak and stuck in negative territory. As a result, the pound has retraced more than half of its upward progress. Today, the pair opened above the MACD line. If the upward movement gains momentum, Marlin is likely to enter positive territory soon. A firm break above 1.3525 would open the path toward the next target at 1.3631. Despite the political instability in the United States, the pound has been technically developing within a b…
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The Australian dollar remained calm in response to yesterday's news about the suspension of funding for several U.S. government agencies, continuing the upward movement that began three days ago. On the daily timeframe, the price remains above both key indicator lines, and the Marlin oscillator is in the positive zone, taking a brief pause before potentially continuing the uptrend. The target at 0.6668 remains open, and a firm consolidation above this level could lead to further gains toward 0.6755. The alternative (bearish) scenario would require a sustained move below the MACD line (at 0.6564). In that case, the downside target opens at 0.6450. In the 4-hour timefram…
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Bitcoin (BTC) witnessed a slight surge earlier today, climbing from $113,000 to around $117,000 at the time of writing, in contrast to expectations of several crypto analysts who were predicting a decline in risk-on assets due to the US government shutdown. Bitcoin Rises Despite US Government Shutdown The US federal government shut down at midnight on September 30, as President Donald Trump and Congress failed to reach a deal on funding. Specifically, the two camps were at odds over enhanced Obamacare subsidies, with neither party willing to take the blame. However, Bitcoin made a surprise move to the upside despite the uncertain environment created by the US governme…
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The GBP/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Wednesday, which began a few days earlier. While the euro came under pressure following the release of eurozone inflation data, the British pound had no such releases and continued to climb without interruption. Overall, the pound is rising, while the dollar continues to fall — a trend that is clearly visible on the daily timeframe. The pair has essentially been in a state of consolidation for over two months, but during that time, the pound never lost more than 400 points. In fact, the downward correction could be considered completed as early as August 1. So while the pound may not be growing as firmly as in the…
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The EUR/USD currency pair exhibited a downward movement on the third trading day of the week. However, overall behavior has remained consistent — this is still a gradual upward trend on the lower timeframes. On the 4-hour chart, the euro has been rising steadily for the past month and a half, indicating no fundamental change in price behavior. The euro still tends toward growth, but it's a slow grind. Why? It's challenging to answer definitively, but we can assume the initial wave of panic associated with Donald Trump's policies has passed. From here, the euro may climb more calmly — unless, of course, a sudden shock sends the dollar into another tailspin. Yesterday, like…
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Analysis The EUR/USD currency pair continued to trade... sideways throughout Wednesday. In recent days, we didn't expect the market to settle into a flat range, but at this point, we can confidently say the pair is in either a sideways channel or a movement that strongly resembles one. There remains an upward tilt, yet macroeconomic data and fundamentals have almost no lasting influence on price movement. To be more specific, individual economic reports do trigger market reactions, but these reports often contradict one another—preventing any sustained trend formation. Wednesday was a textbook example. Eurozone inflation data came in exactly as foreca…
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Analysis The GBP/USD pair also moved in various directions on Wednesday, influenced by the macroeconomic backdrop. During the early part of the day, the British pound continued its technical recovery. However, in the second half of the day, volatility surged. First, the U.S. ADP employment report was released with a negative figure. Then came the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI, which showed a "conditionally-positive" result. As a result, the dollar initially weakened, then strengthened — and now, a new downtrend is visible on the hourly timeframe. The U.S. labor market continues to show signs of strain, and this Friday's usual Nonfarm Payrolls may not be …
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Bitcoin price started a strong increase and traded above $118,000. BTC is now consolidating gains and might correct some points in the short term. Bitcoin started a major increase above the $116,500 zone. The price is trading above $117,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a short-term bullish trend line forming with support at $117,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it clears the $119,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Starts Fresh Surge Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $115,000 zone and started a fresh increase. BTC settled above the $115,500 resistance zone to start the current mov…
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Bitcoin blasted through $116,000 with a 3% daily gain even as the U.S. government officially entered shutdown, its first since 2018. The political stalemate over health-care funding has 750,000 federal workers on furlough and could cost about $400 million per day, yet risk assets shook off early nerves. Crypto’s total market cap rose 3% to $4.09T, with Bitcoin leading and dominance climbing from 57% to 59%, a structure analysts say tends to produce more durable rallies than altcoin-led surges. Gold’s sprint to fresh records near $3,875–$3,895/oz underlined the flight-to-safety backdrop, but BTC’s two-day rebound from $112,000 suggests buyers are treating macro uncertai…
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According to social posts and on-chain trackers, XRP appears poised for a sharp move that could leave little time for slow decisions. Trader Altcoin Gordon cautioned that XRP’s upcoming move might unfold quickly and with force, telling traders to be ready before it takes off. Price has been stuck below $3 for weeks, and September produced no clear upward momentum, leaving traders on edge as regulators and markets add to uncertainty. Trader Warning Spurs Urgency Short-term charts show XRP compressing after a slide that began in July when the token crossed $3.60. Based on reports, Gordon’s shared chart points to prices tightening toward a breakout point. Compression …
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Bitcoin is now back trading above $115,000, but the recovery comes with a shadow that cannot be ignored. A new gap opened on the CME Bitcoin futures chart, and while the spot market has pushed higher since then, the presence of this gap opens up a bearish scenario. These gaps have a history of pulling Bitcoin back down to fill them, and the most recent one opens up questions about how long the current bullish momentum can last. Bitcoin Opens Up Huge CME Gap Crypto analyst Daan Crypto noted on the social media platform X how Bitcoin opened the week with a huge CME gap that has continued higher since the futures open. This gap is important, as it has been a while since Bit…
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The SEC just made a move that could make life a little easier for crypto firms. Its Division of Investment Management put out a no-action letter saying it’s not going to crack down on advisers or funds that use state-chartered trust companies to hold crypto. That’s a pretty big deal, especially considering how rigid things have been up until now. It gives firms more options for storing digital assets without worrying about stepping on a regulatory landmine. What the No-Action Letter Actually Says Here’s what the letter actually lays out. If a state trust company is properly set up to handle crypto, and it follows a list of rules, then advisers and funds can treat it the…
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People in the industry are starting to talk like Solana spot ETFs are finally about to happen. Issuers are looking at the window between October 6 and 10 as the most likely time for the SEC to give the green light. There have been some real changes in how the SEC is handling crypto funds, and those changes are fueling confidence. Behind the Hype: What’s Changed A big part of the momentum comes from the SEC’s decision to adopt what are called generic listing standards for crypto exchange-traded products. That move basically removes the need for ETF issuers to file a separate rule change every time they want to launch a new crypto ETF. Instead of a long, messy process for …
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Shiba Inu is approaching a decisive inflection on the 6-day SHIB/USDT chart, according to analyst CryptoNuclear’s October 1 TradingView update. The pair is pressing into a long-standing demand shelf between $0.00000850 and $0.00001183, a band that has repeatedly arrested declines since 2022 and underpinned the market’s extended sideways structure. The zone is highlighted as the market’s “make-or-break” area: hold here and the path opens to a multi-leg advance; lose it and the structure degrades into a deeper drawdown. Key Shiba Inu (SHIB) Price Levels Structurally, the macro picture remains defined by lower highs from the all-time peak, which continues to signal longer-t…
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