Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11939 tópicos neste fórum
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The Market ambiance seems to have taken a decidedly better turn as Americans get ready to celebrate Thanksgiving. It is worth a reminder that Markets will be closed tomorrow and will close early on Friday, therefore expect volumes to taper off significantly as the day progresses. European Stocks have rallied for a third consecutive day, providing a much-needed sentiment kicker for most North American opens: The S&P 500 just broke back above 6,800; Dow Jones is holding strong above 47,000 and Nasdaq is doing the same above 25,000 – Key psychological marks for US indexes. This week was essential, arriving just when the narrative seemed to have turned dark for the end-…
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The US Supreme Court declined on Tuesday to hear an appeal by the Apache Stronghold seeking to block the development of the Resolution Copper mine in Arizona. The mine is a joint venture between Rio Tinto (ASX, LON, NYSE: RIO) and BHP (ASX: BHP). The advocacy group, comprising members of the San Carlos Apache tribe of southeastern Arizona and conservationists, challenged a 2024 lower court decision that permitted a federal land swap allowing the mining companies to acquire land considered sacred by the Apache for the mine project. A federal judge in Arizona had temporarily halted the land transfer on May 9, pending the outcome of the Supreme Court appeal. The …
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The US government has launched a new effort to extract valuable critical minerals, including rare earths, lithium, cobalt, and uranium, from mine waste and abandoned sites, aiming to reduce dependence on foreign suppliers and strengthen domestic production. Interior Secretary Doug Burgum has ordered a series of regulatory changes to streamline federal oversight and fast-track projects recovering minerals from coal refuse, tailings, and shuttered uranium mines. The directive includes updated guidance to make these recovery projects eligible for federal funding and requires faster review timelines for new proposals. It also directs the US Geological Survey to map a…
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The US Treasury is going after cyber scam operations in Southeast Asia that have quietly drained over $10 billion from Americans. In its latest move, it announced sanctions on 19 different entities tied to these scams, nine in Myanmar and ten in Cambodia. The focus is on schemes known as “pig butchering,” where victims are manipulated into sending money through fake investment platforms, often built around fabricated romantic relationships. Shwe Kokko in Myanmar Comes Into Focus Much of the attention is on Shwe Kokko, a compound in Myanmar linked to these scams. It’s not just a random location. This area is under the control of the Karen National Army and has long been k…
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Starting today, key minerals including gold bullion, graphite, tungsten and uranium are officially exempt from US global tariffs under an executive order signed late last week by President Donald Trump. The order also imposes new levies on certain silicone products, resin, and aluminum hydroxide, while streamlining the process for future tariff exemptions tied to trade agreements. Under the new framework, the US Trade Representative and the Commerce Department will now be empowered to implement tariff adjustments embedded in agreements with countries such as the European Union, Japan, and South Korea—removing the need for the president to personally issue additi…
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Overview: Most the dollar's late sell-off yesterday after the White House endorsed Stephen Miran to fill the remainder of Governor Kugler's term at the Federal Reserve has been recouped today. In mostly narrow ranges, the greenback is firmer against the G10 currencies but the Canadian dollar and sterling. The dollar is also trading with a stronger bias against emerging market currencies. China reports its CPI and PPI figures tomorrow, and next week's US July CPI is expected to have risen for the third consecutive month. In an otherwise quiet session, the gold futures market was roiled by news that US Customs will be imposing a tariff on one -kilogram and 100-ounce gold ba…
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Overview: The capricious nature of the US tariffs, the tone in which they were announced, while still allowing time (August 1) to negotiate is the main talk. More tariff announcements are expected today. The dollar's upside correction was cut short, and it is weaker against nearly all the world's currencies. The jump in long-end Japanese government bonds (9-15 bp) has not helped the yen, which is the only G10 currency struggling to find traction against the greenback today. Among emerging market currencies, only the Taiwan dollar and Turkish lira are a little softer. Equities have done surprisingly well today, while bonds have been sold. Nearly all the bourses in the Asi…
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Overview: The US 35% tariff on Canada and President Trump's threat to have a 15%-20% universal tariff rather than 10% provides today's disruption. A tariff letter for the EU is awaited but seeing how the US treated Canada and Brazil (with whom the US has a trade surplus) warns of the risk to Europe. That said, the full details of the tariff threat on Canada, given the free-trade deal, have not been reported yet. The dollar is firmer against the G10 currencies. The backing up of US rates arguably helped push the yen to the bottom of the leaders' board with a 0.5%-0.6% loss. The Canadian dollar is at a new low for the month and is off about 0.35%. The UK economy unexpectedl…
