Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11956 tópicos neste fórum
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A key long-term indicator comparing Bitcoin to gold has just triggered a signal not seen before in market history. Analysts say such extreme compression typically precedes violent directional moves, and the fact that it’s happening at the intersection of two global safe-haven assets makes the setup even more significant. With BTC outperforming gold for over a decade, this rare signal suggests that the next phase of the BTC vs Gold battle could rewrite long-term market expectations. What Happens After A Historic Squeeze? The Bitcoin versus Gold monthly Bollinger Bands are expanding from the tightest reading in history. A chartered market technician and Bitcoin trader, Ton…
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European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos stated on Monday that the current interest rate level remains acceptable and that policy will only be adjusted if the economic situation changes. According to him, both inflation dynamics and forecasts remain favorable, and no increases or decreases in rates are expected in the coming months; any changes will depend on incoming data. For the euro, this assessment is favorable, and the market interprets it as a strength of the European currency. Preliminary inflation data for the eurozone in November confirms de Guindos's words. Overall inflation rose from 2.1% year-on-year to 2.2%, while the core index remained at 2.4%…
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In my view, the British pound retains good long-term growth prospects. I have previously noted in my reviews that the dollar has developed a range of structural problems that are unlikely to allow it to perform as well as it did in the 2010s or the first third of the 2020s. Firstly, Donald Trump does not believe that the U.S. dollar should be strong. The American president supports a weaker dollar, which will boost U.S. exports and help balance trade. Secondly, Trump is an advocate of low interest rates, which will increase investment in the economy and reduce the burden on the federal budget. Thirdly, Jerome Powell is set to resign next year, and a "submissive" director …
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Analysis of Tuesday's Trades: 1H Chart for GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair traded "as if at a wake" on Tuesday. First, we witnessed another decline in the currency pair, with no clear reasons apparent. Secondly, the market effectively ignored the technical level of 1.3203, which had previously provided support twice. Thirdly, there is a possibility of forming a local range. Fourthly, the pair's volatility was 43 pips. Under these conditions, trading could not have been better. Nevertheless, with considerable effort, the British pound is still maintaining an upward trend. Thus, continued growth can be anticipated. However, this is unlikely to be rapid growth that enables eas…
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: At first glance, there are quite a few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Tuesday. However, most of them do not seem interesting at this point. It is worth recalling that the market has already ignored the ISM report in the U.S. and the inflation and unemployment reports from the Eurozone this week. What are the chances that it will react to the second estimates of service sector PMI indices from Germany, the EU, and the UK? Therefore, these data can be safely overlooked. The only American releases that pique interest include the ADP labor market report, the ISM Services Activity Index, and industrial production data. These reports…
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[Natural Gas] With the RSI(14) positioned in the Neutral-Bullish area and both of EMAs forming a Golden Cross, Natural Gas has the opportunity to strengthen today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 5.049 2. Resistance. 1 : 4.938 3. Pivot : 4.871 4. Support. 1 : 4.760 5. Support. 2 : 4.693 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of #NG breaks out and closes above 4.871, it has the potential to test the 4.938 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If #NG successfully breaks above 4.938, then it may continue its strength up to 5.049. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if the price of Natural Gas declines and breaks down be…
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Analysis of Trades and Recommendations for Trading the European Currency The test of the 1.1641 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving down from the zero mark, which confirmed the correct entry point for selling the euro. However, a significant decline in the pair never materialized. Demand for the euro returned after the release of PMI data. The market reacted to the positive data as a sign of economic recovery in the eurozone. Positive dynamics in the services sector—an important component of the regional economy—indicate rising consumer spending and growing optimism in the business environment. Nonetheless, despite the encouraging impression…
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What to Know: XRP ETFs, attracting hundreds of millions, while the token drifts toward $2, signal a quiet transfer of supply from retail to institutions. Divergences between ETF inflows and spot price often push smaller traders toward higher‑beta meme plays in search of asymmetric upside. Meme tokens are evolving into trading-centric communities with games, leaderboards, and incentives, rather than just static dog logos and passive holders. Maxi Doge targets leverage‑obsessed retail with a 240‑lb gym‑bro mascot, 1000x energy culture, and competitive, community‑driven trading tournaments. Sometimes crypto sends mixed signals, and this is one of those moments. XRP spot…
