Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11939 tópicos neste fórum
-
Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stocks Continue to Slide Most Read: NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 2025 Earnings Preview: Navigating the AI Stress Test Global markets, especially stocks and Bitcoin, became weaker because traders are worried and reducing their risks. This cautious move comes right before two very important events: the release of Nvidia's company earnings report and the crucial US employment report. In Asia, stock markets hit their lowest points in a month. The biggest drops were seen in Japan (whose Nikkei index fell 3%) and South Korea (whose KOSPI index lost 3.3%), both known for their big technology sectors. Other major markets like Australia (down nearly 2%) and Hong Ko…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin slipped below $90,000 this week, a level it had not touched in seven months, according to data. Traders watched nervously as the flagship token moved around $90,700, leaving it roughly 25% beneath its recent all-time high of just over $126,000 reached on Oct. 6. Markets noted that a big liquidation event on Oct. 10 still echoes through trading desks. Analysts See A Near-Term Bottom According to an interview on CNBC, BitMine chairman Tom Lee said the Oct. 10 liquidations and ongoing uncertainty about whether the US Federal Reserve will cut rates in December have kept pressure on crypto. He described signs of exhaustion among sellers and cited technical work sugg…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The market unraveled fast over the weekend. Bitcoin broke under $90,000, taking the year’s progress with it, and retail sellers flooded out in panic, with the exception of El Salvador. Mr Saylor … I don’t feel so good El Salvador loaded up on approximately 1,100 BTC, a $100M purchase made right as the floor was giving way, making it the lone country to double down during the drawdown. Think about it, we have all of this going for Bitcoin this year, and it is still crashing: M2 money supply pumping Debasement trade Rate cuts Quantitative easing Saylor El Salvador What’s next for El Salvador in Bitcoin during this Black Swan-like crash? DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Ex…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the Japanese Yen The price test at 155.01 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero line, confirming a correct sell-entry point for the dollar. However, a significant decline in the pair did not occur during the first half of the day. In the second half of the day, market focus will shift to the NAHB U.S. Housing Market Index and data on changes in industrial orders. Additionally, speeches by FOMC members Michael Barr and Thomas Barkin are expected. Hawkish statements from the regulators could potentially push the dollar higher. If the NAHB index shows further deterioration in builder sentiment, it…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: A sell-off in equities is continuing while the foreign exchange market is quiet with the greenback confined mostly to narrow ranges. It is firmer against most currencies, though the dollar bloc is the most resilient today. The dollar reached a new nine-month high against the yen. Despite some escalating rhetoric from the MOF, the market is pushing the dollar higher amid concern about the new fiscal package the government is set to unveil shortly and heighten tensions with China. Emerging market currencies are under pressure, and the Turkish lira is at new record-lows. All the large equity markets have sold off today. The main indices Japan, South Korea, and Tai…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A new pricing model from Diana, a crypto analyst on X, projects that XRP could climb into the $7–$24 range within 60 days of the ETF launch, driven strictly by inflow pressure and the asset’s constrained liquid supply. The model reportedly relies on supply-absorption math, revealing how ETF-driven demand could shift XRP’s market pricing once XRP ETFs go live. New XRP ETF Inflow Model Maps A Direct Route To $24 Diana’s newly released “XRP ETF Launch Impact Model” outlines a clear, data-driven view on how ETF inflows alone could reprice XRP. Her framework tests multiple launch scenarios involving five to twenty ETFs, each seeded with $10 million to $45 million. Depending o…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency has released new guidance that allows national banks to hold specific cryptocurrencies for the sole purpose of covering blockchain network fees. This decision, outlined in Interpretive Letter 1186 issued on November 18, 2025, confirms that banks can keep crypto assets on their books as part of their operational needs when acting as principal. Holding Crypto to Keep Transactions Moving According to the letter, banks can store native crypto assets like ETH when they know they’ll need to pay network fees in the near future. These gas fees are essential for using networks like Ethereum, which require payment in the native token t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Kraken is reportedly deep in discussions to raise a fresh round of funding that could push its valuation up to $20 billion. A strategic backer is weighing a possible investment between $200 million and $300 million, which would give the U.S.