Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11825 tópicos neste fórum
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Today, the Australian dollar is attracting new buyers in response to aggressive statements made by Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock. The Reserve Bank of Australia decided to leave the Official Cash Rate (OCR) unchanged at 3.6%. In the accompanying statement, the regulator noted that the Board will closely monitor incoming data and change assessments of risks and outlook when making policy decisions. During the press conference, RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasized that inflation and labor market indicators will play a key role in decisions made at the February meeting. She added that further rate cuts are unlikely to be necessary and that the Bo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, the AUD/USD pair continues its consolidation near December highs as markets await the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Fed is expected to announce its decision during the North American session today, and most analysts anticipate a 25-basis-point rate cut. This expectation has been one of the key factors behind the recent weakening of the U.S. dollar to its lowest levels since late October and the notable rise in AUD/USD observed over the past two weeks. However, market participants prefer to refrain from aggressive buying and are waiting for additional signals regarding the Fed's future policy path. Key attention will be focused on updated economic p…
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The Australian dollar continues its intraday rise against the weakening U.S. dollar, reaching new highs not seen since late October and approaching the 0.6600 level. The market's initial reaction to weak Australian economic growth data proved short-lived, as expectations of further monetary easing by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) have diminished. This factor remains a key driver supporting the Australian dollar. In addition, positive sentiment in equity markets helps offset a subdued report on China's services PMI and contributes to the Australian dollar's relative outperformance. Today, the Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, Michele Bullock, spoke before a …
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The Australian dollar is once again trying to reach the boundaries of the 66 figure after a short-term drop to 0.6520. The corrective pullback was driven by the greenback's overall strengthening, which responded positively to the Federal Reserve's October meeting results. The central bank lowered the interest rate by 25 basis points but expressed doubts about the prospects of a December rate cut due to the ongoing government shutdown. Before the October meeting, the probability of a December rate cut was estimated at 95%, so the Fed's cautious signals were interpreted as favorable for the greenback. However, subsequent comments from Fed representatives and (especially…
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The AUD/USD pair starts the new trading week in a bullish consolidation phase, fluctuating within a narrow range near the monthly high set on Friday, awaiting momentum from central bank actions this week. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is set to announce its interest rate decision on Tuesday. The central bank is expected to keep rates at their current level while focusing on inflation control. Moreover, last week, RBA Governor Michelle Bullock acknowledged that inflation has not yet reached the target range of 2–3% annually. Australia's economy is exhibiting the fastest growth in two years, and a stable labor market adds confidence in the potential for rate increases…
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The market is confident that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will keep all monetary policy settings unchanged at its September meeting. This is the most widely expected scenario, and its outcome has already been factored into the price. The intrigue lies in the RBA's future actions, given the mixed fundamental backdrop ahead of the September decision. Last week's data showed that monthly inflation in Australia accelerated to 3.0% — the fastest pace since July 2024. However, the rise in CPI in August was driven mainly by temporary factors, particularly the expiration of "energy" subsidies in three states. The labor market delivered weak results: total employment in …
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The AUD/USD pair has been in a zone of strong turbulence in recent days — on Wednesday, buyers made their presence felt at the 0.6709 mark, while on Thursday, sellers pushed it down to the lower end of the 0.66 range. Such swings are driven not only by the outcome of the Fed's September meeting. The Australian currency has also played a role, sharply reacting to the published labor market data out of Australia. The release did not favor the Aussie. Unemployment in August held at the previous month's level, i.e., 4.2%. On the one hand, this is "stability," but it's important to remember that the unemployment rate is a lagging and shaky indicator. Labor market cooling ca…
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This week has been essential for the future course of action for both the Aussie and the US Dollar. After Tuesday's Royal Bank of Australia meeting, where the unanimous decision to cut rates by 25 bps to 3.60%, the Aussie had strengthened a tid-bit. Australian data following the meeting included Employment which largely came as expected and with the 4.2% unemployment rate, staying relatively flat, the RBA will be patient with its upcoming rate cuts – The next meeting will be on the On the other side of the Pacific, the US saw a reassuring CPI data on Tuesday right before these hopes got taken by yesterday's PPI report showing the first effect of tariff-led inflation. …
