Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Bitcoin’s march to reclaim the $120,000 milestone again is gaining pace with a combination of tightening supply and interesting events around the world. Harvard University recently revealed its $116.6 million allocation to BlackRock’s IBIT Bitcoin ETF. Meanwhile, El Salvador is welcoming Bitcoin-focused investment banks, while regulatory delays have put Japan’s first crypto ETF on hold. El Salvador Opens Door To Bitcoin Investment Banks El Salvador has passed a landmark Investment Banking Law that allows regulated investment banks, which are distinct from commercial lenders, to hold Bitcoin and other digital assets on their balance sheets. These institutions will cate…
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Bitcoin has kicked off October with a strong rally, surging to a seven-week high of almost $119,450. Its price jumped 2% in just 24 hours, pushing the total crypto market capitalization to an impressive $4.08T. This huge jump has everyone excited, hoping for a repeat of the Uptober trend, a historically bullish month for Bitcoin. The rally was so big it even pushed Bitcoin’s market value past Amazon’s. It’s not just Bitcoin, either; other major coins like Ether, Solana, and Dogecoin are all riding this wave and seeing great gains. Gains are also coming in for Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), a project that promises to bring dApps and smart contracts to Bitcoin. Read more ab…
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Bitcoin continues to show signs of recovery as its price rebounds from a brief correction last week. At the time of writing, the crypto is trading at $109,693, reflecting a 0.4% increase over the past 24 hours. Despite this upward movement, the current price remains roughly 2% below its all-time high of over $111,000, recorded last month. This ongoing strength in price performance has been accompanied by notable on-chain signals, particularly from large holders. CryptoQuant contributor Crypto Dan recently analyzed the current market structure and behavior of Bitcoin whales. Bitcoin Whale Behavior Suggests Further Upside In his latest analysis, Dan observed that despite…
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Bitcoin’s recent pullback has sparked fresh debate over whether the rally has run its course. According to market watcher Titan of Crypto, the story isn’t over yet. Bitcoin slipped just 6% from its all‑time high of $112,000, but some analysts pointed to a cooling relative strength index (RSI) and warned of a top. Titan’s take flips that view on its head, arguing that we’re still deep in the meat of the bull cycle. Fractal Cycles Keep Running Titan pointed to a clear pattern in Bitcoin’s last two cycles. Each cycle began with roughly 13 monthly bars—about 396 days—of steep decline. In 2014–15, Bitcoin fell from $1,240 to $161 over that span. Prices then rallied for 35 …
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Long‑term holders of Bitcoin may need to see a fresh high around $140,000 before they enjoy the same kind of profits they saw earlier this cycle. According to CryptoQuant, that price point lines up with past peaks in realized gains for those who have kept their coins untouched for at least six months. ‘Market Magnet’ Theory CryptoQuant used the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio to track how deep in profit holders are right now. Based on reports, the average realized profit for long‑term holders stands at about 220%. That sounds healthy. But in March and December 2024, holders were sitting on roughly 300% and 350% gains, respectively. The gap between today’s…
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Bitcoin traded just above $121,000 on Wednesday, holding onto gains after a drop from a recent peak above $126,000. According to analyst Egrag Crypto, a small market move could trigger a much larger rally, building on a pattern he says has repeated across past cycles. Historic Channel Breakouts Egrag’s view is based on a three-month look at price channels that, he argues, have preceded major rallies. Based on reports, similar channel breakouts were visible before the 2013 surge to about $1,163, the 2017 rise past $19,000, and the 2020–2021 rally that pushed prices above $69,000. He says the current channel began forming in April 2022, and that a modest “blip” upward co…
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After another strong play for its all-time high in the past week, the price of Bitcoin has struggled to build on its recent bullish momentum. Over the last few days, the premier cryptocurrency has been specifically slow and lethargic. On Friday, June 20, the Bitcoin price took a severe hit — together with the rest of the crypto market — and fell briefly beneath the $103,000 mark. However, the latest market data suggests that the price of BTC might enjoy some stability after the recent round of long liquidations. BTC Gearing For A Run Of ‘Healthier Price Action’: Analyst In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, on-chain analyst Amr Taha explained the dynamics bet…
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Bitcoin is trading in a vulnerable position, hovering below the critical $115K level and flirting with a potential breakdown towards $110K. After weeks of bullish momentum that propelled BTC to new highs, the market has entered a phase of caution and fear. The enthusiasm that once drove relentless buying has faded, replaced by increased selling pressure and defensive positioning from traders. Key data from CryptoQuant reveals that the futures market is leaning bearish, even as Bitcoin attempts to consolidate within its current range. Open interest remains elevated, but the Net Taker Volume suggests that sellers are increasingly aggressive, prioritizing execution speed o…
