Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11938 tópicos neste fórum
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Bitcoin surpassed the $94,000 mark yesterday, reaching $94,600, marking a peak since its major sell-off in November this year. Ethereum also crossed the $3,300 threshold, maintaining strong prospects for further growth. Active buying of Ethereum could be linked to news that BlackRock applied to launch an Ethereum ETF with a staking option, which may attract more potential large clients to the market. The integration of the staking option makes the ETF even more appealing to investors seeking not only capital gains but also passive income from their assets. This could lead to significant capital inflows into Ethereum, as institutional investors and large funds who previou…
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Trade analysis and recommendations for the euro The price test of 1.1645 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The unexpected decline in industrial production in Italy has heightened concerns about the state of the eurozone economy. This alarming signal, following a series of mixed economic indicators, casts doubt on the prospects for a steady recovery of the region's manufacturing sector. The weakening of the euro triggered by the Italian data reflects increased risk aversion in financial markets. But this afternoon, the key event will be the publicat…
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Today, the AUD/USD pair continues its consolidation near December highs as markets await the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Fed is expected to announce its decision during the North American session today, and most analysts anticipate a 25-basis-point rate cut. This expectation has been one of the key factors behind the recent weakening of the U.S. dollar to its lowest levels since late October and the notable rise in AUD/USD observed over the past two weeks. However, market participants prefer to refrain from aggressive buying and are waiting for additional signals regarding the Fed's future policy path. Key attention will be focused on updated economic p…
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The wave pattern on the EUR/USD 4-hour chart has transformed, but overall remains quite clear. There is no indication that the upward trend segment, which began in January 2025, has been canceled, but the wave structure has become significantly more complex since July 1 and has taken on a more extended form. In my view, the instrument has completed the formation of corrective wave 4, which took a very unconventional shape. Within this wave, we see exclusively corrective structures, so there is no doubt about the corrective nature of the decline. In my opinion, the upward trend segment is not yet complete, and its targets stretch as far as the 1.25 level. The a-b-c-d-e wav…
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The decline of the dollar index (USDX), which began yesterday during the Asian trading session, accelerated significantly after the Federal Reserve announced a 0.25% rate cut. Although this decision was anticipated by the market, accompanying statements and comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that the central bank is ready for further rate cuts in the upcoming year. During the press conference following the policy meeting, Jerome Powell underscored the Fed's willingness to "wait and see how the economy evolves," but raising interest rates in the future is not part of the baseline scenario. The next FOMC meeting is scheduled for January 27–28. The rate-settin…
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S&P 500 and Nasdaq face challenges following disappointing Oracle results Yesterday, stock indices closed higher. The S&P 500 rose by 0.67%, while the Nasdaq 100 strengthened by 0.33%, and the Dow Jones jumped by 1.05%. However, the rally in the stock market, driven by the Fed's interest rate cuts, has waned as disappointing results from Oracle pressured tech stocks. Oracle's earnings report raised concerns about the overall resilience of the technology sector, which has been the primary driver of market growth in recent months. The decline in Oracle's shares triggered a chain reaction affecting other major tech companies such as Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon. Inv…
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On Thursday, the GBP/JPY pair corrected to just below the round level of 208.00 in an attempt to attract buyers. At that time, spot prices traded in the range of 208.30–208.50, remaining near levels not seen since 2008. Investors remain concerned about Japan's deteriorating economic and financial situation amid Prime Minister Sanae Takachi's plan for significant expenditures and weak economic growth. These factors vastly overshadow the Bank of Japan's hawkish sentiments and are among the primary drivers of the Japanese yen's weakness, thereby supporting the GBP/JPY pair. However, the extent of the yen's decline is constrained by expectations of an interest rate hike by th…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the price level at 155.74 coincided with the MACD indicator moving significantly below the zero mark, limiting the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar and missed out on all the downward movement. The Japanese yen strengthened against the US dollar yesterday after data showed that the weekly number of initial jobless claims in the United States exceeded economists' forecasts. The released data caused the dollar to weaken, as investors interpreted this as yet another signal of cooling in the US labor market. This, in turn, may affect the Federal Reserve's future interest rate d…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Friday, from the 1.1737 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving downward toward the target of 1.1719 — the 14.6% retracement level (red dashed line). When this level is tested, a corrective upward move may occur with a target of 1.1762 — the upper fractal (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upwardFibonacci levels – upwardVolume – upwardCandlestick analysis – upwardTrend analysis – upwardBollinger Bands – upwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario:Today, from the 1.1737 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may begin …