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Most majors have appreciated the latest bout of dovishness from the FED Speakers as they entered the blackout period (2 weeks before FED Meeting where they can't mention Monetary Policy). The Dollar Index has fell below the 98.00 level, key barometer for appetite after having failed to even reach 99.00 on the July USD run-up. This allowed AUDUSD to find some form of bottom before markets see more data. The Australian Dollar had actually held pretty strong compared to its neighbor NZD for example, after holding their rates at the July 8th Meeting, before Markets saw disappointing Jobs data the week after and decided to still sell the Aussie. As a matter of fact, the RBA…
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This week is full of data for the Antipodeans and fro now, a combination of decent to positive Chinese and Australian data are providing boosts to both the New Zealand Dollar and the Australian Dollar. The Employment rate for NZ came exactly in line and following consecutive beats for Australian and Chinese PMIs, the export-reliant economies are seeing a revamped economic outlook and this is helping commodities like Oil to reverse some of its downward movement. You can access the latest report on the NZ Employment data right here. In the meanwhile, let's take a look at multiple timeframe charts for the Aussie as it leads the Forex board in today's session. Tonight wil…
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A fundamental overview of the AUD to prepare for a key week This week is promised to be a major mover for the Forex market, and the AUD is far from being excluded from potential movement. Between Central Bank meetings, including Wednesday’s FOMC and Australia’s Quarterly Inflation data, AUD Traders must stay prepared for the upcoming action. The Royal Bank of Australia held its Main Rate at 3.85% at the beginning of July, citing higher inflation and more than decent employment figures. However, the week after, the figures were not as good. The initial reaction was stronger for the AUD, but the motion is starting to show some change right after the pair hit some 8-mon…
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There is a beautiful storm brewing that could shape the direction of the crypto bull run in 2025 and beyond. This Friday (August 15), Donald Trump will meet with Vladimir Putin, and the leaders of their respective nations aim to bring about an end to the conflict in Ukraine. A positive outcome will likely send the crypto bull market into overdrive. On the crypto side, Sharplink Gaming (SBET), one of the leading publicly-traded Ethereum Treasury firms, has its Q2 earnings call, which investors will be keen to hear after the firm has amassed just shy of 600,000 ETH ($2.8 billion) since pivoting to its Ethereum Treasury strategy earlier this year. These two events taking p…
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The August lull is a myth—a mirage for those who mistake heat for inertia. As this summer advances, businesses and investors should brace for turbulence, not tranquility. A kaleidoscope of US tariffs, an escalation of Russia's assault on Ukraine ahead of the American deadline, deceleration of US growth, when looking through the trade-related distortion, and the de-synchronization of the monetary cycle, weave together a narrative far more dramatic than Northern Hemisphere’s summer doldrums. Market participants and policymakers alike will be navigating a landscape increasingly defined by disruption and divergence, with the potential for unforeseen consequences echoing acros…
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The upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report will be released tomorrow, the same as last month’s consensus expectation of 110K. As a reminder, the July NFP release shook markets with another positive surprise, coming in 37K stronger than the 110K Expected (+ 147K). Markets are now awaiting to see if the US can once again surprise with more upside on its Labor data. For those newer to trading, the NFP is one of the most market-moving data releases globally. It offers insight into the health of the US labor market for the just—concluded month, with the Unemployment Rate also published at the same time. I strongly invite you to look at our last month’s July Non-Farm Payroll…
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Augusta Gold (TSX: G; US-OTC: AUGG) has received a letter from the Export-Import Bank of the United States (EXIM) expressing its interest in providing up to $50 million for the company’s Reward project in Nye county, Nevada. In a press release Monday, the Vancouver-based gold developer said the letter outlines EXIM’s preliminary interest in providing a “direct, competitively priced loan” with a potential 10-year repayment term, including an interest-only period. According to the company, its Reward gold project meets EXIM’s policy goals of job creation and required export nexus, with the letter citing Augusta’s experienced management team and potential support fro…
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Augusta Gold (TSX: G) has received shareholder approval for its planned takeover by AngloGold Ashanti (JSE: ANG; NYSE: AU), following a special meeting that took place earlier this week. According to Augusta, nearly 70% of its outstanding shares were voted at the meeting, of which over 99.3% voted in favour of the merger resolution. With this approval, the transaction is expected to close on or around Oct. 23, subject to certain conditions. Consolidating Beatty claims In mid-July, AngloGold entered an agreement to acquire the Vancouver-based Augusta in a C$152 million ($108.7 million) all-cash deal, as it looks to consolidate landholding within Nevada’s Beatty …
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Aura Minerals (NASDAQ: AUGO) says it has achieved commercial production at its Borborema gold project, its third operating asset in Brazil and fifth globally. In a press release Tuesday, Aura confirmed the milestone was reached on time and budget, having started production ramp-up earlier this year. The Borborema mill is operating above 80% of the design capacity, processing 4,500 tonnes per day, with recoveries consistently above 90% and ranging up to 92%, the company said. “We are proud to announce commercial production at the Borborema mine, six months after startup, after 19 months of construction, and with no lost time incidents,” Aura CEO Rodrigo Barbosa s…
