Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12184 tópicos neste fórum
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Yesterday, the euro made an impressive jump upward by 105 pips, reaching the upper boundary of the price channel precisely at 1.1879. Economic data out of Europe and the US were solid: in Europe, the key figures were the ZEW Economic Sentiment Index, while in the US, industrial production, retail sales, and Q3 GDP forecast (3.4% vs. 3.1% previous estimate). If it weren't for market nervousness about the expectation of three Fed rate cuts, the dollar would have definitely strengthened. This time, however, even a slight increase in European data (sentiment for September 26.1 vs. 25.1 in August; July industrial production +0.3% vs. -0.6% in June) was met with extra enthusi…
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On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has explained how the Bitcoin price trend remains constructive as long as the asset trades above the short-term holder cost basis. Bitcoin Is Still Maintaining Above Short-Term Holder Realized Price In a new post on X, Glassnode has discussed about the Realized Price of the Bitcoin short-term holders. The “Realized Price” here refers to an indicator that keeps track of the cost basis of the average investor or address on the BTC network. When the value of the metric is greater than BTC’s spot price, it means the investors as a whole are sitting on some net unrealized profit. On the other hand, it being under the asset’s value implies t…
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A month ago, on August 19, we expected a US stock market reversal based on the completion of five DeMark sequences. However, that reversal didn't materialize—there was only a five-day correction. Now, however, we've encountered six sequences, marked by the number "9" on the daily chart. Given today's complex monetary policy decision, the Fed faces, the chances of a significant S&P 500 decline are even higher. Visually, the market could fall into the 5916–5973 range, a zone it traded in from mid-May to mid-June before resuming its uptrend. Another reference point is the simple moving average (SMA) with a period of 233, which currently lies just above that zone. The M…
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The US dollar continued to lose ground actively—a development that's easy to explain. There is growing talk in the market that the Fed will be forced to act more dovish, especially after the latest fundamental data from the US, which hardly gives dollar bulls any confidence. Yesterday, strong data from Germany's ZEW institute, which indicated improving economic sentiment in the eurozone, led to a stronger euro. Investors saw this as a signal of potential regional economic stabilization, increasing interest in the European currency. However, the key factor influencing the FX market in the second half of the day was a shift in expectations around future Federal Reserve poli…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe test of the 1.1821 price occurred when the MACD indicator was just starting to move up from the zero mark, confirming the right entry point for buying the euro in line with the trend. As a result, the pair reached the target level of 1.1848. The euro's confident climb was driven by encouraging data from Germany's ZEW institute, reflecting positive shifts in economic sentiment across the eurozone. The main driving force on the currency market then became expectations for continued dovish policy from the US Federal Reserve. Initial expectations pointed to a cautious Fed approach to rate cuts, but now many traders expect at leas…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe first test of the 1.3646 price occurred when the MACD indicator had just started to move up from the zero mark, confirming this as the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose, stopping just short of the 1.3671 target. UK labor market data kept demand for the pound healthy in the first half of the day, after which dollar weakness returned. Despite the lack of strong positives in the published data, the mere resilience of the UK labor market—contrary to some analysts' expectations—supported the national currency. Investors who feared a sharp deterioration got a signal that the UK economy is…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of 146.88 occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving down from the zero mark, confirming it as the correct entry point for selling the dollar, and this resulted in a drop of over 40 pips in the pair. Expectations that the Federal Reserve will take a more dovish approach have been the main factor pressuring the dollar and supporting the Japanese yen. Most likely, in the first half of today, the dollar will continue to struggle to gain ground. This situation is due to several factors. First, US economic data lately has been clearly negative, offering a sobering picture of the US economy. Second, even …
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Bitcoin is knocking on the $117,000 level, while Ethereum isn't feeling too confident, trading around the same levels as at the week's start. While markets await a rate cut from the US Federal Reserve and another push toward all-time highs, analytics firm Santiment notes that ahead of the FOMC meeting, greed and bullish sentiment for BTC have reached a 10-week high, which historically is "bearish." This fact should raise some concern among investors and analysts. Excessive optimism and belief in nonstop growth usually precede a correction or, worse, a deeper drop. Financial history is full of examples where euphoria turned into disappointment. Growing greed, amplified by…
