Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Last reply by Ben Graham, -
According to recent data, public companies have raced ahead of Bitcoin spot ETF issuers by snapping up more than twice as much BTC in the first half of 2025. Public firms added 245,510 BTC to their balance sheets from January through June, a 375% jump over the 51,653 BTC they bought in the same stretch last year. At the same time, spot ETF issuers purchased 118,424 BTC, leaving them well behind their corporate counterparts. Public Firm Purchases Smash ETF Buys According to data from Bitcoin Treasuries, the 245,510 BTC bought by public companies during H1 2025 is more than four times the 118,424 BTC ETF issuers gathered. That ETF component is 56% lower than the 267,87…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
This morning's Non-Farm Payrolls data was more than welcomed for Dollar-Bulls A 37K Beat on expectations (147K vs 110K exp), accompanied with a lower Unemployment Rate (4.1% vs 4.3% prior) and lower Growth Average Hourly Earnings (=less price pressures) gives path to way lesser chances of stagflation for the US Economy, at least for now. US Indices have had a fairly muted reaction as Equity markets are still preparing for the open and the release of ISM Services Data at 10:00 expected at 50.5. However, the US Dollar is the one standout winner and confirms further the idea that 96.50 could be a swing low for the Greenback. Let's take a look at Intra-Day Charts for the D…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF, trading under the ticker IBIT, have overtaken BlackRock flagship S&P 500 ETF (IVV) in annual revenue generation. Despite being a fraction of its size in terms of assets under management, IBIT’s surge is pivotal. It indicates an increase in institutional demand for regulated Bitcoin exposure. According to 2 July 2025 Bloomberg report, IBIT’s higher expense ratio of 0.25% has propelled it ahead of the iShares Cor S&P 500 ETF IVV. Notably, IVV charge a nominal 0.03% fee in terms of annual fee income. So the higher fee structure of IBIT, combined with the surging interest in Bitcoin as an asset class, has given BlackRock a powerful new …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Arthur Hayes has published a new essay, “Quid Pro Stablecoin,” arguing that the United States’ sudden political enthusiasm for bank-issued stablecoins is less about “financial freedom” and more about arming the Treasury with a multi-trillion-dollar “liquidity bazooka.” The former BitMEX chief—writing in his personal newsletter—contends that investors who postpone buying Bitcoin until the Federal Reserve resumes quantitative easing will serve as “exit liquidity” for those who bought earlier. How The Money Printer Is Already Warming Up At the core of Hayes’ thesis is the claim that eight “too-big-to-fail” banks hold roughly $6.8 trillion in demand and time deposits that ca…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Nonfarm Payrolls June (NFP), +147k vs. +110k expected, beat of +37,000Average Monthly Earnings June (YoY), +3.7% vs. +3.9% expected, miss of -0.2%Average Monthly Earnings June (MoM), +0.2% vs. +0.3% expected, miss of -0.1%Unemployment Rate June, 4.1% vs. 4.3% expected, beat of 0.2% Markets now look towards further US economic releases today: 09:45 EDT, S&P Global Composite PMI June10:00 EDT, ISM Services PMI June10:00 EDT, ISM Services Prices Paid June10:00 EDT, ISM Services New Orders Index June10:00 EDT, ISM Services Employment Index June10:00 EDT, Factory Orders May (MoM)11:00 EDT, Fed Raphael Bostic Speech Opinions ar…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
It only took one day for the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to walk back on an approval given to Grayscale Digital Large Cap Fund (GDLC) to convert to an exchange-traded fund (ETF), inadvertently halting its launch. On 1 July 2025, the SEC shared a letter stating its intention to again review the recent approval granted to GDLC to convert its fund into an ETF. The SEC’s approval of the Grayscale ETF had been welcomed as a landmark development for multi-asset crypto ETFs in the US. For the uninitiated, Grayscale brings a regulatory structure to a product that tracks Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other leading tokens by converting its multi-asset crypto fund. The r…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin climbed above $109K, triggering a surge across the markets: Ethereum ($ETH) – up 4.65% XRP ($XRP) – up 3.86% Solana ($SOL) – up 7.85% Tron ($TRX) – up 4.17% But one of the biggest daily surges came from an unexpected corner, as Dogecoin mounted an 8% rally and broke the key $0.17 mark. As meme coins rebound, could the purest meme coin of them all be poised to hit the stratosphere? Time for a closer look. What’s Driving the Rally? A wave of optimism around potential US Federal Reserve rate cuts, prompted by recent dovish statements from key officials, energized risk assets. Overall, markets are bullish and tokens are up for a number of reasons. Approvals of…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Pakistan is courting the United States with a bold pitch that includes rare earths, bitcoin mining potential and political flattery, in a bid to avoid looming tariffs of up to 29% and secure deeper ties with Washington. Hoping to attract foreign investment and burdened by a spiralling economic crisis, Pakistan is reviving long-standing claims about its untapped mineral wealth, estimated by officials to be worth between $8 trillion and an eye-popping $50 trillion. The country is highlighting its vast reserves of copper, gold, lithium