Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 enter correction following recent gains The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices started the week with declines following a strong rally last week. Investors are cautiously assessing the situation ahead of a series of key macroeconomic reports, including data on the labor market and inflation. Overall market sentiment has become more subdued, with participants opting to take some profits amid fears of potential overvaluation in high-tech stocks. Despite recent gains, uncertainty persists regarding the Federal Reserve's next steps, which is also putting pressure on the indices. At the same time, futures for American indices are also showing declin…
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What to Know: Strategy’s willingness to keep Bitcoin sales ‘on the table’ reflects a broader shift toward tactical, actively managed $BTC exposure without abandoning long-term conviction. As Bitcoin’s base layer remains constrained by low throughput and high, cyclical fees, traders increasingly look to Layer 2 infrastructure as leveraged expressions of $BTC upside. Bitcoin Hyper targets Bitcoin’s speed and programmability gap with an SVM-powered Layer 2 that aims for Solana-level performance while settling to Bitcoin. When you see a long-term Bitcoin accumulator suddenly flashing ‘green dots’ instead of just quietly stacking sats, you aren’t just watching a trade, you…
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Barrick Mining (TSX: ABX) (NYSE: B) is weighing an initial public offering (IPO) of its North American gold assets as the Canadian miner deals with rising costs and operational challenges. The gold-copper miner’s board unanimously approved plans to explore a partial spinout that would take a minority stake public while Barrick keeps control. The proposed unit would centre on the company’s interests in Nevada Gold Mines and Pueblo Viejo, along with its wholly owned Fourmile discovery in Nevada. Barrick said only a small minority interest would be listed. Interim chief executive officer Mark Hill said an IPO could offer shareholders more flexibility by creating …
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Crypto holders must have “god-level” conviction and HODL, riding through the current turbulence. It applies especially to XRP holders. The XRP price is melting when writing, and over the last month, there is nothing to smile about. To put it in numbers, the XRP price is down -18% in the last month, slashing year-to-date gains to less than +10%. In the last 24 hours, like Bitcoin, Solana, and some of the best cryptos to buy, XRP crypto is sliding, losing nearly -7%. (Source: Coingecko) At this pace, will the trend change? Is the XRP USD price oversold? Time for a near 2X spike to post-October 10 levels? DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Crypto Crash Ri…
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Are we about to see a Japan rate hike and the beginning of a global recession? Bitcoin’s slide from 92,000 to 86,000 this week did not come out of nowhere. Arthur Hayes argues the move was triggered by a sharp shift in Japan’s monetary stance, as the Bank of Japan signaled a possible December rate hike that strengthened the yen and squeezed risk assets. Arthur Hayes: “The carry trade unwind is here. A stronger yen means less fuel for the casino.” Japan is the largest foreign holder of US Treasuries at roughly $1.1 Tn, according to Treasury International Capital data. Rising domestic yields mean Japanese institutions may rotate funds home, at a time when the US is …
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The Bitcoin price might need a miracle to close above $100,000 in December. Scanning the market, there are no solid Bitcoin news stories to prop up bulls, and the BTC USD price is under immense pressure. Earlier today, Bitcoin crypto crashed from as high as $90,000, quickly losing over $3,000 to spot rates. The crash marked a weak start to the month, quickly confirming the worst for traders: Q4 2025 has not been the usual Q4 everyone expected in crypto. Crypto Fear and Greed Chart All time 1y 1m 1w 24h Historically, Bitcoin a…
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Trade Analysis and Advice for Trading the Japanese Yen The price test at 155.53 occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving down from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for selling the dollar. As a result, the pair declined by more than 30 points. The anticipated Bank of Japan interest rate decision is already supporting the yen and could have a significant impact on global financial markets. Japan is one of the world's largest creditors, and a rate hike may lead to capital outflows from other countries, especially those with lower rates. This may also affect the value of Japanese assets and help stabilize the yen. Later today, the focus will s…
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Trade Analysis and Advice for Trading the British Pound The price test at 1.3211 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly downward from the zero line, limiting the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The UK Manufacturing PMI matched economists' forecasts, remaining above 50 points. This paints a picture of a fragile but still steady recovery, with the manufacturing sector stabilizing. Exceeding expectations in UK lending also provides a positive signal, indicating continued demand in the real estate market. Later today, the U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index data is expected. Only exceptionally strong numbers—which are u…
