Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11938 tópicos neste fórum
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Analysis of Tuesday's Trades: 1H Chart for EUR/USD The EUR/USD currency pair traded with an overall volatility of 32 pips on Tuesday. Even relatively important reports on unemployment and inflation in the Eurozone did not provide any help. Both reports showed unexpected figures that did not match forecasts, but the market simply refused to trade. However, the upward trend remained intact by the end of the day, and yet another irrational and illogical rise of the American currency was avoided. Thus, both in the short-term and long-term, we still expect only growth of the euro. This week, it can be stated that traders continue to ignore the macroeconomic backdrop. On …
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Solana started a recovery wave above the $135 zone. SOL price is now consolidating and faces hurdles near the $140 zone. SOL price started a decent recovery wave above $132 and $135 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $135 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $138 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could continue to move up if it clears $140 and $142. Solana Price Jumps 10% Solana price remained stable and started a decent recovery wave above $130, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL was able to climb above the $135 level. There was a move ab…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe test of the 155.95 price coincided with a moment when the MACD indicator was just beginning to turn downward from the zero mark, confirming a good entry point to sell the dollar. As a result, the pair decreased by slightly more than 15 pips. Positive news of a sharp increase in the Economic Optimism Index from RCM/TIPP in the United States prompted a new wave of dollar strength against the Japanese yen; however, it did not spark a broader bullish trend. Today, data on the Services PMI in Japan was released, which increased to 53.2 points, surpassing economists' forecasts and strengthening the yen against the U.S.…
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Anyone planning to bet against the S&P 500 should consider the strength of the American economy and the ongoing enthusiasm surrounding artificial intelligence. The US has proven to be more resilient to tariffs than previously thought. The OECD has raised its GDP forecasts by 0.2 percentage points to 2% for 2025 and 1.7% for 2026. Enormous investments in artificial intelligence are boosting gross domestic product as well as stock price growth. Americans are becoming wealthier and continue to spend. OECD Forecasts for US Economy and Other Countries According to 22V Research, increased consumer spending and investments in AI technologies will support productivity and …
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What to Know: A more dovish, crypto-friendly Fed chair like Kevin Hassett could extend a multi‑year liquidity cycle, favoring Bitcoin and high‑beta altcoins. Position sizing, diversification, and risk management remain critical, even when macro conditions and narratives seem heavily tilted in crypto’s favor. Bitcoin Hyper’s SVM-powered Layer 2 aims to unlock low-latency smart contracts and DeFi around $BTC while preserving Bitcoin settlement security. PEPENODE and Dogwifhat provide meme and community-driven upside exposure if easier policy reignites speculative flows into Solana and broader alt markets. Speculation that Kevin Hassett could take over the Fed with a mor…
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Read More: GBP/USD reaches 1.33, on top as ADP Employment Miss sends the dollar in a limbo Gold prices are currently on a bullish rally having experienced a significant pullback and support test on Tuesday. The precious metal appears to have regained its shine as bulls returned to the party pushing prices to a high of $4240/oz in the early part of the US session. The Federal Reserve The current rally and supporting Gold’s valuation is the aggressive market expectation of impending monetary policy easing by the US Federal Reserve. Current forecasts indicate an 88% probability of a US interest rate cut in December, with broader market consensus pricing in approximately 9…
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The crypto market may have added $160Bn onto its market cap overnight as Bitcoin surged back above $92,000. However, trouble is on the horizon for Celestia (TIA) as a key protocol built on its network was shuttered following an $18M raise back in 2024. TIA price predictions are leaning bearish following the news, even though the token has surged by +10% over the past 24 hours. Astria launched in 2023 after raising $5.5M in a seed round led by Maven 11, followed by a $12.5M strategic fundraise in 2024 led by DBA and Placeholder VC. The shutdown of the Astria network is seen as sudden, given that the mainnet only went live a little over a year ago. …
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For GBP/USD, the wave pattern continues to indicate the construction of an upward trend segment (bottom chart), but over the past few weeks it has taken on a complex and extended form (top chart). The trend segment that began on July 1 can be considered wave 4—or any global corrective wave—since it has a corrective rather than impulsive internal wave structure. The same applies to its internal subwaves. Therefore, despite the prolonged decline of the pound, I believe that the upward trend remains intact. The downward wave structure that began on September 17 has formed a five-wave pattern a-b-c-d-e and should now be completed. If this is really the case, then the pair is …
