Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Retail markets are in despair, and analysts are asking why is crypto down after FOMC rates cuts failed to jump start price moves. Crypto’s rally hit a policy reality check this week. A US rate cut, paired with a cautious message from the Federal Reserve, pulled Bitcoin, Ether, and most altcoins lower. On Thursday, October 30, global crypto markets fell after the Fed cut rates by 25 basis points. Chair Jerome Powell warned another cut in December is “not a foregone conclusion.” That comment shifted sentiment fast. By late trading, Bitcoin price slipped toward the $107,000–$109,000 band. Market Cap …
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For the first time in the last three weeks, the euro-dollar pair closed Friday's trading below the 1.1560 target, exiting the established price range of 1.1560–1.1730. Now the main intrigue lies in the simple question: will the price hold below this support level, or will it return to its previous levels? Throughout October, sellers of EUR/USD repeatedly tested the lower boundary of the aforementioned price range, declining towards the base of the 15 figure. However, each time the southern momentum faded, and buyers regained control of the pair. Last week, the dollar strengthened mainly due to the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on the pace of further rate cuts. It …
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Bitcoin is trading around $106,574 within a descending trend channel formed on October 27th, bouncing after reaching the key 2/8 Murray support level. If Bitcoin's price consolidates above the 2/8 Murray support level in the coming hours, we could expect a recovery, potentially climbing to the top of the descending trend channel around $109,000. A strong resistance zone is located around the psychological level of $110,000, which coincides with the 3/8 Murray level and the 200 EMA. This level could act as a strong barrier for Bitcoin. If the price fails to break through this zone, the bearish cycle could resume. We believe that Bitcoin could continue to fall in the coming…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Friday, the market may continue moving upward from the 1.1546 level (yesterday's daily close) with a target of 1.1574 – the 23.6% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Upon testing this level, a pullback downward is possible toward 1.1556 – the historical resistance level (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volume analysis – upward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: Upward trend. Alternative scenario:Today, from the 1.1546 level (yesterday's daily close), the price may…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Glassnode has explained how the Bitcoin options Open Interest has been climbing recently and looks set to explore new all-time highs (ATHs). Bitcoin Options Open Interest Has Already Bounced Back From Oct Expiry In a new thread on X, analytics firm Glassnode has discussed about the Bitcoin options market. This segment of derivatives trading involves traders betting on future price moves through contracts giving the right (but not the obligation) to sell or buy the cryptocurrency at a set price. Earlier, perpetual futures was the main derivatives trading pathway that investors in the sector used, but recently, demand for options has grown enough to challenge the futures…
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Friday's Trade Analysis: 1-Hour Chart of EUR/USD The EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Friday. The first thought that comes to mind is that the dollar has run out of steam. Over the past month and a half, the U.S. currency did not have strong reasons to keep rising continuously. We cannot say the dollar has excessively increased, and the daily timeframe shows this is not the case. However, it did rise at a time when its decline would have raised no questions. The market has ignored everything over the past month and a half: the dovish stance of the Federal Reserve, the U.S. shutdown (which began on October 1 and is still ongoing), Donald Trump's…
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The U.S. dollar continued to lose ground actively on Friday, and there was a certain reason for this. A sharp decline in the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index led to a similar drop in the U.S. dollar against the euro. Traders interpreted this as a signal of a potential slowdown in U.S. economic growth, which, in turn, reduced the dollar's appeal as a safe asset. This was especially evident in the EUR/USD and GBP/USD pairs, where the euro and the pound strengthened by breaking key resistance levels. Immediately after the data was released, discussions arose regarding further monetary measures from the U.S. Federal Reserve. The market believes that amid deteri…
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GBP/USD Brief Analysis: On the British pound chart, a downward corrective wave has been forming since September 26. The structure of this wave is developing as an extended flat and is nearing completion. At the time of analysis, no reversal signals are observed. The price has bounced from the upper boundary of a strong potential reversal zone on the daily timeframe. Weekly Forecast: At the beginning of the upcoming week, the British pound is expected to complete its move toward the resistance zone. Then, a reversal and renewed price decline are likely. The projected zones show the most probable range of the pair's weekly movement. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 1…
