Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11956 tópicos neste fórum
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The best times for the European currency are ahead. Since 2008, the euro has depreciated against the US dollar and concluded this process only in 2022, briefly falling below the price parity. Thus, the decline of the euro lasted a long 14 years. During this period, the European currency lost about 1.5 times its value. While this may seem modest, it is significant given the 14-year duration. However, it is believed that the upward trend began in 2022 and could also last a decade. Consequently, the long-term prospects for the euro appear bright. As traders, we are more interested in short-term trends. Over the past five months, we have witnessed the construction of correcti…
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Executive Summary: For deaths in 2020 or later, most non-spouse heirs who aren’t eligible designated beneficiaries must withdraw the entire inherited IRA by December 31 of the 10th year after the original owner’s death. With a clear plan, the SECURE Act 10-year rule can still help you reduce lifetime taxes, preserve investment growth, and support your estate goals. Below are seven practical strategies to manage cash flow, avoid penalties, and make smarter tax decisions. What the SECURE Act 10-Year Rule Means: In Plain English The SECURE Act changed how most non-spouse heirs take money from inherited IRAs and employer plans. If you’re a “non-eligible designated beneficiary…
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Is a Safe Deposit Box for Gold Really Safe? A Practical, Data-Informed Guide Executive Summary A safe deposit box for gold can be a secure, low-visibility choice for long-term holders who don’t need 24/7 access. However, the FDIC doesn’t insure box contents, banks usually disclaim liability, and access is limited to branch hours. You’ll likely need private coverage; keep receipts, photos, and appraisals, and set up estate access according to state law. Quick Answer: When a Safe Deposit Box Makes Sense The question isn’t “safe or unsafe,” but “safe for which goals?” A safe deposit box for gold shines when your priority is quiet, durable storage rather than rapid trading o…
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Too Much Cash in Retirement? Real Risks, Smart Fixes, and Better Alternatives Executive summary: Holding a large cash cushion feels safe, yet too much cash in retirement can quietly erode purchasing power, reduce long-term income, and raise the chance of falling behind inflation. A right-sized reserve for near-term spending (paired with bonds and diversified equities for later years) protects today’s bills and tomorrow’s lifestyle. What “too much cash in retirement” really means Cash is essential for bills, taxes, and emergencies. It smooths the ride when markets wobble and helps you avoid forced selling. However, more isn’t always better, and too much cash in retirement…
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Bitcoin has returned to the vicinity of $116,000, signaling an upward move. Ethereum is also trying to stabilize above $4,200. The cryptocurrency market has bounced back after news that the U.S. and China are close to reaching an agreement on several trade disputes, which has reduced the likelihood of the U.S. imposing 100% tariffs to nearly zero. Investors interpreted this as a signal of decreasing geopolitical tension and a return of appetite for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin, as the market flagbearer, demonstrated confident growth, pulling altcoins along with it. The market's recovery is also fueled by positive news from the regulatory front. There…
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Crypto.com has submitted its application to become a national trust bank. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) will regulate it. They still need to approve the application; however, if it goes through, it would allow Crypto.com to operate as a federally regulated trust bank. This will enable Crypto.com to offer a range of crypto-related financial services across the US without needing individual state licenses. Moreover, with a trust bank license, Crypto.com will be able to offer its services under federal supervision, without becoming a fully commercialized bank, which comes with its own set of complex rules and responsibilities. According to its applica…
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Bitcoin (BTC) is showing renewed strength, reclaiming the $115,000 level after weeks of volatility and uncertainty. Bulls are attempting to build momentum for a potential impulse move higher, aiming to confirm a sustained bullish structure after the recent consolidation phase. On-chain data continues to reveal a clear and repeating pattern tied to investor behavior and market cycles. Historically, when the percentage of Bitcoin supply in profit climbs above 95%, the market tends to enter an overheated phase, often leading to sharp corrections. These pullbacks serve as natural cooling periods, resetting sentiment and liquidity before the next major leg up. Interestingly…
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Trade Analysis for Tuesday: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair traded with minimal volatility on Tuesday. Throughout the day, there were no significant events published in the Eurozone or the U.S., but the British pound faced certain downward pressures, causing the European currency to decline alongside it in the first half of the day. By the second half of the day, the euro recovered, while the pound continued to fall for its own reasons. Consequently, the sharp moves we observed yesterday in the euro could have been absent if it weren't for yet another statement from UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves. The day's overall volatility was 43 pips. This ev…