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Ethereum has reclaimed the $3,000 level after a strong market reaction to improving macro conditions, offering investors a much-needed shift in momentum. The move comes just days after the Federal Reserve officially ended Quantitative Tightening (QT), a policy shift that immediately boosted liquidity expectations across all risk assets. With markets now pricing in an imminent interest rate cut, confidence has begun to return, and ETH is one of the first major assets to respond. This rebound reflects more than just macro relief. According to data from Arkham, shared by Lookonchain, Bitmine continues to accumulate Ethereum at current prices, reinforcing bullish sentiment …
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Gary Nagle, CEO of Glencore, and Máximo Pacheco, Chairman of the Board of Codelco. (Image courtesy of Codelco.) Chile’s state-owned copper miner Codelco has signed a memorandum of understanding with Swiss miner and commodities trader Glencore (LON: GLEN) to advance a new smelter project in the country. Codelco will supply Glencore with up to 800,000 metric tonnes of copper concentrate a year while Glencore leads the project’s development, which covers the design, financing, construction, operation and maintenance of a plant. This facility is expected to process 1.5 million dry metric tonnes annually under strict environmental standards. Codelco has previously said…
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The US dollar experienced a significant decline yesterday following reports that American companies cut jobs in November by the largest amount since the beginning of 2023, which heightened concerns about a more pronounced deterioration in the labor market. According to the data released by ADP Research on Wednesday, the private sector lost 32,000 jobs, while economists had anticipated an increase of 10,000 jobs. The weak ADP report published yesterday intensified fears of a faster worsening of the labor market outlook ahead of the Federal Reserve's final meeting for the year, which is set to take place next week. The report may have a greater impact than usual, given t…
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Crypto analyst Dom has provided an update on what could spark the next XRP price surge. He highlighted an important level that the altcoin needs to reclaim for it to rally to $2.50, which would mark a new high since the October 10 liquidation event. XRP Price Must Reclaim This Level To Trigger Another Surge In an X post, Dom stated that the XRP price needs to regain the monthly rVWAP around $2.22, as that would be the shift for a rally towards $2.50. This came as the analyst revealed that an inverse of the XRP chart over the last six weeks shows a perfect 3-drive pattern, which is a very accurate reversal setup in crypto. Dom also stated a higher low has finally forme…
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On Wednesday, the pound surged by more than 150 pips against the dollar amid a general weakening of the greenback. Looking at the weekly GBP/USD chart, we can see that the pair is actively rising for the second week in a row, currently approaching the resistance level of 1.3370, which corresponds to the middle line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the weekly timeframe. In comparison, just a few weeks ago—in November—the pair was trading at the bottom of the 30 range under background pressure. However, the fundamental picture for GBP/USD has changed. The growth driver this time is the greenback, which again fell from grace amid rising "dovish" expectations for the Feder…
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Ethereum has witnessed a recovery surge recently as on-chain data shows the shark-sized investors have been participating in strong buying. Ethereum Sharks Have Added 450,000 ETH Since Mid-November According to data from on-chain analytics firm Santiment, the supply of the Ethereum sharks has gone up recently. The indicator of relevance here is the “Supply Distribution,” measuring the total amount of tokens that a given wallet group as a whole is holding right now. In the context of the current topic, the cohort of focus is the one corresponding to a coin range of 1,000 to 10,000 ETH. At the current exchange rate, the lower bound of the range roughly converts to $3.2 m…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the EuroThe test of the price level at 1.1665 coincided with the MACD indicator already having moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy euros. The European currency strengthened its position, supported by positive economic news: a stable rise in German industry and encouraging GDP figures for the Eurozone instilled optimism in the investment environment. German industry reported a noticeable increase in orders, indicating a recovery in purchasing activity and strengthening in the manufacturing sector towards year-end. This factor had a significant positive impa…
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Ethereum is holding firmly above the $3,150 level as the market shifts into a more bullish phase after enduring weeks of heavy selling pressure and fear-driven liquidation. The recovery has sparked debate among analysts: some view the bounce as nothing more than a relief rally within a broader bearish trend, while others believe Ethereum may be building the foundation for a more sustained rebound. A new CryptoQuant report offers one of the clearest insights. According to Ethereum data on Binance, the past several weeks have shown heightened volatility in the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) — a metric that tracks real-time buying and selling pressure. This volatility refle…
