Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6896 tópicos neste fórum
-
Friday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD On Friday, the GBP/USD pair began an upward move, and by Monday night, it had already broken through the local descending trendline. Thus, the bearish trend has been canceled. Recall that over the past week and a half, the pound sterling was caught in a vortex of negative developments, which triggered its decline — a scenario many traders did not expect. However, the global fundamental backdrop for GBP/USD remains unchanged, and therefore, we do not anticipate a further medium-term decline of the British currency. On Friday, the U.S. dollar came under pressure after the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index once again …
Last reply by Redator, -
Friday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD On Friday, the EUR/USD pair began a natural upward movement. Over the past week, we observed another technical correction, as the euro had no fundamental reasons for a significant decline. The results of the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank meetings could have been interpreted in different ways — and that's precisely what the market did. Speeches from Jerome Powell and Christine Lagarde also did not materially alter the situation and did not indicate a shift in central bank sentiment. The only support for the dollar came from the U.S. Q2 GDP report. On Friday, however, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index…
Last reply by Redator, -
[Crude Oil] – [Monday, September 29, 2025] Although the RSI is in the bearish neutral area, but with EMA (50 and EMA (200) position which still intersecting the Golden Cross #CL today still have the potential to strengthen. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 67.15 2. Resistance. 1 : 66.17 3. Pivot : 65.41 4. Support. 1 : 64.43 5. Support. 2 : 63.67 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price maintains the #CL strengthening until it breaks out and closes above 65.41, it has the potential to continue strengthening to 66.17. Momentum Extension Bias: If 66.17 is successfully broken and closes above it, it has the potential to move to 67.15. Invalidation Le…
Last reply by Redator, -
[USDX] – [Monday, September 29, 2025] Although the two EMAs are still crossing the Golden Cross, but the RSI's position in the Extreme Bearish area has the potential to weaken #USDX today towards its nearest support levels. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 98.65 2. Resistance. 1 : 98.40 3. Pivot : 98.25 4. Support. 1 : 98.00 5. Support. 2 : 97.85 Tactical Scenario Pressure Vulnerable Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 98.00, it has the potential to continue weakening to 97.85. Momentum Extension Bias: If 97.85 is successfully broken and closes below it, the USDX has the potential to weaken again to 97.60. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision Downsid…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 17 👀 Traders
Solana started a fresh decline below the $225 zone. SOL price is now attempting to recover from $192 and faces hurdles near $215. SOL price started a fresh decline below $225 and $220 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $200 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $200 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start another decline if it stays below $215 and $220. Solana Price Dips Again Solana price failed to stay above $220 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL traded below the $212 and $205 support levels to enter a b…
Last reply by Redator, -
Gold is trading around 3,796, above the 21SMA and above the 8/8 Murray level. Gold could continue its rise in the coming hours and could reach the top of the uptrend channel around 3,840 or reach +1/8 Murray level around 3,828. At the opening of this week's session, gold left a gap around 3,762. It could reach this level and cover the gap in the coming days. If gold falls below these price levels, we could expect it to find strong support around the 8/8 Murray level, located at 3,750. This level is key, so a strong technical rebound could occur around this area, which could be seen as an opportunity to open long positions. On the other hand, if gold continues its rise and…
Last reply by Redator, -
The EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.1728, rebounding after reaching a low of 1.1646 on Friday. The euro is currently above the 200 EMA and above the 8/8 Murray, which could favor a recovery in the coming hours or even days. The eagle indicator has reached the oversold zone, so we believe the euro could attempt to reach +1/8 Murray at 1.1840 in the coming days and even the key level of 1.1900. Conversely, if the euro falls below 1.1714, we can expect a continuation of the bearish cycle. The instrument could reach 7/8 Murray at 1.1596 and even the bottom of the downtrend channel around 1.1540. A breakout of the downtrend channel formed since September 15 could trigger a ne…
Last reply by Redator, -
Bitcoin, after forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, broke sharply above the 3/8 Murray level and the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) located at 109,747. Above this area, Bitcoin rose sharply to reach the 4/8 Murray level around 112,500. In the coming hours, we can expect a technical correction. Therefore, a rebound around the psychological level of $110,000 could be seen as an opportunity to buy Bitcoin, with short-term targets located around the 200 EMA at 113,500 and even 115,625. Conversely, a sharp break below the 21SMA and a consolidation below the 3/8 Murray level could lead Bitcoin to fall to the 2/8 Murray level located at 106.250. The eagle indicator is sho…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 12 👀 Traders
