Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11939 tópicos neste fórum
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The USD/CAD currency pair has fallen below the key level of 1.400. The Canadian dollar is strengthening against the US dollar amid rising oil prices. Oil quotes have climbed to nearly two-week highs following the introduction of US sanctions against major Russian oil companies, which has supported the Canadian dollar — a currency that traditionally correlates with commodity prices. It is important to note that Canada is the largest exporter of oil to the United States, and rising prices for "black gold" generally have a positive impact on the Canadian currency.According to Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, the long-standing process of close economic integration between…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Friday, the Canadian dollar is gaining against the US dollar, with the USD/CAD pair halting its two-day advance and paring earlier intraday losses, despite a stronger US dollar and weaker retail sales data in Canada. At the time of writing, the pair is trading at 1.3772, pulling back from the day's high of 1.3825, as buyers failed to hold above the psychological 1.3800 level. The US Dollar Index, which measures the dollar against a basket of six major currencies, continues to rebound after the Fed's decision, trying to stay near its daily high, last seen six days ago. According to Statistics Canada, retail sales fell by 0.8% in July compared with the previous month, in…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
From a technical standpoint, repeated bounces from the key support zone of 1.3725–1.3720 and yesterday's breakout above the psychological level of 1.3900 can be viewed as a new catalyst for the bulls in the USD/CAD pair. Oscillators on the daily chart remain in positive territory and are far from the overbought zone. A break above the resistance level at 1.3850 would confirm the likelihood of continued upward momentum toward the psychological level of 1.4000. This level also coincides with the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), and a successful breakout above it would open the path for further continuation of the bullish trend observed over the past two weeks. In the ev…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The USD/CAD pair has been attracting buyers for the fifth consecutive day amid contrasting forecasts from the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve. The pair continues its upward movement for the fifth day in a row, marking the seventh positive session over the past eight days. The Canadian dollar remains under pressure amid expectations of further rate cuts by the Bank of Canada. On Tuesday, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem stated that the central bank intends to support economic growth while keeping inflation under control. This undermines the Canadian dollar. The Bank of Canada's dovish stance contrasts sharply with the cautious comments from Federal Reserve Chair…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Finding support yesterday, USD/CHF trades 0.54% higher in today’s session, at 0.80251, crucially above the key level of 0.8000 for the first time since late September. In recent memory, the 0.80000 psychological level has presented a key area of resistance; therefore, the subsequent few sessions remain as important as ever if bullish momentum is to be sustained. USD/CHF: Key takeaways 08/10/2025 Mainly owing to dollar strength, with the dollar strength index (DXY) recently posting four-week highs, USD/CHF has found some buying support, but remains down 11.57% year-to-dateWhile seemingly more at peace with a strong franc than in recent memory, deflationary risks remain …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trading in the region of ~0.81694, a decisive move in this morning’s trading sees USD/CHF surpass monthly lows and break previously held consolidation to the downside. Amidst an increase in general safe-haven demand, trade tariff uncertainty, mixed US economic data, and a dovish stance from the SNB weighs on dollar-franc price action. USD/CHF: Key Takeaways Breaking down in this morning’s trading, USD/CHF trades 0.71% lower, facing further selling pressure amid an increase in demand for safe-haven assetsUS trade policy, especially regarding uncertainty on future inflation and economic growth, is adding to USD/CHF selling pressureWhile the Federal Reserve r…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In today’s trading, USD/CHF is trading ~0.03% higher around the ~0.80132 level. Having rallied yesterday, in today’s session dollar-franc looks for support at the 0.80000 key level, having retraced from intraday highs. close USD/CHF, OANDA, TradingView, 16/07/2025 …
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USD/CHF is down ~0.63% in today’s session, currently trading around the ~0.79378 level. Crucially remaining under the key level of 0.8000, the Swiss franc remains on pace for its best three-monthly performance versus the dollar since 2008 amid the latest wave of dollar weakness. USD/CHF: Key takeaways from today’s session With the DXY falling to three-year lows today shortly after the New York open, dollar-franc has predictably followed suit, falling to levels last seen in 2011~ Recent commentary from the Swiss National Bank, suggesting that both negative rates and currency interventions remain a possibility, might limit USD/CHF downside in the short term …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Riding on the coattails of dollar weakness and safe-haven demand for much of 2025, USD/CHF currently trades at monthly lows of 0.78698, down -1.10% in yesterday’s session aloneDespite renewed deflationary pressures, as seen in Monday's PPI report, safe-haven flows concerning U.S. policy, especially regarding trade, continue to benefit CHF pricingWhile the SNB has been expected to return to its usual playbook of currency interventions to weaken the franc, recent market realisations suggest that new leadership is less interested in ‘interventionist’ policy Currently on pace for its best yearly performance in over two decades, 2025 has been an interesting year for dollar-…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
