Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6916 tópicos neste fórum
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Following a brief dip to $112,200, Bitcoin (BTC) has recovered slightly, trading around the $116,300 level at the time of writing. While concerns remain about BTC’s inability to decisively break the $120,000 resistance level, on-chain data suggests the asset may be in an accumulation phase – potentially gearing up for its next breakout toward a new all-time high (ATH). Bitcoin Currently In Accumulation Phase, Analyst Says According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor BorisVest, a strategy called Smart Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) may help Bitcoin investors accumulate the asset more strategically and improve long-term performance. In his analysis, BorisVest no…
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Strategy’s long-running bet on Bitcoin remains at the heart of the debate over the asset’s place in finance. Based on reports, the firm now holds more than 638,500 BTC, a stake that Saylor has said is worth “tens of billions” of dollars. That stockpile has shaped both the company’s identity and Michael Saylor’s public message since Strategy began buying Bitcoin in 2020. Saylor Predicts Long Run Outperformance According to Saylor’s recent interview on Coin Stories, Bitcoin will outperform the S&P 500 “forever.” He went further, saying the S&P 500 would lose nearly 29% each year when measured against Bitcoin for the next 21 years. Those are among the most aggres…
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Ray Dalio, the billionaire behind Bridgewater Associates, says people should think about putting 15% of their money into gold or Bitcoin. His call comes as America’s debt nears the $37 trillion mark. He argues that holding hard assets can help when paper money loses value. “If you were optimizing your portfolio for the best return-to-risk ratio, you would have around 15% of your money in Bitcoin or gold,” Dalio said during the Master Investor podcast this week. Dalio admits he owns only a little Bitcoin and still leans toward gold. But he’s clear that splitting that 15% between the two is up to each investor. Optimizing For A Debt‑Strained Dollar According to Dalio, …
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According to Walker, host of The Bitcoin Podcast, Bitcoin’s share of the world’s wealth is still tiny. It sits at about $2 trillion in market value. That’s just 0.2% of roughly $1 quadrillion held across all assets. For many investors, that number brings a sense of how early this market really is. Yet, it also raises questions about what comes next for this highly talked-about coin. Global Wealth Distribution Real estate holds the biggest slice of that $1 quadrillion pie. At around $370 trillion, it represents 37% of total global wealth. Bonds follow close behind with $318 trillion. Those are seen as a safe choice for retirees and conservative funds. Stocks, meanwhile…
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Bitcoin (BTC) has reignited market excitement after smashing through the $123,000 level. Currently, technical indicators, surging liquidity, and macroeconomic tailwinds have analysts predicting that the leading cryptocurrency is on the verge of a parabolic surge to a $140,000 top in the next few weeks. $140,000 Set As Bitcoin Next Top Target The Bitcoin price is exhibiting remarkable strength as it continues its parabolic advance beyond the $123,000 range. Technical indicators identified by crypto analyst Mr. Wall Street are now aligning around a new short-term target between $135,000 and $140,000. According to the market expert’s chart report, BTC has successfully b…
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Top analyst Aksel Kibar (CMT) believes Bitcoin is approaching a decisive moment on the weekly chart. In a post shared on 9 July 2025, the veteran technician noted that BTC/USD is “holding right at the pattern boundary.” The annotated chart he released—covering Bitstamp weekly prices back to mid-2022—shows the cryptocurrency compressing directly beneath a horizontal resistance band at $109,000, the neckline of what he labels a six-month head-and-shoulders (H&S) continuation formation. Bitcoin Poised For $141,300 Kibar’s chart first revisits the basing sequence that reversed the 2022 bear cycle. A textbook inverse head-and-shoulders bottom completed in early-2023, with…
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A thread posted late on 4 August 2025 by Weiss Crypto analyst Juan Villaverde has ignited debate about a rarely discussed harbinger of Bitcoin price cycles. In a thread on X, the quantitative researcher argued that an “overlooked asset class”—one he says almost no-one monitors in a crypto context—consistently pivots months before Bitcoin does, offering what he calls “a sneak peek at major turning points.” Villaverde’s proprietary back-testing suggests the lag is approximately six months, enough lead time, he claims, to anticipate the apex of the current bull market in late November. How Gold’s Trendlines Map The Bitcoin Price “Many are aware that Bitcoin tends to follow …
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Michael Saylor, founder of Strategy, suggested this week that a rumored move by the US to impose tariffs on gold imports could push money out of the metal and into Bitcoin. According to a Bloomberg interview, Saylor argued that Bitcoin cannot be taxed at the border because it “lives in cyberspace, where there are no tariffs.” He said the coin’s lack of physical weight and its speed of settlement make it more attractive than gold in a world where import duties on bullion are being discussed. Saylor Frames Bitcoin As Tariff-Proof Asset Reports have disclosed that others in the industry agree. Simon Gerovich, president of Metaplanet, called gold “heavy, slow, and politic…