XRP price is attempting a recovery wave above the $2.820 zone. The price now faces a couple of key hurdles near $2.880 and $2.920. XRP price is slowly moving higher above the $2.80 support zone. The price is now trading above $2.80 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $2.80 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $2.920. XRP Price Dips Eyes Upside Break XRP price found support near $2.70 and recently started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to surpass the $2.780 and $2.80 resistance levels.…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 12 👀 Traders
EUR/USD The euro looked almost hopeless on Thursday, September 25, but found support from the renewed strength of the stock and commodity markets. The S&P 500 added 0.59% on Friday, gold rose 1.00%, oil increased by 0.04%, copper rose 0.29%, and the euro itself gained 34 pips. During today's Pacific session, the price moved above the MACD line resistance on the daily timeframe, and the Marlin oscillator entered positive territory. Once the price consolidates above the MACD line and the Marlin oscillator holds in positive territory, the euro will open the way toward the upper boundary of the price channel at 1.1914. This week, moderately optimistic U.S. industrial sec…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 20 👀 Traders
GBP/USD The British pound capitalized on the general weakness of the dollar amid increased risk appetite in the stock market, repeating the pattern from September 3 by returning above the 1.3364 level (as shown in the rectangle on the daily chart). The pound would clearly like to reach the target resistance at 1.3525, but it feels somewhat uncertain near the MACD line, as seen on September 9–11 and 23. Therefore, only consolidation above this line, above 1.3476, may give the pound a chance to hold above 1.3525. The Marlin oscillator remains cautious, and while it is in negative territory, the pound's growth may stay unstable. If Friday's U.S. September labor market data …
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 16 👀 Traders
AUD/USD The Australian dollar failed to break through the support of the daily balance indicator line on September 25 and 26. It is possible that the strength of the "bulls" will now push the price above the already reached MACD line. However, the Marlin oscillator remains in negative territory. A decisive breakout may occur tomorrow. If successful (with consolidation above the MACD line), the target at 0.6668 will open. On Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its rate decision. The probability of holding the rate is estimated at 96.4%, but market participants expect a shift in the accompanying statement's tone toward hawkishness due to rising inflation. …
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 13 👀 Traders
Ethereum price started a recovery wave above $4,050. ETH is now consolidating and might aim for more gains if it clears the $4,170 resistance. Ethereum remained stable above $3,820 and started a recovery wave. The price is trading above $4,050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $4,000 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $4,170 and $4,200. Ethereum Price Recovers Ethereum price remained supported above the $3,820 level and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to recover above the $3,880 and $4,000 resis…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 11 👀 Traders
Bitcoin price found support near $108,680 and started a recovery wave. BTC is trading above $111,000 and facing hurdles near $112,500. Bitcoin started a fresh recovery wave above the $110,500 zone. The price is trading above $110,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $109,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it clears the $112,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Starts Recovery Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $108,500 zone and started a recovery wave. BTC settled above the $109,500 resistance zone to start the current move…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 19 👀 Traders
Over the past two weeks, the GBP/USD pair has lost significant value. It cannot be said that the decline in the British pound was unjustified, but at the same time, it cannot be called "fully logical" either. Simply put, the market used almost all recent news against the pound. However, due to this decline, the technical picture has changed only on the lower timeframes. On the higher ones, we are still dealing with the long-term upward trend of 2025. This week, the U.S. dollar will try to defend its hard-won positions. Yet the overall picture again looks unfavorable for the greenback. Donald Trump introduced new tariffs on pharmaceuticals, trucks, and furniture, signaling…
Last reply by Redator, -
During the upcoming week, the EUR/USD pair is expected to attempt to resume its upward trend. This conclusion is based on the current market situation, expectations of major banks, and the forthcoming fundamental and macroeconomic context. Let's break it down. The decline of the European currency over the past two weeks does not cancel the upward trend on either the 4-hour or daily timeframes. On the daily chart, the picture is clear: the dollar is only capable of occasional small corrections. Indeed, over the past week and a half, fundamentals and macro data have supported the U.S. currency, but how many such episodes can you recall in 2025? They are as rare as snow in M…
Last reply by Redator, -
GBP/USD 5-Minute Analysis On Friday, the GBP/USD pair recovered significantly, so it is too early to write off the British currency. Over the past week and a half, the pound has gone through a rough patch, but we still believe this weakness will be short-lived. Even when all factors point in one direction, technical corrections are inevitable. Individual reports and events can trigger counter-trend movements, which, on lower timeframes, may appear as independent trends. This is precisely the kind of trend we are observing now on the hourly chart. On Friday, the pound was strongly supported by the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. The indicator once agai…
