Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11938 tópicos neste fórum
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Analysis of Transactions and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe price test at 154.66 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move up from the zero mark, which allowed buying the dollar in line with the trend. However, after a rise of 10 pips, pressure on the pair returned. Despite a slight strengthening of the yen, Japan's economy is expected to contract in the third quarter of this year, marking the largest decline in several years. GDP data will be released next Monday. If this happens, it will provide Prime Minister Sanae Takachi an opportunity to prepare a significant economic stimulus package, which will likely weaken the Japanese yen against the U.S. d…
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe price test at 154.61 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to turn downward from the zero mark, providing a good entry point to sell the dollar, which led to a decline of more than 100 pips for the pair. Uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve's future actions at the end of last week prompted investors to offload excess U.S. dollars against the Japanese yen. The inability to break above the significant resistance at the 155.00 level was also a reason for the pair's correction. The uncertainty with the Bank of Japan's policy and the new government's differing views on future fiscal policy continues to…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe price test at 154.83 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move upward from the zero mark, providing a good entry point to buy the dollar, resulting in an increase of more than 50 pips in the pair. News about the sharp decline in Japan's GDP and strong data on the growth of the Empire Manufacturing Index in the U.S., along with statements from Federal Reserve representatives, exerted significant pressure on the yen against the dollar. The Empire Manufacturing Index surged to 18.6 points, exceeding analysts' expectations, which had forecast 6.1 points. This indicates a confident growth in manufacturi…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe test of the 155.39 price coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move upward from the zero mark, providing a good entry point to buy the dollar and resulting in a rise of more than 30 pips for the pair. Yesterday's statement by Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda did not help the Japanese yen, which continued to lose value against the dollar. Ueda informed Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi about the central bank's plans to gradually reduce the volume of economic support provided through accommodative monetary policy. This step indicates the BoJ's firm intention to further tighten borrowing costs. However, s…
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe price test at 156.09 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's bullish potential. For this reason, I did not buy dollars and missed a good upward movement. The Japanese yen fell to a 10-month low against the U.S. dollar following the release of the FOMC minutes from October. Traders saw clear indications that the Federal Reserve might pause rate changes later this year, which strengthened the dollar's position. As USD/JPY rose sharply, Bank of Japan board member Junko Koeda indicated the possibility of a rate hike at the December meeting, emphasizing th…
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe price test at 157.45 coincided with the MACD indicator already moving significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar and missed a good upward move. After data showed the US unemployment rate rising to 4.4% in September, the dollar weakened against the Japanese yen. Weaker-than-expected unemployment data contributed to the decline in the US currency's value, as market participants became cautious about the US economy's outlook. However, the non-farm payroll report mitigated the negative impact of the unemployment rate report. The number of ne…
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the price at 156.84 coincided with the moment the MACD indicator was beginning to move upward from the zero mark, confirming the right entry point for buying the dollar. As a result, the pair rose towards the target level of 157.16. The dollar only briefly rose against the Japanese yen, but there was no significant support from buyers. The USD/JPY pair continues to consolidate, with the bullish trend remaining intact. The temporary rise in the dollar against the yen can be seen as an attempt to sustain its climb amid broader upward momentum. The lack of a significant influx of buyers suggests traders are …
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe price test at 156.20 coincided with the moment the MACD indicator just began its downward movement from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the dollar. As a result, the pair declined by 20 pips. Unfavorable macroeconomic data coming from the United States negatively impacts the American currency, weakening its role as a reliable safe-haven asset against the Japanese yen. Investors are concerned about a potential slowdown in U.S. economic growth—especially given the Federal Reserve's cautious stance. External factors are also putting additional pressure on the dollar's exchange rate. In t…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe price test at 156.55 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning its upward movement from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the dollar. As a result, the pair rose by 15 pips. The