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Macro investor Jordi Visser has published a Substack essay arguing that Bitcoin is “the purest AI trade,” a claim he says has followed him “in nearly every one of my videos, Substack posts, and conversations with Anthony Pompliano.” The piece, released yesterday under the title You Don’t Find Bitcoin, Bitcoin Finds You: Why It’s the Purest AI Trade, sets out a personal and macro-economic narrative that Visser believes binds artificial-intelligence disruption to the rise of the world’s first decentralised digital asset. Visser, who now heads AI Macro Nexus Research at 22V Research after three decades trading derivatives at Morgan Stanley, running a global-macro hedge fund…
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Bitcoin is once again knocking on the door of price discovery, but researchers at Bitwise Asset Management argue that spot quotations still understate what the network is worth. In their Week 24 Crypto Market Compass circulated late Tuesday, Dr. André Dragosch, Bitwise’s Head of Research for Europe, and analyst Ayush Tripathi calculate that “quantitative models estimate Bitcoin’s hypothetical ‘fair value’ amid the current sovereign default probabilities at around $230,000 today.” The figure implies a premium of just over 110 percent to the market price, which was hovering near $109,600 at press time on 11 June 2025. Bitcoin’s ‘True Worth’ Is Explosive Dragosch ties that …
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Market tactician Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) has put a statistical spotlight on Bitcoin’s habit of dozing through June before rewarding – and sometimes punishing – traders in the following quarter. “BTC June has historically been a pretty slow month,” he wrote, noting that the just-ended period was no exception, with spot prices meandering in a narrow band and finishing “pretty flat.” The comment was accompanied by a Coinglass heat-map of monthly returns that reaches back to 2013 and vividly illustrates the summer pattern he is talking about. What July Hides For Bitcoin The numbers support the observation. According to the Coinglass dataset, the mean return for June…
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Bitcoin climbed past $114,000 this week, pushing markets higher after a surprisingly weak reading on producer prices. According to reports, the move followed a pullback in US PPI that many traders read as a sign the Federal Reserve may be able to start cutting rates. The jump was quick and loud on price charts. It caught the attention of both retail traders and bigger money. Cooling Inflation Spurs Rate Cut Bets According to published data, US Producer Price Index (PPI) fell to about 2.6% year-on-year, while core PPI — which strips out food and energy — came in near 2.8%. On a monthly basis, PPI showed a drop, one of the first such moves since March 2024. Based on rep…
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Bitcoin pushed to a fresh all-time high on Sunday, trading above $125,000 in Asian hours as markets extended gains into October. According to reports, the token rose about 2.7% to roughly $125,245 on the day, topping its prior August peak near $124,480. Institutional Flows And Political Signals Based on reports, a large wave of demand through US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs has been a key fuel for the move, with weekly net inflows into those funds reported at around $3.24 billion. Investors and traders also pointed to a weaker US dollar and broader equity strength as helping push prices higher. Some coverage tied the shift in sentiment to policy signals under US President …
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On-chain data shows Bitcoin is fast approaching the cost basis of the short-term holders, a retest of which could potentially change the asset’s course. Bitcoin Is Nearing The Short-Term Holder Realized Price As pointed out by CryptoQuant author Axel Adler Jr in a new post on X, Bitcoin could be closing in on the Realized Price of the short-term holders. The Realized Price here refers to an on-chain indicator that measures the cost basis of the average investor or address on the BTC network. When the cryptocurrency’s spot price is trading above this indicator, it means the holders as a whole are sitting on some net unrealized profit. On the other hand, it being under t…
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Data of the Bitcoin Stablecoin Supply Ratio suggests investors have stronger purchasing power today than during the previous bull rally. Bitcoin Stablecoin Supply Ratio Showing Neutral Purchasing Power In its latest weekly report, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) of Bitcoin. This indicator measures the ratio between the Bitcoin supply and the supply of stablecoins. Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies that have their price tied to a fiat currency. The SSR specifically measures the supply of the stablecoins tied to the US Dollar (USD). As for the role that these assets play in the sector, Glassnode …
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The price of Bitcoin has been in a good recovery form since succumbing to the bearish pressure from the ongoing feud between United States President Donald Trump and Elon Musk. The premier cryptocurrency climbed above the $105,000 mark in the early hours of Saturday, June 7. According to the latest on-chain data, the Bitcoin price looks set to continue its upward trajectory over the next few days. What Negative Leveraged Traders’ Sentiment Means For Price In a new post on the X platform, data analytics firm Alphractal shared fresh on-chain insights into the recent movement of the Bitcoin price. According to the market intelligence firm, the major catalyst of BTC’s latest…
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Bitcoin trades at a critical level, holding steady above $118,000 but failing to gain momentum for a breakout. Price action has continued to tighten over the past several days, and analysts now anticipate a major move once either key supply zones are absorbed or demand breaks below. The market sits on edge, waiting for confirmation of the next trend. Fresh data from CryptoQuant highlights a notable shift in long-term holder (LTH) behavior. At $118K, LTH supply began to decline, signaling the start of a distribution phase. These holders, known for accumulating during downtrends and selling into strength, are now gradually offloading their positions. This transition often…