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Mining and commodities giant Glencore (LON: GLEN) plans to expand annual copper production to about 1.6 million tonnes by 2035 as it seeks to reverse a multi-year slump in output. Chief executive Gary Nagle told investors in London that the company expects its base copper business to exceed 1 million tonnes a year by the end of 2028, positioning Glencore among the world’s five largest producers. The push comes as global miners race to increase supply, even as Glencore’s own copper output is set to fall for a fourth straight year and sit about 40% below 2018 levels. The Swiss miner has faced pressure after its shares hit their lowest since 2020 and investors c…
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Dogecoin is staging a sharp rebound from a key technical level that one analyst has flagged as the potential low of its current correction. Is The Dogecoin Bottom In? On X, crypto analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) highlighted the $0.138 region as the decisive line. Posting a weekly DOGE chart, he wrote: “$0.138 still holding strong on Dogecoin. If DOGE can hold this level (Macro .382 + 200W SMA) and BTC + USDT hold their respective support and resistance levels then $0.138 will be the lows for this corrective period. Still got work to do. Main focus is still BTC and USDT D.” His chart shows Dogecoin trading on the 1-week timeframe, with the price recently wicking down in…
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Copper prices soared to a new record in London following a spike in orders to withdraw the metal from London Metal Exchange warehouses amid concerns of a global supply squeeze. Futures on the LME jumped as much as 2.6% to more than $11,400 per tonne during Wednesday’s morning trading, surpassing the previous peak set two sessions ago. It has since retreated to around the $11,100 level. Click on chart for live prices. The copper rally has been building momentum in recent weeks as a growing chorus of traders and analysts warned of global inventories reaching critically low levels, while huge volumes of metal are being shipped to the US in anticipation of tariffs. …
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The Australian dollar against the U.S. dollar is approaching the boundaries of the 66 figure while updating local price highs. On Wednesday, the pair tested the resistance level at 0.6590, which corresponds to the upper line of the Bollinger Bands on the D1 timeframe. This is the highest price level since the end of October. It is important to note that the pair is rising not only because the U.S. dollar is weakening but also because the Australian dollar is strengthening. Even the negative figures released on Wednesday on Australian GDP growth could not deter buyers of AUD/USD; bullish sentiment still prevails in the pair. However, the disclosed report is not as bad a…
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: There are relatively few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Thursday, and none of them are considered important. In the UK, the construction sector's business activity index will be published. In the Eurozone, retail sales data will be released. In the U.S., initial jobless claims will be announced. We believe even novice traders understand that these data are unlikely to provoke a strong market reaction. All the most significant reports have already been published this week. The ISM business activity indices for the U.S. manufacturing and services sectors showed mixed dynamics, while the most important ADP report on private-sector…
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In Federal Reserve news, today, the long-running Trump-Powell tension is back at center stage as fresh FOMC clues hint at a potentially decisive December meeting. The mix of weaker labor readings, uneven PMI data, and a Fed shifting away from quantitative tightening has turned routine updates into political fuel. Trump has openly said he would fire Powell if rules allowed it. With Powell’s term ending in May 2026, Trump claims he has already chosen a successor, though he hasn’t revealed the name. In the news today, names like Kevin Hassett, Scott Bessent, and even Michelle Bowman have been floated as possible contenders, the sort of picks that would shift the Federa…
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair continued its upward movement after rebounding from the support level of 1.1594–1.1607 and by the end of the day closed above the 1.1645–1.1656 level. Thus, the upward movement may continue toward the next 38.2% retracement level at 1.1718. A consolidation of the pair below the 1.1645–1.1656 level will work in favor of the U.S. dollar and a return of the quotes to the 1.1594–1.1607 level. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed downward wave did not break the previous low, while the most recent upward wave broke the previous peak. Therefore, the trend has now officially changed to "bullish." One…
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The XRP price action is now showing signs of resilience as it coils tightly around a key support level, fighting against further downside pressure. Despite recent pressure across the broader crypto landscape, XRP has repeatedly held this level. With bearish momentum fading and volatility compressing, it could be preparing for a potential reversal. Support Cluster Shows Strength As XRP Holds Its Ground XRP is reaching a point where it refuses to go any lower. Crypto analyst Henry has noted on X that the token is whispering loudly right now, showing strength exactly where it matters, and rising clearly from its trendline support after days of bleeding. This level has bee…