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Bitcoin’s price has barely moved in the last week, but other signs point to growing activity on the network. On June 5, Bitcoin traded around $104,300, down 0.50% in 24 hours and off 2.5% over the past seven days. Yet data shows more people are joining the network, and more coins are being passed around. Wallet Creation Jump According to Santiment, on May 29 nearly 557,000 new wallets appeared. That was the highest number since December 2023. It means thousands of people are opening wallets even though price has stayed just under $105,000. People normally open new wallets to send and receive bitcoins but they somehow come across the idea through new sources, increased …
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The price of Bitcoin has had a mixed performance over the past week, falling beneath the $115,000 mark at the start of the period. While the premier cryptocurrency made a play for $118,000 following the Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates, the BTC price is now back to around where it started the week. However, the latest on-chain data suggests that a stronger price performance is not too far in Bitcoin’s future. On-Chain Transactions On The Rise In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, market analyst CryptoOnchain published that there has been a notable uptick in activity on the Bitcoin network. The on-chain pundit shared that this recent surge in ne…
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After rebounding from a local bottom of around $75,000 in April, Bitcoin (BTC) appears to be stuck in the $100,000 to $110,000 range, showing little indication of a clear directional trend. One key data point reflecting this indecision is Bitcoin’s network volume. Bitcoin Network Volume Stuck In Balance Zone According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor AxelAdlerJr, Bitcoin’s network volume has stabilized in a state of ‘stable equilibrium,’ reminiscent of the mid-2021 consolidation phase that preceded a major move. For the uninitiated, Bitcoin network volume refers to the total value of BTC transferred across the blockchain over a specific period, typ…
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Data shows the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index has rebounded from the neutral zone, a sign that market indecisiveness was short-lived. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Is Back In Greed Region The “Fear & Greed Index” refers to an indicator created by Alternative that keeps track of the net sentiment present among the traders in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency markets. The metric uses data of these five factors to determine the investor mentality: trading volume, volatility, market cap dominance, social media sentiment, and Google Trends. To represent the sentiment, it uses a numerical scale running from zero to hundred. All values above 54 correspond to greed am…
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Bitcoin’s new investor dominance is gaining momentum just as the asset consolidates in a tight range, setting the stage for a major breakout. After more than two weeks of sideways movement between $115,000 and $120,000, BTC continues to trade within this well-defined range—building pressure that typically precedes a sharp move. Data from CryptoQuant highlights a crucial dynamic: the comparison between demand and supply from new versus old investors. The current new investor dominance sits at 30%, only half of the “overheated” range of 60–70% seen during euphoric phases, but the trend is clearly climbing. This means new liquidity is entering the market steadily, while ol…
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The Bitcoin News today opened with El Salvador’s Legislative Assembly passing the Investment Banking Law, establishing rules for financial institutions that cater exclusively to high-net-worth and institutional clients. The bill passed in the 68th plenary session with 55 votes. El Salvador’s new law enforces a $50 million share capital floor, prohibits crossover with commercial banking, and limits services to clients holding at least $250,000 in liquid assets, which may include BTC ▼-2.32%, gold, tokenized securities, cash, or government bonds. “The goal is to position El Salvador as a regional operational base for private capital,” – Legislative statement Both Brazil …
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Bitcoin is trading in the $117,000 price region following a rather eventful week, which allowed investors to experience both sides of the market volatility. Notably, the premier cryptocurrency established a new all-time high at $124,457 before experiencing a sharp crash to below $118,000 driven by recent US PPI data. As enthusiasts await the asset’s next move, prominent analytics firm Glaasnode has unveiled the potential price targets based on short-term holders’ (STH) market activity. Short-Term Holder Cost Basis Tips Bitcoin To Race Towards $144K In an X post on August 16, Glassnode shares data from its Bitcoin STH cost basis model, which suggests the cryptocurrency …
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The on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has pointed out how $136,000 could be the next price level of importance for Bitcoin, if current momentum continues. This Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Cost Basis Level Is Situated At $136,000 In a new thread on X, Glassnode has discussed what a few different on-chain indicators suggest regarding where Bitcoin is in the current cycle. The first metric shared by the analytics firm is the Short-Term Holder (STH) Cost Basis, which measures the average acquisition price of the investors who purchased their coins within the past 155 days. Below is a chart showing the trend in this metric over the last couple of years. As displayed in the …
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Bitcoin is trading at a critical level after successfully holding above $110,000 as support, but market sentiment remains on edge. The recent defense of this zone has given bulls a temporary cushion, yet selling pressure is mounting as volatility continues to drive uncertainty. Some analysts warn that further declines may follow if buyers fail to regain momentum, putting Bitcoin’s resilience to the test. Top analyst Axel Adler highlights a key onchain signal that sheds light on the current market structure. According to Adler, Bitcoin’s Normalized Address Activity (NAA) dropped sharply from 60% — the level at which the $124,000 all-time high was formed — down to just 30…