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The week kicks off with a familiar pattern for 2025: Tech and metals leading the charge. The Nasdaq extends its dominance, officially breaking above the 25,000 mark and up roughly 1% as I write this piece. Cryptocurrencies follow suit (they correlate very well with Tech in general), while Metals also join the positive mood amid continued “everything rally” momentum. Flows remain heavily concentrated in growth and innovation-linked assets, as markets appear to be pricing not just this year’s optimism, but the next five years of transformation — where AI, automation, and digital infrastructure take center stage. The chip and tech manufacturing boom, tightly linked to c…
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Market Insights Podcast (15/12/2025): Join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they discuss the latest in central bank monetary policy, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, Friday's sell-off in US equities, the US dollar, and more. Join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major…
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Overview: While the US dollar is a little softer today against the G10 currencies, it remains mostly within Wednesday's range. The yen is a notable exception. It made a new high for the week despite the contraction in Q1 25 GDP. Most emerging market currencies are firmer. The markets have not reacted to a statement from President Trump that his administration lacks the capacity to negotiate with all the parties so in the next 2-3 weeks, the US will simply set the tariff rates. Asia Pacific equities ended the week on a mixed note. Europe's Stoxx 600 is up about 0.6%, the fourth daily advance this week. US index futures are up about 0.25%. European bonds are rallying. The …
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Overview: There is one driver today. The US Court of International Trade ruled against the Trump administration's "Liberation Day" tariffs. The court rules that the 1977 law used to justify the actions did not apply. The ruling also applies to the earlier tariffs on security of the US borders and fentanyl trafficking. The dollar initially rallied but is now more mixed, with the dollar bloc and Scandis firmer on the day. Emerging market currencies have not recovered as well, but after the Russian ruble, the South African rand, Mexican peso, and Chinese yuan are making advances. Equities mostly like the development, but the Trump administration will appeal. Taiwan and Indi…
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Overview: The US agreed to not to block subsidiaries of Chinese companies that were sanctioned and not to enforce the port fee on Chinese ships that had ostensibly triggered the tightening of China's rare earth/magnet export restrictions. China agreed to suspend those for a year and dropped its levy on US made/operated ships port calls. Beijing will also buy US soy, and some reports say energy as well. Apparently, Nvidia's Blackwell chip was not a subject of talks. Even with America's technological prowess, the education and material infrastructure to build rare earth processing capability and magnet will take more than a year. The deal will likely be widely criticized by…
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Rare earths have been in the news lately, with a deal between the United States and China regarding the 17 elements on the Period Table, followed by a plan the Trump administration is developing to prioritize and fund rare earth projects it deems critical to national security. According to a June 12 story by Bloomberg, Officials are discussing using the Defense Production Act to tap financing, loans and other means for rare earths element-related projects, including mining, processing and other downstream technologies to bolster the US’s capability to build a domestic supply chain, the people said. A specific course of action or a timeline have yet to be finalized, th…
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Overview: The US and China struck an agreement that would lower tariffs for a 90-day cooling off period. The US tariff on China falls to 30% from 145%, while China's tariff on the US falls to 10% from 125%. A new forum was established to allow recurring discussions on economics and trade. The dollar spiked sharply higher on the news but was quickly sold into the rally, and while it remains sharply higher on the day, it is well off its peak. The Japanese yen is weakest of the G10 currencies, and it is off about in late European morning turnover. The Australian dollar, sometimes treated as a G10 proxy for China, is down the least, less than 0.15%. Most emerging markets in …
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 22 US stocks fell on Wednesday due to a combination of mixed corporate earnings (like Netflix) and renewed fears over US-China trade relations. A report suggested the Trump administration is planning new restrictions on exports to China covering everything from laptops to jet engines in response to China's limits on rare earth minerals, leading to an immediate drop in the stock market, especially for tech companies. This trade tension overshadowed President Trump's mixed signals about an upcoming meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping. While some analysts believe the market decline is temporary and the ov…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for September 15 Following the positive post-CPI move, today’s session saw ecstatic flows around consistently higher equities. Despite trade tensions still in the air, the latest talks between the US and China centered around Chinese firms (like TikTok and their rights) recently happened, with the Chinese top trade envoy Chenggang reaffirming their positions. Nvidia was also hit by Antitrust fines in China, which preceded a pullback in the stock, which consequently rallied back, lifted by positive sentiment. In fact, it really was a commodity day in Markets: Coffee and Orange Juice finished their session above 5%, w…