and antimony, a metal used in batteries and flame retardants. “Pakistan has been quite smart about getting the administration’s atten…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Plume crypto is up 22% in the past 24 hours following the integration of USD1. The stablecoin by World Liberty Financial, a DeFi platform linked to the Trump family, now has a market cap of over $2.2 billion. The past 24 hours have been highly bullish for the crypto markets. After days of sideways movement following the surge on June 23, BTC ▲1.61% broke above $108,000 and is inching closer to all-time highs. Presently, the total crypto market cap is up 2%, rising to $3.4 trillion, with more room for growth, especially for some of the best cryptos to buy. DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Plume Crypto Surges 22%, Will The Rally Last? While the market expa…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Crypto analyst Capo of Crypto, who is currently one of the most recognizeable names in crypto spaces on social media, has sounded a warning for the market. The analyst has completely dismissed the current trajectory of the Bitcoin price and, by extension, the altcoin market, calling for only a short-lived rally. His analysis points to a Bitcoin price crash, but the most impact is expected to be felt by the altcoin market as they tumble further. Bitcoin Price Is Headed Below $100,000 In the post on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), Capo of Crypto shares a rather bearish thesis that suggests that the current strength in Bitcoin won’t last. He points out that …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: The US dollar is firm. The only G10 currency that is stronger today is sterling, which is recovering from yesterday's sharp losses and the UK's drama eased following Prime Minister Starmer's support for Chancellor Reeves. Of note most of the final June PMI readings were revised higher from the initial estimates. The US struck a trade agreement with Vietnam, the third deal reached, and the clear intent is to deter it from re-exporting Chinese goods. Meanwhile, the US also lifted export requirement for chip design software sales to China, which would seem to imply that the administration is satisfied with the resumption of rare earth and magnet shipment to the US.…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Summit Royalty, a precious metals-focused royalty and streaming company, will go public through a reverse takeover (RTO) of Canadian junior royalty firm Eagle Royalties (CNSX: ER). The companies inked the amalgamation agreement on June 30 to create a new royalty and streaming entity with assets across North and South America and Africa. The combined portfolio will include over 40 royalty interests, with Eagle contributing critical metals, gold and industrial mineral royalties in Western Canada. Eagle’s flagship asset is a royalty on Banyan Gold’s AurMac project in Yukon, where it holds between 0.5% and 2% net smelter return (NSR) on key deposits. Summit presid…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum (ETH) has recently experienced a significant resurgence, reaching a three-week high of $2,600 after a notable spike on Wednesday. This uptick comes at a time when a key company is considering ETH as a potential treasury reserve asset, underscoring renewed interest in the cryptocurrency. Forecasting $7,000 Potential Despite being one of the poorer performers among the top ten cryptocurrencies, with a year-to-date decline of 24%, Ethereum’s recent 6% surge has allowed it to outpace competitors, including Bitcoin (BTC), which is close to its all-time high. Crypto analyst Alek Carter has also expressed a bullish outlook on Ethereum (ETH), drawing parallels between…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP crypto bulls are targeting $3. Ripple, the issuer of RLUSD stablecoin, has submitted an application to the OCC for a national banking license. Yesterday, XRP crypto surged, closing above $2.20 and extending gains initiated on June 23. At this pace, XRP ▲4.02% not only solidified its position as one of the best cryptos to buy, adding a solid 5% in the last day, but also erased losses from the past week, returning to positive territory. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 XRP Crypto Bulls Targeting $3 Based on the XRPUSDT price formation on the daily chart, there is a high probability that the coin will break above its June 2025 highs of around $2.5. If th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum (ETH) has surged 7.5% in the daily timeframe to break above a key resistance level for the first time in weeks. Following its breakout, some analysts forecasted that a retest of the range highs could be around the corner. Ethereum Reclaims Crucial Area On Wednesday, Ethereum jumped over 7% from its local low to the $2,550 mark, setting the stage to reclaim another crucial resistance. The King of Altcoins climbed from the $2,380 support to the $2,585 area, hitting a two-week high. The cryptocurrency has been trading between the $2,400-$2,800 price range since the early May breakout, but briefly lost this area after failing to hold the $2,550 support two weeks a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has revealed Bitcoin has recently been trading within a short-term band that has its upper level currently located at $117,000. Bitcoin Is Trading Between These Two Short-Term Holder Price Bands In a new post on X, Glassnode has discussed about the short-term price band that Bitcoin has been trading inside lately. The band in question is based on two levels relevant to the short-term holders (STHs), investors who purchased their coins within the past 155 days. The indicator related to the STHs that’s of interest here is the Realized Price, which keeps track of the average cost basis or acquisition level of the BTC addresses belongi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
