Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11956 tópicos neste fórum
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UK regulators have taken legal action against HTX, the exchange linked to Justin Sun, marking a major step in the country’s effort to police unlawful crypto promotions. As per the Reuters report, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) filed a civil lawsuit on Wednesday, October 22, in London’s High Court against HTX, previously known as Huobi. The regulator claims the exchange promoted crypto services to UK consumers without proper authorization. The case also names four unidentified individuals associated with HTX’s operations and marketing activities. The FCA stated that the action is part of its effort to protect consumers and maintain trust in the country’s financ…
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The United Kingdom has signalled a major change in how it plans to tax DeFi, backing a “no gain, no loss” idea that could end so-called dry tax bills for everyday users. The government, through HM Revenue & Customs, says it is developing rules to treat many DeFi loans and liquidity-pool moves on a no-gain/no-loss basis. This would delay capital gains tax until there is a real sale or swap, not just when tokens move in and out of a protocol. The proposal was flagged alongside Wednesday’s Budget on 26 November and set out in a consultation outcome published this week. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 Explaining HMRC’s “No Gain, No Loss” Pl…
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UK GDP stagnated in July 2025 (0.0% m/m), confirming an economic slowdown - however, on an annual basis the economy was 1.4% larger than a year earlier.Services and construction supported growth, while manufacturing weighed on the economy – with sharp declines in metal products, transport equipment, and computers & electronics.GBPUSD is at a key technical level, with the future direction likely to depend on monetary policy divergence between the Fed and the Bank of England – US rate cuts could support the pound.UK economy standstill In July 2025, the UK economy came to a standstill, with monthly GDP growth recorded at 0.0%, following a 0.4% increase in June and a 0…
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The British pound is in positive territory on Tuesday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3461, up 0.22% on the day. The pound has jumped 1.9% in August and touched a high of 1.3476 on Monday, its highest level since July 25. Job openings drop, wage growth steadyThe UK labor market continues to cool. Job openings fell by 5.8% across most industries and the nunber of payrolled employeees also declined. However, the slowdown was not as bad as expected and didn't boost the unemployment rate, which remained at 4.7%. The labor market is feeling the effect of higher employer national insurance contributions and a rise in the minimum wage, as employers continue to …
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The British pound has posted gains for a second straight day. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3636, up 0.28% on the day. UK employment declines, wages dip The UK employment report didn't shine but there were no nasty surprises and investors reacted with a thumbs-up for the British pound. The number of employees on payrolls fell by eight thousand in August, marking a seventh consecutive decline. Still, this figure was less than expected, suggesting that perhaps the worst is over for the labor market, which softened after the government enacted higher payroll taxes and a hike in the minimum wage. Today's employment report has increased market expec…
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The British pound showing limited movement on Thursday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3406, down 0.09% on the day. UK labor market weakens Today's UK employment report pointed to a cooling in the UK labor market. The number of employees on company payrolls dropped by 41 thousand in June after a decline of 25 thousand in May. Still, the May decline was downwardly revised from 109 thousand, easing concerns of a significant deterioration in the labor market. Wage growth (excluding bonuses) dropped to 5.0% from a revised 5.3%, above the market estimate of 4.9%. The unemployment rate ticked up to 4.7%, up from 4.6% and above the…
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The UK has officially lifted its ban on crypto exchange-traded products for retail investors, opening access to a global market estimated at around $800 billion. These products, which were previously restricted to professional investors, will now be available to everyday users under regulated conditions. The change comes after years of limited access and growing frustration from individuals who wanted regulated exposure to crypto. Until now, retail investors were forced to either stay out or use less regulated exchanges. This update gives them a route through familiar financial channels, which could significantly shift how crypto fits into mainstream portfolios. Bitcoi…
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The British pound continues to have a quiet week. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3530, down 0.30% on the day. UK economy contracts in MayThe UK wrapped up the week on a down note, as GDP contracted in May by 0.1% m/m. This followed a 0.3% decline in April and missed the consensus of 0.1%. The decline was driven by a 1% decline in manufacturing and a 0.6% contraction in construction, which cancelled out a 0.1% expansion in services. The GDP contractions in April and May point to a weak second quarter of growth, after an impressive 0.7% gain in the first quarter. The economic landscape remains uncertain and the Bank of England has projected weak growth of …