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The Bitcoin price kicked off the weekend in the worst way possible, falling beneath the $115,000 level for the first time since early July. Considering the supposed significance of this price mark, there have been questions about how much headroom the price of Bitcoin still has. The latest on-chain data suggests that the Bitcoin bull run might not be over just yet. BTC Long-Term Holders Start Distributing In an August 1st post on X, crypto analyst Joao Wedson reported that the Bitcoin cycle for the long-term holders seems to be coming to an end. Wedson emphasized that, regardless of the ongoing excitement around ETFs, on-chain data shows a clear market shift. This …
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Bitcoin is testing uncharted territory after breaking past its previous all-time high of $112,000 last Thursday, igniting a powerful new phase in the bull market. With the price currently hovering above $117,000, bulls are firmly in control as optimism spreads across the crypto market. The breakout comes after weeks of tight consolidation, signaling renewed confidence among investors and traders. On-chain data from CryptoQuant adds further support to the bullish narrative. The Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric—used to assess whether long-term holders are selling—has returned to a relatively low average despite the rise in price. This suggests that experienced holders are…
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Over the last week, Bitcoin (BTC) investors witnessed a heavy market decline as prices crashed by over 5%. This negative performance has moved Bitcoin below $110, 00, pushing the asset near price lows seen in August. As expected, there are also growing implications of this price drop as analysts speculate it could be either another correction or the start of a bearish market. Notably, the X analysis platform, Swissblock, has shared some important market insights that support the steadiness of the present bullish market. Risk Off Signal Indicates No Danger As Bitcoin May Be Ready For Final Round In an X post on September 26, Swissblock provides a vital on-chain analys…
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Bitcoin is once again at a pivotal level, with selling pressure dominating the market and volatility shaking investor confidence. After weeks of choppy trading, BTC is barely holding above the $110,000 mark, a threshold that many analysts view as critical for maintaining a bullish structure. Momentum has clearly shifted in recent sessions, and the market is now bracing for the possibility of a deeper correction. Adding to the concern, top analyst Axel Adler shared insights from the Bitcoin UTXO Age Metrics, which reveal growing signs of distribution from long-term holders. Historically, when older coins begin to move, it often signals that experienced investors are taki…
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Bitcoin has remained trapped in a tight range between $115K and $120K for the past 10 days, signaling an extended phase of price compression. With bulls unable to push the price above the $120,000 resistance, analysts are increasingly warning that a correction may be imminent. The coming days are expected to be decisive, as both technical and on-chain fundamentals point to a potential surge in volatility. According to data from CryptoQuant, a key long-term metric—the Monthly Cumulative Days Destroyed (CDD) to Yearly CDD ratio—has reached an anomalously high level of 0.25. This is occurring within the $106,000 to $118,000 price range, a zone that has seen heavy long-term…
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According to CRYPTOWZRD’s recent update, Bitcoin ended the last session on a bearish note, but the broader outlook may soon shift. He noted that the Trump–Putin meeting delivered a productive outcome, which could fuel a positive reaction in the market if conditions remain steady. Daily Candle Shows Slight Bearish Bias, Yet Indecisive In his update, CRYPTOWZRD noted that Bitcoin’s daily candle closed slightly bearish. The analyst explained that although the close leaned to the downside, he would still consider the overall signal indecisive. Turning attention to external factors, CRYPTOWZRD highlighted that the recent meeting between US President Donald Trump and Russia…
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Bitcoin is currently at a crossroads, caught between bullish hopes and bearish pressure. Bulls are struggling to reclaim the $115K level, while bears have been unable to keep BTC below $110K, leaving the market in a tense state of uncertainty. This indecision comes as volatility increases ahead of the upcoming US Federal Reserve meeting, where investors expect a possible announcement on interest rate cuts. Such a decision could significantly impact risk assets, including Bitcoin, by shaping liquidity conditions in global markets. Top analyst Axel Adler highlights that as of today, it has been 504 days since the last halving, a milestone that places the market in a matur…
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Bitcoin is entering a fragile stage after days of selling pressure and uncertainty pushed the price into consolidation around the $110,000 level. Bulls are working to defend this key area, but momentum has clearly faded. The market now finds itself in a holding pattern, with investors cautious about whether Bitcoin will stabilize or break lower in the sessions ahead. Despite the weakness, there are no clear signals yet of a deeper correction. Historically, retracements within ongoing bull markets often serve as resets rather than trend reversals, but the pressure on Bitcoin has nonetheless sparked debate about its short-term direction. Holding above current levels is be…
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