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Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) posted a net loss of about $54.8 million for the quarter, and that shortfall was driven in part by write-downs tied to its digital-asset holdings. According to company disclosures, the firm holds a sizable bitcoin stash that has swung in value and helped turn trading swings into headline losses. Bitcoin Strategy And The Loss Reports have disclosed that TMTG’s bitcoin holdings were listed at more than 11,500 BTC in one filing, putting the holding value above $1.3 billion depending on the market price at reporting. Earlier statements by the company put combined bitcoin and related securities near $2 billion. The result: big paper…
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Early in the US session, gold is trading around 4,098 with bullish momentum and is likely to continue rising in the coming hours to fill the gap left on October 24th around 4,114. Gold could encounter strong weekly resistance around 4,103. If it fails to consolidate above this area, we could expect a technical correction. The instrument could reach the 6/8 Murray level around 4,062 and even the bottom of the ascending trend channel formed since early November around 4,035. In the coming days, gold is expected to reach the 7/8 Murray level at 4,250. This level is key, as gold could encounter strong resistance around this point, and we could expect a technical correction be…
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The crypto industry is approaching a major milestone as the market anticipates the potential approval of an XRP Spot ETF in the United States (US). Analysts suggest that recent developments regarding the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) review could deliver the final nail in the coffin for XRP. With ETF filings still awaiting approval, the market is watching closely, as a green light could pave the way to greater mainstream adoption and institutional investment in XRP. XRP ETF To Become Game-Changer For The Market Nate Geraci, President of NovaDius Wealth Management and co-founder of The ETF Institute, recently stated on X social media that the first Spot X…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for November 10. This week opened on some false hopes for an early conclusion of the US government shutdown after what were described as productive US Senate discussions this past Sunday. Unfortunately, those initial hopes did not materialize, but there is light at the end of the tunnel. We are now on the 40th day of the shutdown, and the pressure is mounting. The airport situation in the US is becoming disastrous, with more than 1,000 flights seeing delays due to a critical shortage of air traffic controllers. Nonetheless, prediction markets remain optimistic, currently pricing a 92% chance that the shutdown will …
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The Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has hinted at plans to begin adding reserves back to the system. For XRP holders, the shift could prove pivotal. As the Fed prepares to inject fresh reserves, the XRP could once again benefit from an environment of expanding liquidity and easing financial conditions. XRP holders are paying close attention as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signals that the Fed will soon add reserves to its balance sheet, subtly setting the stage for the next phase of US monetary policy where digital reserves are not optional. Crypto analyst Xfinancebull has noted on X that President Donald Trump had recently mentioned that the US maintains a cr…
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An analyst has explained a dream scenario for XRP based on a Bull Flag that the cryptocurrency has potentially been following on the monthly chart. XRP Could Be Trading Inside A Bull Flag Pattern In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has discussed about how XRP has been forming a Bull Flag recently. The “Bull Flag” is a type of Flag from technical analysis (TA). A Flag pattern looks like, as its name suggests, a flag on a pole. A consolidation channel with two parallel trendlines forms the “flag” portion, while an initial sharp move represents the “pole.” In a Bull Flag, the pole is charted by a move in the up direction. Generally, Flags are considered to be contin…
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The EUR/USD pair has been trading in a narrow price range of 1.1530–1.1590 for the second consecutive day (the lower boundary of the Kumo cloud on h4 – the middle line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on D1). Traders are reluctant to open large positions ahead of the shutdown's conclusion. The very fact of the resumption of U.S. government operations interests the market only to a certain extent, as participants are preparing for the release of key macroeconomic data that could provoke significant volatility in both the EUR/USD pair and other dollar-denominated pairs. Primarily, investors are focused on the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP). If it weren't for the shutdown, we …