It's a holiday in many OECD countries for the Remembrance of the Great War (World War I). As most banks are closed throughout Europe and North America, Swiss banks maintain their regular activity, and traders are not sleeping on the latest trade news. US President Donald Trump confirmed yesterday that Washington is "working on a deal to get the tariffs a little lower" after Swiss business leaders stepped in to drive talks forward. zoom_out_map Different tar…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The USD/CHF’s sideways range environment since its 1 August 2025 swing high of 0.8170 has been getting compressed as we approach the key risk event for the FX market this week, the US non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate for August out this Friday, 5 September. SNB rate cut cycle likely over as Swiss leading economic data improves in August …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Swiss franc has continued to face downside pressure against the US dollar as it extends its losses in place since last Wednesday, 23 July. In today’s Asia, it shed -0.3% at this time of writing, making it the worst-performing major currency against the greenback. Swiss franc under pressure as US hikes tariffs to 39%, SNB may turn more dovish The current onslaught of the Swiss franc has been further reinforced by a higher-than-expected US tariff rate of 39% on Swiss products versus the earlier 31% levy announced in April. The latest 39% tariff slapped on Switzerland by the US White House administration is one of the steepest levies globally, which is likely to trigg…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Painting new lows last Friday, gains in today’s session keep the dollar-franc exchange above the key level of 0.8000 - at least for now. Currently trading around ~$0.80698, recent developments on the Federal Reserve’s autonomy on monetary policy and potential action by the SNB continue to dominate USD/CHF headlines. USD/CHF: Key takeaways from today’s session Boasting reasonable gains in Monday’s session, despite a public holiday in the United Kingdom, USD/CHF trades ~0.46% higher today, as markets adjust expectations for Federal Reserve monetary policy Otherwise, questions continue surrounding Federal Reserve independence from the US central government, with President…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Currently trading at ~0.79632, USD/CHF has found support at previous monthly lows of around ~0.78309. Having recently suffered its worst 6-monthly performance since 2010, losing over 12% in value, ongoing negotiations to suggest the US and the EU are ‘edging closer’ to a trade deal have offered some short-term USD/CHF buying pressure. USD/CHF: Key takeaways from today’s session Signifying a welcome episode of co-operation between the two economies, recent commentary from both the White House and the EU suggests negotiations on trade are proving fruitful, with US officials ‘optimistic’ that a deal is to be struckOtherwise, markets are adjusting expectations on SNB monet…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
As of Wednesday, the USD/CHF pair showed a slight decline of 0.10%, trading near 0.7955 at the time of writing, after recovering from the 0.7900 level reached earlier in the week. Throughout the current week, the U.S. dollar has remained stable in relation to the Swiss franc. Markets are displaying caution ahead of upcoming U.S. economic data releases and next week's Federal Reserve policy decision. Investor sentiment has improved following news of a planned meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping later this month, aimed at reducing trade tensions. This rise in optimism has modestly reduced demand for safe-haven assets, applying pressu…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A positive risk sentiment is undermining demand for the safe-haven CHF and helping to limit losses for the pair. However, expectations of Fed rate cuts, renewed U.S.–China trade tensions, and the ongoing U.S. government shutdown continue to put pressure on the dollar. The USD/CHF pair is attempting to halt its decline today. U.S. dollar selling has continued for the third consecutive day amid growing concerns about economic risks linked to the prolonged U.S. government shutdown and renewed trade tensions with China. Additional downward pressure comes from dovish expectations regarding Federal Reserve policy — a key factor weighing on the dollar's exchange rate. On Wednesd…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
For the fourth consecutive day, the USD/CHF pair has been declining — marking the fifth negative session in the past six days. Spot prices have fallen below the round level of 0.7900 and appear poised for further losses amid the prevailing bearish trend for the U.S. dollar. The U.S. Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback's performance against a basket of major currencies, has fallen to its lowest level in more than a week. This decline comes amid dovish expectations surrounding Federal Reserve policy and the prolonged U.S. government shutdown. Analysts suggest that investors have fully priced in two future Fed rate cuts — one in October and another in December. Meanwhi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The USD/CHF pair is trying to rebound from the 0.7950 level but so far without success. The U.S. dollar has been attempting to find support from buyers since the start of the new week, partly offsetting losses after the disappointing U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report, which came in weaker than expected and pushed the currency to its lowest level in more than a month. In addition, the generally optimistic risk sentiment in markets typically reduces demand for the Swiss franc as a safe-haven currency, creating favorable conditions for USD/CHF growth. However, the dollar's strengthening potential is limited by expectations of more decisive monetary easing by the Federal Reserve.