Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Australia is actively exploring digital currencies and tokenized assets. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is set to launch a comprehensive trial, in partnership with the Digital Finance Cooperating Reserach Centre (DFCRC). The country unveiled the next phase of ‘Project Acacia’ – an initiative designed to test the real world application of the central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), stablecoins and tokenized assets. The trail will test 24 distinct use case. 19 of these will involve real money transactions. Five are proofs-of-concept using simulated transactions. Importantly, three of Australia’s four largest banks – Commonwealth Bank(CBA), Australia and New Zealand B…
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The Australian dollar is showing limited movement on Wednesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6495, up 0.08% on the day. Australian CPI falls more than expected Australia's inflation rate headed lower in May. Headline CPI rose 2.1%, after gains of 2.4% in the previous three months. This was below the market estimate of 2.3%. Monthly, CPI eased to 0.4%, driven by lower petrol and housing costs. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and education…
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Australia's GDP grew by 2.1% year-on-year in the third quarter, a result slightly below expectations but the highest in the past two years. The growth was slightly weaker than the anticipated 2.2%, mainly due to companies significantly reducing their inventory levels, which may provide a further boost to GDP in the next quarter as output increases. Domestic demand accounted for 1.1% of the overall growth, while private investments rose at the fastest pace since March 2021. The only significant downside was the negative dynamics in external trade, where import growth outpaced export growth. Ahead of the GDP data publication, Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock warn…
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The Australian dollar is lower on Thursday. In the Europen session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6556, down 0.41% on the day. Australia's retail sales lower than expected at 0.2% Australia's retail sales posted a small gain of 0.2% in May, up from a flat reading in April but shy of the consensus of 0.4%. The gain was driven by a strong rebound in sales in clothing and footwear, while food sales declined. On an annual basis, retail sales rose 3.3%, down sharply from 3.8% in April and the weakest pace of growth in six months. RBA expected to trim next week Today's weak data has bolstered expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia will lower rates at next we…
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Australia’s top gold producers have stockpiled billions of dollars in cash and bullion as record-high gold prices fuelled by geopolitical turmoil and central bank demand swell balance sheets across the industry. Several Australian-listed gold miners ended June with cash and bullion reserves well above A$500 million ($335 million), with Northern Star Resources (ASX: NST) alone holding A$1.9 billion, according to Surbiton Associates, a mining consultancy that tracks sector performance. The gains come as gold prices in touched near-record levels of A$5,100 per oz. this year. “When you look at historical gold prices, gold was so extraordinarily cheap compared with cur…
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Australia’s Locksley Resources (ASX: LKY) has received a letter of interest (LOI) from the US Export-Import Bank (EXIM) for a potential financing of $191 million in support of its antimony project in California. Locksley’s Mojave project in Inyo County is host to a high-grade antimony prospect with historic samples grading up to 46%. The property is situated next to the only active US rare earths mine — MP Materials’ (NYSE: MP) Mountain Pass. Antimony is a vital ingredient in many military applications as well as batteries and semiconductors. Currently, the US has no domestic source of antimony production, and therefore relies heavily on imports from China. …
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After the most transformational year in the company’s history, Australia’s PLS (ASX: PLS) is ready for a recovery in the lithium price. “The stage is set,” PLS managing director Dale Henderson declared during a site visit to the company’s flagship Pilgangoora operation in Western Australia’s Pilbara region on Friday. Spodumene concentrate prices have gyrated wildly in recent weeks, bottoming at around $600 per tonne in early July before rising back towards $800/t. Henderson said the recent spike in pricing appeared to be driven by a regulatory crackdown on lithium mines in China. While current price moves are related to supply, he pointed to continued stro…
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The Australian dollar continues to propel higher. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6618, up 0.40% on the day. The Aussie has shot up 1.5% since Thursday and is trading at six-week highs. Australian consumer, business confidence slide Australia's consumer and business confidence have taken a hit, pointing to pessimism over the economic outlook. The Westpac Consumer Sentiment Index fell 3.1% m/m in September, after a strong 5.7% gain in August. Westpac said that the index is back in "cautiously pessimistic" territory. Consumers remain uneasy over high interest rates, as the Reserve Bank has been slow to lower rates. The Westpac survey found that consume…