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Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei 1.4% Up, Asian Shares Higher Most Read: The Fed cuts rates by 25 bps to 3.75% – Market Reactions The Nikkei rose on Friday, marking its third consecutive weekly gain. This positive performance was driven by the optimistic mood on Wall Street, which is benefiting from the period between two major central bank meetings. The Nikkei 225 index closed 1.4% higher at 50,836.55, achieving 0.7% gain for the week. The broader Topix index climbed even more, rising 2% to reach a record closing high of 3,423.83.However, the technology sector did not fully participate in the rally. Despite a recent surge due to excitement over artificial intelligence, these…
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Newsquawk Highlights include US NFP, CPI and Retail Sales, BoJ, BoE, ECB, UK Jobs, UK CPI, and Japan CPI US Debt Clock MON: Chinese Activity Data (Nov), EZ Industrial Production (Oct), Canadian CPI (Nov) TUE: NBH Announcement, UK Jobs Report (Oct), EZ/UK/US Flash PMIs (Dec), German ZEW Survey (Dec), Japanese Trade Balance (Nov), US Jobs Report (Nov) WED: UK Inflation (Nov), EZ CPI Final (Nov), US Retail Sales (Oct) THU: ECB Announcement, BoE Announcement, Norges Bank Announcement, Riksbank Announcement, CNB Announcement, US CPI (Nov), Japanese CPI (Nov), US Real Earnings (Nov) FRI: BoJ Announcement, CBR Announcement, Quad Witching, UK PSNB (Nov), UK Retail Sales (Nov…
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A mining company based in Utah says it has discovered a massive deposit of rare earths and several other critical minerals — one that could become one of North America’s most significant shovel-ready projects. Ionic Mineral Technologies — also known as Ionic MT — revealed last week that assays from its fully permitted Silicon Ridge project in Utah confirmed it as a halloysite-hosted ion-adsorption clay (IAC) system, which, compared to the conventional “hard-rock” geological system, is easier to extract minerals from. According to the company, IAC represents the same geological formation that supplies approximately 35-40% of China’s total rare earth production and …
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US stocks end week with losses The S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices posted notable declines over the past trading week, falling by 1.07% and 0.69%, respectively. Market pressure intensified amid heightened concerns about the future path of US interest rates. Investors are becoming more sensitive to macroeconomic data that could influence Federal Reserve policy decisions. Any signals pointing to a prolonged period of tight monetary policy are perceived negatively, particularly against the backdrop of slowing global economic growth. Additional uncertainty stems from expectations surrounding upcoming macroeconomic releases, including inflation and labor market data. Investors…
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It is hard to believe that less than four years ago, AVAX USDT was trading in the triple digits, at an all-time high of $158. Since that day in early 2022, Avalanche crypto has fallen by -91%, with today’s -4.2% drop the latest bloodbath for the Layer-1 blockchain project. During its height, AVAX was also a top 15 token by market cap, but has since dropped to 32nd, with a valuation of $5.3Bn, a fall from grace as the token was once valued at over $30Bn. A recent alliance with the US SEC has the Avalanche crypto community hoping that favourable oversight could rescue their token from the depths of hell. Market Cap…
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A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how Cardano has formed a technical analysis (TA) signal on its weekly chart that last led into a major price drawdown. Cardano SuperTrend Has Flipped Bearish In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about a signal that has appeared in the SuperTrend of Cardano. The “SuperTrend” refers to a TA indicator that’s generally used for determining whether a given asset is following a bearish or bullish trend. It’s built using the Average True Range (ATR), another TA indicator that measures the degree of volatility being experienced by the price. The SuperTrend is represented by a single trendline that acts as both support and…
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Yesterday, New York Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams said that monetary policy is in a good position for next year following last week's interest rate cut, which led to another weakening of the U.S. dollar. "Monetary policy is largely focused on balancing risks. To that end, the FOMC has shifted a moderately restrictive monetary policy toward a neutral stance," Williams said on Monday in prepared remarks for an event in Jersey City. "As a result of these actions, monetary policy is in a good position as we approach 2026." Investors interpreted Williams's comments as a signal that the Fed does not intend to change its interest rate course in the near future, m…