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Why did Ethereum drop? Well the fundamentals haven’t changed for ETH but my net worth has. .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .…
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Trade Analysis and Advice for Trading the Euro The price test at 1.1605 coincided with the MACD indicator just starting to move upward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for buying euros. As a result, the pair rose by more than 20 points, stopping just short of the target level at 1.1635. The euro seemed to completely ignore economic realities, showing resilience despite negative signals. Despite fairly weak data on the contraction in Eurozone manufacturing activity, the euro continued to rise. This behavior could be driven by speculative interest in the currency. Investors may be expecting the European Central Bank to maintain a wait-and-see approach …
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On Friday, the EUR/USD pair rebounded from the 1.1594 – 1.1607 level, experienced a slight decline, and returned to this zone. Today, the pair closed above it, allowing for expectations of further growth toward the next resistance level at 1.1645 – 1.1656. A rebound from this zone would favor the U.S. dollar and a minor decline, while a close above it would increase the probability of further growth toward the next 38.2% retracement level at 1.1718. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave did not surpass the previous wave's peak, and the last completed downward wave did not break the previous low. Thus, the trend …
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Overview: The US dollar is trading with a heavier bias today. Equities and bonds have also been sold on the first day of the new month. The dollar bloc and the sterling are laggards today, while the yen has been squeezed higher amid heightened speculation that the Bank of Japan will lift rates later this month. The recovery of the yen does not appear to be spurring an unwinding of carry trades, but the substitution of the yen's funding role with the Swiss franc and/or US dollar. Most emerging market currencies are also firmer but for a few Asian currencies (Taiwan, South Korea, India) and the Russian ruble. Rising rates and a stronger yen pushed Japanese equity indices d…
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Gold climbed to a six-week high on Monday, although it did not show strong follow-through buying. From a technical perspective, overcoming and sustaining above $4,250 would provide a new stimulus for bulls, opening the path for further gains. With daily chart oscillators in positive territory, gold could surpass intermediate resistance around $4,270 on its way to the round level of $4,300. On the other hand, the Asian session low near the $4,200 round level provides protection against an immediate decline. Any further weakening could be viewed as a buying opportunity, with support likely around $4,180 and $4,150. A decisive break below the latter would trigger technical s…
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What to Know: With derivatives markets finally chilling out and funding rates normalizing, traders are quietly swapping fear for early accumulation. This low-volatility window offers a perfect chance to rotate into solid tech plays before leverage-fueled FOMO kicks back in. Bitcoin Hyper is turning heads by raising over $28M to bring Solana-speed smart contracts directly to Bitcoin’s network. Traders are also eyeing SUBBD Token’s AI tools for creators and Monero’s new security upgrades as top picks for this cycle. Derivatives desks are finally taking a breath. Funding rates that were deep underwater are grinding back toward neutral, and implied volatility is dropping…
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On the hourly chart, GBP/USD has been trading sideways over the past few days between 1.3186 and 1.3240. Movements are weak. A rebound from the 38.2% Fibonacci level at 1.3186 would favor the British pound and push the pair toward the 50.0% corrective level at 1.3240. A consolidation above 1.3240 would increase the probability of further growth toward the next Fibonacci level of 61.8% at 1.3294. The wave structure has transformed into a "bullish" pattern. The last downward wave did not break the previous low, while the new upward wave surpassed the previous peak. Thus, the trend is now officially "bullish." The information background for the pound has been weak in rece…
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At the start of the new week, NZD/USD is trading in a narrow range near the November high recorded on Friday, consolidating the recent strong rally. Spot prices are holding steady below the 0.5750 level and show little reaction to the disappointing news from China. Specifically, the Manufacturing PMI in China from RatingDog unexpectedly fell to 49.9 in November from 50.6 in October. This followed official PMI data released over the weekend, showing declining activity in China's manufacturing sector for the eighth consecutive month, while the services sector is experiencing a contraction for the first time in nearly three years, dropping to its lowest level since December …