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The Australian dollar is showing limited movement on Tuesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6482, down 0.01% on the day. Australian CPI expected to jump to 2.3% The markets are bracing for an acceleration in Australian CPI on Wednesday. The market estimate stands at 2.3% y/y, compared to 1.9% on June which was the lowest level in over three years. The 1.9% gain was below the Reserve Bank of Australia's 2-3% target range and enabled the RBA to lower rates earlier this month. If inflation does rise as expected, it would complicate the central bank's plans to continue lowering rates in order to boost economic growth. The RBA minutes from the August meet…
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The Australian dollar is in negative territory on Friday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6415, down 0.42% on the day. Australian retail sales show unexpected declineAustralia's retail sales contracted in April by 0.1% m/m, missing the market estimate of 0.3%, which was also the March reading. This was the first decline since December, weighed by declines in clothing and department store spending. Annually, retail sales rose 3.8%, compared to 4.3% in March. The weak retail sales report points to a nervous Austrlian consumer and will support the case for further rate cuts. The Reserve Bank of Australia lowered rates by a quarter-point…
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The Australian dollar has extended its gains on Wednesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6551, up 0.33% on the day. The Aussie is trading at its highest levels since July 28, as the US dollar is showing signs of weakness against the major crurrencies. Australian wage growth steady at 3.4% Australia's wage growth rose 3.4% y/y in the second quarter, unchanged from Q1 and just above the market estimate of 3.3%. Wages accelerated in both the public and private sectors, which accounted for the better-than-expected growth. The labor market has been softening but wage growth still remains solid. The Reserve Bank of Australia is keeping an especially close eye…
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The Australian dollar has steadied on Monday after posting sparkling gains of 1.1% on Friday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6503, up 0.18% on the day. Powell sends US dollar sharply lower The US dollar retreated against all the major currencies on Friday, including the Australian dollar. This followed Federal Reserve Chair Powell's dovish speech at a meeting of central bankers' in Jackson Hole. Powell discussed the two key concerns for the Fed - inflation and employment. He noted that upside risk to inflation due to tariffs and expressed concern about the labor market, saying that "downside risks to employment are rising" and such risks could mate…
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The Australian dollar is coming off a positive week and has extended its gains on Monday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6556, up 0.27% on the day. Earlier, the Aussie rose as high as 0.6560, its highest level since August 11. With US markets closed for Labor Day, we're unlikely to see stronger movement from AUD/USD during the day. China's weak manufacturing could hurt Australian dollar China's manufacturing sector continues to contract and that could spell trouble for the Australian economy and the Aussie. China's manufacturing PMI for August inched higher to 49.4 from 49.3 in August. This missed the market forecast of 49.5 and marked the fight st…
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The Australian dollar has edged lower on Monday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6555, down 0.32% on the day. The Aussie took advantage of US dollar weakness last week as it touched a high of 0.6593, its highest level since November 2024. China's GDP expected to ease to 5.1%China's economy is expected to have grown by 5.1% in the second quarter, after back-to-back quarters of gains of 5.4%. The government's annual growth target is around 5.0%, and policymakers won't complain if this target is exceeded for a third consecutive quarter. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Service…
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The Australian dollar has rallied for a fourth sucessive day. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6588, up 0.50% on the day. The red-hot Aussie has jumped 1.6% since Thursday and hit a daily high of 0.6600 earlier, its highest level since Nov. 2024. US-Japan trade deal raises risk appetite The financial markets are in a risk-on mood today, buoyed by the announcement that the US and Japan have reached a trade agreement. Under the deal, the US will impose 15% tariffs on Japanese products, including automobiles. As well, Japan will invest some $550 billion into the US. Global stock markets are higher and the Australian dollar, a gauge of risk appetite, …
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The Australian dollar has extended its gains on Monday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6588, up 0.49% on the day. Earlier, the Australian dollar climbed to a daily high of 0.6598, its highest level since July 25. The US dollar ended the week broadly lower, as investors dumped the greenback after the soft US employment report. August nonfarm payrolls fell to 22 thousand, well below the revised market estimate of 79 thousand and lower than the July gain of 75 thousand. The Australian dollar rose as much as 1.1% on Friday before giving up about half its gains. Australian confidence levels are expected to show an improvement on Tuesday. Westpac C…
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The Australian dollar is up sharply on Tuesday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6504, up 0.70% on the day. Australian dollar jumps as risk appetite improves Investors' risk appetite is higher today after Israel and Iran agreed to a ceasefire in their 12-day war. The markets have reacted favorably to lower oil prices as fears that Iran would close the Straits of Hormuz, which would have disrupted global oil supplies, have diminished. Risk appetite has returned and risk currencies like the Australian dollar have posted strong gains today. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business…