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The Era Dorada project marks the expansion of Aura’s operations in Central America. Credit: Aura Minerals Aura Minerals (NASDAQ: AUGO) has raised its future production outlook after releasing a new feasibility study for its Era Dorada project in Guatemala and integrating the results into its portfolio. In the coming years, the Florida-based miner said it envisions several development scenarios that could take its annualized gold-equivalent production to 600,000 oz., which is a third higher than its previous projection of 450,000 oz. “Since 2020 our strategy has been very clear: grow production with greenfield projects and expansions, extend mine life with explo…
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Aura Minerals (TSX: ORA) (NASDAQ: AUGO) had a mixed US listing debut on Wednesday, with the stock trading within a close range of $23.50 and $24.80 on the NASDAQ, having opened the session at $24.50. Earlier this month, the Florida-headquartered copper-gold miner announced plans for an initial public offering in the US. Its SEC filing shows that the company was looking to sell 8.1 million shares. On Tuesday, July 15, it priced the IPO at $24.25 a share, for a capital raise of $196 million. Towards Wednesday’s close, Aura’s stock traded at $23.96 a share, with an estimated market capitalization of $1.8 billion. Meanwhile, its Toronto-listed shares fell 7.5% low…
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South America-focused gold and copper miner Aura Minerals (TSX: ORA; Nasdaq: AUGO) says it’s done with investors in Canada just as the company books record results. April-to-June adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization reached a fourth consecutive quarterly record high of $106 million (C$145.7 million) as gold output grew 7% over the first quarter, Aura said this week. The release followed Aura raising $196 million on its new Nasdaq listing in July. “In the last four to five years [on the TSX], most of the investors are more interested in junior mining, but we are not a junior miner anymore and the investors prefer junior miners or …
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Aurion Resources (TSXV: AU) cut a highlight result of more than 32 metres grading 4.42 grams gold per tonne at its Risti property in northern Finland. That result, in hole KS25111 of the Vanha target area from 267.8 metres depth, included 7.95 metres at 13.54 grams gold from 269.8 metres downhole, Aurion said Monday. The highlight intercept of 4.42 grams gold “provides meaningful information on the potential for scale and growth of the mineral endowment at Kaaresselkä,” Aurion CEO Matti Talikka said in a release. “We continue to be impressed by the strength of deformation and alteration along the structural corridor at the Vanha prospect.” Aurion was among few…
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The Australian dollar continues to hover around the 0.66 level and close to three-week highs. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6604, up 0.30% on the day. Inflation expectations expected to remain at 3.9% The Reserve Bank of Australia will be keeping a close eye on Thursday's consumer inflation expectations, which is expected to remain unchanged in September at 3.9%. Inflation expectations fell in August to 3.9% from 4.7%, the lowest level since March. With inflation largely under control, the Reserve Bank has continued its easing cycle, lowering rates in August to 3.6%, the lowest level since April 2023. At the meeting, the RBA signaled that it would c…
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Gold mine output in Australia fell 7% quarter-over-quarter as more miners used lower-grade stockpiled material to blend into their mill feed, a new report says. Australia, the world’s largest gold producer after China, produced 73 tonnes of the yellow metal in the first three months of 2025 compared with 79 in the previous quarter, Melbourne-based mining consultants Surbiton Associates said in a statement dated Sunday. Production in the first quarter of 2024 was 70 tonnes. The rising price of gold, which hit a historic high of $3,500 per oz. in April, is making previously unprofitable lower-grade ore economic, pushing miners to use more lower-quality material into…
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The Australian dollar has extended its gains on Monday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6483 up 0.22% on the day. The US dollar made inroads last week against all the major currencies except the yen and gained 1.5% against the Australian dollar. Australian MI inflation gauge jumps 0.9% Australia's Melbourne Institute inflation guage soared 0.9% m/m in July, up sharply from 0.1% in June and marking the highest rise since Dec. 2023. The MI gauge, which provides a monthly guide to consumer inflation (official CPI is published quarterly), will no doubt raise concerns at the Reserve Bank of Australia, which has been cautious about cutting rates due t…
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Mining veteran Jake Klein says Australia missed a huge opportunity to become a leader in the rare earths space. Best known as the founder and chairman of gold producer Evolution Mining (ASX: EVN), Klein also sat on the board of Lynas Rare Earths (ASX: LYC) for many years when it was trying to establish itself as a producer. Speaking at the Melbourne Mining Club on Wednesday, Klein pointed to China’s successful multi-decade strategy to secure raw materials. “When I reflect on Australia’s success over the last 30 years, it was largely founded on the back of some very bold reform in the ‘90s, which laid the groundwork for our economic success, which has been phen…
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