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An analyst has pointed out where a key resistance could be located for Dogecoin, based on on-chain supply distribution data. Dogecoin Has A Large Supply Cluster Present At $0.20 In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about where resistance lies for Dogecoin based on Glassnode’s Cost Basis Distribution (CBD). The CBD is an indicator that tells us about the amount of DOGE supply that was last acquired at the various price levels that the memecoin has visited in its history. Below is the chart shared by Martinez that shows the recent CBD heatmap for Dogecoin. As is visible in the graph, the Dogecoin CBD has flagged the zone around $0.20 as one where investo…
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A crypto analyst has made an unexpected declaration, predicting that XRP investors could become extremely rich in just a few months. This bold claim comes with a new technical analysis, suggesting that XRP is now entering a pivotal price area that previously triggered explosive rallies. Despite the cryptocurrency’s low price and recent downtrend, the analyst remains confident that XRP could mirror past trends and skyrocket to new highs. XRP To Make Holders Wealthy In 3 Months? In a recent X post, popular market analyst ‘Steph Is Crypto’ issued a dramatic warning to XRP holders, announcing that investors will become extremely rich within the next three months. The analys…
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Ethereum is gaining momentum, and several technical signals suggest that a significant move could be on the way. With key support levels holding and bullish patterns forming, the market may be setting up for a notable upside. Golden Pocket Rejection: Confirming The High-Risk Scenario In a recent update on X, analyst Luca referenced his recent market commentary, noting that Ethereum price action unfolded exactly as he had anticipated, with the price tapping into the lost high-timeframe support range. This range aligned with the golden pocket between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels, and the price rejected there, confirming the high-risk scenario he had highl…
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Jake Claver, CEO of Digital Ascension Group, says ultra-wealthy families are rapidly accumulating XRP, and he believes most XRP holders still don’t realize how rare their position is. In a video posted on X, Claver revealed that his firm has been in recent conversations with large family offices that are now making significant allocations into XRP. His comments arrive at a moment when XRP’s long-term narrative is witnessing increased interest due to ETFs, and they highlight a shift happening among investors who have always avoided cryptocurrencies altogether. Wealthy Families Quietly Accumulating XRP Claver explained that XRP ownership is currently extremely limited r…
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The Bitcoin market appears to be riddled with an increasing amount of sell-side pressure, as its recent price action reveals bears’ dominance. Interestingly, another on-chain evaluation suggests that the current market movement may be a direct effect of rising panic-induced sales. $1.7B Realized Losses Vs $605M Realized Gains In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, GugaOnChain shared that the Bitcoin market has been in a capitulation phase in recent days. This on-chain observation revolves around the Bitcoin Realized Profit and Loss ($) metric. For context, this metric tracks the actual profits (in US dollars) and losses investors realize—or lock in—whenever …
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair made a second rebound on Friday from the resistance level of 1.3352–1.3362, which allows us to expect some decline toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.3294. Last week, the bulls attacked more aggressively, and Monday may become a day of a slight pause. A consolidation of the price above the resistance level of 1.3352–1.3362 would work in favor of continued growth toward the level of 1.3425. The wave situation has transformed into a "bullish" one. The last completed wave downward did not break the previous low, and the new upward wave easily broke the previous peak. Thus, the current trend is "bullish." The news background for the …
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Tuesday, from the level of 1.3317 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving upward toward the target of 1.3367 — the 50% retracement level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may possibly start moving downward toward 1.3345 — the upper fractal (daily candle of December 8, 2025). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis — upwardVolume — upwardCandlestick analysis — upwardTrend analysis — upwardBollinger Bands — upwardWeekly chart — upwardOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.3317 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may begin moving upwar…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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The prospect of a “Trump Fed takeover” is rapidly becoming a central macro theme for 2026, with some traders arguing that markets still underestimate how radical the shift could be for global liquidity – and by extension for crypto. Macro commentator plur daddy (@plur_daddy) describes it bluntly via X: “The Trump Fed takeover being underpriced is my primary theme going into 2026 (hence my gold bet). This is a momentous shift: the bigger and more convex the catalyst, the more difficult it is for markets to price it in properly.” Former Fed trader Joseph Wang known as “Fed Guy” echoes the concern from inside the plumbing, warning: “The market underestimates the likelihood…
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