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This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior publication, “Dow Jones (DJIA) Technical: Poised for a potential bullish breakout as US CPI looms”, published last Thursday, 11 September 2025. The price actions of the US Wall Street 30 CFD Index (a proxy of the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures) have staged the expected bullish breakout above the minor “Ascending Triangle” range resistance at 45,780 and rallied by 1.3% to hit a fresh all-time intraday high of 46,140 on last Friday, 12 September 2025, during the early Asian session. Thereafter, the US Wall Street 30 CFD Index’s minor/short-term bullish momentum fizzled out and staged a corrective pull-b…
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Following an all-time high (ATH) reached last August, Ethereum (ETH), the market’s second-largest cryptocurrency, has found itself in a consolidation phase, trading between $4,200 and $4,700. This price range reflects a broader stagnation in the cryptocurrency market, as various digital assets, including Bitcoin (BTC), struggle to regain the momentum that led both BTC and ETH reach new records above $124,000 and $4,9000 respectively. Notably, Citigroup, the third-largest investment bank in the United States, has tempered expectations for the Ethereum price, forecasting a year-end price target of $4,300 for the altcoin. Citi Forecasts Moderate ETF Inflows Into Ethereu…
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The market stepped back ahead of the announcement of the September FOMC meeting results. Some investors chose to lock in profits, as the meeting's outcome could spark volatility in the S&P 500. For the first time since 1988, there may be three dissenters voting for an immediate 50 bp rate cut—the very move Donald Trump is demanding. At the same time, a single misstep or slip of the tongue by Jerome Powell at the press conference could cause turmoil. Nearly thirty record highs in the S&P 500 are drawing investors back to the US stock market, which still looks expensive from a fundamental perspective. Valuation: Price to Average 10-Year Earnings It's no joke t…
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[XAU/USD] – [Wednesday, September 17, 2025] Although a Bearish Divergence pattern has appeared between the RSI and the price movement of XAU/USD, given that the EMA is still in a Golden Cross condition, the decline is most likely limited to a minor correction. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 3717.00 2. Resistance. 1 : 3703.16 3. Pivot : 3688.72 4. Support. 1 : 3674.88 5. Support. 2 : 3660.44 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Gold strengthens and breaks out to close above 3688.72, it has the potential to extend its gains up to 3703.16. Momentum Extension Bias: If 3703.16 is successfully broken and closed above, XAU/USD potentially co…
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[AUD/JPY] – Wednesday, September 17, 2025 The appearance of a Hidden Bearish Divergence between the RSI and AUD/JPY price movement indicates a near-term potential for weakening. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 98.63 2. Resistance. 1 : 98.25 3. Pivot : 97.59 4. Support. 1 : 97.57 5. Support. 2 : 97.27 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If AUD/JPY breaks down and closes below 97.57, it may test the 97.27 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 97.27 is broken and closed below, AUD/JPY will likely head towards the 96.89 level.Invalidation Level / Bias Revision Downside bias is contained if AUD/JPY appreciates upward and breaks to close above the 98.63 level. Technic…
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A new meme coin from China, Pudgy Pandas ($PANDA), raised over $300K in one day on presale, gaining significant attention in the Asian crypto market via social platforms like WeChat. With a real-world cause (#FreeThePandas campaign) fuelling its momentum, this new meme coin on presale proves there’s room for more at the party Pudgy Pandas challenges the Pudgy Penguins ($PENGU) franchise, which has dominated the year so far with a market cap of over $2B. Speaking of, the $PENGU ETF with the SEC, as well as the $DOGE ETF, signal the rise of meme coins as serious investment products. That, combined with the growing buzz around projects like Pudgy Pandas, and Pudgy Pengui…
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RWA crypto is set for a massive shakeup this holiday season, with Bitwise filing for a groundbreaking Stablecoin and Tokenization ETF. If approved, the fund is expected to launch just before Thanksgiving, potentially triggering a year-end FOMO rally for stablecoin and real-world asset-linked tokens. With the stablecoin market now at $290Bn and tokenized assets climbing to $66Bn, this ETF could be the spark that brings institutional capital flooding into crypto. Here’s why this development matters and how it could transform the RWA space by the end of 2025. (Source – CoinGecko.com) What is Bitwise’s Stablecoin & Tokenization ETF and Why Does It Matter? Bitwise’s E…
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The Dogecoin price recorded one of the most notable recoveries over the weekend, rising by more than 15% to reach the $0.3 target once again. The meme coin has since hit a roadblock with the market correction and continues to decline with the anticipation of the Fed rate cuts coming later in the week. But this has not eroded the bullish sentiment that continues to surround the meme coin and has, in fact, brought about more expectations that the Dogecoin price will soon cross $1. Dogecoin Price Eyes Next Surge To Reach $3.5 Back in 2021, Dogecoin ushered in a new age of cryptocurrency with its meme coin run, allowing room for others like Shiba Inu to shine. After rallying…