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The Dogecoin (DOGE) price movement is entering a phase that traders often watch closely, a stretch of tightening action that usually precedes a decisive move. After several days of elevated activity, shifting ETF flows, and a rare alignment of technical indicators, the memecoin is now sitting at a point where sentiment and structure appear to be converging. The conversation around Dogecoin is beginning to shift from short-term speculation to whether the asset is preparing for a larger breakout as the year closes. Recent trading sessions have highlighted a steady rise in activity, driven initially by an 8% price jump that pushed DOGE to the $0.15 region. The move came …
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Bitcoin is again trading under the shadow of a potential yen carry-trade shock as markets head into the 9–10 December FOMC meeting and a likely hawkish turn from the Bank of Japan at the December 18-19 meeting. The setup echoes last summer’s episode, when a policy shift in Tokyo triggered rapid deleveraging across risk assets, including crypto. Will The Bitcoin Price Crash Next Week? Analyst Benjamin Cowen explicitly links today’s environment to that July shock. He reminded followers that “in July 2024, the Fed cut rates while the BOJ raised rates, leading to the unwind of the carry trade. Bitcoin capitulated into it, and found a low 1 week later.” He added, “Good chance…
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Some change is starting to appear for Canada after consecutive rough years. Subject to a red-hot post-COVID boom, the Land of the Maple Syrup had severely tightened its policy rates and immigration rules, leading to a consecutive trough in activity starting in 2024. To add to that, US President Trump’s protectionist policies placed huge tariffs on key Canadian exports, including Lumber, Aluminium, and many others, damaging demand for Canada's cyclical economy and its prospects for growth. Given that growth prospects are essential for inciting business investment and hiring, it is clear why Canada struggled quite a bit under such pressure. But with peak fear subsiding a…
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UK gilt yields may rise toward 6%, reflecting mounting fiscal strain and investor concernsPersistent outflows from UK equity funds signal weak confidence despite temporary market calmCommodities and mining stocks support the FTSE, contrasting with broader economic instability The British economy is facing serious fiscal challenges that are increasing tensions in the bond market and may affect the pound’s exchange rate. Despite the government’s declarations about maintaining budget balance, experts warn that the tax increases announced by Chancellor Rachel Reeves are too dispersed to meaningfully strengthen public finances and ease pressure on debt markets. A prospect o…
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According to a press release from Consob on December 4, 2025, Italy’s securities regulator told crypto and virtual asset service providers (VASPs) that they must secure authorization under the EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets regime (MiCA) by December 30, 2025, or stop serving Italian clients. The notice warns operators that those who do not file for a MiCA-compliant license must close out services and return customer funds by the year-end. Consob’s Deadline And What It Means For Firms Based on reports, companies that submit an authorization application by the cutoff may keep operating while the application is under review. But that temporary permission will not last beyo…
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In a not-so-surprising turn of events, the bearish orientation of the Bitcoin price has continued into the month of December, suggesting that the premier cryptocurrency could end the year in the red. Interestingly, recent on-chain data has offered insights into the likely direction of Bitcoin based on the integrity of an important price level. Active Market Participants’ Cost Basis At $82,000 In a December 5 post on the X platform, market analyst Burak Kesmeci shared an interesting outlook on the direction of the Bitcoin price. The analyst disclosed that whatever happens around the $82,000 mark could make or mar Bitcoin’s trajectory in the near term. To demonstrate why…
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Bitcoin finds itself at a critical crossroads, hovering between two major price zones that could define its next big move. Buyers and sellers are locked in a tight battle, and the market now waits for a decisive break. A push above key resistance could open the door to $107,000, while weakness at support risks a deeper slide toward $71,000. Bounce Scenario: A Return Toward The Pink Box And Descending Trendline Kamile Uray, in her latest update on Bitcoin, noted that BTC failed to hold above the $90,720 level on the hourly chart, triggering the expected decline. The first immediate support now sits at $87,644, while the deeper support range lies between $83,822 and $82,47…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Bitcoin’s recent movement has left many traders waiting for signs of an altcoin season, and a post shared by crypto analyst Crypto Nova offers a different way to understand when this will actually begin. The explanation, supported by charts from 2017 and 2021, shows that altcoins have historically performed their best while Bitcoin’s price action was already climbing, not after it had reached its peak. The charts she shared show how those earlier cycles unfolded and why the timing of Bitcoin’s surge has been the important factor each time. Altseasons Form During Bitcoin’s Strongest Surges This outlook goes against the projection of many crypto analysts, who have been w…
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