Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11949 tópicos neste fórum
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The US dollar experienced a significant decline yesterday following reports that American companies cut jobs in November by the largest amount since the beginning of 2023, which heightened concerns about a more pronounced deterioration in the labor market. According to the data released by ADP Research on Wednesday, the private sector lost 32,000 jobs, while economists had anticipated an increase of 10,000 jobs. The weak ADP report published yesterday intensified fears of a faster worsening of the labor market outlook ahead of the Federal Reserve's final meeting for the year, which is set to take place next week. The report may have a greater impact than usual, given t…
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EUR/USD is trading around 1.1667 above 3/8 Murray and within the uptrend channel formed since November 19. The euro could undergo a technical correction in the coming hours, and EUR/USD could reach 3/8 Murray. It is expected to reach the bottom of the uptrend channel around 1.1620 if the bearish force prevails. Given that the euro is showing overbought conditions, we expect a technical correction in the coming hours. If the instrument is below the top of the uptrend channel and below 1.1670, this could be seen as an opportunity to sell with a target at 1.1620. The outlook remains positive for the euro if the price consolidates above the 200 EMA and above the 2/8 Murray ar…
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Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the British Pound The test of the 1.3344 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving upward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by only 10 points. A sharp decline in the UK construction sector, reflected in the drop of the index to 39.4, has negatively affected the pound sterling. The decrease in the construction PMI indicates a slowdown in economic growth, which impacts future performance. A reduction in construction volumes may trigger decreased demand for resources, slower wage growth, and, consequently, worsening consumer sentiment. This situ…
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Defying market optimism, Goldman Sachs Group sought to curb enthusiasm over copper’s record-breaking rally, saying the metal’s breakout above $11,000 a tonne is unlikely to last as global supplies remain adequate. In a note to clients this week, Goldman analysts led by Aurelia Waltham argued that copper’s recent rally centres around “expectation of future market tightness, rather than current fundamentals,” adding that they do not expect prices at current levels to hold. Click on chart for live prices. The warning comes at a time when copper had just set a new record high of $11,540 a ton on the London Metal Exchange, fueled by fears of a global supply squeeze a…
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What to Know: Rising U.S. debt and heavy Treasury issuance are killing the charm of long-duration bonds, so institutions are looking toward Bitcoin and other digital assets as hedges. As Bitcoin adoption grows, demand is shifting away from simple price bets toward real infrastructure for fast payments, DeFi, NFTs, and gaming. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) introduces a Bitcoin-anchored Layer 2 that uses the Solana Virtual Machine to fix Bitcoin’s slow transactions, high fees, and lack of smart contracts. Competition among Bitcoin Layer 2 networks will heat up as macro pressures and institutional inflows reward projects that mix Bitcoin’s trust with real performance. Surging…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for December 4 Markets traded in chaotic fashion today as the latest Jobless Claims report sent confusion waves to the market. The headline number came at 191K vs 220K, the lowest since September 2022 (!) A stark divergence is emerging between private labor data (looking at Tuesday's ADP report) and public data. Some analysts have noted bad seasonal adjustments from the Bureau of Labor Statistics – Could there have been some reshuffling? This morning's Challenger Report paradoxically confirms another rise, of a lesser extent, in US Layoffs. You can access the interesting report right here. Markets unfortunately wo…
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[Litecoin] With the appearance of a Hidden Bearish Divergence on the RSI(14), which is also at a Neutral-Bearish level, and both EMAs still in a Golden Cross, it indicates that today there is potential for weakening that will occur to Litecoin in the near future Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 88.69 2. Resistance. 1 : 86.12 3. Pivot : 84.15 4. Support. 1 : 81.58 5. Support. 2 : 79.61 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If Litecoin breaks down below 81.58, it may test the level at 79.61. Momentum Extension Bias: If 79.61 is broken, there is potential to test down to 77.04. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is restrained if the price o…
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The Japanese yen rose against the dollar after rumors circulated that officials at the Bank of Japan are ready to raise interest rates this month. It is expected that next week, the BOJ will also announce its intention to continue raising rates if its economic forecasts are realized, while exercising caution about how much it will ultimately raise rates. Such expectations are fueled by domestic pressure to combat inflation, strengthen the national currency, and stimulate sustainable economic growth. A stronger yen may also help reduce import costs, in turn lessening the inflationary pressure that Japanese consumers have been feeling lately. The BOJ's decision to raise ra…