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Asia Market Wrap - Markets Show Signs of Risk Aversion Most Read: The Bank of Japan's FX Intervention: Mechanism, Impact, and Historical Precedent Markets showed caution around the world on Monday, as investors prepare for a busy week of new economic data. US stock futures and cryptocurrencies both declined, suggesting investors were avoiding risk, even though most still expect the US Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in December. In Japan, the Nikkei stock index fell sharply, dropping 1.68% after four straight days of gains. This decline was triggered by two factors: rising Japanese government bond yields and a strengthening yen. Both of these changes were fueled …
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What to Know: An $XRP breakout toward $10–$20 could trigger a classic top-down rotation, pushing traders from majors into smaller, higher-beta meme coins and community tokens. In risk-on phases, performance-based trading communities and leaderboard-driven contests often attract capital faster than passive ‘hold and hope’ meme coin projects. Maxi Doge targets retail traders without whale capital, combining 1,000x leverage culture, trading competitions, and staking rewards into a meme coin-driven trading hub. Preparing a rotation strategy before any confirmed $XRP breakout can help traders capture outsized upside instead of chasing extended large-cap moves late in the cyc…
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EUR/USD began the week with a recovery, rising above the important round level of 1.1600. The euro continues to receive support thanks to hopes that the European Central Bank has completed its rate-cutting cycle. In the Friday minutes of the last ECB meeting, the unanimous decision to keep all key rates unchanged was highlighted, and the Governing Council described this policy as positive. Traders have almost fully priced in the likelihood of a possible rate cut in 2025 and currently assess the probability of such a scenario by the end of 2026 at around 40%. These factors are helping to maintain and strengthen the EUR/USD pair, confirming the likelihood of further growth.…
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Trend AnalysisIn December, from the level of 1.3232 (the close of the November monthly candle), the price may begin moving downward toward 1.2886 — the historical resistance level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.2942 — the 50% retracement level (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (Monthly Chart). Indicator Analysis:Indicator analysis — downwardFibonacci levels — downwardVolume — downwardCandlestick analysis — downwardTrend analysis — downwardBollinger Bands — downwardConclusion from comprehensive analysis: a downward trend is possible. Overall Summary for the Monthly GBP/USD Candle:The price will most likely show a downward tend…
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Trend AnalysisIn December, from the level of 1.1598 (the close of the November monthly candle), the price may begin moving downward toward 1.1252 — the 38.2% retracement level (yellow dashed line). From this level, the market may show a corrective upward move toward 1.1315 — the support line (thin blue line). Fig. 1 (Monthly Chart). Indicator Analysis:Indicator analysis — downwardFibonacci levels — downwardVolume — downwardCandlestick analysis — downwardTrend analysis — downwardBollinger Bands — downwardConclusion from comprehensive analysis: a downward trend is possible. Overall Summary for the Monthly EUR/USD Candle:The price will most likely show a downward tendency…
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Kazakhstan’s central bank has signaled plans to place up to $300 million into crypto and crypto-linked assets, a move that would mark one of the clearest examples yet of a sovereign institution putting reserve money into this market. Based on reports, the funds would come from the country’s gold and foreign-exchange reserves rather than its social or oil wealth funds. Central Bank Moves Cautiously According to central bank briefings and market reporting, the investment will not be made all at once. Initial tranches could be modest — figures discussed publicly include amounts like $50 million and $100 million as possible early steps, with larger allocations of $250 milli…
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The crypto market opened December under heavy selling pressure. .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price-holder .cwp-…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Bitcoin thought it had found a bottom, only to be knocked from below. The tumultuous recovery of US stock indices extended a lifeline to BTC/USD; however, a series of bad news caused the token's prices to plummet. It wasn't alone. Ethereum dropped by 7%, and altcoins also faced a wave of sell-offs amid the downgrade of the largest stablecoin, USDT, to junk status. S&P Global Ratings believes that the falling value of Bitcoin will lead to insufficient backing for the token. Positive news on stablecoins, including Congress's approval of legislation on their use, had previously been one of the catalysts for the BTC/USD rally. By the same token, negative developments lea…
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