Last reply by Redator, -
EUR/USD 5-Minute Analysis On Friday, the EUR/USD pair experienced an upward movement, which represents a correction within the broader downtrend. The descending trendline clearly indicates the prevailing bearish sentiment among most traders, but we would still not expect a strong dollar rally. It is essential to recognize that over the past week and a half, several factors have indeed supported the U.S. currency; however, all of them are temporary. The global trend remains unchanged, as does the overall fundamental background. Thus, we are witnessing another round of correction, but the dollar still finds it extremely difficult to count on more than that. On Friday, E…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 11 👀 Traders
Reports have disclosed that 16 wallets picked up 431,018 Ether between September 25 and 27, spending about $1.73 billion to do so. The buys came through names like Kraken, Galaxy Digital, BitGo, FalconX and OKX. That scale of accumulation pushed attention back to who is buying the dip, and why larger players seem willing to add exposure while prices wobble. Exchange Balances Fall To 9-Year Low According to Glassnode data, the amount of ETH held on exchanges has plunged from roughly 31 million to about 14.8 million ETH — a drop of 52% from 2016 levels. Many of those coins are likely in staking contracts, cold wallets or institutional custody, and the recent launch of t…
Last reply by Redator, -
The first week of every month is traditionally the most informative and, as a rule, the most volatile for dollar pairs. October will be no exception. The economic calendar for the coming week is packed with important events, with the release of September Nonfarm Payrolls standing out. After a strong U.S. GDP growth report and a "neutral" PCE index, the NFP release will tip the scales either toward sellers or buyers of EUR/USD. Nonfarm Payrolls will be preceded by other U.S. labor market reports—JOLTs, ADP, and Unemployment Claims—which may also influence the pair, especially if they fall into the green or red zone. Traders should also pay close attention to ISM indice…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 9 👀 Traders
In my reviews, I have repeatedly stated that I continue to expect growth in the European currency. Many economists also support this view, as most factors point in favor of the euro. The key factor, in their opinion, is further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve, combined with the likely completion of the ECB's easing cycle. Since Donald Trump is demanding that the Fed lower rates to at least 2%, there is reason to expect that the Fed will eventually reach the target that the ECB has already achieved. In other words, over the next six months, a year, or even two, only the Fed will be engaged in rate cuts, putting the already weak dollar in an even more difficult posit…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 9 👀 Traders
Iran's nuclear program is once again raising concerns among Western countries. Several months ago, Donald Trump ordered an airstrike on Iran's underground nuclear facilities. The following day, the U.S. president announced the complete destruction of the three largest uranium enrichment sites, declaring Iran a non-nuclear state. However, only a few days later, experts from relevant fields began to question Trump's statements. In short, experts believe that it was impossible to achieve full destruction of underground facilities, and in practice, such an operation is nearly unattainable. The strikes were targeted, while the facilities themselves cover a large underground ar…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 13 👀 Traders
The upcoming week will be very important for the U.S. dollar. The currency will attempt to hold its ground, but it will be difficult to withstand the pressure from market participants. Most economists expect further weakening of the dollar, driven by instability in the U.S. economy, the threat of rising inflation, the dovish stance of the Federal Reserve, and Donald Trump's influence on the Fed. Therefore, the period of calm for the dollar has not yet arrived. Individual events in the U.K. or the Eurozone may put pressure on the euro and the pound, allowing the dollar to strengthen from time to time. However, the situation in the United States is of far greater concern to…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 9 👀 Traders
The British pound lost more than the euro over the past week, so its wave pattern now looks ambiguous. Recall that complex wave structures have one major drawback – they are extremely difficult to identify in the early stages of formation. Simply put, if the structure is not classical, it is almost impossible to understand what it represents at the beginning. In my analysis, I avoid working with non-standard structures because, as practice shows, such an approach has a low profitability ratio. Therefore, at the moment, the pound is unattractive for opening positions. I rely on the euro's wave pattern. Its supposed waves 2 and 4 in wave 5 both took on a nearly identical th…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 5 👀 Traders
The European currency declined over the past week; however, it continues to attract demand among market participants overall. Most economists believe that by the end of the year, the euro will surpass the psychological barrier of $ 1.20. I fully agree with this view. In fact, I expect the European currency to trade even higher than 1.22 dollars by year-end. But let's not get ahead of ourselves. As I have already mentioned in my reviews this week, the euro's decline was, to some extent, an accident. Several factors converged at once: the pound's weakness, a strong U.S. GDP report, Jerome Powell's statements that were not sufficiently dovish, and the market's bearish interp…
Last reply by Redator,
📊 Trading Hub
📟 Forex Terminal
📅 Próximo Evento no Radar