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Overview: There are five developments to note. First, the US and China will have initial trade talks this weekend in Switzerland. Second, the PBOC cut its key rate by 10 bp and cut reserve requirements by 0.5%. It also announced several other measures to boost lending/relending. Third, German factory orders were stronger than expected, perhaps bolstered by attempts to move ahead of US tariffs. Fourth, after last week’s ruction, most Asian emerging market currencies continued to pullback. The exceptions today were the South Korean won and Philippine peso. Fifth, there has been little market impact from India and Pakistan exchanging strikes. The Indian rupee is weaker (~0.5…
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It is a US bank holiday today for Columbus Day (with Canada and Japan also off) but markets that are open were still subject to quite the volatile weekly open. The final quarter volatility is never something to beckon with, particularly after an already volatile beginning of 2025. At the close of last week, markets were rocked by a massive trade war scare initiated by some more aggressive Chinese stance. …
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A US-Canada trade agreement on steel, aluminum, and energy is reportedly ready for Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney and US President Donald Trump to sign at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit later this month. Sources familiar with the negotiations told The Globe and Mail that the deal will likely involve Canada accepting steel export quotas in exchange for reduced US tariffs. Talks have excluded critical minerals, despite Washington’s broader push to secure these resources. Trump triggered the dispute earlier this year by imposing tariffs on Canadian steel, aluminum, and cars. Ottawa responded with its own tariffs, setting off months of negoti…
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The US government has teamed up with Orion Resource Partners and Abu Dhabi’s ADQ to establish a new billion-dollar fund to invest in critical minerals, marking another major step in President Donald Trump’s push to secure key resources and reduce reliance on China’s supply chains. The initiative, known as the Orion Critical Mineral Consortium, was announced Thursday by Orion and supported by the US International Development Finance Corp. (DFC). According to Orion’s statement, the three partners — DFC, Orion and ADQ — have made initial capital commitments totaling $1.8 billion, with plans to expand the pool to as much as $5 billion in the future. Bloomberg News fir…
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Investors rely on private data (ADP, ISM, Conference Board), but correlations with official figures are weak.Alternative indicators suggest slower hiring, not a collapse.The Fed is likely to stay cautious with future rate cuts. The third week of the partial shutdown of the U.S. federal government is increasingly disrupting access to official economic data. The suspension of key reports makes it more difficult for the Federal Reserve to assess the economic situation as it prepares for the upcoming FOMC meeting scheduled for October 28–29. In this environment, investors and analysts are attempting to replace government statistics with private-sector indicators — though t…
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Join OANDA Market Analyst Kenny Fisher, Nick Syiek (TraderNick) and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for inf…
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USA Rare Earth (Nasdaq: USAR) will bring forward the planned commercialization of its Round Top project in Texas by two years, with first production targeted for late 2028, the company said on Wednesday. Round Top is the richest known deposit of heavy rare earth elements, which are crucial to high-performance permanent magnets used in high-tech applications such as electric vehicles, wind turbines and defense systems. It is also the largest US source of gallium and beryllium. The decision to accelerate the Round Top timeline, said USAR, follows promising results of solvent-extraction (SX) pilot work that has allowed its Hydromet demonstration facility in Colorado …
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USA Rare Earth (Nasdaq: USAR) is acquiring one of the most established rare earth metal and alloy producers outside of China, a move that it says represents “a significant acceleration” of its mine-to-magnet strategy. Earlier this week, the company announced that it will acquire United Kingdom-based Less Common Metals (LCM), which currently produces both light and heavy rare earth permanent magnet metals and alloys at scale at its 67,000-square-foot facility in Cheshire. LCM is one of the few companies capable of processing metal oxide feedstocks from both mined and recycled sources, USAR said. Metals and alloys produced at its facility include samarium, samarium …
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