US equities delivered another strong session, with the S&P 500 rising 0.5% to close at a fresh record of 6,227. Small‑caps led the charge, as the Russell 2000 jumped 1.31%, clearing its 200-day moving average for a second straight day, evidence that the post “Liberation Day” rebound has broadened beyond mega‑cap tech. close Fig 2: AUD/USD minor trend as of 3 July 2025 (Source: TradingView) …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin continues to show little upward momentum as it trades below the $110,000 mark. As of the time of writing, the asset is priced at $108,071 after recording a modest 2% gain in the past 24 hours. Despite nearing its all-time high in recent weeks, Bitcoin appears to be caught in a holding pattern as institutional rebalancing and on-chain dynamics take center stage. Recent analysis by CryptoQuant contributor Kripto Mevsimi has drawn attention to unusual on-chain activity during the final days of June. Institutional Rebalancing and Local Exhaustion Signals In a post titled “Whale Profit-Taking and Loss Realizations: Was Late June a Local Pivot Point?” the analyst not…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Dogecoin started a fresh increase above the $0.1650 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might aim for a move above $0.1720. DOGE price started a fresh increase above the $0.1620 and $0.1650 levels. The price is trading above the $0.1650 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $0.1640 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start a fresh decline if it stays below the $0.1720 zone and $0.1800. Dogecoin Price Faces Hurdles Dogecoin price started a fresh increase from the $0.1565 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE was able to clim…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade within striking distance of its all-time high (ATH), a noticeable shift is underway in the cryptocurrency’s Realized Dominance metric, reflecting changes in behavior between short-term holders (STH) and long-term holders (LTH). Bitcoin Realized Dominance Shows Shift In Market Sentiment According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Crazzyblockk, the latest trend in BTC’s Realized Dominance metric highlights a significant shift in overall market structure and sentiment. For the uninitiated, the Bitcoin Realized Dominance metric tracks how much of the realized cap is held by STH vs LTH. A rising LTH cohort share signal…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ripple is making a serious move into traditional finance. The company behind XRP has applied for a national banking charter in the United States, aiming to bring its RLUSD stablecoin under direct federal oversight. This isn’t just about checking boxes. It’s a strategic attempt to give RLUSD a stronger foundation and open the door to a deeper role in the financial system. If approved, the Ripple banking license would allow the company to hold RLUSD reserves directly with the Federal Reserve. Ripple’s CEO, Brad Garlinghouse, confirmed the application publicly, pointing out that RLUSD already operates under New York’s financial regulators. Getting a national charter through…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Trump family appears to have a much bigger stake in the crypto world than most people realized. New data from Arkham Intelligence shows that wallets linked to Donald Trump, his son Barron, and several associated tokens hold more than $620 million in crypto assets. Trump’s $620 million in crypto covers Bitcoin, Ethereum, and memecoins, making it one of the biggest political wallets on record. Barron’s Alleged Role Behind the Scenes One of the most surprising parts of the report is the alleged connection between Barron Trump and the Solana-based memecoin $DJT. The top wallet holding the token, currently worth around $170 million, is linked to other wallets previously t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP price started a decent upward move from the $2.150 zone. The price is now consolidating gains and might face hurdles near the $2.285 zone. XRP price started a fresh increase above the $2.220 zone. The price is now trading above $2.220 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $2.20 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start another decline if it fails to clear the $2.2850 resistance zone. XRP Price Restarts Increase XRP price found support near the $2.150 level and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to recover losses and climbe…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum continues to exhibit limited upward price movement despite earlier gains last week. Over the past seven days, the asset has gained only 0.3%, while it declined 0.2% in the past 24 hours. At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $2,436. Notably, the ongoing lack of momentum reflects broader hesitation in the crypto market, even as institutional activity and whale behaviors provide structural support for price levels. Ethereum Whales Accumulate, Retail Traders Remain Inactive In a recent market insight shared on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, on-chain analyst Banker described Ethereum’s current phase as a “deadlock.” According to him, the market is wit…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