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Crypto analyst Miles Deutscher has issued one of the most forceful bottom calls of this cycle, assigning a 91.5% probability that Bitcoin’s low is already in. In a X thread on December 4, he wrote: “F*ck it. I’m putting my neck on the line here. I’m 91.5% certain that the BTC bottom is in. And if it is, A LOT of people are about to be caught offside.” Is The Bitcoin Bottom In? Deutscher bases his conviction on four “pillars”: market reaction to news, the historical behaviour of FUD events, a shift in flows, and an improving global liquidity backdrop. Each pillar is scored in an internal model that culminates in a 91.5/100 bullish reading. He starts with price behaviour …
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Coinbase (COIN), the largest cryptocurrency exchange in the US, has experienced a significant decline in its stock valuation, dropping nearly 40% from its peak of $444 in July to its current trading level of around $271 per share. This, amid market fluctuations and heightened volatility in the broader crypto market, impacting the exchange’s stock performance. Bernstein Forecasts New Bullish Phase For Coinbase Despite these challenges, analysts at Bernstein hold an optimistic outlook on Coinbase’s stock price, suggesting a potential new bullish phase that could propel COIN to surpass previous all-time highs and reach levels above $500. Bernstein maintains a price target…
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Jake Claver, CEO of Digital Ascension Group, says ultra-wealthy families are rapidly accumulating XRP, and he believes most XRP holders still don’t realize how rare their position is. In a video posted on X, Claver revealed that his firm has been in recent conversations with large family offices that are now making significant allocations into XRP. His comments arrive at a moment when XRP’s long-term narrative is witnessing increased interest due to ETFs, and they highlight a shift happening among investors who have always avoided cryptocurrencies altogether. Wealthy Families Quietly Accumulating XRP Claver explained that XRP ownership is currently extremely limited r…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair made a second rebound on Friday from the resistance level of 1.3352–1.3362, which allows us to expect some decline toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.3294. Last week, the bulls attacked more aggressively, and Monday may become a day of a slight pause. A consolidation of the price above the resistance level of 1.3352–1.3362 would work in favor of continued growth toward the level of 1.3425. The wave situation has transformed into a "bullish" one. The last completed wave downward did not break the previous low, and the new upward wave easily broke the previous peak. Thus, the current trend is "bullish." The news background for the …
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Wall Street research firm Bernstein has reiterated one of the boldest long-term calls in traditional finance, confirming a $1 million Bitcoin price target for 2033 while materially revising how and when it expects the market to get there. Bernstein Keeps $1 Million Price Target For Bitcoin The latest shift surfaced after Matthew Sigel, head of digital assets research at VanEck, shared an excerpt from a new Bernstein note on X. In it, the analysts write: “In view of recent market correction, we believe, the Bitcoin cycle has broken the 4-year pattern (cycle peaking every 4 years) and is now in an elongated bull-cycle with more sticky institutional buying offsetting any re…
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Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei Tops 50000 for the First Time Most Read: Markets Weekly Outlook - Trump-Xi Meeting, Earnings & Central Banks Global stock markets continued their record-breaking rally, fueled by the belief that the US and China are close to a trade deal. Top officials from the US and China have reportedly agreed on several major points in their trade talks. This progress makes it likely that Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping can now finalize a trade deal, which would be a welcome relief for global markets. Showing confidence in a deal, China's state media encouraged both countries to protect the positive progress made in recent discussions before th…
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It’s a busy start to the week for crypto today, with Bitcoin quietly heating up just as markets brace for the news on the upcoming FOMC meeting. Most traders are betting on a 25 bps rate cut, and that tiny policy tweak could end up lighting a serious spark across crypto. Right now, the prediction on bitcoin price floating around hopes that if Jerome Powell hints at easier conditions ahead, Bitcoin could finally push into a new zone of strength. Buy with Best Wallet remain the top networks by locked value, with stablecoin totals holding around $308 billion, at an all-time high, poised to be reintro…
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What Is Month-End Rebalancing? Euro Exchange At the end of every month, global institutional investors, including pension funds, insurance companies, and asset managers, rebalance their portfolios. Their holdings span multiple asset classes (stocks, bonds, and sometimes commodities) and regions. When one region’s assets outperform, its weighting within the portfolio can become too large relative to the target allocation. To restore balance, investors sell outperforming assets and buy underperformers, often triggering foreign exchange (FX) transactions in the process. For example: • If U.S. equities outperform foreign markets, a global portfolio becomes overweighted in…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the European CurrencyThe price test of 1.1640 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving upward from the zero line — confirming a correct entry point for buying the euro. Since this setup has only recently formed, we'll observe how it develops further. In the second half of the day, we await an important decision from the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed). The prevailing market forecasts lean toward a likely interest rate cut. It's important to understand that the impact on the currency market will depend not only on the rate cut itself but also on the tone of the accompanying statement. Market participants will closely analyze …