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The British pound is lower on Thursday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3534, down 0.36% on the day. The UK releases May GDP on Friday, with the markets expecting a rebound of 0.1% m/m, following a 0.3% contraction in April, which was the first decline in six months and the sharpest drop since October 2023. The soft April GDP report was affected by some one-on factors; namely, the announcement of the US tariffs and an increase in employers' national insurance contributions. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or di…
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The British pound has edged lower at the start of the week. GBP/USD is trading at 1.3689 down 0.19% in the North American session. UK GBP for Q1 higher than expected The UK economy grew by 0.7% q/q, unchanged from the initial estimate. This follows a gain of 0.1% in Q4 2024 and marked the strongest growth in a year. The gain was driven by strong growth throughout the economy, including a 0.7% gain in the services sector. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and…
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The British pound has stabilized on Wednesday and is trading at 1.3389 in the European session, up 0.07% on the day. This follows a four-day losing streak in which GBP/USD dropped 1.5%. On Tuesday, the pound fell as low as 1.3378, its lowest level since June 23. UK inflation hotter than expected Today's UK inflation report brought news that the Bank of England would have preferred not to hear. UK inflation in June jumped to 3.6% y/y, up from 3.4% in May and above the market estimate of 3.4%. This was the highest level since January 2024 and is a stark reminder that inflation is far from being beaten. The main drivers of inflation were higher food and trans…
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The British pound is unchanged on Wednesday, trading at 1.3645 in the European sesison. UK inflation remains entrenched Today's inflation report was a dour reminder that UK inflation remains entrenched. CPI for August was unchanged at 3.8% y/y, matching the consensus and its highest level since January 2024. Airfares decreased but this was offset by food and petrol prices. Monthly, CPI rose 0.3%, up from 0.1% in July and matching the consensus. Core CPI, which excludes volatile items such as food and energy, eased to 3.6% from 3.8%. Monthly, core CPI ticked up to 0.3% from 0.2%. The inflation report comes just a day before the Bank of England announces its rate deci…
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The British pound failed to fully benefit from the positive UK statistics. According to official data, the UK labour market continued to cool over the summer as companies prepared for further tax increases, which will weigh on the economy. The Office for National Statistics reported that the number of employees fell by another 8,000 in August, marking the seventh consecutive decline. This was only slightly better than economists' forecasts. Wage growth excluding bonuses over three months slowed to 4.8%, the lowest in three years. Private sector wage growth, closely watched by the Bank of England, slowed to 4.7%. The unemployment rate remained at a four-year high of 4.7%, …
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Published overnight, the latest UK labor market data has raised several red flags for the economy, signaling a possible shift in the broader macro outlook. Persistent inflation pressures constrain the Bank of England’s rate-cut path, leaving the BoE with the second-highest policy rate among OECD economies, just behind the Federal Reserve at 4%. (FYI Fed Chair Powell will be speaking here for those interested) …
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The Ethereum software firm ConsenSys states that the United Kingdom has lost ground in its bid to become a leading global crypto hub. Instead, it believes the United States is now ahead, thanks in part to what it sees as overly strict regulation in Britain. These comments were made during ConsenSys’s developer conference this week, and they paint a fairly clear picture of how the firm views the current state of affairs. According to ConsenSys, the message from the UK regulators is being heard loud and clear across the industry, and not in a good way. The firm says the UK risks missing out on the next phase of crypto growth by making the regulatory environment too difficu…
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In a warning to the UK government, former Finance Minister George Osborne said that Britain may be “left behind” in the global crypto race. According to a Financial Times report published on 4 August 2025, Osborne said, “Britain missed the first crypto wave. We can’t miss the second.” “We became the world’s financial center because we weren’t afraid of change,” said Osborne. “On crypto and stablecoins, as on too many other things, the hard truth is this: we’re being completely left behind. It’s time to catch up.” Osborne drew parallels to the transformative “Big Bank” of the 1980’s. He urged for immediate and decisive action to prevent the UK from missing out on what he…
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UK Cabinet Office minister Pat McFadden has questioned political donations made in crypto. According to a Guardian report published on 18 July 2025, McFadden, a close ally of UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer said, “The funding of democracy is often a controversial area but I think that it’s very important that we know who is providing the donation, are they properly registered, what are the bona fides of that donation.” Critical debates on crypto regulation are sweeping across both the UK and the US. In the US, President Donald Trump announced accepting crypto donations. In fact, Thumzup Media Corporation – an advertising tech startup backed by Donald Trump Jr- just se…