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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Network Value to Transactions (NVT) Golden Cross has surged into a zone that has historically signaled overpriced conditions for the asset. Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross Has Crossed Above 2.2 In a new post on X, CryptoQuant author Darkfrost has talked about the latest trend in the NVT Golden Cross of Bitcoin. The NVT Golden Cross is an indicator based on another metric known as the NVT Ratio. The NVT Ratio keeps track of the ratio between the BTC market cap and transaction volume. The idea behind the indicator is that the ability to transact coins (as gauged by the transaction volume) could be considered as a reflection of the asset’s ‘fair va…
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A single wallet that has sat untouched since 2011 jolted the market overnight, wiring 40,009 BTC—worth roughly $4.68 billion at prevailing prices—to New York‑based trading giant Galaxy Digital. The address had held 80,009 BTC in total and had never previously moved funds in the modern era. According to on‑chain sleuth Lookonchain, “the Bitcoin OG with 80,009 BTC ($9.46 B) has transferred 40,009 BTC ($4.68 B) to Galaxy Digital,” and Galaxy “has directly deposited 6,000 BTC ($706 M) into Binance and Bybit.” Bitcoin OG Whale Awakens The activity began late Monday evening (UTC). First, 9,000 BTC—about $1.06 billion—left the dormant wallet, followed an hour later by anothe…
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The crypto market is paying close attention after one of the most famous early Bitcoin voices shared a bold view on XRP. Davinci Jeremie, who gained notoriety for advising people to buy Bitcoin at just $1 back in 2013, has now issued a strong forecast for XRP, noting that the token’s chart displays a healthy structure and a bullish pattern. Davinci Jeremie Maps XRP Price Path To $4.93 With Fibonacci Levels In his detailed breakdown, Jeremie focused on XRP’s recent movements and the structure forming on its chart. He pointed to a clear W-shaped pattern as a bullish signal. According to him, the market action that pushed XRP higher in recent weeks appeared to be organic, …
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Bitcoin continues to face challenges sustaining its momentum after retreating from its recent all-time high above $124,000. At the time of writing, the asset trades around $111,090, reflecting a 10.5% decline from its peak and a 4.2% drop over the past week. The pullback highlights growing uncertainty among traders as buying pressure weakens, even while some on-chain indicators suggest potential accumulation. One such signal comes from Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume. Analyst Crazzyblockk, a contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, examined a metric called the Binance Buying Power Ratio. According to the analyst, this rati…
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Crypto analyst Kevin (Kev Capital TA) told viewers late on September 25 that Bitcoin’s pullback is tracking a familiar seasonal and structural script—and that the market’s next major impulse hinges on a clearly defined support range. “Hold $107k to $98K,” he said, calling the zone the fulcrum for the bull cycle’s next leg. “That’s it. It’s that simple.” Opening his stream amid a rush of bearish sentiment as BTC price dipped to $108,651, Kevin argued the drawdown should not surprise disciplined traders. He framed the current move in the context of months of caution dating back to early August, when he began highlighting weekly bearish divergences across Bitcoin, Ethereum …
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As the market recovers, Bitcoin (BTC) is kicking off the weekend on a positive note by reclaiming another crucial support level. Some analysts suggest that the cryptocurrency is setting the stage for a new price discovery rally, which could start sooner than expected. Bitcoin Eyes Third Price Discovery Uptrend On Friday, Bitcoin jumped nearly 3% to hit a two-month high of $123,894. The flagship crypto has seen a massive recovery from last week’s correction, surging 14% from the local lows. Earlier this week, BTC reclaimed the $115,000-$117,000 area, which served as a key support zone during the early Q3 rally, before surging to the crucial $120,000 barrier on Thursday.…
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Prominent analytics firm Glassnode has shared new on-chain insights into the Bitcoin market, pointing to the next major support zone amid a euphoric market mood on Friday. The world’s leading cryptocurrency briefly surged to above $117,000 after comments from US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell signaled a possible shift away from the central bank’s long-standing hawkish stance. Bitcoin’s Crucial Defense Level At $104,000–$108,000: Data In an X post on August 22, Glassnode explains that Bitcoin’s UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) suggests the $104,000–$108,000 range has emerged as a critical support zone, backed by significant investor activity. Notably, mor…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) came close to slumping below the psychologically important $100,000 mark last week, the short-term holders (STH) cohort started to show signs of weakening conviction in the leading cryptocurrency, raising fears of a deeper price correction. Bitcoin STH Fear Resurfaces According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Darkfost, Bitcoin STH’s net position has turned sharply negative over the past month. This has happened despite BTC holding above the $100,000 level. For the uninitiated, Bitcoin STH are investors who have held their BTC for less than 155 days. They are generally more reactive to price volatility and market sentiment, often se…
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