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The U.S. dollar confidently regained part of its positions yesterday against the euro, pound, Japanese yen, and other risk assets. The reason lies in the uncertainty that may emerge after today's Federal Reserve meeting.Traders are anticipating two key events: a quarter-point rate cut, and some clarity from Chair Jerome Powell, who will likely avoid tricky questions, as growing disagreements among policymakers are blurring the outlook for the future. Earlier this month, Powell made it clear that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) remains focused on threats to the labor market. However, the delayed inflation report released last week turned out weaker than expected, …
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Overview: The market is optimistic a deal will be struck between the US and China tomorrow. A reduction in the fentanyl tariff is expected, and a one-year delay in the broad export licensing requirement for rare earths and related technology has been tipped. Reports suggest China purchased two cargoes of US soy for the first time in months. But it is not clear what concessions the US made. Separately, the US appears to have finalized an agreement with South Korea. Ahead of the outcome of the FOMC meeting later today, the US dollar is firm. Among the G10 currencies, the noted exception in the Australian dollar, where firmer than expected inflation has seen rates raise acr…
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Wintermute, one of crypto’s largest market makers, struck an overtly risk-on tone in a Monday market update on X, arguing that a dovish macro turn and thawing US–China tensions have reset positioning and liquidity into a friendlier Q4 regime. In a post dated October 28, the firm wrote that “risk appetite is returning as softer CPI data and improving Trump-Xi relations lifted markets, with yields easing and volatility declining,” adding that “Bitcoin reclaimed $115k on ETF inflows and short squeezes, while DeFi and AI sectors led the recovery.” Wintermute’s Bullish Crypto Outlook For Q4 The desk framed the impulse as both macro- and microstructure-driven. On the macro sid…
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On June 26, an obscure entity called Aqua1 Foundation, which said it was based in the United Arab Emirates, announced it was buying $100m of WLFI tokens, the largest single purchase at the time. Now months later, the Financial Times has reportedly uncovered a link that hilariously ties the Trump crypto empire to a bunch of now-dissolved hardwood flooring firms. The mysterious Chinese businessman behind Aqua1, who met with Eric Trump in Dubai, was Guren “Bobby” Zhou, who has executive roles in multiple businesses and who is under investigation in Britain for money laundering, according to the UK National Crime Agency and a document filed in an immigration case at London’s…
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Seabridge Gold (TSX: SEA) (NYSE: SA) says it has recovered C$4.4 million ($3.2 million) from a British Columbia Supreme Court ruling that reversed a previous decision by the Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) to deny the company’s tax credits for 2010 and 2011. Toronto-based Seabridge had received a refund for the C$15.8 million ($11.4 million) in exploration expenditures incurred in the two years, which it claimed as qualifying expenses under the BC Income Tax Act that are eligible for tax credits under the BC Mineral Exploration Tax Credits (BC METC) program. However, the CRA later denied the claims, arguing that the expenditures did not meet the program criteria. The …
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair rebounded from the resistance level of 1.1645–1.1656, reversed in favor of the U.S. dollar, and fell to the 61.8% retracement level at 1.1594. A rebound from this level worked in favor of the euro, leading to renewed growth toward the 1.1645–1.1656 level. Today, another rebound from this area could trigger a new decline, while a firm close above it would increase the likelihood of continued growth toward the next 38.2% Fibonacci level at 1.1718. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave did not break the previous high, and the last downward wave did not break the previous low. Thus, fo…
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Everyone wanted a crypto moonshot. For OG Bitcoin holders deep in green, perhaps the FOMC event didn’t matter much. However, all smart degens who bought the top, Jerome Powell, and the Federal Reserve were their only saviors. There was so much hope for the Bitcoin price to move higher until it didn’t, and as Murphy’s Law struck, the world’s most valuable crypto crashed, falling by -5% below $110,000. The Bitcoin price, and crypto in general, is yet to recover from yesterday’s crickets. With hopes smashed, the BTC USDT price is lower from this week’s open, and the only way for a recovery is if the $110,000 level holds by the end of the day. Before then, traders should cl…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the European CurrencyThe price test of 1.1620 occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had just begun to move downward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair fell by 12 points, after which the pressure subsided. The European currency showed a moderate reaction to German employment data, which exceeded analysts' expectations. The released figures undoubtedly added positivity to the overall outlook, indicating the resilience of the German economy despite external pressures. However, this favorable trend did not lead to active euro buying, as market participants are focus…