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US equity indices closed lower yesterday, with the S&P 500 down 0.13% and the Nasdaq 100 slipping 0.07%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.27%. Futures on major indices are fluctuating between minor gains and losses ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision, as investors speculate that the central bank may lower rates for the first time this year. Ahead of the Fed meeting, many traders are taking a cautious stance, waiting for clearer signals on the central bank's next steps. The market appears to be holding its breath, bracing for a potential catalyst that could trigger a sharp move up or a significant downturn in the major indices. In addition, geopoli…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Shares Take a Breath After Record Rally Most Read: Fed (FOMC) Meeting Preview: 25 bps Cut Appears Baked In, Forward Guidance Is Key. Implications for the DXY, Dow Jones and S&P 500 Asian stocks had a mixed day, moving between small gains and losses. This happened as investors waited for the US Federal Reserve's policy decision, with many expecting the central bank to cut interest rates for the first time this year. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index initially fell but then recovered to gain 0.1%. In Hong Kong, Chinese technology stocks soared to their highest level in four years, driven by growing excitement and demand related to artificial intell…
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Wall Street Ends in the Red U.S. stock markets closed lower on Tuesday, with the three major Wall Street indexes finishing the session in decline. Investors adopted a cautious stance ahead of the Federal Reserve's much-anticipated interest rate decision. Rate Cut Expectations Most market participants continue to bet that the Fed will trim its key rate by 25 basis points. The move is seen as a response to mounting signs of weakness in the U.S. labor market, highlighted by a series of recent economic reports. Political Moves Overlooked Political developments failed to shift market sentiment. The Senate confirmed White House economic adviser Steven Miran to the Federal Res…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, from the level of 1.1866 (yesterday's daily close), the market may start moving downward toward 1.1828 — a historical support level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may continue moving upward toward 1.1881 — the resistance line (thick blue line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.General conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.1866 (yesterday's daily close), the price may continue moving upward towa…
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Latest Crypto News Today, September 16: BTC USD in A Strong Price Zone at 117K, ETH Back Above 4.5K as XRP, BNB, SOL Follow. Crypto market is walking at a steady pace as September rise continues. BTC price holds firm above 117K USD . Meanwhile, ETH is back over 4,500, XRP stays strong at 3.04, and SOL moves up near 238 against USD. bitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.33T24h7d1y All four major coins have posted healthy gains in the past 24 hours, and the current momentum suggests there’s more upside ahead. Add to that BNB with a 2.9% bump to $956, blasting all-time high after all-time high. bnbPriceMarket CapBNB$142.17B24h7d1y According to DeFiLlama, DeFi TVL remains stable at…
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The Dogecoin daily chart is clustering several classical support signals around $0.256–$0.265, as highlighted by Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow) via X: “DOGE finding support. Tweezer bottom. 0.382 linear fib holding. AVWAP from cycle high holding.” On the Coinbase DOGE/USD one-day view shown, price is reclaiming the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement at $0.26537 while riding the Anchored VWAP drawn from the cycle high, with yesterday’s session marked at an open of $0.26840, high $0.27214, low $0.25680 and last $0.27119. What This Means For Dogecoin Price For readers less familiar with the terms, a “tweezer bottom” is a two-bar reversal formation in which consecutive candles print…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, from the level of 1.3642 (yesterday's daily close), the market may begin moving downward toward 1.3626 — a historical support level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may continue moving upward toward 1.3682 — the 161.8% target level (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.General conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: On Wednesday, from the level of 1.3642 (yesterday's daily close), the market may continue…
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Today, Federal Reserve officials are expected to support the weakening U.S. labor market by cutting interest rates. This would mark a shift after months of holding back due to concerns about tariff-driven inflation. Economists and analysts are watching the decision closely, as it could significantly affect the trajectory of the U.S. economy. A rate cut is expected to stimulate borrowing and investment, potentially leading to higher employment and stronger growth. However, some experts are concerned about the potential long-term consequences of such a move. They argue that a return to lower interest rates could inflate asset bubbles and increase financial instability. Mor…
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The British pound is unchanged on Wednesday, trading at 1.3645 in the European sesison. UK inflation remains entrenched Today's inflation report was a dour reminder that UK inflation remains entrenched. CPI for August was unchanged at 3.8% y/y, matching the consensus and its highest level since January 2024. Airfares decreased but this was offset by food and petrol prices. Monthly, CPI rose 0.3%, up from 0.1% in July and matching the consensus. Core CPI, which excludes volatile items such as food and energy, eased to 3.6% from 3.8%. Monthly, core CPI ticked up to 0.3% from 0.2%. The inflation report comes just a day before the Bank of England announces its rate deci…
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