Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11949 tópicos neste fórum
-
Consecutive positive data points in US economic releases have once again boosted sentiment, notably taking Equity and Cryptocurrency markets to a renewed frenzy. ISM Services PMI came at 50.8 vs 50.5 expected, in the latest round of positive surprises in US Data which should once again deter markets from the weaker United States theme due to volatile Trump Administration policies. US Equity markets will see an early 1PM Close as Americans prepare their Independence Day 4th of July Holiday. All US Indices are making new highs, with the Dow close to 100 points from its ATH while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are still in All-Time High Price discovery. The latest geopolitic…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The US Export-Import Bank (EXIM) will invest $100 billion in support of the Trump administration’s strategy of achieving global energy dominance, the export credit agency said. In an interview with the Financial Times, newly appointed chair John Jovanovic said the move aims to address the West’s over-reliance on supplies from China and Russia, which he considers to be unfair. “We can’t do anything else that we’re trying to do without these underlying critical raw material supply chains being secure, stable and functioning,” he said. The first tranche of investments, according to Jovanovic, will be in Egypt, Pakistan and Europe. These include $4 billion of natural …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Sunrise Energy Metals (ASX: SRL), an Australian scandium explorer backed by Robert Friedland, is being lined for a potential loan from the Export-Import Bank of the United States (EXIM) for its Syerston project in central New South Wales. As stated in a letter of interest, announced by the company Tuesday, EXIM would provide a debt financing up to $67 million. Based on current estimates, this amount represents approximately half of the project development costs, the company said. The Syerston project, located 450 km west of Sydney, hosts one of the world’s largest and highest-grade scandium deposits, with nearly 46 million tonnes of measured and indicated resource…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The United States signaled a renewed interest in partnering with Pakistan on critical minerals and hydrocarbons, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio highlighting the potential for joint economic ventures in a statement marking Pakistan’s Independence Day. The announcement comes amid a thaw in Washington–Islamabad relations and follows a recent trade agreement that Pakistan says will lower tariffs and attract greater US investment. Pakistan’s Commerce Minister Jam Kamal indicated that US companies will be offered opportunities in Balochistan’s mining sector, including lease concessions and joint venture arrangements with local firms. Balochistan and the Reko Diq ad…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Federal Reserve has officially brought its multi-year quantitative tightening program to a close, freezing its balance sheet at about $6.57 trillion after draining more than $2.3 trillion from the system since 2022. The Federal Reserve’s decision to formally end quantitative tightening has created a sense of anticipation across the crypto market. Liquidity inflows have shaped every major crypto cycle, and removing the multi-year drain on liquidity is expected to set the stage for healthier crypto market conditions and see the Bitcoin price push above $100,000 in the coming days. Policy Shift Meets A Market Still Searching For Direction The Fed has frozen its balanc…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Most Read: EUR/USD Reclaims 1.1600 as DXY Retreats, Key Economic Data Ahead Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.3 percent (0.8 percent at a quarterly rate) in the second quarter of 2025 (April, May, and June), according to the second estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP decreased 0.5 percent. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Join OANDA Market Analyst Kenny Fisher, Nick Syiek (TraderNick) and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for infor…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Join OANDA Market Analyst Kenny Fisher, Nick Syiek (TraderNick) and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Market Insights Podcast (12/11/2025): Join TraderNick and host Jonny Hart as they discuss a likely end to the upcoming government shutdown, rising probability of a BoE rate cut, and a fall in crude pricing. Join Nick Syiek (TraderNick) and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. Opinions are the authors'; no…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Why is crypto up today? The answer lies partly in Washington. With the US government going back to the office, the crypto narrative is turning bullish once again. The Bitcoin price has surged past $ 106,000, altcoins are experiencing green double-digit gains, and traders are anticipating two significant developments. The restarting of federal operations after days of lockdown, and the announcement of potential $2,000 stimulus checks by Donald Trump. These signals are fueling renewed momentum in crypto prices across the board. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The US government has shot down reports that it is considering buying a stake in Critical Metals (NASDAQ: CRML), the company developing one of the world’s largest rare earth resources in Greenland. The Trump administration is not currently considering a deal that would see it take a stake in Critical Metals, a White House official stated on Monday, as first reported by Bloomberg. On Friday, Reuters reported that Washington had been in talks over an equity investment in the New York-based company while it was completing a deal to buy a 5% stake in Lithium Americas (TSX, NYSE: LAC), developer of a large lithium project in Nevada. That report, together with Criti…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: The US dollar is mostly softer against the G10 currencies and emerging market currencies. The hawkish hold by the Reserve Bank of Australia has helped lift the Australian dollar almost 0.5% to a four-day high above $0.6700. The Japanese yen is up nearly as much despite poor industrial production and retail sales data. A US federal government shutdown looks nearly inevitable at this juncture. The US also announced 10% tariffs om softwood timber and lumber, as well as a 25% tax on kitchen cabinets, vanities, and upholstered wood products. Some will take place as soon as October 14, others not until January 1. Canada is the most exposed and is already subject to 35…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bears anticipate more pain as Bitcoin struggles to stay above $104,000. As of early November, .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-containe…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A shutdown has begun in the United States: Congress failed to reach a budget agreement, resulting in the first federal government closure in seven years. The political deadlock over healthcare spending. A shutdown has begun in the United States: Congress failed to reach a budget agreement, causing the federal government to begin winding down operations for the first time in seven years. The political impasse over healthcare spending and other priorities has triggered the suspension of several government services and preparations for mass furloughs and layoffs, alarming both businesses and markets. This article provides an analysis of the economic fallout, as well as exper…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Pending Home Sales data just got released with a 4% increase (!!) vs a 0.4% expectation – This might just reduce odds for cuts even more. A story to follow. Over the weekend, nothing crazy emerged except for some new Trump tariffs on movies and some rumours of a US Government shutdown. As per usual, this isn't leading to any sign of profit taking in Equities as the Nasdaq tries to catch up to its previous ATH (24,816). …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