…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The USD/CHF pair is struggling to maintain its recovery momentum after bouncing from 0.7915 — the lowest level since July 23 — balancing between moderate gains and minor losses. Prices remain below the psychological level of 0.8000, as market participants exercise caution ahead of key U.S. inflation data that could provide a notable impulse for the pair. During the North American session today, U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data will be released, followed by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) tomorrow. Since the market has already priced in a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve at its upcoming meeting, these indicators will significantly shape expectations regard…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Swiss National Bank's (SNB) interest rate decision is scheduled for Thursday, September 25, 2025, followed by a press conference from Chairman Martin Schlegel. It is expected that the central bank will once again keep the key rate at 0.0%, marking a second consecutive meeting without changes after six straight cuts since March of last year. Market expectations do not point to further cuts this year, while any potential moves next year remain uncertain. Investors and traders should closely monitor Schlegel's remarks for signals that could indicate a review of the negative rate policy. This decision will have a significant impact on the Swiss franc's exchange rate and p…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Thursday, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) confirmed that the base deposit rate would remain unchanged at 0% after completing its quarterly monetary policy review for Q3 2025. This decision was fully in line with market expectations. The central bank ended its rate-cutting cycle after six consecutive reductions, which began in March last year and continued through June this year. According to the latest SNB statement, Switzerland's GDP growth forecast for 2025 was revised down to 0.2% from the previous 1.0–1.5% range. For 2026, the SNB projects Swiss GDP growth of about 1% (previously 1.0–1.5%). Inflation in the country is forecast to reach 0.0% in Q2 2028. Globally, econ…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, the USD/CHF pair is struggling to hold yesterday's levels. The exchange rate barely changed after the release of Swiss consumer inflation figures. According to the Swiss Federal Statistical Office, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell by 0.2% in September after a 0.1% decline in August. On an annual basis, inflation stood at 0.2%, matching August's result but falling short of expectations for a 0.3% increase. Nevertheless, this data has little impact on the Swiss franc or the USD/CHF pair amid mixed signals regarding Swiss National Bank (SNB) policy. SNB President Martin Schlegel stated that the central bank is ready to cut interest rates if necessary, but noted a h…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The USD/CHF pair continues its recent rise from the November low of 0.7880 reached last week and has remained positive for the fourth straight day. The pair has now surpassed the round 0.8000 level, with bulls attempting to build on the momentum and break above the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The Swiss franc remains relatively stable amid fresh data indicating that Switzerland's export-driven economy contracted in the third quarter for the first time in two years. In contrast, the U.S. dollar is approaching a weekly high, supported by a reduced likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December. This has become an important driver of USD/CHF strengthening.Howev…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today marks the fifth straight day of positive sentiment for the USD/CHF pair. At the moment, spot prices are fluctuating just below the 0.8060 level. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which reflects the dollar's value against a basket of major currencies, has reached its highest level since late May amid less "dovish" expectations from the Federal Reserve. Following Wednesday's release of the minutes from the October FOMC meeting, it became clear that due to disagreements within the Federal Open Market Committee, the likelihood of another interest rate cut in December has decreased. This development helps ease fears of a prolonged economic downturn caused by U.S. government c…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today marks the second consecutive day in which USD/CHF continues its correction from the nearly three-week high located just above the 0.8100 round level. This decline is driven by the prevailing bearish sentiment toward the US dollar.The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar against a basket of currencies, set a new weekly low. This occurred after Tuesday's release of US economic data, which reinforced the Federal Reserve's "dovish" outlook. Specifically, the Producer Price Index (PPI) showed signs of slowing inflation, while September retail sales rose less than expected. In addition, the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index fell to a seven-month low due…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