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The British pound has enjoyed a strong run this week but is in negative territory on Thursday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3540, down 0.28% on the day. Over the past three days, the pound has jumped 1.3%, as the major currencies have gained ground against the US dollar. UK services dip, manufacturing contracts in JulyUK PMIs weakened in July, another sign of trouble in the UK economy. Services PMI dropped to 51.2, down from 52.8 in June and shy of the market estimate of 53.0. New orders were down and service managers pointed to weak domestic demand and a drop in exports due to global trade tensions. The manufacturing PMI posted a slight improvem…
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Starting 8 October 2025, the UK is ready to lift its bank on crypto exchange-traded notes (ETNs) for retail investors. BTC products will return to the UK after two years! Companies like Bitwise, registered in the UK, took to X on 3 October 2025 to celebrate the opportunity “to serve more investors in our home market in Europe at long last.” UK’s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) made the announcement as David Geale, executive director of payments and digital finance at the FCA, said, “Since we restricted retail access to cETNs, the market has evolved, and products have become more mainstream and better understood. In light of this, we’re providing consumers with more ch…
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The UK Treasury has released a new draft aiming to tighten anti-money laundering rules, with crypto firms directly in the spotlight. These proposals are meant to close loopholes that have made it easier for financial risk to go unnoticed. At the same time, the changes are being pitched as practical enough to let businesses keep running without too much disruption. Tighter Oversight of Crypto Ownership and Control One of the biggest changes targets how the Financial Conduct Authority looks at who controls a crypto firm. Right now, the focus is mainly on beneficial owners, which can miss people who actually call the shots. The updated rules expand that definition to includ…
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The British pound has pushed higher on Friday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3519, up 0.66% on the day. About half the pound's gains have come following today's weak US nonfarm payrolls report. UK retail sales accelerate in JulyIt was a good-news-bad news retail sales report out of the UK today. July retail sales rose a respectable 0.6% m/m, up from a downwardly revised 0.3% in June and higher than the market estimate of 0.2%. The improvement was driven by warm weather and the women's European soccer championship. The bad news was the sharp downward corrections to the the previous months' data. Retail sales for June was revised lower to 0.3% …
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The British pound has posted losses for a second straight day. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3446, down 0.43% on the day. UK retail sales posts 0.9% gainThe UK wrapped up the week with the June retail sales report. The gain of 0.9% m/m was a strong rebound from the 2.8% drop in May but missed the market estimate of 1.2%. The driver of the positive release was an increase in food and motor fuel. Yearly, retail sales rose 1.7% following a 1.1% decline in May and just shy of the market estimate of 1.8%. Retail sales recorded growth across all main sectors, boosted by the unseasonably June weather. Will BoE lower rates in August? The Bank of England finds i…
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The British pound has gained ground for a second straight day. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3496, up 0.22% on the day. UK retail sales decline 2.7%UK retail sales took a tumble in May, falling 2.7% m/m. This followed an upwardly revised 1.3% increase in April and was much worse than the market estimate of -0.5%. This marked the steepest decline since December 2023 and was driven by a sharp drop in food store sales. Consumers are being squeezed by inflation and are pessimistic about economic conditions - Gfk consumer confidence for June rose slightly to -18 from -20. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Busi…
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British authorities have wrapped up a major operation aimed at shutting down channels used by wealthy individuals to dodge sanctions tied to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The operation led to 128 arrests and the seizure of approximately £25 million, equivalent to roughly $33 million in cash and cryptocurrency. The scale of the action shows how aggressively UK agencies are now pursuing sanctions evasion that blends organised crime with geopolitical finance. How The Operation Unfolded The National Crime Agency took the lead on the investigation and worked with partners in the United States, France, Spain and Ireland. Across these jurisdictions, investigators traced what …
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The British pound is down for a fourth straight day and has dropped 0.9% this week. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3432, down 0.16% on the day. The UK was scheduled to release July retail sales on Friday, with a market estimate of 0.4%, but that has been delayed until September 5. UK PMIs: services accelerates, manufacturing weakens UK PMIs were a mixed bag in August. The Services PMI improved to 53.6, up from 51.8 in July and above the market estimate of 51.8. Business activity rose for a fourth straight month and hit its fastest pace in a year. There was an increase in new orders and business confidence rose on expectations that consumer demand w…
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