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Market Insights Podcast (30/10/2025): In today’s episode, we discuss yesterday’s decision to cut rates by the Federal Reserve, Powell’s comments on the ongoing government shutdown, and the latest developments between President Trump and President Xi. Join OANDA Financial Writer Christian Norman, Nick Syiek (TraderNick) and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economi…
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Arca Climate Technologies announced Wednesday at the IEA Energy Innovation Forum an offtake agreement with Microsoft to deliver nearly 300,000 tonnes of durable carbon dioxide removal (CDR) over 10 years. Arca is one of the first companies commercializing mineralization for the capture and storage of atmospheric CO2 that is supported by scientific research and technology development. The Canadian company was named in 2022 as one of the country’s most investable cleantech ventures. This year, Arca co-authored a whitepaper, Beyond Extraction: Transforming Mine Waste Into A Net-Zero, Multi-Billion Dollar Opportunity, that theoretically connects the surging d…
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Retail markets are in despair, and analysts are asking why is crypto down after FOMC rates cuts failed to jump start price moves. Crypto’s rally hit a policy reality check this week. A US rate cut, paired with a cautious message from the Federal Reserve, pulled Bitcoin, Ether, and most altcoins lower. On Thursday, October 30, global crypto markets fell after the Fed cut rates by 25 basis points. Chair Jerome Powell warned another cut in December is “not a foregone conclusion.” That comment shifted sentiment fast. By late trading, Bitcoin price slipped toward the $107,000–$109,000 band. Market Cap …
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Top AI meme coins COAI crypto and AIC crypto have plummeted as retail capital rotates into Binance meme coins – here’s why. AI-linked tokens slipped on Friday, October 31 (PKT), while a Binance Chain meme coin moved in the opposite direction. The shift highlights how traders are rapidly shifting between themes as momentum wanes in certain parts of the market. ChainOpera AI (COAI) and AI companions (AIC) experienced a drastic decline over the last day, with AIC showing even greater loss on a weekly basis. A token on the Binance Chain, BUILDon (B), had solid returns within the same time frame. Ape and Pepe (APEPE) also traded lower, reflecting softer interest in meme na…
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In recent years, every time the FOMC meeting comes up, I tend to repeat the same thing – the market consistently becomes a hostage to its own inflated expectations. If we extrapolate this phrase to the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, it is more about deflated expectations. Remember 2024, when market participants were convinced there would be 6-7 rounds of policy easing. Recall the beginning of 2025, when everyone was certain there would be four rounds of easing, while the dot-plot charts indicated a maximum of 2. Now, at the end of 2025, the same situation is occurring. The market decided that the Fed would cut rates twice more by the end of the year. When Jerome Powel…
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For the first time in the last three weeks, the euro-dollar pair closed Friday's trading below the 1.1560 target, exiting the established price range of 1.1560–1.1730. Now the main intrigue lies in the simple question: will the price hold below this support level, or will it return to its previous levels? Throughout October, sellers of EUR/USD repeatedly tested the lower boundary of the aforementioned price range, declining towards the base of the 15 figure. However, each time the southern momentum faded, and buyers regained control of the pair. Last week, the dollar strengthened mainly due to the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on the pace of further rate cuts. It …
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The GBP/USD currency pair traded very weakly on Thursday, despite the Bank of England meeting, which could have prompted movement in the currency market. As we warned, the British central bank did not lower the key rate. The reason is obvious—high inflation. However, if one can put it this way, the BoE was on the verge of making a positive decision, which we did not expect. Let's briefly recap the background. Inflation in the UK reached 3.8% two months ago. It's easy to see that this level is twice as high as inflation a year ago and almost twice the BoE's target. Thus, logically, the BoE could not decide to lower the key rate. How could the market react? Since maintainin…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the EuroThe price test at 1.1525 coincided with the MACD indicator moving significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's bullish potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The influence of the Federal Reserve's statements regarding the need to maintain caution on interest rate cuts has weakened, allowing buyers of the euro to continue the corrective rise in the EUR/USD pair. The market seems to have absorbed the central bank's position and no longer views it as an unconditional factor in strengthening the U.S. currency. The lack of key fundamental data due to the shutdown also became a significant factor yesterday,…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Friday, the market may continue moving upward from the 1.1546 level (yesterday's daily close) with a target of 1.1574 – the 23.6% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Upon testing this level, a pullback downward is possible toward 1.1556 – the historical resistance level (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volume analysis – upward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: Upward trend. Alternative scenario:Today, from the 1.1546 level (yesterday's daily close), the price may…
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