data on the decline in U.S. jobless claims provided some support for the dollar, but the risks of further Federal Reserve rate cuts outweighed that support. This led to another weakening of the dollar and a strengthening of the Japanese yen. Investors continue to lean towards the view that the Fed will be forced to continue easing monetary policy amid slowing economic growth. This explains the growing inte…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenDue to low volatility, the tests of the levels I marked did not occur in the second half of the day. As a result, I was left without trades. Today, the yen declined against the U.S. dollar on news that the Tokyo Consumer Price Index fell from 2.8% to 2.7%. Conversely, unemployment in Japan remained at 2.6%, despite economists' expectations of a decrease. On the one hand, the slowing inflation in Japan's capital may indicate reduced pressure on the Bank of Japan to tighten monetary policy. It should be noted that for a long time, inflation has been a key factor holding the central bank back from abandoning its ultra-l…
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Trade Review and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 154.02 price coincided with the MACD indicator falling significantly from the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar. The second test of this price occurred when the MACD was in the oversold area, allowing the implementation of Scenario No. 2: buying dollars amid the pair's ongoing upward trend. It is evident that the growth of the USD/JPY pair has become less active, primarily due to recent statements from Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama, who mentioned that the Japanese government is closely monitoring the yen's exchange rate, issuing its first …
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 154.26 price coincided with the MACD indicator moving significantly above the zero line, limiting the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar. The second test of this price occurred when the MACD was in the overbought area, enabling the implementation of Scenario No. 2 for selling dollars. As a result, the pair fell by 20 pips. Weak US manufacturing data for October supported the Japanese yen in the afternoon, but it did not lead to a significant shift in the balance of power. The brief surge of optimism sparked by hopes for a more dovish Federal Reserve policy quickly waned, un…
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe tests of the levels I designated in the afternoon did not occur. Comments from the Japanese Minister of Finance regarding the yen's exchange rate led to a decline in the USD/JPY pair during the first half of the day, after which traders preferred to adopt a wait-and-see position in anticipation of new directions, as the warnings did not lead to any actions. The prevailing situation highlighted the general trend of indecision in the currency market, where verbal interventions often lack real steps, leaving investors in a state of uncertainty. However, such a pause may be the calm before the storm. The market is wa…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the price level at 153.88 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move downward from the zero mark, which limited the upward potential of the pair. For this reason, I did not buy dollars and missed a slight upward movement. The Japanese yen weakened against the dollar after the ADP report on the U.S. labor market came in above economists' expectations. This unexpected spike in optimism regarding the U.S. economy triggered an immediate response in the currency market, leading to a sharp increase in demand for the dollar and, consequently, a drop in the yen, which is traditionally viewed as a sa…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe price test at 153.58 coincided with the MACD indicator moving significantly below the zero line, which, in my view, limited the pair's bearish potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar. The Japanese yen faced active selling again today after Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi stated that the government's goal of achieving a primary budget surplus, which is part of fiscal consolidation, will no longer be reviewed on an annual basis. The strategy will be revised with the aim of achieving balance over the coming years. Takaichi also indicated that the economic policy would now be more accommodative and aimed at s…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 147.90 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had just started to move downward from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for selling the dollar in line with the prevailing trend. As a result, the pair declined by only 15 pips. During the Asian session today, the Japanese yen showed strength. The dollar came under pressure due to the U.S. government shutdown, triggered by a failure to reach a consensus on funding for the upcoming fiscal period. This, combined with deteriorating global market sentiment, led to a flight from risk and increased demand for safe-haven assets — most notably the ye…
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Trade Review and USD/JPY Trading TipsA test of the 152.52 level occurred when the MACD indicator began moving downward from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for selling the dollar, which resulted in an 80-pip drop in the pair. The Japanese yen surged sharply, while the dollar declined after Donald Trump announced he is once again considering 100% tariffs on Chinese goods. This sudden spike in the yen—traditionally regarded as a "safe haven" currency—visibly reflected the fear that gripped global markets in response to the president's unexpected announcement. Investors, fearing another wave of global economic turbulence, rushed to seek safe refuge. The yen, du…