-based crypto exchange a significant boost as it moves closer to a public offering. Earlier Round Sets the Stage Back in early 2025, Kraken brought in around $500 million in capital, landing at a $15 billion valuation at the time. That round helped lay the foundation for its IPO ambitions, which the company is now targeting for early 2026. Source: Shutterstock The current round, if completed, would show a marked jump in value and gr…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The United Arab Emirates has introduced one of its biggest regulatory shifts in years, and many crypto developers say it effectively blocks self-custody services. The change has raised fresh concerns about Dubai’s role as a major global hub for digital assets. A new Central Bank law, which took effect on September 16, expands licensing rules far beyond previous standards. Under the update, offering basic cryptocurrency tools, including Bitcoin wallets or even blockchain explorers, to UAE residents without approval could be treated as a criminal offense. DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 How Does the UAE’s New Financial Law Change Licensing Requirements…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Tuesday, the market’s leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC), experienced a notable decline, dropping toward the $89,000 mark, its lowest price in seven months, resulting in over $1 billion in liquidations across the crypto market within the past 24 hours. However, despite this downturn, altcoins have exhibited significant stability when compared to the performance of BTC. Analysts from the Bull Theory have provided insights into why altcoins are holding strong during this period. Bitcoin Dominance Falls In a recent social media post on social media site X (previously Twitter), the analysts asserted that the recent decline in BTC’s value was not characterized by typi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: Several macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Wednesday, specifically two. Reports on October inflation will be published in the UK and the Eurozone, but while the British report is significant, the European one is not. European inflation is published in two estimates, and markets generally pay little attention to the second estimate, which rarely differs from the first. In contrast, British inflation is published in a single variation, has a strong influence (currently) on the Bank of England's monetary policy, and may slow down for the first time in five months by 0.1-0.2% year-on-year. A decline in October inflation could lead …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The euro and pound have only slightly decreased against the dollar, but overall, trading has remained within sideways channels, from which the trading instruments have been unable to escape for a whole week. Positive data on U.S. industrial orders and cautious statements from Federal Reserve officials supported the dollar. Positive macroeconomic indicators, particularly the increase in industrial orders, signal a recovery in the industrial sector and strengthening economic growth. This, in turn, reduces the necessity for aggressive interest rate cuts from the Fed, as reflected in recent comments from the central bank. The Fed's cautious rhetoric, emphasizing that future d…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin recovered quite well yesterday to around $93,500, but was unable to hold that level and is currently trading below $91,000. Ethereum also pulled back above $3,150, but at the time of writing, it has returned to around $3,000. Meanwhile, many traders are anxiously watching the market as assets rapidly lose value, despite news of institutional and corporate purchases of cryptocurrency. According to the November BofA survey, the level of cryptocurrency adoption among institutions remains very low. Approximately 76% of global fund managers surveyed have not yet invested in crypto and are only considering it in the near future. This raises doubts about the common beli…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, the market may begin moving upward from the 1.1580 level (yesterday's daily candle close), targeting 1.1608 — a historical support level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may pull back downward toward 1.1593 — the 61.8% retracement level (blue dashed line). Figure 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;volumes – downward;candlestick analysis – upward;trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: an upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.1580 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may begin …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
.cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price-holder .cwp-coin-trend-holder .cwp-trend { background-color: transparent !imp…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade analysis and recommendations for trading the Japanese yen The test of the 155.49 price level occurred when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move up from the zero line, confirming a proper entry point to buy the U.S. dollar. As a result, the pair rose toward the target level of 155.90. The Japanese yen weakened against the U.S. dollar following comments by Sanae Takaichi, a prominent member of the advisory council to the Prime Minister of Japan. Takaichi expressed the opinion that the Bank of Japan is unlikely to raise its key interest rate at least until March of next year. This is because the government needs to ensure the effectiveness of planned large-sca…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