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Throughout the past year, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) have emerged as the primary focus for a growing trend of Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs), particularly driven by favorable pro-crypto regulations worldwide. However, recent reports from Reuters indicate that this focus is beginning to shift towards less popular altcoins. DAT Firms Explore New Opportunities Beyond Bitcoin As of September, there are at least 200 DAT companies, predominantly concentrating on Bitcoin, with a combined market capitalization of approximately $150 billion. This figure reflects a more than threefold increase from the previous year. New companies are launching daily, many of which are …
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What to Know: 2025 is on pace to eclipse 2024’s $2.2B theft total, with this year’s Bybit exploit underscoring rising attack sophistication and concentration risk. Non-custodial architecture, MPC key management, and transaction-level defenses address the real attack surface end users face today. Emerging MPC self-custody apps like Best Wallet are rising to meet growing retail demand for hot wallet security. The $BEST token presale is set to hit $20M before its November 28 end date, highlighting increased investor interest. For all the regulation talk going on lately, crypto crime didn’t cool off. No, 2025 turned up the heat. Blockchain forensics tally billions siphone…
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Overview: The US dollar is mixed. Sterling is the weakest of the G10 currencies after unexpectedly poor employment reported boosted chances of rate cut next month. The dollar also made marginal new high against the Japanese yen since February, but so far has remained below JPY154.50. The dollar-bloc currencies are softer while the Scandis are slightly firmer. Holidays in the US and Canada make for a quiet North American session today. Equities in Asia Pacific were mixed and the MSCI regional index was little changed. South Korea and Singapore were the strongest gainer, while China's CSI 300 fell the most among the large bourses; almost 1%. Europe's Stoxx 600 is ri…
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Bitcoin is facing difficulties in rising above $106,000. This is clearly reflected in the active selling that occurs immediately after each attempt to stabilize above the $106,500 range. Ethereum is also seeing low demand, trading around $3,500. Currently, there are no significant catalysts for growth—other than the potential end of the government shutdown in the US—so attention must shift to various mixed indicators. For instance, one such indicator is the news that Google searches related to cryptocurrency have fallen to a multi-year low. Historically, this has been a "bullish" sign. Such low levels of search activity have typically been observed before new rallies, w…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Euro CurrencyThe price test at 1.1582 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy euros and missed the upward movement. Yesterday was marked by the euro's continued strengthening against the US dollar. The main reason for this was optimism among market participants, who are linking their hopes to a swift end to the U.S. government shutdown. After the shutdown ends, incoming economic data from the US will be crucial, as it may provide new guidelines for the dollar's further movement. Regarding today, Germany's inflation dat…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Tuesday first rebounded from the 161.8% corrective level at 1.3110, and then from the 127.2% Fibonacci level at 1.3186. Today, the pound may make another rebound from 1.3110 or 1.3139. In that case, a new reversal and growth toward 1.3186 may occur. A consolidation of quotes below 1.3110 would favor the U.S. dollar and signal a possible decline toward the 200.0% corrective level at 1.3024. The wave situation remains bearish. The new upward wave failed to break the previous peak, while the last downward wave (which developed over three weeks) broke the previous low. The information background in recent weeks has been negative for…
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Former chairman and co-founder of CoinRoutes and now president of BetterTrade.digital Dave Weisberger used a November 11 video to restate Bitcoin’s long-term bull case, arguing that the market’s “morose” sentiment and technician-driven calls for downside are missing the structural shift underway on both fundamentals and market microstructure. He framed his analysis in two parts—why Bitcoin is being bought and what the current market structure implies—contending that the thesis toward seven-figure pricing remains intact even without an obvious near-term catalyst. The Path To $1 Million Per Bitcoin On fundamentals, he drew a direct comparison with gold’s monetary role and…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stocks Advance, Nikkei Up 0.43% Most Read: Large rotation from tech as ADP employment scares again – Market wrap for the North American session - November 11 Asian stock markets and government bonds both moved higher after new employment data suggested the US job market is cooling down. This soft data increased expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates soon, causing the 10-year Treasury yield to drop and traders to now price in a roughly 70% chance of a rate cut next month. The prolonged government shutdown forced investors to rely heavily on private reports, like the one from ADP, because official job and inflation data wer…
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