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Trade Review and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 152.34 level occurred at a time when the MACD indicator had just started to rise from the zero line, which confirmed a valid entry point for buying the dollar. However, the pair failed to gain significant upward momentum. The dollar declined again against the yen after a minor rally the day before, which was driven by hopes of easing U.S.-China trade tensions. The optimism proved short-lived, and investors returned to more conservative assets such as the yen amid ongoing global economic uncertainty. The yen's strength stems from its status as a safe-haven currency, which traditionally attracts demand during…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice for Trading the Japanese YenThe 151.89 level test occurred when the MACD indicator began moving downward from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for selling the U.S. dollar, which resulted in a 25-pip drop in the pair. The Japanese yen resumed its upward movement against the dollar after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell announced plans for a 25-basis-point rate cut. His statement acted as a catalyst for currency markets, triggering a reassessment of risk and outlooks for both the U.S. and Japanese economies. Investors shifted their focus back to the yen—a traditional safe-haven currency. Despite the release of weak industrial producti…
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Trade Analysis and Trading Advice for the Japanese YenThe test of the 151.52 price level occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, limiting the pair's upward potential. A similar situation unfolded in reverse later in the day near the 151.30 level. As a result, I did not execute any trades. The dollar continues to lose ground against the yen, and there appear to be few, if any, drivers that could reverse this negative trend in the near future. The lack of meaningful macroeconomic data capable of supporting the U.S. currency, combined with dovish commentary from Federal Reserve officials, continues to put pressure on …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 147.04 price level occurred at a time when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the pair's bearish potential. For that reason, I did not initiate a sell trade. However, the bounce buy from 146.66 yielded about 40 pips in profit. A strong sell-off in the U.S. dollar occurred yesterday after the ADP report showed a drop of 32,000 in U.S. employment, signaling a potential need for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. This sudden employment data miss triggered a chain reaction in currency markets. Investors quickly reevaluated their expectations fo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the Japanese YenThe first test of the price at 152.71 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly down from the zero mark, limiting the downside potential of the pair. The second test of 152.71 took place shortly thereafter while the MACD was in the oversold area, allowing scenario No. 2 for buying the dollar to be realized. As a result, the pair only increased by 40 pips. Demand for the yen returned today after Japan's core consumer price index rose to 2.1% in October, up from 2.0% recorded in September. This suggests the central bank may return to a more hawkish stance on interest rate increases in the near fut…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the price at 152.18 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator began to move down from the zero mark, confirming a good entry point to sell the dollar. As a result, the pair declined by approximately 25 pips. Following Powell's speech yesterday, in which he emphasized that future rate decisions depend on economic indicators, the Japanese yen declined against the US dollar. According to the Federal Reserve Chair, the October rate cut was more of a risk-management tool, and the future remains uncertain. The reaction of the currency markets was predictable: uncertainty prompted investors towards safe-have…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Deals and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe price test at 154.02 came at a time when the MACD indicator had moved significantly above the zero mark, limiting the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar and missed another upward movement of the pair. The Japanese yen reached an 8-month low after the Bank of Japan's decision yesterday to keep interest rates unchanged, which is already causing concern among several politicians. Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama stated today that the Japanese government is closely monitoring the yen's exchange rate, marking its first clear warning regarding currency fluctuations since she took office.…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 147.45 price level occurred just as the MACD indicator began rising from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for buying the dollar. This resulted in a minor rise of the pair by about 10 pips. The yen fell by 300 pips against the U.S. dollar on the news that Sanae Takaichi would become the new Prime Minister of Japan. Her plans for economic stimulus and her commitment to accommodative monetary policy triggered a sharp sell-off in the yen on the currency markets. The market appears to view her election as a signal that Abenomics—the policy of aggressive fiscal stimulus and low interest rates—will …
Last reply by Ben Graham,