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When Do RMDs Start for IRAs and 401(k)s? Executive summary: If you’re wondering, “when do RMDs start,” the short answer is age 73 for most savers born 1951–1959. Your first IRA RMD is due by April 1 of the year after you turn 73, though you can also take it by December 31 of the year you turn 73. For many employer plans, you may delay until you retire if your plan allows the still-working exception and you’re not a 5% owner. This exception doesn’t apply to IRAs. After that first year, RMDs are due annually by December 31. Rules differ by account type, employment status, and whether the account is Roth or traditional. What Is an RMD and Why It Matters Tax-deferred accou…
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Do I Have Enough to Retire? 7 Signs You’re Ready Executive summary: If you keep asking, “Do I have enough to retire?”, you’re really checking whether savings, income, and risks match the life you want. This guide turns that into a practical checklist. Use the seven signs, the quick scorecard, and the case studies to spot gaps, fix them, and move from doubt to a confident “yes.” Do I Have Enough to Retire? What “Enough” Really Means “Enough” isn’t one magic number. It’s the fit between what you’ll spend, the dependable income you’ll receive, and how your portfolio behaves in good and bad markets. When those pieces line up with healthy safety margins, the question Do I hav…
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Gold is trading around 3,936, above the 5/8 Murray level and below the 200 EMA and 21 SMA. During recent trading, gold found strong support around 3906. This level, which coincides with the 5/8 Murray level, could present a bullish opportunity for gold to resume long positions. On the H4 chart, we observe that gold is under downward pressure, and it is likely that if there is a sharp break and consolidation below 3,906, we could expect it to reach the key 4/8 Murray level around 3,750. Conversely, if gold decisively breaks the descending trend channel and consolidates above the psychological level of $4,000, we could expect it to reach 4,062 and even 4,135. At the begi…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Bitcoin has struggled to reclaim the short-term holder Realized Price, a key on-chain level. Here’s where the next major support line lies for the asset. Bitcoin Has Again Dipped Below STH Realized Price In its latest weekly report, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed about some key Realized Price levels for Bitcoin. The “Realized Price” here refers to an indicator that measures the cost basis of the average investor or address on the BTC network. When the metric is trading above the asset’s price, it means the holders as a whole are sitting on a net unrealized profit. On the other hand, it being below the spot BTC value implies the dominance of loss on the…
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For the first time in the last three weeks, the euro-dollar pair closed Friday's trading below the 1.1560 target, exiting the established price range of 1.1560–1.1730. Now the main intrigue lies in the simple question: will the price hold below this support level, or will it return to its previous levels? Throughout October, sellers of EUR/USD repeatedly tested the lower boundary of the aforementioned price range, declining towards the base of the 15 figure. However, each time the southern momentum faded, and buyers regained control of the pair. Last week, the dollar strengthened mainly due to the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on the pace of further rate cuts. It …
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EUR/USD is trading around 1.1503 under bearish pressure, below the 200 EMA and 21 SMA moving averages, with a bearish bias. The instrument is likely to continue falling in the coming hours until it reaches the important support level of the 6/8 Murray chart at 1.1474. The euro is under strong bearish pressure and is likely to continue its downward cycle, potentially reaching the bottom of the ascending trend channel around 1.1435. If EUR/USD consolidates above 1.1470, we could expect a technical rebound, potentially returning the price to the 7/8 Murray price level at 1.1596 and even to the top of the descending trend channel around 1.1620. A sharp break of the descending…
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Gold is trading around $3,987 within an upward trend channel formed on October 27 and is likely to continue rising in the coming days until it reaches the top of the upward trend channel, around $4,120. If the price consolidates above the 200 EMA at 3,955 in the coming hours, any technical bounce, as long as the price remains above this zone, could be seen as a buying opportunity with short-term targets around the 7/8 Murray level at 4,218. Conversely, if the instrument falls below 3,950, we could expect it to reach the 5/8 Murray level around 3,906 and even continue its downward cycle, reaching the 4/8 Murray level around 3,750. The Eagle indicator is showing a positive …
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Michael Saylor sent a short, cryptic message on X on November 2, 2025: “Orange is the color of November.” The post included a chart tied to Strategy’s (formerly MicroStrategy) Bitcoin tracker. Reports have disclosed that crypto outlets and market watchers quickly read the line as a hint at another corporate Bitcoin buy. Bitcoin Buy: Orange Dot Signals According To screenshots and media coverage, the post echoed past Saylor posts that used orange imagery to flag Bitcoin moves. Some outlets called it a tease for a 13th straight purchase by Strategy. That description comes from reporters tracking the firm’s buying pattern, not from an official Strategy statement. The twee…
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