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The Australian Dollar is coming off several weeks of strength, buoyed by broad market optimism and fading tariff concerns that have lifted global growth sentiment—typically a supportive backdrop for the AUD and other commodity-linked currencies. Australia’s economy remains resilient, with the unemployment rate holding near 4.1%. However, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) expects the number to gradually rise toward year-end, adding to the case for further monetary easing. With that in mind, markets widely expect a 25 bps rate cut at the upcoming RBA meeting (Current 3.85% expected to get to 3.60%). While this move is largely priced in, surprises remain possible, especi…
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The Australian dollar is sharply lower on Thursday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6467, down 0.93% on the day. Earlier, the Australian dollar fell as low as 0.6461, its lowest level since June 24. Australian job growth slides, unemployment jumps Australia's June employment report was much softer than expected and investors responded by sending the Australian to a three-week low. Job growth showed a marginal gain of two thousand, following a revised -1.1 thousand in May and well off the market estimate of 20 thousand. Full time employment slid by 38.2 thousand, after a revised gain of 41.9 thousand in May. The unemployment rate, which had…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Australian dollar is in positive territory after a three-day skid. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6532, up 0.50% on the day. The Australian dollar rose as much as 0.95% earlier before retreating. RBA shocker The Reserve Bank of Australia blindslided the markets on Tuesday as the central bank held the cash rate at 3.85%. The markets had priced in a quarter-point cut at 96%, but the RBA had the last laugh. For the first time, the RBA published the vote tally, which was 6-3 in favor of maintaining the rate. The rate statement was cautious, as members said "there are uncertainties about the outlook for domestic economic activity and inf…
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The Australian dollar is down for a fourth straight day. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6497, down 0.36% on the day. The Aussie has slipped 1.5% in the current slide, as the US dollar continues to make inroads against most of the major currencies. Australian CPI expected to ease to 2.2%Australia's inflation rate has been falling and that trend is to continue in the second quarter report, which will be released on Wednesday. CPI is expected to ease to 2.2% y/y, down from 2.4% in Q1, which was the lowest level since Q1 2021. Quarterly, CPI is expected to tick lower to 0.8% in Q2, down from 0.9% in Q1. The markets will be keeping a close eye on service…
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The Australian dollar has rebounded on Wednesday and is in postive territory. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6532, up 0.19%. The Aussie declined 0.52% on Tuesday, ending a streak of five consecutive winning sessions. Aussie GDP hits fastest pace in nearly two yearsAustralian GDP grew 1.8% y/y in the second quarter, above the revised 1.4% gain in Q1 and higher than the market estimate of 1.6%. This was the fastest pace of growth since Q3 2023. Quarterly, GDP expanded 0.6%, up from a revised 0.3% in Q1 and above the market estimate of 0.5%. The improvement was driven by stronger household consumption and increased government spending. The stronger-than-exp…
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The Australian dollar has extended its losses on Wednesday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6415 in the North American session, down 0.44% on the day. Australia's CPI remains at 2.4% Australia's inflation rate remained unchanged in April at 2.4% y/y for a third straight month, matching the lowest rate since Nov. 2024. The reading was slightly higher than the market estimate of 2.3% but remained within the central bank's inflation target of 2%-3%. Trimmed mean inflation, the central bank's preferred indicator for underlying inflation, edged up to 2.8% from 2.7% in March. The inflation report was mildly disappointing in that inflation was hotter than expected. Under…
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The Australian dollar is showing limited movement. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6500, down 0.15% on the day. Australian CPI eases to 2.1%Australia's inflation rate for the second quarter came in lower than expected. Headline CPI dropped to 2.1% y/y, down from 2.4% in the prior two quarters and falling to its lowest level since Q1 2021. This was just below the market estimate of 2.2%. Quarterly, CPI rose 0.7% in Q2, down from 0.9% in Q1 and below the market estimate of 0.8%. Services inflation continued to decline and fell to 3.3% from 3.7%. The drop in CPI was driven by a sharp drop in automotive fuel costs. The RBA's key gauge for core CPI, the t…
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The Australian dollar is in negative territory on Wednesday. In the European session, AUD/IUSD is trading at 0.6468, down 0.40% on the day. Australian CPI jumps to 2.8% Australia's CPI for July surprised on the upside, jumping to 2.8% y/y. This followed a 1.9% gain in June and was above the market estimate of 2.3%. The spike in inflation, the highest level since July 2024, was driven by a sharp increase in electricity prices due to the end of government electricity rebates for many households. The trimmed mean, a key gauge of core CPI, rose to 2.7% in July from 2.1% in June. The surprise jump in inflation has dampened expectations for a September rate cut. The money ma…
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