This morning saw the release of many data points that are making markets feel a bit easier: ADP Employment (which has been proving its recent accuracy) hasn't missed by a large amount, Unit Labor costs haven't risen much, Claims are higher but by a small margin and the earlier JOLTS (job openings) data is still far from bad. Overall, this week's data is the perfect recipe for the Federal Reserve to adjust their rates at the upcoming meeting (Sep 17), which would help with their current stance. A cut in the middle of a still growing economy would have been perceived as further hurting the FED's independence ; The thing is, the labor market is indeed cooling (but not fall…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
We just received the first round (and only) of key US Data for this week with the ISM PMIs. Services keep dragging up the overall numbers, showing a 55.2 beat vs 53.0 expectations, while Manufacturing saw its first yearly decrease and now indicating contraction (49.0 vs 52.5 exp). The US Indices have opened mixed and have been moving a bit erratically amid some rewiring of flows, relative strength and Deal headlines. This is typical of the ongoing Earnings season. We will try to make some sense out of the price action by looking at all 3 majors US Indices' intraday charts – Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Read More: USDJPY re-enters its range after US-Japan tra…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
US Stock indices are offering a decent open to the North American session after the freshly released CPI, with both the Dow Jones and S&P 500 pushing towards new highs. Nonetheless, the theme is still of slight hesitation as traders juggle with the 50 bps cut expectations: from a 10% to 5% pricing right after the release, and back towards 10% as we speak. Equity markets had been disregarding the recent employment reports and downward revisions in the hope of a jumbo cut next Wednesday, consequently turning to inflation to see what the FOMC will be cooking towards next week. But this morning's inflation report offers further doubts: despite the 0.3% as-expected repo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Non-Farm Payrolls released on Friday provided a wide range of reactions, between the initial increased-rate cuts pricing boost to rising fears of an economic downturn in the world's largest economy. Uncertainty in the US continues as participants await Wednesday's PPI release (last month was a surprise, renewing tariff-led inflations fears) and more importantly, Thursday's CPI data. Friday's US Labor release have only confirmed one round of the multiple headwinds coming up for Markets – The US Dollar is stalling its descent against majors as a potential beat on inflation expectations would disallow a 50 bps cut in the 17th of September FOMC Meeting. In the meantime…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
US Indices haven't stopped bullying through new highs on strong impulses, with Equity bears surely in awe. Markets which tend to slow down in consolidation before such key rate decisions haven't had the chance to stop a minute: Since last week's positive surprises in US inflation releases, American stocks and particularly tech-equities are on a historic run. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Markets got the release of the Non-Farm Payrolls number for August. With the consequential miss (22K vs 75K exp) and further downward revisions, the picture is bleak but stocks open slightly higher. There is immediate selling from profit-taking however, keep an eye on this. Some analysts report that the FED would have comfortably cut by 50 bps if it wasn't for the US Tariffs that have just started to impact the data. The 2Y yield is now at the lowest since April 2025 (Liberation Day trough) and Markets are still pricing more cuts for the year: Currently at 75 bps for the year and still rising. With the FED entering its Blackout Period (no interviews on Economic or f…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The British pound continues to have a calm week. Early in the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3546, up 0.14% on the day. US inflation rises to 0.4% in August US inflation climbed 0.4% m/m in August, up from 0.3% in July and above the market estimate of 0.2%. Annual CPI rose to 2.9% from 2.7%, in line with the market estimate. Core CPI came in at 0.3% m/m and 3.1% y/y, unchanged from July. The core rate continues to hover well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target but that isn't expected to stop the Fed from lowering rates next week for the first time since December 2024. Although a rate cut has been fully priced in, we could see downward pressure on th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
For the first time in more than a century, America is about to go dark on its inflation stat. With Bureau of Labor Statistics staff furloughed due to the shutdown, there will be no Consumer Price Index and no official measure of the cost of living, nor a baseline for the markets. What the hell? So the CPI report under Trump will be just smoke and mirrors? This comes at a time when many are arguing that CPI is rigged in the US, like in Banana republics. (Source: X) Anyone who pays household bills can see the cost inflation in real time, and it’s much more than 3%. Economists and traders are now navigating blind, improvising where the world’s most-watched inflation gauge…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Dateline Resources (ASX: DTR) has gained further political support in its bid to develop what could be America’s second rare earth mine following the public backing of US Secretary of the Interior Doug Burgum. Speaking to Fox News this past Sunday, Burgum emphasized the importance of the Colosseum mine project in California, calling its revival a “pivotal step” towards bolstering America’s supply of critical minerals. This endorsement, says project owner Dateline, “underscores the strategic importance of Colosseum in reducing US reliance on overseas sources for rare earth elements.” It follows an earlier approval by the Interior Department of the company’s existin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The United States is ramping up efforts to secure critical minerals outside China’s control, backing the expansion of a copper and cobalt facility in Zambia. The US Trade and Development Agency (USTDA) awarded on Thursday a $1.4-million grant to Metalex Africa, a subsidiary of US-based Metalex Commodities, to finance a feasibility study for expanding the company’s Kazozu mine in Zambia’s North-Western province. The study will assess whether the mine can produce up to 25,000 additional metric tonnes of copper and cobalt concentrates annually. USTDA officials said the initiative is designed to link Metalex with American buyers while opening opportunities for US…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