New Hampshire (NH) has made crypto history by becoming the first US state to approve a Bitcoin (BTC) backed municipal bond. On 17 November 2025, the state’s Business Finance Authority (BFA) decided to give the go-ahead for a $100 million bond backed by BTC instead of going the traditional route of using government credit or public project revenue. Here is the twist, however. Companies that want to borrow through this bond will have to fork up BTC worth 160% of the bond’s value. At the same time, if the price of BTC drops and the collateral drops to 130%, there is a built-in safety mechanism that kicks in to protect investors. BitGo, a crypto custody firm, will hold the…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is trading around $91,494, rebounding after reaching the psychological level of $90,000. This time, Bitcoin is expected to have strong upside potential to break above -1/8 Murray and thus reach the psychological level of $100,000. Given that the Eagle indicator has reached oversold levels, it is likely that Bitcoin will recover its accumulated losses in the coming hours and could reach $93,750, $95,750, and finally the top of the downtrend channel around $100,000. If the price continues to consolidate around $90,000, there is strong support at the -2/8 Murray line located around $87,500. This level is key and could be seen as an opportunity to buy Bitcoin in the c…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
What to Know: Circle’s xReserve lets blockchains issue $USDC-backed stablecoins that interoperate natively with $USDC, cutting reliance on external cross-chain bridges. $USDC’s market cap has surged to around $74B in 2025, reinforcing dollar-backed stablecoins as core settlement assets for on-chain finance. Best Wallet Token ($BEST) reached $17.1M in presale with a token price of $0.025965, as the token rewards investors with governance rights, reduced transaction fees, and access to trusted presales. Best Wallet pairs a non-custodial, multi-chain, mobile-first wallet with presale access, an in-app DEX aggregator, and upcoming debit card and analytics tools. Circle ju…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The euro-dollar pair continued to test the support level of 1.1580, which corresponds to the midline of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the daily chart. Despite numerous attempts made this week, sellers of EUR/USD have not managed to overcome this price barrier, let alone establish themselves below it. Although bearish sentiment clearly dominates the pair, buyers, if they do counterattack, are limited to a 20-30-pip correction. EUR/USD traders (both buyers and sellers) are clearly being cautious ahead of the key release of the week. Thursday, on November 20, the United States will publish the long-awaited macroeconomic report. We will find out the official labor mark…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The discourse around the next wave of Bitcoin adoption won’t be fueled by ideology or belief, but will be driven by pure economic advantage. As the global financial system moves toward higher costs, weaker currencies, and increasing inefficiencies, BTC is emerging as the most compelling alternative because it works more effectively. Economic Pressure Points That Will Accelerate Bitcoin Uptake In the rapidly evolving landscape of digital finance, the narrative surrounding Bitcoin’s future has often been intertwined with fervent ideological conviction. A media company, known as TFTC on X, has highlighted why BTC adoption won’t be driven by ideology, but rather by economic…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
GBP/USD 5M Analysis The GBP/USD currency pair was trading lower on Wednesday and left the sideways channel of 1.3096-1.3212. The price also crossed below the Senkou Span B line, raising concerns that this is not just a coincidence but could indicate a trend. The British pound has once again demonstrated unprecedented weakness. For over a week, during the breakdown of a downward trend, it traded within a sideways channel, showing no desire to resume rising. It appears that the pair's decline yesterday was not due to macroeconomic factors, but instead because the bears grew tired of the bulls' passivity. The macroeconomic backdrop favored the British pound's decline yes…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The GBP/USD currency pair traded slightly more actively on Wednesday than it has in most cases over the past few months, and there is a clear reason for this—the UK inflation report. We'll discuss that report shortly, but for now, it can be said that, globally, it had no significant impact. A downward correction continues on the daily timeframe, and the market continues to ignore all factors that are against the U.S. dollar. Today, the macroeconomic backdrop will be much more important. At first glance. After a 2.5-month hiatus, the U.S. unemployment and Non-Farm Payrolls reports will be released today. Immediately, a question arises—how relevant will this data be? Simply…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Wednesday Trade Analysis: 1H Chart of EUR/USD The EUR/USD currency pair plummeted in the second half of Thursday, dropping sharply. The first question that comes to mind is: why? Let's take a look at the economic calendar. In the morning, the Eurozone published the second estimate of October inflation, which matched the first estimate and the forecasts. In the evening, the FOMC minutes were released, which have always been considered formalities. The rise of the U.S. dollar and the decline of the pair began precisely between these two events. Simply put, the dollar started to appreciate when the U.S. trading session opened, not after the release of the inflation rep…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Buying Bitcoin now is like trying to catch a falling knife. For all that’s clear, sentiment is in tatters. Crypto has been in turmoil for the past few weeks. After Bitcoin crashed below $100,000, it has been a one-way trip. There have been dead cat bounces here and there, but sellers are pretty much in charge. Following the dip below $90,000, the total crypto market cap is below $2.9 trillion. What’s more? As retailers dump, there is a clear rotation to stablecoins. The Bitcoin and Ethereum dominance is falling, while that of stablecoins like USDT has increased over the last week of trading. (Source: Coingecko) DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Why is B…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