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Based on reports, several asset managers have updated filings for spot XRP exchange-traded funds, naming tickers such as GXRP and XRPZ. That regulatory activity is one of the items market watchers say is drawing attention back to XRP. At the same time, Ripple’s move to acquire GTreasury for $1 billion has been highlighted by some analysts as a step closer to the $120 trillion corporate treasury market. Those developments, taken together, are keeping optimism alive among traders and community figures. Analyst Claims Accelerated Timeline According to social posts and comment threads, the analyst known as 24hrscrypto1 told followers “something big is going on” and reiter…
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Bitcoin price is correcting gains below $112,500. BTC could continue to move down if it stays below the $112,000 resistance. Bitcoin started a downside correction below the $112,000 support. The price is trading below $112,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $111,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $108,800 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Further Bitcoin price failed to stay above the $113,500 pivot level and extended losses. BTC dipped below $112,500 and $112,000 to enter a bearish zone. The decline was such that the…
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[USD Dollar Index] – [Thursday, 30 October 2025] With the intersection of Death Cross between the EMA(50) and EMA(200) and the appearance of Hidden Divergence on the RSI, there is a potential for #USDX to strengthen toward its nearest resistance level. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 99.75 2. Resistance. 1 : 99.42 3. Pivot : 99.01 4. Support. 1 : 98.68 5. Support. 2 : 98.27 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the US Dollar Index strengthens and breaks through and closes above 99.01, it may continue to rise to 99.42. Momentum Extension Bias: If 99.42 is successfully breached and closed above, there is an opportunity for #USDX to test the 99.75 …
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Gold is trading around 3,936, above the 5/8 Murray level and below the 200 EMA and 21 SMA. During recent trading, gold found strong support around 3906. This level, which coincides with the 5/8 Murray level, could present a bullish opportunity for gold to resume long positions. On the H4 chart, we observe that gold is under downward pressure, and it is likely that if there is a sharp break and consolidation below 3,906, we could expect it to reach the key 4/8 Murray level around 3,750. Conversely, if gold decisively breaks the descending trend channel and consolidates above the psychological level of $4,000, we could expect it to reach 4,062 and even 4,135. At the begi…
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Market Insights Podcast (30/10/2025): In today’s episode, we discuss yesterday’s decision to cut rates by the Federal Reserve, Powell’s comments on the ongoing government shutdown, and the latest developments between President Trump and President Xi. Join OANDA Financial Writer Christian Norman, Nick Syiek (TraderNick) and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economi…
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Retail markets are in despair, and analysts are asking why is crypto down after FOMC rates cuts failed to jump start price moves. Crypto’s rally hit a policy reality check this week. A US rate cut, paired with a cautious message from the Federal Reserve, pulled Bitcoin, Ether, and most altcoins lower. On Thursday, October 30, global crypto markets fell after the Fed cut rates by 25 basis points. Chair Jerome Powell warned another cut in December is “not a foregone conclusion.” That comment shifted sentiment fast. By late trading, Bitcoin price slipped toward the $107,000–$109,000 band. Market Cap …
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For the first time in the last three weeks, the euro-dollar pair closed Friday's trading below the 1.1560 target, exiting the established price range of 1.1560–1.1730. Now the main intrigue lies in the simple question: will the price hold below this support level, or will it return to its previous levels? Throughout October, sellers of EUR/USD repeatedly tested the lower boundary of the aforementioned price range, declining towards the base of the 15 figure. However, each time the southern momentum faded, and buyers regained control of the pair. Last week, the dollar strengthened mainly due to the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on the pace of further rate cuts. It …
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Metaplanet Inc., the Tokyo‑listed company building a large Bitcoin treasury, has taken out a $100 million loan backed by a portion of its existing Bitcoin holdings. The company drew from a credit facility on October 31 and pledged part of its 30,823 BTC stash, which was valued at about $3.5 billion at the time. The loan uses a floating interest rate linked to U.S. dollar benchmarks and can be repaid whenever the company chooses. Metaplanet says the pledged collateral represents only a small slice of its bitcoin reserve, which it points to as evidence of its conservative approach to leverage. Borrowing to Buy More Instead of Selling Rather than sell bitcoin to free up c…
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